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Biodiversity scientists as honest brokers or advocates? | Jonathan Chase | TEDxUniHalle


yeah thank you very much and indeed it

yeah thank you very much and indeed it is a different topic that I want to talk

is a different topic that I want to talk

is a different topic that I want to talk about then the topic that I usually talk

about then the topic that I usually talk

about then the topic that I usually talk about which is the narrative of

about which is the narrative of

about which is the narrative of biodiversity science that we’ve created

biodiversity science that we’ve created

biodiversity science that we’ve created over the past several decades but in

over the past several decades but in

over the past several decades but in recent we’re not quite working okay

recent we’re not quite working okay

recent we’re not quite working okay in recent times we’ve started thinking

in recent times we’ve started thinking

in recent times we’ve started thinking about what role we as scientists should

about what role we as scientists should

about what role we as scientists should play in advocating the information that

play in advocating the information that

play in advocating the information that we gather from the world around us and

we gather from the world around us and

we gather from the world around us and what role should we play maybe as more

what role should we play maybe as more

what role should we play maybe as more honest brokers as as people who are

honest brokers as as people who are

honest brokers as as people who are unbiased in our presentation of the data

unbiased in our presentation of the data

unbiased in our presentation of the data and of the information that we have and

and of the information that we have and

and of the information that we have and as you can imagine this is quite

as you can imagine this is quite

as you can imagine this is quite difficult to sit to separate these kinds

difficult to sit to separate these kinds

difficult to sit to separate these kinds of things this kid does not seem to want

of things this kid does not seem to want

of things this kid does not seem to want to work ok so this is how we usually

to work ok so this is how we usually

to work ok so this is how we usually view scientists we think about them in

view scientists we think about them in

view scientists we think about them in the lab we think about them in the field

the lab we think about them in the field

the lab we think about them in the field they’re out collecting data they’re

they’re out collecting data they’re

they’re out collecting data they’re testing hypotheses and then they’re

testing hypotheses and then they’re

testing hypotheses and then they’re presenting the information that they

presenting the information that they

presenting the information that they gathered to the world of course science

gathered to the world of course science

gathered to the world of course science isn’t so clean we’re humans and as

isn’t so clean we’re humans and as

isn’t so clean we’re humans and as humans we have to start thinking about

humans we have to start thinking about

humans we have to start thinking about the role that we play in the world

the role that we play in the world

the role that we play in the world around us so what are we to do as

around us so what are we to do as

around us so what are we to do as scientists and about a month ago this is

scientists and about a month ago this is

scientists and about a month ago this is why it’s very timely and fascinating a

why it’s very timely and fascinating a

why it’s very timely and fascinating a little bit more than a month ago and on

little bit more than a month ago and on

little bit more than a month ago and on Earth Day there was the first-ever March

Earth Day there was the first-ever March

Earth Day there was the first-ever March for science now this started in the

for science now this started in the

for science now this started in the United States but it traveled all across

United States but it traveled all across

United States but it traveled all across the world tens and hundreds of thousands

the world tens and hundreds of thousands

the world tens and hundreds of thousands of people participated in march for

of people participated in march for

of people participated in march for science many of them in their very first

science many of them in their very first

science many of them in their very first ever protest because scientists are

ever protest because scientists are

ever protest because scientists are often thought of as introverted folks or

often thought of as introverted folks or

often thought of as introverted folks or unbiased folks that are in the lab here

unbiased folks that are in the lab here

unbiased folks that are in the lab here they are out in the in the world saying

they are out in the in the world saying

they are out in the in the world saying hey let’s stand up for science let’s

hey let’s stand up for science let’s

hey let’s stand up for science let’s talk about science and really give us a

talk about science and really give us a

talk about science and really give us a role at the table it was supposed to be

role at the table it was supposed to be

role at the table it was supposed to be a nonpartisan event clearly however it’s

a nonpartisan event clearly however it’s

a nonpartisan event clearly however it’s very difficult especially on Earth Day

very difficult especially on Earth Day

very difficult especially on Earth Day to think about nonpartisan dynamics

to think about nonpartisan dynamics

to think about nonpartisan dynamics when we’re dealing with the current

when we’re dealing with the current

when we’re dealing with the current environment all over the world but in

environment all over the world but in

environment all over the world but in particular in the United States about

particular in the United States about

particular in the United States about what role science and scientist should

what role science and scientist should

what role science and scientist should play and so this got me thinking what

play and so this got me thinking what

play and so this got me thinking what role do we play are we really honest

role do we play are we really honest

role do we play are we really honest brokers and there’s actually a debate in

brokers and there’s actually a debate in

brokers and there’s actually a debate in the blogosphere right now and over

the blogosphere right now and over

the blogosphere right now and over Twitter about whether we have gone too

Twitter about whether we have gone too

Twitter about whether we have gone too far doing with these kinds of marches

far doing with these kinds of marches

far doing with these kinds of marches we’re losing our credibility as honest

we’re losing our credibility as honest

we’re losing our credibility as honest brokers if we go out there and sort of

brokers if we go out there and sort of

brokers if we go out there and sort of try to advocate for what we believe and

try to advocate for what we believe and

try to advocate for what we believe and it’s a real challenge to think about how

it’s a real challenge to think about how

it’s a real challenge to think about how to balance these kinds of things and

to balance these kinds of things and

to balance these kinds of things and scientists are really struggling with

scientists are really struggling with

scientists are really struggling with these kinds of ideas right now and so I

these kinds of ideas right now and so I

these kinds of ideas right now and so I want to go back a little bit in history

want to go back a little bit in history

want to go back a little bit in history and say okay well let’s think about

and say okay well let’s think about

and say okay well let’s think about scientists from historical times and

scientists from historical times and

scientists from historical times and think about what role they played as

think about what role they played as

think about what role they played as brokers versus advocates and this was

brokers versus advocates and this was

brokers versus advocates and this was Alexander von Humboldt at the time one

Alexander von Humboldt at the time one

Alexander von Humboldt at the time one of the most famous scientists in the

of the most famous scientists in the

of the most famous scientists in the world probably one of the most well

world probably one of the most well

world probably one of the most well known people in the world right from

known people in the world right from

known people in the world right from right here in Germany he did a number of

right here in Germany he did a number of

right here in Germany he did a number of things some of them that are familiar to

things some of them that are familiar to

things some of them that are familiar to my field our he started thinking about

my field our he started thinking about

my field our he started thinking about plants and plant traits as you for

plants and plant traits as you for

plants and plant traits as you for example went up mountains you’d see

example went up mountains you’d see

example went up mountains you’d see different kinds of species up and down

different kinds of species up and down

different kinds of species up and down mountains with different kinds of traits

mountains with different kinds of traits

mountains with different kinds of traits and he sort of made some hypotheses

and he sort of made some hypotheses

and he sort of made some hypotheses about that what that might do

about that what that might do

about that what that might do importantly however humble was also very

importantly however humble was also very

importantly however humble was also very interested and advocating for science in

interested and advocating for science in

interested and advocating for science in fact when we went to the United States

fact when we went to the United States

fact when we went to the United States and we saw slavery he realized what a

and we saw slavery he realized what a

and we saw slavery he realized what a horrible travesty this was and he said

horrible travesty this was and he said

horrible travesty this was and he said this to people like Thomas Jefferson and

this to people like Thomas Jefferson and

this to people like Thomas Jefferson and said hey we need to start really

said hey we need to start really

said hey we need to start really worrying about these kinds of things he

worrying about these kinds of things he

worrying about these kinds of things he was also the first to explain the

was also the first to explain the

was also the first to explain the fundamental functions of forests and

fundamental functions of forests and

fundamental functions of forests and ecosystems and really some people

ecosystems and really some people

ecosystems and really some people suggest invented naturalism or sort of

suggest invented naturalism or sort of

suggest invented naturalism or sort of environmentalism

we also have classic well known

we also have classic well known scientists like Charles Darwin who of

scientists like Charles Darwin who of

scientists like Charles Darwin who of course realized the influence that his

course realized the influence that his

course realized the influence that his science would have on society caused him

science would have on society caused him

science would have on society caused him to think about and worry about this

to think about and worry about this

to think about and worry about this thing for many many many years before he

thing for many many many years before he

thing for many many many years before he actually published his work Alfred

actually published his work Alfred

actually published his work Alfred Wallace another co-discoverer of the

Wallace another co-discoverer of the

Wallace another co-discoverer of the theory of evolution was very fascinated

theory of evolution was very fascinated

theory of evolution was very fascinated or very impressed by the

or very impressed by the

or very impressed by the influence that humans were having on the

influence that humans were having on the

influence that humans were having on the world around and then actually started

world around and then actually started

world around and then actually started to become quite a strong

to become quite a strong

to become quite a strong environmentalist realizing that we

environmentalist realizing that we

environmentalist realizing that we needed to worry about the impact that

needed to worry about the impact that

needed to worry about the impact that humans were having around the world

humans were having around the world

humans were having around the world around us interestingly he also had some

around us interestingly he also had some

around us interestingly he also had some kind of wacky ideas he got involved in

kind of wacky ideas he got involved in

kind of wacky ideas he got involved in spiritualism later on his career and and

spiritualism later on his career and and

spiritualism later on his career and and the British government almost tried to

the British government almost tried to

the British government almost tried to take away his pension because they were

take away his pension because they were

take away his pension because they were worried about the role he had made as a

worried about the role he had made as a

worried about the role he had made as a famous scientist and now it was coming

famous scientist and now it was coming

famous scientist and now it was coming up with some sort of kooky or wacky

up with some sort of kooky or wacky

up with some sort of kooky or wacky ideas right here much closer to home

ideas right here much closer to home

ideas right here much closer to home Ernst Hackl from yenna again a very

Ernst Hackl from yenna again a very

Ernst Hackl from yenna again a very well-known invented the word ecology for

well-known invented the word ecology for

well-known invented the word ecology for science the science of ecology also

science the science of ecology also

science the science of ecology also phylogeny and another a number of other

phylogeny and another a number of other

phylogeny and another a number of other things unfortunately he also had some

things unfortunately he also had some

things unfortunately he also had some biases and those biases were quite

biases and those biases were quite

biases and those biases were quite racist and so he actually thought humans

racist and so he actually thought humans

racist and so he actually thought humans were made up of eight or nine species

were made up of eight or nine species

were made up of eight or nine species some of which were just into extinction

some of which were just into extinction

some of which were just into extinction and others of which would dominate and

and others of which would dominate and

and others of which would dominate and so clearly it’s really hard to

so clearly it’s really hard to

so clearly it’s really hard to disentangle brilliant scientists versus

disentangle brilliant scientists versus

disentangle brilliant scientists versus our own personal biases all of these

our own personal biases all of these

our own personal biases all of these guys are bring all of these guys up

guys are bring all of these guys up

guys are bring all of these guys up because they were interested in this

because they were interested in this

because they were interested in this thing that we call biodiversity and so

thing that we call biodiversity and so

thing that we call biodiversity and so it might be in butterflies it might be

it might be in butterflies it might be

it might be in butterflies it might be in plants or any other thing we’re

in plants or any other thing we’re

in plants or any other thing we’re interested in how this diversity arises

interested in how this diversity arises

interested in how this diversity arises how its distributed across the planet

how its distributed across the planet

how its distributed across the planet and maybe how it’s changing through time

and maybe how it’s changing through time

and maybe how it’s changing through time so if we for example look at the last

so if we for example look at the last

so if we for example look at the last say 1/2 billion years we see a pattern

say 1/2 billion years we see a pattern

say 1/2 billion years we see a pattern where biodiversity has been rising and

where biodiversity has been rising and

where biodiversity has been rising and rising and rising through time but you

rising and rising through time but you

rising and rising through time but you notice these triangles and these

notice these triangles and these

notice these triangles and these triangles we call extinction events so

triangles we call extinction events so

triangles we call extinction events so the big yellow ones we call mass

the big yellow ones we call mass

the big yellow ones we call mass extinction events and we have some

extinction events and we have some

extinction events and we have some parameters that define what a mass

parameters that define what a mass

parameters that define what a mass extinction event might be the previous

extinction event might be the previous

extinction event might be the previous mass extinction event was probably

mass extinction event was probably

mass extinction event was probably caused by a large asteroid that hit

caused by a large asteroid that hit

caused by a large asteroid that hit earth and caused an extinction of

earth and caused an extinction of

earth and caused an extinction of dinosaurs and 75% of all other life on

dinosaurs and 75% of all other life on

dinosaurs and 75% of all other life on Earth and we think that today we’re

Earth and we think that today we’re

Earth and we think that today we’re involved in a possibly a new mass

involved in a possibly a new mass

involved in a possibly a new mass extinction we’re not quite sure how far

extinction we’re not quite sure how far

extinction we’re not quite sure how far it’s gone but we do know the extinction

it’s gone but we do know the extinction

it’s gone but we do know the extinction rates are quite accelerated because of

rates are quite accelerated because of

rates are quite accelerated because of human activities so this is different

human activities so this is different

human activities so this is different than the other kinds of extinction

than the other kinds of extinction

than the other kinds of extinction events we’ve seen in Earth’s history

events we’ve seen in Earth’s history

events we’ve seen in Earth’s history because it’s a species on the planet

because it’s a species on the planet

because it’s a species on the planet that seems to be causing the extinction

that seems to be causing the extinction

that seems to be causing the extinction of many other species on the planet

of many other species on the planet

of many other species on the planet and so of course we know this is our

and so of course we know this is our

and so of course we know this is our narrative this is the narrative that we

narrative this is the narrative that we

narrative this is the narrative that we as biodiversity scientists bring to the

as biodiversity scientists bring to the

as biodiversity scientists bring to the world we think extinction is happening

world we think extinction is happening

world we think extinction is happening we think is happening very rapidly and

we think is happening very rapidly and

we think is happening very rapidly and of course we have lots of evidence for

of course we have lots of evidence for

of course we have lots of evidence for these kinds of things for example dodo

these kinds of things for example dodo

these kinds of things for example dodo birds a number of amphibians have been

birds a number of amphibians have been

birds a number of amphibians have been going extinct very rapidly lately

going extinct very rapidly lately

going extinct very rapidly lately because of a disease many plants are

because of a disease many plants are

because of a disease many plants are also going extinct we also know many

also going extinct we also know many

also going extinct we also know many species are quite at risk of extinction

species are quite at risk of extinction

species are quite at risk of extinction and that if the if activities continue

and that if the if activities continue

and that if the if activities continue as they’re going we’re going to see a

as they’re going we’re going to see a

as they’re going we’re going to see a lot more extinctions

lot more extinctions

lot more extinctions for example the pandas and various

for example the pandas and various

for example the pandas and various plants and reptiles numbers and numbers

plants and reptiles numbers and numbers

plants and reptiles numbers and numbers of species are threatened with

of species are threatened with

of species are threatened with extinction so yes species are

extinction so yes species are

extinction so yes species are disappearing from the planet and we can

disappearing from the planet and we can

disappearing from the planet and we can show that a lot of it has to do with

show that a lot of it has to do with

show that a lot of it has to do with human activities and this is where the

human activities and this is where the

human activities and this is where the the narrative comes from so these are

the narrative comes from so these are

the narrative comes from so these are two very well-known scientists giving

two very well-known scientists giving

two very well-known scientists giving the narrative helping play a huge role

the narrative helping play a huge role

the narrative helping play a huge role in advocacy this is eel Wilson who early

in advocacy this is eel Wilson who early

in advocacy this is eel Wilson who early in the early part of his career studying

in the early part of his career studying

in the early part of his career studying ants became a quite a strong advocate

ants became a quite a strong advocate

ants became a quite a strong advocate even helped invent the term biodiversity

even helped invent the term biodiversity

even helped invent the term biodiversity quite a strong advocate for biodiversity

quite a strong advocate for biodiversity

quite a strong advocate for biodiversity conservation Jane Goodall on the right

conservation Jane Goodall on the right

conservation Jane Goodall on the right who made her career studying chimpanzee

who made her career studying chimpanzee

who made her career studying chimpanzee colonies again quite a strong advocate

colonies again quite a strong advocate

colonies again quite a strong advocate for biodiversity and animal welfare and

for biodiversity and animal welfare and

for biodiversity and animal welfare and other events these these are brilliant

other events these these are brilliant

other events these these are brilliant scientists who are playing a strong role

scientists who are playing a strong role

scientists who are playing a strong role in policy and how people perceive

in policy and how people perceive

in policy and how people perceive biodiversity creating this narrative

biodiversity creating this narrative

biodiversity creating this narrative that we have and so this is the context

that we have and so this is the context

that we have and so this is the context that I work in and that I live in we’ve

that I work in and that I live in we’ve

that I work in and that I live in we’ve created a narrative biodiversity is

created a narrative biodiversity is

created a narrative biodiversity is declining and this narrative the German

declining and this narrative the German

declining and this narrative the German government has recently funded and taken

government has recently funded and taken

government has recently funded and taken a leadership role at the integrative

a leadership role at the integrative

a leadership role at the integrative biodiversity Center based in Leipzig but

biodiversity Center based in Leipzig but

biodiversity Center based in Leipzig but also at Halle Indiana taking a

also at Halle Indiana taking a

also at Halle Indiana taking a leadership role in the science of this

leadership role in the science of this

leadership role in the science of this biodiversity and so here is our

biodiversity and so here is our

biodiversity and so here is our narrative the narrative is that humans

narrative the narrative is that humans

narrative the narrative is that humans are increasing in their population on

are increasing in their population on

are increasing in their population on the planet and we’re using the resources

the planet and we’re using the resources

the planet and we’re using the resources of those planet by doing so we are

of those planet by doing so we are

of those planet by doing so we are affecting biodiversity

affecting biodiversity

affecting biodiversity we’re driving species extinct we’re

we’re driving species extinct we’re

we’re driving species extinct we’re changing the structure of biodiversity

changing the structure of biodiversity

changing the structure of biodiversity in many different ways and as a result

in many different ways and as a result

in many different ways and as a result we know now that biodiversity also has a

we know now that biodiversity also has a

we know now that biodiversity also has a relatively strong influence on the

relatively strong influence on the

relatively strong influence on the global ecosystem or at least on local

global ecosystem or at least on local

global ecosystem or at least on local dynamics within that global ecosystem

dynamics within that global ecosystem

dynamics within that global ecosystem and so we have this narrative humans

and so we have this narrative humans

and so we have this narrative humans affect biodiversity usually negatively

affect biodiversity usually negatively

affect biodiversity usually negatively biodiversity affects ecosystem functions

biodiversity affects ecosystem functions

biodiversity affects ecosystem functions and functions go and affect our personal

and functions go and affect our personal

and functions go and affect our personal everyday lives and so we need to worry

everyday lives and so we need to worry

everyday lives and so we need to worry about biodiversity if we want to be

about biodiversity if we want to be

about biodiversity if we want to be happy and healthy and so forth this is a

happy and healthy and so forth this is a

happy and healthy and so forth this is a nice narrative it’s it’s not untrue but

nice narrative it’s it’s not untrue but

nice narrative it’s it’s not untrue but there’s a lot underneath this that I

there’s a lot underneath this that I

there’s a lot underneath this that I think we’re just starting to realize

think we’re just starting to realize

think we’re just starting to realize this narrative is quite biased by sort

this narrative is quite biased by sort

this narrative is quite biased by sort of our personal aesthetic and our

of our personal aesthetic and our

of our personal aesthetic and our personal feelings towards the world

personal feelings towards the world

personal feelings towards the world here’s a map and this map comes from a

here’s a map and this map comes from a

here’s a map and this map comes from a study by Tim newbould and and dozens of

study by Tim newbould and and dozens of

study by Tim newbould and and dozens of colleagues with Aidid a global analysis

colleagues with Aidid a global analysis

colleagues with Aidid a global analysis of mat global biodiversity but local

of mat global biodiversity but local

of mat global biodiversity but local biodiversity and local biodiversity

biodiversity and local biodiversity

biodiversity and local biodiversity change and so the red spots have up to

change and so the red spots have up to

change and so the red spots have up to 32 percent of local biodiversity

32 percent of local biodiversity

32 percent of local biodiversity declining you look at this map and you

declining you look at this map and you

declining you look at this map and you say oh no this is a huge problem local

say oh no this is a huge problem local

say oh no this is a huge problem local biodiversity is declining over much of

biodiversity is declining over much of

biodiversity is declining over much of the planet humans are the cause of this

the planet humans are the cause of this

the planet humans are the cause of this this is due to land use effects and then

this is due to land use effects and then

this is due to land use effects and then we know this cascades down to affect the

we know this cascades down to affect the

we know this cascades down to affect the ecosystem functioning in our own

ecosystem functioning in our own

ecosystem functioning in our own well-being unfortunately it’s not such a

well-being unfortunately it’s not such a

well-being unfortunately it’s not such a clear-cut story there are some biases

clear-cut story there are some biases

clear-cut story there are some biases that go in its brilliant science but

that go in its brilliant science but

that go in its brilliant science but there are biases that go into how we

there are biases that go into how we

there are biases that go into how we develop these kinds of narratives for

develop these kinds of narratives for

develop these kinds of narratives for example let’s take where we are right

example let’s take where we are right

example let’s take where we are right here in Halle colleagues of mine at M Lu

here in Halle colleagues of mine at M Lu

here in Halle colleagues of mine at M Lu and that idea have taken advantage of an

and that idea have taken advantage of an

and that idea have taken advantage of an amazing data set and this amazing data

amazing data set and this amazing data

amazing data set and this amazing data set goes back to this late 1600s of the

set goes back to this late 1600s of the

set goes back to this late 1600s of the numbers of plants in this city hallo and

numbers of plants in this city hallo and

numbers of plants in this city hallo and what you can see through time is that

what you can see through time is that

what you can see through time is that there are more plants in the city of

there are more plants in the city of

there are more plants in the city of Halle today more plant species in the

Halle today more plant species in the

Halle today more plant species in the city of Halle today than there were

city of Halle today than there were

city of Halle today than there were several hundred years ago so even within

several hundred years ago so even within

several hundred years ago so even within this map of biodiversity declining by

this map of biodiversity declining by

this map of biodiversity declining by 2030 percent we come out to a place like

2030 percent we come out to a place like

2030 percent we come out to a place like this and we’re like there are more

this and we’re like there are more

this and we’re like there are more species of course it’s not that simple

species of course it’s not that simple

species of course it’s not that simple there’s a lot of complexity going on

there’s a lot of complexity going on

there’s a lot of complexity going on on in these data some species have gone

on in these data some species have gone

on in these data some species have gone extinct others have replaced them some

extinct others have replaced them some

extinct others have replaced them some of those others are from North America

of those others are from North America

of those others are from North America or Asia or elsewhere it’s different but

or Asia or elsewhere it’s different but

or Asia or elsewhere it’s different but we’ve quantified biodiversity as the

we’ve quantified biodiversity as the

we’ve quantified biodiversity as the numbers of things we actually see more

numbers of things we actually see more

numbers of things we actually see more things in Halle than we did several

things in Halle than we did several

things in Halle than we did several hundred years ago and so these are two

hundred years ago and so these are two

hundred years ago and so these are two of the least bias scientists that I know

of the least bias scientists that I know

of the least bias scientists that I know this is Jackie and Christina these are

this is Jackie and Christina these are

this is Jackie and Christina these are my children they love science my my wife

my children they love science my my wife

my children they love science my my wife their mother is also a biologist so we

their mother is also a biologist so we

their mother is also a biologist so we go all over the world and we collect

go all over the world and we collect

go all over the world and we collect insects and they have an insect

insects and they have an insect

insects and they have an insect collection here they’re on Hawaii and

collection here they’re on Hawaii and

collection here they’re on Hawaii and the mountaintops of Hawaii pristine

the mountaintops of Hawaii pristine

the mountaintops of Hawaii pristine environment collecting insects with

environment collecting insects with

environment collecting insects with well-known entomologist but here they

well-known entomologist but here they

well-known entomologist but here they are in Leipzig at the alt Meza and in

are in Leipzig at the alt Meza and in

are in Leipzig at the alt Meza and in number got a beer garden finding just as

number got a beer garden finding just as

number got a beer garden finding just as many species with world-renowned

many species with world-renowned

many species with world-renowned pollinator biologists and a

pollinator biologists and a

pollinator biologists and a world-renowned and biologist finding

world-renowned and biologist finding

world-renowned and biologist finding lots and lots of species they love

lots and lots of species they love

lots and lots of species they love collecting at the beer garden or in the

collecting at the beer garden or in the

collecting at the beer garden or in the place just outside the old Meza they

place just outside the old Meza they

place just outside the old Meza they don’t see this biodiversity klein in the

don’t see this biodiversity klein in the

don’t see this biodiversity klein in the same way that we do because we’ve biased

same way that we do because we’ve biased

same way that we do because we’ve biased ourselves a fair bit

ourselves a fair bit

ourselves a fair bit so let’s look back into that narrative

so let’s look back into that narrative

so let’s look back into that narrative and we have to ask ourselves actually of

and we have to ask ourselves actually of

and we have to ask ourselves actually of course we know biodiversity is declining

course we know biodiversity is declining

course we know biodiversity is declining globally but we have a lot of questions

globally but we have a lot of questions

globally but we have a lot of questions about what’s going on locally some

about what’s going on locally some

about what’s going on locally some people suggest it’s actually quite

people suggest it’s actually quite

people suggest it’s actually quite dramatic others say hey wait a minute

dramatic others say hey wait a minute

dramatic others say hey wait a minute it’s not such a big deal also we don’t

it’s not such a big deal also we don’t

it’s not such a big deal also we don’t know exactly how this biodiversity is

know exactly how this biodiversity is

know exactly how this biodiversity is going to affect the global ecosystem we

going to affect the global ecosystem we

going to affect the global ecosystem we certainly know it has a big effect on

certainly know it has a big effect on

certainly know it has a big effect on local ecosystems but we don’t know very

local ecosystems but we don’t know very

local ecosystems but we don’t know very well what is the fact that the global

well what is the fact that the global

well what is the fact that the global ecosystem is and so this is where the

ecosystem is and so this is where the

ecosystem is and so this is where the Sociology part of my talk comes in

Sociology part of my talk comes in

Sociology part of my talk comes in because I was involved in a working

because I was involved in a working

because I was involved in a working group at the idea it’s a synthesis group

group at the idea it’s a synthesis group

group at the idea it’s a synthesis group where we brought people in from around

where we brought people in from around

where we brought people in from around the world who were sort of having these

the world who were sort of having these

the world who were sort of having these fights in the literature is local

fights in the literature is local

fights in the literature is local biodiversity declining like we want the

biodiversity declining like we want the

biodiversity declining like we want the narrative to it say or actually are

narrative to it say or actually are

narrative to it say or actually are these other people more correct or how

these other people more correct or how

these other people more correct or how do we find reconciliation between these

do we find reconciliation between these

do we find reconciliation between these two views you can see this is not day

two views you can see this is not day

two views you can see this is not day one of the workshop and everybody is

one of the workshop and everybody is

one of the workshop and everybody is quite happy

quite happy

quite happy what was amazing to me is that through

what was amazing to me is that through

what was amazing to me is that through time it got uglier and uglier and uglier

time it got uglier and uglier and uglier

time it got uglier and uglier and uglier the personalities of these people really

the personalities of these people really

the personalities of these people really started to separate and so much so now

started to separate and so much so now

started to separate and so much so now that people are not talking to each

that people are not talking to each

that people are not talking to each other anymore they’re not willing to

other anymore they’re not willing to

other anymore they’re not willing to work with one another anymore the

work with one another anymore the

work with one another anymore the dialogue has become so biased both sides

dialogue has become so biased both sides

dialogue has become so biased both sides each side thinks that they’ll have the

each side thinks that they’ll have the

each side thinks that they’ll have the moral high ground one side thinks that

moral high ground one side thinks that

moral high ground one side thinks that we have this narrative and that of

we have this narrative and that of

we have this narrative and that of course parking lots and crop fields and

course parking lots and crop fields and

course parking lots and crop fields and other things have low biodiversity the

other things have low biodiversity the

other things have low biodiversity the other side says hey we look at a silly

other side says hey we look at a silly

other side says hey we look at a silly like holo we look at a lot of these long

like holo we look at a lot of these long

like holo we look at a lot of these long time series and we’re not seeing that

time series and we’re not seeing that

time series and we’re not seeing that decline they both think they have the

decline they both think they have the

decline they both think they have the moral high ground but they’re becoming

moral high ground but they’re becoming

moral high ground but they’re becoming more and more partisan right the same

more and more partisan right the same

more and more partisan right the same way that we might see it in global

way that we might see it in global

way that we might see it in global politics and elsewhere and it’s been

politics and elsewhere and it’s been

politics and elsewhere and it’s been really fascinating to me to witness the

really fascinating to me to witness the

really fascinating to me to witness the debate of brilliant smart people who all

debate of brilliant smart people who all

debate of brilliant smart people who all have the same information but they view

have the same information but they view

have the same information but they view it in very different ways even as

it in very different ways even as

it in very different ways even as scientists and so I want to just wrap up

scientists and so I want to just wrap up

scientists and so I want to just wrap up the talk by having a slight analogy to

the talk by having a slight analogy to

the talk by having a slight analogy to the context of global change climate

the context of global change climate

the context of global change climate change now notice we call it climate

change now notice we call it climate

change now notice we call it climate change nowadays 10 20 years ago we call

change nowadays 10 20 years ago we call

change nowadays 10 20 years ago we call it a global warming right and so there

it a global warming right and so there

it a global warming right and so there clearly there’s a reason for changing

clearly there’s a reason for changing

clearly there’s a reason for changing the terminology and I think the same

the terminology and I think the same

the terminology and I think the same thing has to be thought about for

thing has to be thought about for

thing has to be thought about for biodiversity science so oftentimes we

biodiversity science so oftentimes we

biodiversity science so oftentimes we see this number 97 percent 97 percent of

see this number 97 percent 97 percent of

see this number 97 percent 97 percent of all climate scientists believe that the

all climate scientists believe that the

all climate scientists believe that the climate is changing and it’s due to

climate is changing and it’s due to

climate is changing and it’s due to humans ok that’s a pretty strong effect

humans ok that’s a pretty strong effect

humans ok that’s a pretty strong effect pretty strong sort of consensus what

pretty strong sort of consensus what

pretty strong sort of consensus what about biodiversity right now we’re still

about biodiversity right now we’re still

about biodiversity right now we’re still in this battle is biodiversity declining

in this battle is biodiversity declining

in this battle is biodiversity declining locally or not what is the rate of these

locally or not what is the rate of these

locally or not what is the rate of these kinds of extinctions so let’s think

kinds of extinctions so let’s think

kinds of extinctions so let’s think about this polar bear here the polar

about this polar bear here the polar

about this polar bear here the polar bear is probably going to go extinct

bear is probably going to go extinct

bear is probably going to go extinct sadly ok we have good evidence from

sadly ok we have good evidence from

sadly ok we have good evidence from climate change modeling and other

climate change modeling and other

climate change modeling and other elsewhere that the habitat is going to

elsewhere that the habitat is going to

elsewhere that the habitat is going to disappear for the polar bear and when it

disappear for the polar bear and when it

disappear for the polar bear and when it does disappear this thing is going to

does disappear this thing is going to

does disappear this thing is going to have to swim farther to get its food and

have to swim farther to get its food and

have to swim farther to get its food and it’s in really bad shape because it’s

it’s in really bad shape because it’s

it’s in really bad shape because it’s already very rare

already very rare

already very rare this is terrible for the polar bear it’s

this is terrible for the polar bear it’s

this is terrible for the polar bear it’s terrible for us we love many of us like

terrible for us we love many of us like

terrible for us we love many of us like polar bears we like to know that they

polar bears we like to know that they

polar bears we like to know that they exist in the world

exist in the world

exist in the world biodiversity globally will decline if

biodiversity globally will decline if

biodiversity globally will decline if this thing goes extinct but what about

this thing goes extinct but what about

this thing goes extinct but what about local biodiversity in fact there are

local biodiversity in fact there are

local biodiversity in fact there are many species that are going to be quite

many species that are going to be quite

many species that are going to be quite happy with the polar bear going extinct

happy with the polar bear going extinct

happy with the polar bear going extinct right it’s not simply biodiversity is

right it’s not simply biodiversity is

right it’s not simply biodiversity is declining because the seal for example

declining because the seal for example

declining because the seal for example is eaten by the polar bear and it’s

is eaten by the polar bear and it’s

is eaten by the polar bear and it’s going to increase in this abundance it

going to increase in this abundance it

going to increase in this abundance it might be quite happy we might see more

might be quite happy we might see more

might be quite happy we might see more diversity of some of these things but of

diversity of some of these things but of

diversity of some of these things but of course we don’t know the seal also eats

course we don’t know the seal also eats

course we don’t know the seal also eats all the fish and there’s a very complex

all the fish and there’s a very complex

all the fish and there’s a very complex food web but the bottom line is that

food web but the bottom line is that

food web but the bottom line is that simply because some species go extinct

simply because some species go extinct

simply because some species go extinct doesn’t tell us anything about what

doesn’t tell us anything about what

doesn’t tell us anything about what biodiversity is going to be just like

biodiversity is going to be just like

biodiversity is going to be just like when you think about climate change

when you think about climate change

when you think about climate change climate change some places get wetter

climate change some places get wetter

climate change some places get wetter some places get drier some places get

some places get drier some places get

some places get drier some places get warmer some places get cooler it’s not

warmer some places get cooler it’s not

warmer some places get cooler it’s not just all one thing and we have to change

just all one thing and we have to change

just all one thing and we have to change the narrative and biodiversity science

the narrative and biodiversity science

the narrative and biodiversity science as well I think sometimes it declines

as well I think sometimes it declines

as well I think sometimes it declines locally regionally globally sometimes it

locally regionally globally sometimes it

locally regionally globally sometimes it doesn’t and by creating this narrative

doesn’t and by creating this narrative

doesn’t and by creating this narrative we’ve created this sort of bias so

we’ve created this sort of bias so

we’ve created this sort of bias so strongly that we can’t see the data so

strongly that we can’t see the data so

strongly that we can’t see the data so clearly to think about wind biodiversity

clearly to think about wind biodiversity

clearly to think about wind biodiversity is declining and when it’s not and that

is declining and when it’s not and that

is declining and when it’s not and that there are good reasons for this so

there are good reasons for this so

there are good reasons for this so that’s all I wanted to say to you about

that’s all I wanted to say to you about

that’s all I wanted to say to you about just to give you a little bit of idea of

just to give you a little bit of idea of

just to give you a little bit of idea of the underbelly of science and how our

the underbelly of science and how our

the underbelly of science and how our biases can manifest in the narratives

biases can manifest in the narratives

biases can manifest in the narratives that we tell thank

that we tell thank

that we tell thank [Applause]

[Applause]

[Applause] [Music]

[Music]

[Music] [Applause]

”

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