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Hello everybody, my name is Dashkovsky
I am national from hant work already
For the past 15 years, I have been
I study the professions of the future and the present
imagine life without work for me
need to wake up at 6 am need
Respond to the letters of your colleagues by the scheme
relief urgently answer I need to reduce
The balance should not be written
no one reports an attractive future
probably for a week or a half or even
two of this is enough and then to the soul
pledge to ease doubts as well
I will do who I will need than me
loan is especially important when we are each
from the TV screens or
Internet that all will be replaced by robots
the only thing that will remain is unconditionally
income game computer games
the modern manager’s dictionary is filled
new words gadgets neural networks
Artificial Intelligence
40 notice anywhere else in this
there is no man in the street
production
this is generally a modern grail
modern management so its us
draw the first factory looks like this
China on which there are no people at all
one person and that’s what it looks like
store amazon goal which is about two
weeks ago, the companies of the zones opened in
Seattle in it there are no sellers and cashiers
there are many subjects on the topic
when and by whom do we all notice when we are
robots you completely replace
and I do not want to engage in shamanism is not
I want to unload numbers because they
say from one percent to 90 in
from 1 year to 100 years to get
in this thread, let’s try
use the methodology that
offered
Danish scientist I told them at once he himself
broke all professions into three categories
skill this profession
where there are basic steps basic
skills
and pain and share percentages sold
is related to physical labor is the sellers
drivers stevedores guards rule this
that category of the profession in which there is more
all require clear
prescribed instructions and repetitive
actions for them, as a rule , some
specific knowledge and skills in frequency
bookkeepers economists and lawyers
traders and the end of the knowledge category this
category of profession in which more
translate the percentage of things associated with
analytics of inventing something new
generating some new ideas like
rule these professions require
long-term learning
constant development and in such processes
Teachers are doctors
high-tech engineers
some some managers
imagine the process being set and to
vile lawyer
if I ask someone who is easier to replace me
I think that many of you would prefer
get rid of the seller but economically
it’s not really true if you look at it with
point of view of the economy is to replace
one seller needs to spend a robot
then come up with a robot then produce
50 thousand of these robots
to introduce their technological chain
need to be done so that they all
worked
seamlessly and in order to occupy 1 corporate
lawyer who look at the contract and writes
you need standard comments in
general 1 2 good program or chat bots
and this despite the fact that the lawyer is on the
several times more expensive than the seller is easier
to automate those professions
which require no recurring
actions that are pre-registered and
so in the first place most likely
will be replaced
profession from the category this rule
paradox
scientists call the polarization qualifications
they say that in the first place
the near future will be in demand
profession of the highest and most
low qualifications to notice
the seller needs to do a lot of set
action to replace a lawyer you need
do less so to begin with
Knife will go profession related to
with repetitive actions and then with
accommodating with robotics and cheaper to
the emergence of understandable automated
investments in infrastructure
The professions will be replaced from the category
ability and what about Russia is estimated
boston consulting group the next 10 years
risk zone are about 15
millions of people there now remember 99
year crisis cover production of a huge
The amount of negativity on TV as you
think how much she was unemployed 3
million 6 million 8 in 1909
worst goes in the modern Russian
arena unemployment was started ten
with a half million people today, we
talking about the risk zone 15 million
man what do we do well in the first place
let’s breathe out because if you listen
all that will tell us from each iron in
pores wrapped in a blanket and type on
In the past the cemetery was essentially all this
if you think about all the great inventions
which were invented and many great
forget or that were made in
The last 200 years have been done to
to replace a person took the machine was
is made to replace labor
knitters would have invented a conveyor for
to replace manual labor rights
computers were in fact invented for
to replace a person in their
calculation because a person is often
wrong and what we do not have now
work we no longer raise to me on
on the pyramids themselves and rewrite the sins
model of the books themselves do not choose, although in
in general, judging by the latest developments
in the city
but we still have a lot of work to do
and this despite the fact that over the past 50
years the world ‘s population increased from 2 to 2
time for the matter is that this is not the first
the technical street that we are experiencing
all this was already like I told
and every time there are people who
tell us that everything is now
the machine will replace us exactly
in England at the beginning of the 19th century the gift appeared
Such a movement of Luddites who
argued that the industrial revolution
completely decides their work did not find
nothing is better than just taking the destroy
machines of the British equality couple of years
He suffered and then carried out the death penalty
movement quickly came to naught but itself
interesting another in a hundred years in
UK industry worked
four times more people than a duet
the apprehension of the valets was in vain
of course with the emergence of some professions
students on the logic of this hang
die for example
very few people know it and maybe a lot
who knows his profession
an alarm clock and from seriously being a profession
alarm clock at 4 am in Europe went
a man woke everyone up
even no one liked to talk to him, and
will give rise to the technology process
disappeared but there were 20 other people
which make alarm clocks
set up alarm clocks sell
alarm clocks make alarm clocks do
so as to divide from you rang
updated each time each time
The emergence of new technologies leads to
That there are new cars but with
these machines most need something to do
They need to be customized by some kind of
The way they should be programmed is to put
New tasks and the emergence of these tasks
Direct because there are professions
as well as the last 200 years of automation
any technology leads to liberation
free time is replaced by this
The work is replaced by free time
leads to the fact that people appear
The impetus for the development of these innovation ideas
innovation they lead to the fact that
some new environment is being formed
sectors of the economy or the developing and the old
this with a distinctly curved new in
profession well, let’s give an example of who
knows what his son is doing but manager
give you some mental
experiment is carried over to 1980 in
moscow olympic moscow and robot
explain to passers-by and to the street than
engaged smm manager with the fact that he is in
Russia receives an average more than
A miner for the Muscovite of the year 800 is
generally quite strange, but in fact all
economic logical
computer revolution of the 80s of the 90s
many free years
time
The answer to this was the emergence of
internet and then social networks people
began to spend their time on the Internet
they did not want to find out something there and
and then there was a new
profession smm manager youtube producer
performance analyst and a bunch of others
professions to which you do not even
represent and if you return to the same
the very miner for today company
facebook is more expensive than any coal
the corporation in the world is like a snake
gorynycha such big well profession
mercenaries appear three new in the second
which is very important in russia for the current
This time digitalization
Combining part of the profession can be
a boon to the syringe tells us that
we are very low unemployment here
literally the other day, chastised that we have
the lowest in the history of modern
russia , in fact, we are just very
effectively use human
resources in russia more than 5 million
people earn income at 1 mroth
these people practically do not create
added value and in fact it is not
salary
this is especially the unemployment this leads to
another problem in russia is equal
roughly defined in all occupations
people receive about
same income difference in the profession
difference in income
the doctor and the driver on their own 100 years
twenty percent is despite the fact that
you need to learn a month and a half
she is
doctor about seven years of germany dance
is 84 percent in the US.
one percent therefore such detail
which we say she will come to that
people will have to be in those
directions in those professions where they are at
really will be needed
and the money that will be in fact
are saved or appear as a result of
this will be directed to those areas
for those professions
which in no way can
automate or soon
not for automating medicine
degrees of doctors education from the point of view of
innocent teachers and others
certainly artificial intelligence
In the near future, a number of
people of the profession is true but estimated
different scientists the next three 5-7 years
artfully sex will start giving more
occupations more vacant than he
now removes course, of course
to resist space
it is useless to look for those niches for yourself
which you can complement it where you are
you can work next to him need to walk
those moments where you’re using boring
intellect finds its strength you
work together because this one
joint history for the industry of type
copper education services and many others
Forms can create such a value
which users did not get before
The machine is really better than a person can
find the goods in stock of his treasure and
lead the machine for sure now
It is proved faster and quality can not
do it to
analysis and further conclusion on the themes of that sick
a person is not sick if he has a risk or not
The computer is better than us
hotels and
and takes and moreover shows the most
Cheap options let’s use an example
tourism industry, we will see that
can occur with the industry in the process
transformation and people who do not
almost travel companies and
1 someone remembers them
you can even many remember you came to
Russian company
you and let’s not have this ticket printed
on the dot-matrix printer your name is you
selected by catalog
April and you usually
the opinion of one or two of his friends who
there was also a great seller guru who
sitting before you I told you what
this hotel is the best
it would have taken us
ring up a lot of time calling the hotel
the airline is essentially a tourist
agency sold us the time they
Saved our time and gave a rain
by unique knowledge, then appeared
booking erben be won the trip edges and
many other services in this and now
do it yourself
and that here someone so has died still
five years ago I was sure that up to what
tourist agency
and in their current form it’s all this
meaningless and education which in
the near future will die or will remain
only for or very lazy and very
last spring I was in
Namibia and saw unique places I
spent the night in a jeep with a poster in the tent
on the roof I flew over the desert on
a monotonous plane, I have dinner with my husband in shifts
all this I bought in the tourist
agency that made up for me and
a group of people never thought that I would go
on vacation with a group of people
I have managed this tour unfamiliar to them
sell me not
the ticket and the hotel they sold me
impressions is what now can
do travel agency
and we can not automate such things
now see the renaissance of the tourist
industry
such an agency is controlled by the world
thousand if we understand what to do
tourist means everything also can itself
do other industries and then it is worth
question and what skills do we need?
today correspond to that in this
new world in these new conditions, we were
ukraine is capable though as I can
answer this question
will allow one story not so long ago to us
turned to the company turned great
industrial holding company that conceived
make your company a transformation for
pilot project, the company decided that
need 30 people who will often in
this project
and the company employs about 30 thousand
man – mckinsey developed
very deep powerful digital model
the competence to issue
man in the new world we are prepared
A large evaluation funnel and a large
sev
in the process of preparing to understand what
apart from these here are the reference skills
which were very important in humans
there must be three more skills you need
match everything you have about
It presents a skill he had to be
higher technical or mathematical
education it should not be bad there
low language at the working level of his
must have experience of the system
hydrolysis in the company of such people was
six all of our preparation is all this
it seemed very necessary to me why I did it
tell
This example of course with the advent of new
technologies, our
the need for very deep very
deep expertise we all also need
know your subject area of expertise
watering in the fact that this examination
The farther away, and the faster it becomes obsolete
and then a new set of skills
who need to match it not
more important than 1 it’s just an extra
This we did not particularly think about him
development of this model of competences
which may correspond to engage
in fact, in all countries of the world
scientist-economist and teachers
quack anybody in russia this
skill set
was designed in fact enough
professional scientists from leading
universities and managers from the leading
companies it is called scientifically enough
target model of competences 2025 feet
himself that he includes himself absolutely
different new type of skills focus well
self-development experience solution non-standard
tasks
management skills and adaptability
flexibility in order to appear only
cultural interaction becomes
is very important in with a rotating world
digital skills
for his skills soon a little bit separately
because this is a very important story on
the present moment
but go dead call this word this
a separate profession but already in the near future
time it will cease to be a profession then
will become a skill in all we need
an example of who ever did
budgeting of their company
directions almost half the hall
twenty or thirty years ago
budgeting was the lot only
financial department and its main
golden eagle financial director
Today this skill is necessary
any manager
to anyone at any level financially
Department of the turn did not become less
she is now taking pictures of her
much more complex tasks that
necessary at the current company
The Tarasov site will function as
such as these will become a universal
skills that we can introduce
every specialist in his place because
that in fact, in fact, deal with
detailed and digitized
companies need people who are already on it
work and who practically know
understand the process itself for companies at times
more valuable
There will be a steelworker or specialist who
knows how the process works
digital thinking has an experience process
automation of robots than IT-technician
who never left Moscow
never saw a blast furnace and finally
about the new profession of the OSCE model
I read a lot of atlases of new
professions that were written in almost
in all countries of the world I have written out of them
The most interesting thing is how much
they are actually new
Repeat ethics for robots expert
on the client’s experience a biologist on
cultivation of artificial third organs
prophecy only seem to us new and
even a little crazy is not
such are, in fact , if
look at many of them is just
the imposition of new technologies on
current professions with the promise of certain
new industries, for example, the operator
self-controlled cars are the same
drivers and auto mechanics who can
was to do it remotely nationally
course on your health is the same
family therapist or family doctor
who learn how to choose high quality
gadgets to remove data from them
analyze and prescribe on the basis of
this medicine for prevention or for
treatment so if you want to understand
what will be your future profession
nothing difficult can teach the current
from the basics of the profession can understand what
personal likes to do
You can read about what it’s about
technologies are written in profile or
non-core and common copper and you see
that this is exactly what your
The profession of the future if you multiply all
this is on current trends on
the emergence of new professions in the
trend acceleration intention technology
on life expectancy that
Increases we see that
modern man
you can all watch your life
one not 2 and maybe three four
And then the question to which would be
ask the children who assume such future
can you still not only to people 8-15 years old
you can rent it in 30 45 60 in 90 years
someone wants that being I call you
because the profession you are engaged in
I urge you to look to the future and
remember one computers never
can dream this is what we can do
only we thank you
”
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