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GOTO 2017 • Deep Learning: What It Is & What It Can Do For You • Diogo Moitinho de Almeida


[Music]

[Music] cool I’ll get started I’m Diego I work

cool I’ll get started I’m Diego I work

cool I’ll get started I’m Diego I work at Google brain but that’s all I can

at Google brain but that’s all I can

at Google brain but that’s all I can tell you my normal rule is if I told you

tell you my normal rule is if I told you

tell you my normal rule is if I told you I’d have to kill you but there’s a whole

I’d have to kill you but there’s a whole

I’d have to kill you but there’s a whole lot of you guys which makes that kind of

lot of you guys which makes that kind of

lot of you guys which makes that kind of impractical right now a standard

impractical right now a standard

impractical right now a standard disclaimer everything I say reflects my

disclaimer everything I say reflects my

disclaimer everything I say reflects my own opinions it’s not representative of

own opinions it’s not representative of

own opinions it’s not representative of my employer I have not been at Google

my employer I have not been at Google

my employer I have not been at Google long enough to know any secrets though I

long enough to know any secrets though I

long enough to know any secrets though I will admit that I’ve pilfered some

will admit that I’ve pilfered some

will admit that I’ve pilfered some publicly available slides so if there is

publicly available slides so if there is

publicly available slides so if there is a Google bias it’s not because they made

a Google bias it’s not because they made

a Google bias it’s not because they made me do it it’s because I’m lazy as far as

me do it it’s because I’m lazy as far as

me do it it’s because I’m lazy as far as some background for myself

some background for myself

some background for myself I broke a 13-year losing streak for the

I broke a 13-year losing streak for the

I broke a 13-year losing streak for the Philippines in the International math

Philippines in the International math

Philippines in the International math Olympiad I got the top prize in the

Olympiad I got the top prize in the

Olympiad I got the top prize in the world in the inter display compass in

world in the inter display compass in

world in the inter display compass in modeling and if you’re familiar with

modeling and if you’re familiar with

modeling and if you’re familiar with kayo competitions I also want one of

kayo competitions I also want one of

kayo competitions I also want one of those so I like to compete and do all of

those so I like to compete and do all of

those so I like to compete and do all of these kinds of things and hopefully that

these kinds of things and hopefully that

these kinds of things and hopefully that convinces you that I know that I’m

convinces you that I know that I’m

convinces you that I know that I’m talking about but let’s get started the

talking about but let’s get started the

talking about but let’s get started the presentation is deep learning what is it

presentation is deep learning what is it

presentation is deep learning what is it and what can it do for you

and what can it do for you

and what can it do for you but I think the very first question is

but I think the very first question is

but I think the very first question is why should I care and that reminds me of

why should I care and that reminds me of

why should I care and that reminds me of a story a machine learning researcher a

a story a machine learning researcher a

a story a machine learning researcher a cryptocurrency expert and an Erlang

cryptocurrency expert and an Erlang

cryptocurrency expert and an Erlang programmer walk into a bar

programmer walk into a bar

programmer walk into a bar Facebook buys the bar for twenty seven

Facebook buys the bar for twenty seven

Facebook buys the bar for twenty seven billion dollars and also another

billion dollars and also another

billion dollars and also another disclaimer you may not know this but I’m

disclaimer you may not know this but I’m

disclaimer you may not know this but I’m both a machine learning researcher and

both a machine learning researcher and

both a machine learning researcher and from San Francisco that means all of my

from San Francisco that means all of my

from San Francisco that means all of my information comes from Twitter that’s

information comes from Twitter that’s

information comes from Twitter that’s not a joke so prepare for that for my

not a joke so prepare for that for my

not a joke so prepare for that for my slides but back to why you should care

slides but back to why you should care

slides but back to why you should care machine learning artificial intelligence

machine learning artificial intelligence

machine learning artificial intelligence deep learning they’re all getting a lot

deep learning they’re all getting a lot

deep learning they’re all getting a lot of press these days they’re all doing

of press these days they’re all doing

of press these days they’re all doing lots of stuff and there’s lots of hype

lots of stuff and there’s lots of hype

lots of stuff and there’s lots of hype lots of news articles about all sorts of

lots of news articles about all sorts of

lots of news articles about all sorts of things and everyone seems to want to get

things and everyone seems to want to get

things and everyone seems to want to get into it but people don’t really know

into it but people don’t really know

into it but people don’t really know what they’re talking about it seems the

what they’re talking about it seems the

what they’re talking about it seems the only thing everyone’s really sure of is

only thing everyone’s really sure of is

only thing everyone’s really sure of is that artificial intelligence and it

that artificial intelligence and it

that artificial intelligence and it seems like very recently in particular

seems like very recently in particular

seems like very recently in particular deep learning will be a catalyst for a

deep learning will be a catalyst for a

deep learning will be a catalyst for a lot of change that’s happening and

lot of change that’s happening and

lot of change that’s happening and people are asking any questions all the

people are asking any questions all the

people are asking any questions all the time about this kind of thing and some

time about this kind of thing and some

time about this kind of thing and some of these recurring themes are how will

of these recurring themes are how will

of these recurring themes are how will the world change

the world change

the world change what can a AI and in particular deep

what can a AI and in particular deep

what can a AI and in particular deep learning do and how do I take advantage

learning do and how do I take advantage

learning do and how do I take advantage of these trends

of these trends

of these trends even the legendary programmer Jeff Dean

even the legendary programmer Jeff Dean

even the legendary programmer Jeff Dean has said if you’re not considering how

has said if you’re not considering how

has said if you’re not considering how to use deep neural nets to solve your

to use deep neural nets to solve your

to use deep neural nets to solve your problems you almost certainly should be

problems you almost certainly should be

problems you almost certainly should be it almost sounds like a threat either

it almost sounds like a threat either

it almost sounds like a threat either way I hope you’re motivated to learn

way I hope you’re motivated to learn

way I hope you’re motivated to learn that’s all I have for motivation so

that’s all I have for motivation so

that’s all I have for motivation so let’s get started into what is deep

let’s get started into what is deep

let’s get started into what is deep learning and it’s quite easy this is

learning and it’s quite easy this is

learning and it’s quite easy this is deep learning you could memorize this

deep learning you could memorize this

deep learning you could memorize this diagram this will make the presentation

diagram this will make the presentation

diagram this will make the presentation a lot easier so that’s basically it just

a lot easier so that’s basically it just

a lot easier so that’s basically it just kidding this is neither complete there’s

kidding this is neither complete there’s

kidding this is neither complete there’s a lot more to it than that and it’s also

a lot more to it than that and it’s also

a lot more to it than that and it’s also pretty complicated we’re gonna start

pretty complicated we’re gonna start

pretty complicated we’re gonna start with something much more simple namely

with something much more simple namely

with something much more simple namely calculus may not sound right it’s even

calculus may not sound right it’s even

calculus may not sound right it’s even chapter 1 of the book calculus made easy

chapter 1 of the book calculus made easy

chapter 1 of the book calculus made easy it’s titled to deliver you from the

it’s titled to deliver you from the

it’s titled to deliver you from the preliminary terrors but we only need a

preliminary terrors but we only need a

preliminary terrors but we only need a little bit of calculus and particularly

little bit of calculus and particularly

little bit of calculus and particularly we need an algorithm called gradient

we need an algorithm called gradient

we need an algorithm called gradient descent the derivative of one thing with

descent the derivative of one thing with

descent the derivative of one thing with calculus tells you is how to take

calculus tells you is how to take

calculus tells you is how to take derivatives and a derivative loosely

derivatives and a derivative loosely

derivatives and a derivative loosely speaking if it tells you how a functions

speaking if it tells you how a functions

speaking if it tells you how a functions output changes when you change its input

output changes when you change its input

output changes when you change its input and gradient descent is just moving

and gradient descent is just moving

and gradient descent is just moving along the direction of the derivative in

along the direction of the derivative in

along the direction of the derivative in order to minimize a function that you

order to minimize a function that you

order to minimize a function that you can take the derivative of so the

can take the derivative of so the

can take the derivative of so the insight into all of machinery Sigma Xin

insight into all of machinery Sigma Xin

insight into all of machinery Sigma Xin learning is figure out how to frame your

learning is figure out how to frame your

learning is figure out how to frame your problem in such a way that what you care

problem in such a way that what you care

problem in such a way that what you care about is differentiable or a proxy of

about is differentiable or a proxy of

about is differentiable or a proxy of what you care about is differentiable

what you care about is differentiable

what you care about is differentiable and then minimize it and this like one

and then minimize it and this like one

and then minimize it and this like one extremely simple equation summarizes

extremely simple equation summarizes

extremely simple equation summarizes almost all of the recent work in machine

almost all of the recent work in machine

almost all of the recent work in machine learning that’s happened in the last

learning that’s happened in the last

learning that’s happened in the last half decade roughly there’s obviously

half decade roughly there’s obviously

half decade roughly there’s obviously exceptions to this rule but majority of

exceptions to this rule but majority of

exceptions to this rule but majority of what’s done either has been done with

what’s done either has been done with

what’s done either has been done with this exceptionally simple thing or can

this exceptionally simple thing or can

this exceptionally simple thing or can be done with this exceptionally simple

be done with this exceptionally simple

be done with this exceptionally simple simple thing and that’s basically it as

simple thing and that’s basically it as

simple thing and that’s basically it as far as what deep learning really is in

far as what deep learning really is in

far as what deep learning really is in its essence

its essence

its essence this might sound well good but this is

this might sound well good but this is

this might sound well good but this is just machine learning when’s it become

just machine learning when’s it become

just machine learning when’s it become deep learning also easy it’s when you

deep learning also easy it’s when you

deep learning also easy it’s when you make it really deep it might sound like

make it really deep it might sound like

make it really deep it might sound like a joke but acts

a joke but acts

a joke but acts really what happens when you have these

really what happens when you have these

really what happens when you have these you know these machine learning used to

you know these machine learning used to

you know these machine learning used to be composed these very very simple

be composed these very very simple

be composed these very very simple functions because this is all we knew

functions because this is all we knew

functions because this is all we knew how to optimize and what happens when

how to optimize and what happens when

how to optimize and what happens when you stack multiple of these simple

you stack multiple of these simple

you stack multiple of these simple functions together you get something

functions together you get something

functions together you get something that’s much much more powerful if we

that’s much much more powerful if we

that’s much much more powerful if we don’t really know how much more powerful

don’t really know how much more powerful

don’t really know how much more powerful it is some might claim it’s

it is some might claim it’s

it is some might claim it’s exponentially more powerful but either

exponentially more powerful but either

exponentially more powerful but either way we know it’s much more powerful and

way we know it’s much more powerful and

way we know it’s much more powerful and simply stacking these things and using

simply stacking these things and using

simply stacking these things and using the simple algorithm is what’s caused

the simple algorithm is what’s caused

the simple algorithm is what’s caused the deep learning revolution to hit and

the deep learning revolution to hit and

the deep learning revolution to hit and it’s just using same old simple

it’s just using same old simple

it’s just using same old simple algorithm even though as a caveat to

algorithm even though as a caveat to

algorithm even though as a caveat to that we part of the hard part of deep

that we part of the hard part of deep

that we part of the hard part of deep learning is knowing that the simple

learning is knowing that the simple

learning is knowing that the simple algorithm will work for these very

algorithm will work for these very

algorithm will work for these very complicated models that have like stacks

complicated models that have like stacks

complicated models that have like stacks of layers and making problems non convex

of layers and making problems non convex

of layers and making problems non convex is that it for deep learning yes this is

is that it for deep learning yes this is

is that it for deep learning yes this is it roughly I’m skipping all sorts of

it roughly I’m skipping all sorts of

it roughly I’m skipping all sorts of details that I’m sure will be covered

details that I’m sure will be covered

details that I’m sure will be covered later from software that makes things

later from software that makes things

later from software that makes things easier to write like tensorflow or pi

easier to write like tensorflow or pi

easier to write like tensorflow or pi torch to hardware that makes things

torch to hardware that makes things

torch to hardware that makes things faster to run like GPUs or multi-core

faster to run like GPUs or multi-core

faster to run like GPUs or multi-core CPUs or TP use to commonly use some

CPUs or TP use to commonly use some

CPUs or TP use to commonly use some functions or layers that people have

functions or layers that people have

functions or layers that people have done lots of trial and error and just

done lots of trial and error and just

done lots of trial and error and just found to work well for some of today’s

found to work well for some of today’s

found to work well for some of today’s problems without very good justification

problems without very good justification

problems without very good justification and also commonly use combinations of

and also commonly use combinations of

and also commonly use combinations of these layers or architectures that

these layers or architectures that

these layers or architectures that similarly people have used trial and

similarly people have used trial and

similarly people have used trial and error and found to work without very

error and found to work without very

error and found to work without very good justification but for the purpose

good justification but for the purpose

good justification but for the purpose of that talk the simpler algorithm is it

of that talk the simpler algorithm is it

of that talk the simpler algorithm is it next big question is what can it do for

next big question is what can it do for

next big question is what can it do for you

you

you this may there was a recent paper that

this may there was a recent paper that

this may there was a recent paper that came out that makes it a little bit

came out that makes it a little bit

came out that makes it a little bit easier to answer because this article

easier to answer because this article

easier to answer because this article came out that surveyed a I assume lot of

came out that surveyed a I assume lot of

came out that surveyed a I assume lot of machine learning researchers all of

machine learning researchers all of

machine learning researchers all of these Alliance are people so and there’s

these Alliance are people so and there’s

these Alliance are people so and there’s a survey on the future progress on AI so

a survey on the future progress on AI so

a survey on the future progress on AI so what you think will happen when will

what you think will happen when will

what you think will happen when will happen and there’s a lot of really

happen and there’s a lot of really

happen and there’s a lot of really interesting things here that are amusing

interesting things here that are amusing

interesting things here that are amusing and possibly informative may be mostly

and possibly informative may be mostly

and possibly informative may be mostly amusing

amusing

amusing and let’s break it down on the easy end

and let’s break it down on the easy end

and let’s break it down on the easy end you see Angry Birds at roughly the same

you see Angry Birds at roughly the same

you see Angry Birds at roughly the same difficulty as the World Series of Poker

difficulty as the World Series of Poker

difficulty as the World Series of Poker that’s very unusual to me I thought

that’s very unusual to me I thought

that’s very unusual to me I thought Angry Birds was solved I’m pretty sure

Angry Birds was solved I’m pretty sure

Angry Birds was solved I’m pretty sure Angry Birds is solved and the World

Angry Birds is solved and the World

Angry Birds is solved and the World Series of Poker is actually sounds

Series of Poker is actually sounds

Series of Poker is actually sounds really hard but it’s it’s down there

really hard but it’s it’s down there

really hard but it’s it’s down there near the easy end on the difficult and I

near the easy end on the difficult and I

near the easy end on the difficult and I find it really interesting that AI

find it really interesting that AI

find it really interesting that AI researchers think it’s it’s like the

researchers think it’s it’s like the

researchers think it’s it’s like the second top there a researcher is

second top there a researcher is

second top there a researcher is significantly harder than math

significantly harder than math

significantly harder than math researcher seems like a 50 year gap

researcher seems like a 50 year gap

researcher seems like a 50 year gap between math research being solved an AI

between math research being solved an AI

between math research being solved an AI research being solved not saying that I

research being solved not saying that I

research being solved not saying that I agree or disagree it’s just interesting

agree or disagree it’s just interesting

agree or disagree it’s just interesting to point out it actually looks like the

to point out it actually looks like the

to point out it actually looks like the gap between AI researcher and math

gap between AI researcher and math

gap between AI researcher and math researcher is larger than the gap

researcher is larger than the gap

researcher is larger than the gap between math researcher and playing

between math researcher and playing

between math researcher and playing Angry Birds at a human level so I yeah I

Angry Birds at a human level so I yeah I

Angry Birds at a human level so I yeah I I don’t know if this reflects something

I don’t know if this reflects something

I don’t know if this reflects something about the field maybe that’s why there’s

about the field maybe that’s why there’s

about the field maybe that’s why there’s no good deep learning theory right now

no good deep learning theory right now

no good deep learning theory right now but who knows what’s going on but

but who knows what’s going on but

but who knows what’s going on but importantly for knowing what deep

importantly for knowing what deep

importantly for knowing what deep learning can do for us is there’s a lot

learning can do for us is there’s a lot

learning can do for us is there’s a lot of differing opinions on what’s going to

of differing opinions on what’s going to

of differing opinions on what’s going to happen and when it’s going to happen

happen and when it’s going to happen

happen and when it’s going to happen there’s some people who think that we

there’s some people who think that we

there’s some people who think that we will be getting generally AI in roughly

will be getting generally AI in roughly

will be getting generally AI in roughly 10-15 years and there’s people who think

10-15 years and there’s people who think

10-15 years and there’s people who think it’s over a hundred years away I’m

it’s over a hundred years away I’m

it’s over a hundred years away I’m definitely in the latter camp to clarify

definitely in the latter camp to clarify

definitely in the latter camp to clarify but this makes it seem like answering

but this makes it seem like answering

but this makes it seem like answering the question what can I do for you

the question what can I do for you

the question what can I do for you correctly be really hard because there’s

correctly be really hard because there’s

correctly be really hard because there’s just so many different opinions how do

just so many different opinions how do

just so many different opinions how do you really know what the correct answer

you really know what the correct answer

you really know what the correct answer is it’s a tough problem but luckily I’m

is it’s a tough problem but luckily I’m

is it’s a tough problem but luckily I’m the only one on stage so I can just say

the only one on stage so I can just say

the only one on stage so I can just say whatever I want and no one can disagree

whatever I want and no one can disagree

whatever I want and no one can disagree with me I guess you can disagree with me

with me I guess you can disagree with me

with me I guess you can disagree with me in the Q&A and it’ll be a good debate

in the Q&A and it’ll be a good debate

in the Q&A and it’ll be a good debate but I’m gonna say what I think on this

but I’m gonna say what I think on this

but I’m gonna say what I think on this and take it with a grain of salt doesn’t

and take it with a grain of salt doesn’t

and take it with a grain of salt doesn’t reflect me it does reflect me it doesn’t

reflect me it does reflect me it doesn’t

reflect me it does reflect me it doesn’t reflect Google doesn’t reflect anything

reflect Google doesn’t reflect anything

reflect Google doesn’t reflect anything else I do like to stand on the shoulders

else I do like to stand on the shoulders

else I do like to stand on the shoulders of giants though and I think there’s

of giants though and I think there’s

of giants though and I think there’s been some people who have said things

been some people who have said things

been some people who have said things that resonates a lot with me and like

that resonates a lot with me and like

that resonates a lot with me and like really like when they say some things

really like when they say some things

really like when they say some things really precisely I feel like that helps

really precisely I feel like that helps

really precisely I feel like that helps refine my thinking on the problem this

refine my thinking on the problem this

refine my thinking on the problem this is one that I don’t know if I agree with

is one that I don’t know if I agree with

is one that I don’t know if I agree with but it’s a really strong statement and

but it’s a really strong statement and

but it’s a really strong statement and it seems like it could be a pretty good

it seems like it could be a pretty good

it seems like it could be a pretty good heuristic this is by and ruing who is no

heuristic this is by and ruing who is no

heuristic this is by and ruing who is no longer the chief scientist at Baidu

longer the chief scientist at Baidu

longer the chief scientist at Baidu but he says if a typical person can do a

but he says if a typical person can do a

but he says if a typical person can do a mental task with less than one second of

mental task with less than one second of

mental task with less than one second of thought we can probably automate it

thought we can probably automate it

thought we can probably automate it using AI either now or in the near

using AI either now or in the near

using AI either now or in the near future I can’t think of that many

future I can’t think of that many

future I can’t think of that many counter arguments that don’t require

counter arguments that don’t require

counter arguments that don’t require like a lot of like very specific domain

like a lot of like very specific domain

like a lot of like very specific domain knowledge like maybe people who play

knowledge like maybe people who play

knowledge like maybe people who play games a lot can play those games really

games a lot can play those games really

games a lot can play those games really fast cuz they’ve practiced it well but

fast cuz they’ve practiced it well but

fast cuz they’ve practiced it well but roughly it seems like a pretty good

roughly it seems like a pretty good

roughly it seems like a pretty good heuristic and it’s a very like strong

heuristic and it’s a very like strong

heuristic and it’s a very like strong statement so maybe this is something

statement so maybe this is something

statement so maybe this is something that could guide you answering that

that could guide you answering that

that could guide you answering that question another thing that isn’t as

question another thing that isn’t as

question another thing that isn’t as specific but I think is very important

specific but I think is very important

specific but I think is very important to consider is that a lot of the deep

to consider is that a lot of the deep

to consider is that a lot of the deep learning successes today have been I

learning successes today have been I

learning successes today have been I haven’t used the word simple but I feel

haven’t used the word simple but I feel

haven’t used the word simple but I feel like they’re more simple memorization

like they’re more simple memorization

like they’re more simple memorization problems and not really thinking

problems and not really thinking

problems and not really thinking problems it’s always hard to really say

problems it’s always hard to really say

problems it’s always hard to really say what this thinking really means because

what this thinking really means because

what this thinking really means because that might be a moving goalpost of like

that might be a moving goalpost of like

that might be a moving goalpost of like of course if algorithm is not thinking

of course if algorithm is not thinking

of course if algorithm is not thinking it’s using an a-star algorithm or

it’s using an a-star algorithm or

it’s using an a-star algorithm or something while we might think that’s

something while we might think that’s

something while we might think that’s kind of like thinking but even in this

kind of like thinking but even in this

kind of like thinking but even in this case it seems like when you’re when a

case it seems like when you’re when a

case it seems like when you’re when a task requires multiple steps of

task requires multiple steps of

task requires multiple steps of reasoning where you can’t like use

reasoning where you can’t like use

reasoning where you can’t like use heuristics to jump all the way from

heuristics to jump all the way from

heuristics to jump all the way from input to output it seems the deep

input to output it seems the deep

input to output it seems the deep learning has not been very good at that

learning has not been very good at that

learning has not been very good at that especially not without a lot of help

especially not without a lot of help

especially not without a lot of help which leads me to my general rule which

which leads me to my general rule which

which leads me to my general rule which is deep learning is an appropriate tool

is deep learning is an appropriate tool

is deep learning is an appropriate tool for supervised direct pattern matching

for supervised direct pattern matching

for supervised direct pattern matching tasks bonus points if you can design

tasks bonus points if you can design

tasks bonus points if you can design priors that are particularly suited to

priors that are particularly suited to

priors that are particularly suited to your problem the the priors in this case

your problem the the priors in this case

your problem the the priors in this case are specific layers that are popular for

are specific layers that are popular for

are specific layers that are popular for certain tasks but we don’t have to get

certain tasks but we don’t have to get

certain tasks but we don’t have to get into that right now

into that right now

into that right now even though feel free to ask me in the

even though feel free to ask me in the

even though feel free to ask me in the Q&A but here when I say supervised I

Q&A but here when I say supervised I

Q&A but here when I say supervised I mean that we tell the model directly

mean that we tell the model directly

mean that we tell the model directly what the correct answer is so roughly a

what the correct answer is so roughly a

what the correct answer is so roughly a human or some other process figures out

human or some other process figures out

human or some other process figures out what the right answer is via some means

what the right answer is via some means

what the right answer is via some means and tells the model this is what you

and tells the model this is what you

and tells the model this is what you should be outputting next time there are

should be outputting next time there are

should be outputting next time there are there have been incredible successes

there have been incredible successes

there have been incredible successes using reinforcement learning which is

using reinforcement learning which is

using reinforcement learning which is not supervised especially in the

not supervised especially in the

not supervised especially in the game-playing domain so if you’ve seen

game-playing domain so if you’ve seen

game-playing domain so if you’ve seen deep Minds deep queue networks playing

deep Minds deep queue networks playing

deep Minds deep queue networks playing Atari or deep Minds alphago playing go

Atari or deep Minds alphago playing go

Atari or deep Minds alphago playing go those use a lot of reinforcement

those use a lot of reinforcement

those use a lot of reinforcement learning and if they definitely have in

learning and if they definitely have in

learning and if they definitely have in some successes but how I feel about

some successes but how I feel about

some successes but how I feel about reinforcement learning is that it can

reinforcement learning is that it can

reinforcement learning is that it can work but you don’t want to rely on it

work but you don’t want to rely on it

work but you don’t want to rely on it working and in the bay everyone hasn’t

working and in the bay everyone hasn’t

working and in the bay everyone hasn’t started up on everything and there’s

started up on everything and there’s

started up on everything and there’s been a lot of people who kind of have

been a lot of people who kind of have

been a lot of people who kind of have bet their companies on this is a

bet their companies on this is a

bet their companies on this is a reinforcement learning problem let us

reinforcement learning problem let us

reinforcement learning problem let us sell people on using deep reinforcement

sell people on using deep reinforcement

sell people on using deep reinforcement learning to get this working and ending

learning to get this working and ending

learning to get this working and ending up with vaporware and kind of a sad end

up with vaporware and kind of a sad end

up with vaporware and kind of a sad end to that supervise for it but as far as

to that supervise for it but as far as

to that supervise for it but as far as direct pattern matching goes this goes

direct pattern matching goes this goes

direct pattern matching goes this goes back to what I was saying earlier where

back to what I was saying earlier where

back to what I was saying earlier where you want simple relationships between

you want simple relationships between

you want simple relationships between the input and the output

the input and the output

the input and the output almost almost like that a fraction of

almost almost like that a fraction of

almost almost like that a fraction of the input directly maps to some fraction

the input directly maps to some fraction

the input directly maps to some fraction of the output in some sort of additive

of the output in some sort of additive

of the output in some sort of additive ish way it doesn’t have to be completely

ish way it doesn’t have to be completely

ish way it doesn’t have to be completely additive but usually having some easy

additive but usually having some easy

additive but usually having some easy mapping allows you to bootstrap the more

mapping allows you to bootstrap the more

mapping allows you to bootstrap the more complicated mappings and a lot of the

complicated mappings and a lot of the

complicated mappings and a lot of the more complicated mappings turn out to be

more complicated mappings turn out to be

more complicated mappings turn out to be like lots of little simple mappings

like lots of little simple mappings

like lots of little simple mappings composed together and this kind of thing

composed together and this kind of thing

composed together and this kind of thing seems to be how deep learning tel tends

seems to be how deep learning tel tends

seems to be how deep learning tel tends to work this is all very vague but I am

to work this is all very vague but I am

to work this is all very vague but I am about to talk about some specifics about

about to talk about some specifics about

about to talk about some specifics about where deep learning has succeeded and

where deep learning has succeeded and

where deep learning has succeeded and where it seems have not succeeded yet

where it seems have not succeeded yet

where it seems have not succeeded yet another disclaimer this is only a subset

another disclaimer this is only a subset

another disclaimer this is only a subset of the potential cool things to talk

of the potential cool things to talk

of the potential cool things to talk about and I’m only talking about the

about and I’m only talking about the

about and I’m only talking about the intersection of things I find

intersection of things I find

intersection of things I find interesting because I want the slides to

interesting because I want the slides to

interesting because I want the slides to be interesting there’s lots of like

be interesting there’s lots of like

be interesting there’s lots of like little things that are cool but maybe

little things that are cool but maybe

little things that are cool but maybe wouldn’t be that interesting to people

wouldn’t be that interesting to people

wouldn’t be that interesting to people and visual and things that I know how to

and visual and things that I know how to

and visual and things that I know how to put in a presentation so I I have some

put in a presentation so I I have some

put in a presentation so I I have some attempts at videos but they’re optional

attempts at videos but they’re optional

attempts at videos but they’re optional but I there’s some cool lots of cool

but I there’s some cool lots of cool

but I there’s some cool lots of cool working audio but I just have no idea

working audio but I just have no idea

working audio but I just have no idea how to put that in a presentation and

how to put that in a presentation and

how to put that in a presentation and [Music]

[Music]

[Music] yeah maybe that’s my bad but we can

yeah maybe that’s my bad but we can

yeah maybe that’s my bad but we can solve go and build robots but technology

solve go and build robots but technology

solve go and build robots but technology isn’t there yet for reliable audio and

isn’t there yet for reliable audio and

isn’t there yet for reliable audio and video this is also what happens when I

video this is also what happens when I

video this is also what happens when I make the graphics myself so all of the

make the graphics myself so all of the

make the graphics myself so all of the pretty animated graphics have been

pretty animated graphics have been

pretty animated graphics have been stolen from other Googlers who know how

stolen from other Googlers who know how

stolen from other Googlers who know how to do ours

to do ours

to do ours back on topic let’s start with the

back on topic let’s start with the

back on topic let’s start with the easiest thing whenever you have a metric

easiest thing whenever you have a metric

easiest thing whenever you have a metric that when that metric goes up money goes

that when that metric goes up money goes

that when that metric goes up money goes up you probably want to use machine

up you probably want to use machine

up you probably want to use machine learning possibly deep learning but

learning possibly deep learning but

learning possibly deep learning but definitely machine learning this is

definitely machine learning this is

definitely machine learning this is actually I would describe the main use

actually I would describe the main use

actually I would describe the main use case of machine learning

case of machine learning

case of machine learning I have knobs to turn some combinations

I have knobs to turn some combinations

I have knobs to turn some combinations of these knobs are better than others

of these knobs are better than others

of these knobs are better than others how do I turn them basic stuff but we’re

how do I turn them basic stuff but we’re

how do I turn them basic stuff but we’re saying a big thing that people get

saying a big thing that people get

saying a big thing that people get caught on is unsupervised learning it’s

caught on is unsupervised learning it’s

caught on is unsupervised learning it’s a very interesting research problem but

a very interesting research problem but

a very interesting research problem but if you want to do anything practical I

if you want to do anything practical I

if you want to do anything practical I would probably advise you to not do that

would probably advise you to not do that

would probably advise you to not do that I think this is actually absolutely

I think this is actually absolutely

I think this is actually absolutely excellent advice rather than trying to

excellent advice rather than trying to

excellent advice rather than trying to if you can spend a month figuring it out

if you can spend a month figuring it out

if you can spend a month figuring it out on supervised learning please do it that

on supervised learning please do it that

on supervised learning please do it that that will solve a lot of people a lot of

that will solve a lot of people a lot of

that will solve a lot of people a lot of time if you could spend a year that

time if you could spend a year that

time if you could spend a year that would probably save a lot of people out

would probably save a lot of people out

would probably save a lot of people out of time if you could do ten years you’re

of time if you could do ten years you’re

of time if you could do ten years you’re probably on track with the rest of the

probably on track with the rest of the

probably on track with the rest of the field so if you have a problem that you

field so if you have a problem that you

field so if you have a problem that you care about don’t try to do some magic

care about don’t try to do some magic

care about don’t try to do some magic where you don’t know if it’s gonna work

where you don’t know if it’s gonna work

where you don’t know if it’s gonna work label some data usually these things are

label some data usually these things are

label some data usually these things are a lot more data efficient and people say

a lot more data efficient and people say

a lot more data efficient and people say they are and sticking to supervised

they are and sticking to supervised

they are and sticking to supervised learning will be much easier for your

learning will be much easier for your

learning will be much easier for your sanity as well as your eventual impact

sanity as well as your eventual impact

sanity as well as your eventual impact speech recognition has done really well

speech recognition has done really well

speech recognition has done really well really really well people think that

really really well people think that

really really well people think that this is probably going to be one of the

this is probably going to be one of the

this is probably going to be one of the biggest changes to interfaces in not

biggest changes to interfaces in not

biggest changes to interfaces in not just our lifetimes but in the next

just our lifetimes but in the next

just our lifetimes but in the next decade right now people don’t like to

decade right now people don’t like to

decade right now people don’t like to talk in phones because they could be

talk in phones because they could be

talk in phones because they could be kind of sucks but people can talk much

kind of sucks but people can talk much

kind of sucks but people can talk much faster they can type and a lot of people

faster they can type and a lot of people

faster they can type and a lot of people don’t know how to type very well so this

don’t know how to type very well so this

don’t know how to type very well so this could completely change the way people

could completely change the way people

could completely change the way people interact with electronics things like

interact with electronics things like

interact with electronics things like Google glass or I hear it’s really big

Google glass or I hear it’s really big

Google glass or I hear it’s really big in China speech recognition there’s all

in China speech recognition there’s all

in China speech recognition there’s all sorts of things that this could enable

sorts of things that this could enable

sorts of things that this could enable and this is only a fraction of the cool

and this is only a fraction of the cool

and this is only a fraction of the cool things happening in audio but I not

things happening in audio but I not

things happening in audio but I not think to talk about that much but

think to talk about that much but

think to talk about that much but there’s things with generating

there’s things with generating

there’s things with generating generating audio generating music lots

generating audio generating music lots

generating audio generating music lots of cool stuff there translation this

of cool stuff there translation this

of cool stuff there translation this animation is really cool and this

animation is really cool and this

animation is really cool and this problem is really cool this is showing

problem is really cool this is showing

problem is really cool this is showing that not only can deep networks improve

that not only can deep networks improve

that not only can deep networks improve on like the traditional statistical mess

on like the traditional statistical mess

on like the traditional statistical mess that things like Google Translate used

that things like Google Translate used

that things like Google Translate used to do but where you just have matching

to do but where you just have matching

to do but where you just have matching corpuses or Corp I I don’t know what the

corpuses or Corp I I don’t know what the

corpuses or Corp I I don’t know what the plural is but you can also translate

plural is but you can also translate

plural is but you can also translate between language pairs that you’ve never

between language pairs that you’ve never

between language pairs that you’ve never you don’t even have matching corpuses on

you don’t even have matching corpuses on

you don’t even have matching corpuses on so in this example you have English to

so in this example you have English to

so in this example you have English to Japanese pairs as well as Japanese so

Japanese pairs as well as Japanese so

Japanese pairs as well as Japanese so sorry English to Japanese in English to

sorry English to Japanese in English to

sorry English to Japanese in English to Korean and using these networks you can

Korean and using these networks you can

Korean and using these networks you can actually translate directly between

actually translate directly between

actually translate directly between Korean and Japanese without ever seeing

Korean and Japanese without ever seeing

Korean and Japanese without ever seeing paired data between Korean and Japanese

paired data between Korean and Japanese

paired data between Korean and Japanese which is actually huge

which is actually huge

which is actually huge it could enable a lot of translation on

it could enable a lot of translation on

it could enable a lot of translation on languages that between languages that

languages that between languages that

languages that between languages that there’s just no data on and you can do

there’s just no data on and you can do

there’s just no data on and you can do it in a much more accurate way because

it in a much more accurate way because

it in a much more accurate way because you don’t need to translate into an

you don’t need to translate into an

you don’t need to translate into an intermediate language where you lose

intermediate language where you lose

intermediate language where you lose some information if you ever like do

some information if you ever like do

some information if you ever like do Google like what’s the game where you

Google like what’s the game where you

Google like what’s the game where you have a like a Markov chain with Google

have a like a Markov chain with Google

have a like a Markov chain with Google Translate you start with a thing you

Translate you start with a thing you

Translate you start with a thing you translate to one language you translate

translate to one language you translate

translate to one language you translate back eventually becomes garbage and

back eventually becomes garbage and

back eventually becomes garbage and nothing like the original thing you said

nothing like the original thing you said

nothing like the original thing you said and you just avoid that problem entirely

and you just avoid that problem entirely

and you just avoid that problem entirely with this image classification this is

with this image classification this is

with this image classification this is like the bread and butter of deep

like the bread and butter of deep

like the bread and butter of deep learning it’s what made deep learning a

learning it’s what made deep learning a

learning it’s what made deep learning a big deal people it was kind of a not

big deal people it was kind of a not

big deal people it was kind of a not mainstream thing until about two twenty

mainstream thing until about two twenty

mainstream thing until about two twenty twelve when deep learning one this

twelve when deep learning one this

twelve when deep learning one this imagenet competition and beat all of the

imagenet competition and beat all of the

imagenet competition and beat all of the other things by a fairly large margin

other things by a fairly large margin

other things by a fairly large margin and made everyone realize hey this

and made everyone realize hey this

and made everyone realize hey this solves problems that nothing else could

solves problems that nothing else could

solves problems that nothing else could solve before and there’s real-world

solve before and there’s real-world

solve before and there’s real-world applications to this like google photos

applications to this like google photos

applications to this like google photos an example there’s a lot of api’s where

an example there’s a lot of api’s where

an example there’s a lot of api’s where people have made a business of telling

people have made a business of telling

people have made a business of telling you what’s in an image people do face

you what’s in an image people do face

you what’s in an image people do face classification Faith’s

classification Faith’s

classification Faith’s detection there’s a lot of money and

detection there’s a lot of money and

detection there’s a lot of money and sentiment recognition you know like have

sentiment recognition you know like have

sentiment recognition you know like have a camera here and look at the room tell

a camera here and look at the room tell

a camera here and look at the room tell them if they’re enjoying the talk or not

them if they’re enjoying the talk or not

them if they’re enjoying the talk or not based on like people’s smiles and stuff

based on like people’s smiles and stuff

based on like people’s smiles and stuff maybe not for talks but like for ads and

maybe not for talks but like for ads and

maybe not for talks but like for ads and stuff something that can’t be done yet

stuff something that can’t be done yet

stuff something that can’t be done yet though is unbiased image classification

though is unbiased image classification

though is unbiased image classification or it’s still a lot of work this was a

or it’s still a lot of work this was a

or it’s still a lot of work this was a huge issue for Google photos actually

huge issue for Google photos actually

huge issue for Google photos actually like I think it’s like a few days after

like I think it’s like a few days after

like I think it’s like a few days after they released it people were complaining

they released it people were complaining

they released it people were complaining on Twitter that

on Twitter that

on Twitter that their friends were being classified as

their friends were being classified as

their friends were being classified as gorillas due to a lack of diversity in

gorillas due to a lack of diversity in

gorillas due to a lack of diversity in the training data and this is kind of

the training data and this is kind of

the training data and this is kind of unavoidable when you have imperfect

unavoidable when you have imperfect

unavoidable when you have imperfect datasets I actually don’t know how they

datasets I actually don’t know how they

datasets I actually don’t know how they solve this they might have just removed

solve this they might have just removed

solve this they might have just removed some of the classes that could be been

some of the classes that could be been

some of the classes that could be been taken as offensive but that’s just a

taken as offensive but that’s just a

taken as offensive but that’s just a hack right like we want like real

hack right like we want like real

hack right like we want like real algorithms that don’t make these kinds

algorithms that don’t make these kinds

algorithms that don’t make these kinds of stupid mistakes talking about not

of stupid mistakes talking about not

of stupid mistakes talking about not making stupid mistakes a problem near

making stupid mistakes a problem near

making stupid mistakes a problem near and dear to my heart is medical imaging

and dear to my heart is medical imaging

and dear to my heart is medical imaging they’ve been a bunch of huge successes

they’ve been a bunch of huge successes

they’ve been a bunch of huge successes on medical imaging in particular there’s

on medical imaging in particular there’s

on medical imaging in particular there’s been some really cool stuff done reading

been some really cool stuff done reading

been some really cool stuff done reading x-rays and CT scans cool stuff with

x-rays and CT scans cool stuff with

x-rays and CT scans cool stuff with segmenting pathology scans detecting

segmenting pathology scans detecting

segmenting pathology scans detecting diabetic retinopathy all of these things

diabetic retinopathy all of these things

diabetic retinopathy all of these things it’s people have been getting superhuman

it’s people have been getting superhuman

it’s people have been getting superhuman results like better than what seems to

results like better than what seems to

results like better than what seems to be the best doctors and hopefully very

be the best doctors and hopefully very

be the best doctors and hopefully very soon this kind of stuff will be like

soon this kind of stuff will be like

soon this kind of stuff will be like reaching the end users and helping

reaching the end users and helping

reaching the end users and helping people so this is a really exciting area

people so this is a really exciting area

people so this is a really exciting area of deep learning progress similar in

of deep learning progress similar in

of deep learning progress similar in that vein it’s not limited to either 2d

that vein it’s not limited to either 2d

that vein it’s not limited to either 2d images or having a single prediction per

images or having a single prediction per

images or having a single prediction per image you can do what’s called semantic

image you can do what’s called semantic

image you can do what’s called semantic segmentation where you label each pixel

segmentation where you label each pixel

segmentation where you label each pixel or in this case voxel in an image and

or in this case voxel in an image and

or in this case voxel in an image and you can also it also works for high

you can also it also works for high

you can also it also works for high dimensional data so this for example is

dimensional data so this for example is

dimensional data so this for example is 3d segmentation of I believe in neuron

3d segmentation of I believe in neuron

3d segmentation of I believe in neuron and this algorithm actually is iterative

and this algorithm actually is iterative

and this algorithm actually is iterative and how it like expands over time and

and how it like expands over time and

and how it like expands over time and this is very similar to how a human

this is very similar to how a human

this is very similar to how a human would segment a neuron it would not just

would segment a neuron it would not just

would segment a neuron it would not just say all those months here’s a neuron if

say all those months here’s a neuron if

say all those months here’s a neuron if it starts at something and being like

it starts at something and being like

it starts at something and being like okay this is close to this other thing

okay this is close to this other thing

okay this is close to this other thing this is maybe a neuron so we are as we

this is maybe a neuron so we are as we

this is maybe a neuron so we are as we were like expanding the reach of deep

were like expanding the reach of deep

were like expanding the reach of deep learning more people are designing more

learning more people are designing more

learning more people are designing more and more of these priors to build into

and more of these priors to build into

and more of these priors to build into the architectures to do much smarter

the architectures to do much smarter

the architectures to do much smarter things so whenever I say not yet on

things so whenever I say not yet on

things so whenever I say not yet on something it might be that technology is

something it might be that technology is

something it might be that technology is there P we just haven’t tried hard

there P we just haven’t tried hard

there P we just haven’t tried hard enough talking about and not yet there’s

enough talking about and not yet there’s

enough talking about and not yet there’s been some really cool work on image

been some really cool work on image

been some really cool work on image captioning so instead of given an image

captioning so instead of given an image

captioning so instead of given an image output a object in the image it’s given

output a object in the image it’s given

output a object in the image it’s given an image describe the image

an image describe the image

an image describe the image and this is a much harder task because

and this is a much harder task because

and this is a much harder task because there’s a lot of things that can go on

there’s a lot of things that can go on

there’s a lot of things that can go on in an image and there’s a lot of

in an image and there’s a lot of

in an image and there’s a lot of possible ways to describe an image so

possible ways to describe an image so

possible ways to describe an image so how do you say something is riot and

how do you say something is riot and

how do you say something is riot and what what set of things do you choose to

what what set of things do you choose to

what what set of things do you choose to have something described and this is

have something described and this is

have something described and this is pretty good like these descriptions are

pretty good like these descriptions are

pretty good like these descriptions are actually this is a good case there’s

actually this is a good case there’s

actually this is a good case there’s many bad cases of this but they still do

many bad cases of this but they still do

many bad cases of this but they still do make some really dumb mistakes it might

make some really dumb mistakes it might

make some really dumb mistakes it might reflect underlying issues with our

reflect underlying issues with our

reflect underlying issues with our imaging models or it might be due to

imaging models or it might be due to

imaging models or it might be due to dataset size but this is still an open

dataset size but this is still an open

dataset size but this is still an open research problem similarly to that it’s

research problem similarly to that it’s

research problem similarly to that it’s not very good at answering questions

not very good at answering questions

not very good at answering questions about images or stories it can be good

about images or stories it can be good

about images or stories it can be good at finding specific things in the images

at finding specific things in the images

at finding specific things in the images but there’s other things that seem to be

but there’s other things that seem to be

but there’s other things that seem to be easier than finding a thing or just as

easier than finding a thing or just as

easier than finding a thing or just as easy as finding a thing that deepening

easy as finding a thing that deepening

easy as finding a thing that deepening currently it’s not good at like counting

currently it’s not good at like counting

currently it’s not good at like counting if you ask good this is I don’t have a

if you ask good this is I don’t have a

if you ask good this is I don’t have a counting example here but if you have

counting example here but if you have

counting example here but if you have like a bowl of oranges and you ask like

like a bowl of oranges and you ask like

like a bowl of oranges and you ask like how many oranges are in this bowl this

how many oranges are in this bowl this

how many oranges are in this bowl this sounds like a very easy task but it’s

sounds like a very easy task but it’s

sounds like a very easy task but it’s quite hard for models right now so

quite hard for models right now so

quite hard for models right now so that’s a big problem talking about big

that’s a big problem talking about big

that’s a big problem talking about big problems we definitely are nowhere close

problems we definitely are nowhere close

problems we definitely are nowhere close to automating research this is a great

to automating research this is a great

to automating research this is a great tweet we’re the researchers were the

tweet we’re the researchers were the

tweet we’re the researchers were the ones that wanted to make the AI do all

ones that wanted to make the AI do all

ones that wanted to make the AI do all the work and play games and while they

the work and play games and while they

the work and play games and while they play games but instead it’s the opposite

play games but instead it’s the opposite

play games but instead it’s the opposite right the yeah is just playing games all

right the yeah is just playing games all

right the yeah is just playing games all day and researchers are working harder

day and researchers are working harder

day and researchers are working harder than ever it’s a tough life I think the

than ever it’s a tough life I think the

than ever it’s a tough life I think the comments on this were equally great

comments on this were equally great

comments on this were equally great because maybe this is a sign that the AI

because maybe this is a sign that the AI

because maybe this is a sign that the AI is actually intelligent you know maybe

is actually intelligent you know maybe

is actually intelligent you know maybe it’s like just pretending to be dumb and

it’s like just pretending to be dumb and

it’s like just pretending to be dumb and being like why would I want to do all

being like why would I want to do all

being like why would I want to do all the work I’m just gonna keep playing

the work I’m just gonna keep playing

the work I’m just gonna keep playing games all day some aspects of research

games all day some aspects of research

games all day some aspects of research might be automated something that some

might be automated something that some

might be automated something that some people consider to be either boring or a

people consider to be either boring or a

people consider to be either boring or a waste of time or hard is designing these

waste of time or hard is designing these

waste of time or hard is designing these architectures in the first place and

architectures in the first place and

architectures in the first place and there has been some work in using deep

there has been some work in using deep

there has been some work in using deep learning to automate the architect the

learning to automate the architect the

learning to automate the architect the design of architectures for more deep

design of architectures for more deep

design of architectures for more deep learning and you get like these crazy

learning and you get like these crazy

learning and you get like these crazy things that no one would ever design

things that no one would ever design

things that no one would ever design yeah I would definitely not

yeah I would definitely not

yeah I would definitely not think to do that in the right so this

think to do that in the right so this

think to do that in the right so this stuff has had some fairly promising

stuff has had some fairly promising

stuff has had some fairly promising results I I put this under a maybe of

results I I put this under a maybe of

results I I put this under a maybe of what can be plausible because it’s both

what can be plausible because it’s both

what can be plausible because it’s both it was both very expensive and not quite

it was both very expensive and not quite

it was both very expensive and not quite as good as a state of the art but this

as good as a state of the art but this

as good as a state of the art but this seems like a really promising Avenue and

seems like a really promising Avenue and

seems like a really promising Avenue and a potential place that it could make a

a potential place that it could make a

a potential place that it could make a big impact so maybe all of our learning

big impact so maybe all of our learning

big impact so maybe all of our learning about architecture and studying this and

about architecture and studying this and

about architecture and studying this and trial and error maybe all of this will

trial and error maybe all of this will

trial and error maybe all of this will be outsourced to you know farms of

be outsourced to you know farms of

be outsourced to you know farms of computers somewhere and we could just

computers somewhere and we could just

computers somewhere and we could just you know stick to the high level tasks

you know stick to the high level tasks

you know stick to the high level tasks but life is rarely that kind a despite

but life is rarely that kind a despite

but life is rarely that kind a despite fake news to the contrary we are long

fake news to the contrary we are long

fake news to the contrary we are long ways away from automating software

ways away from automating software

ways away from automating software development there were some articles on

development there were some articles on

development there were some articles on algorithms automating coding and III

algorithms automating coding and III

algorithms automating coding and III think that some people were a little bit

think that some people were a little bit

think that some people were a little bit panicked on this maybe all of the

panicked on this maybe all of the

panicked on this maybe all of the articles when deepening automates X

articles when deepening automates X

articles when deepening automates X causes some panic but I hang around I

causes some panic but I hang around I

causes some panic but I hang around I hang out with lots of software engineers

hang out with lots of software engineers

hang out with lots of software engineers so they were worried for like a second

so they were worried for like a second

so they were worried for like a second until they realized that this thing was

until they realized that this thing was

until they realized that this thing was actually really really dumb not that the

actually really really dumb not that the

actually really really dumb not that the the work was done but how the algorithm

the work was done but how the algorithm

the work was done but how the algorithm did it was nowhere close to software

did it was nowhere close to software

did it was nowhere close to software engineering it was a slightly better

engineering it was a slightly better

engineering it was a slightly better heuristic for picking random bits of

heuristic for picking random bits of

heuristic for picking random bits of code together and doing trial and error

code together and doing trial and error

code together and doing trial and error on that code and as we all know that is

on that code and as we all know that is

on that code and as we all know that is absolutely not how we do software

absolutely not how we do software

absolutely not how we do software engineering right like we design stuff

engineering right like we design stuff

engineering right like we design stuff upfront not trial and error it’s like

upfront not trial and error it’s like

upfront not trial and error it’s like all done by the books yeah this

all done by the books yeah this

all done by the books yeah this algorithm definitely can’t do that

algorithm definitely can’t do that

algorithm definitely can’t do that so we our jobs are safe right guys

ok so some people some people know what

ok so some people some people know what I’m talking about some great memes this

I’m talking about some great memes this

I’m talking about some great memes this is not really model output but if you do

is not really model output but if you do

is not really model output but if you do follow the field people love to have fun

follow the field people love to have fun

follow the field people love to have fun things in there some people actually

things in there some people actually

things in there some people actually wrote a conf a fait paper I think that’s

wrote a conf a fait paper I think that’s

wrote a conf a fait paper I think that’s pretty incredible it’s someone can like

pretty incredible it’s someone can like

pretty incredible it’s someone can like dedicate a research paper with I assume

dedicate a research paper with I assume

dedicate a research paper with I assume a real idea I didn’t read this but I

a real idea I didn’t read this but I

a real idea I didn’t read this but I assume it’s a real idea

assume it’s a real idea

assume it’s a real idea to a troll name I think it’s great and

to a troll name I think it’s great and

to a troll name I think it’s great and it shows like the speed of publishing in

it shows like the speed of publishing in

it shows like the speed of publishing in the field common Silicon Valley problem

the field common Silicon Valley problem

the field common Silicon Valley problem no deep learning will not solve all of

no deep learning will not solve all of

no deep learning will not solve all of your problems especially not your

your problems especially not your

your problems especially not your product definition problems it won’t

product definition problems it won’t

product definition problems it won’t find something useful for you to do and

find something useful for you to do and

find something useful for you to do and it will not make you magically rich

it will not make you magically rich

it will not make you magically rich despite a lot of belief to the contrary

despite a lot of belief to the contrary

despite a lot of belief to the contrary and similar to this image general chat

and similar to this image general chat

and similar to this image general chat bots are actually quite difficult you’d

bots are actually quite difficult you’d

bots are actually quite difficult you’d think that you just give you no model a

think that you just give you no model a

think that you just give you no model a dataset of two people talking and it’ll

dataset of two people talking and it’ll

dataset of two people talking and it’ll be able to replicate those people

be able to replicate those people

be able to replicate those people talking but it turns out that our

talking but it turns out that our

talking but it turns out that our language models are quite good at making

language models are quite good at making

language models are quite good at making things that look grammatically correct

things that look grammatically correct

things that look grammatically correct but are semantically quite terrible so

but are semantically quite terrible so

but are semantically quite terrible so they don’t have like they don’t have any

they don’t have like they don’t have any

they don’t have like they don’t have any history involved they don’t have there’s

history involved they don’t have there’s

history involved they don’t have there’s lots of issues of them and this like a

lots of issues of them and this like a

lots of issues of them and this like a misunderstanding too that led to a lot

misunderstanding too that led to a lot

misunderstanding too that led to a lot of companies starting products that

of companies starting products that

of companies starting products that ended up pivoting away from using deep

ended up pivoting away from using deep

ended up pivoting away from using deep learning at all and ended up using like

learning at all and ended up using like

learning at all and ended up using like an army of workers in the Philippines

an army of workers in the Philippines

an army of workers in the Philippines this manually doing the chatting for

this manually doing the chatting for

this manually doing the chatting for them which turns out to be a pretty

them which turns out to be a pretty

them which turns out to be a pretty economical way to do things but specific

economical way to do things but specific

economical way to do things but specific chat bots are very doable so when if you

chat bots are very doable so when if you

chat bots are very doable so when if you turn the problem from hey let’s generate

turn the problem from hey let’s generate

turn the problem from hey let’s generate arbitrary text to hey let’s pick among a

arbitrary text to hey let’s pick among a

arbitrary text to hey let’s pick among a small set of valid responses things

small set of valid responses things

small set of valid responses things become a lot easier this is in boxes

become a lot easier this is in boxes

become a lot easier this is in boxes smart reply which apparently is used by

smart reply which apparently is used by

smart reply which apparently is used by over ten percent of mobile infox replies

over ten percent of mobile infox replies

over ten percent of mobile infox replies which sounds like a lot of

which sounds like a lot of

which sounds like a lot of qualifications but I just think it’s

qualifications but I just think it’s

qualifications but I just think it’s cool that something started out as an

cool that something started out as an

cool that something started out as an April Fool’s Day is now real April

April Fool’s Day is now real April

April Fool’s Day is now real April Fool’s Day joke it’s also sweet

Fool’s Day joke it’s also sweet

Fool’s Day joke it’s also sweet animation but this kind of stuff is very

animation but this kind of stuff is very

animation but this kind of stuff is very plausible and I think that people who do

plausible and I think that people who do

plausible and I think that people who do use machine learning for chat BOTS will

use machine learning for chat BOTS will

use machine learning for chat BOTS will end up constraining the problem quite a

end up constraining the problem quite a

end up constraining the problem quite a bit and that’s actually very doable if

bit and that’s actually very doable if

bit and that’s actually very doable if you’re trying to classify like do I have

you’re trying to classify like do I have

you’re trying to classify like do I have enough information or is this person

enough information or is this person

enough information or is this person satisfied or do I need to pull another

satisfied or do I need to pull another

satisfied or do I need to pull another human in to actually chat through this

human in to actually chat through this

human in to actually chat through this person that’s much more doable than hey

person that’s much more doable than hey

person that’s much more doable than hey automatically solve this person’s IT

automatically solve this person’s IT

automatically solve this person’s IT issues which sounds really hard and

issues which sounds really hard and

issues which sounds really hard and similar in vain to that coherent text is

similar in vain to that coherent text is

similar in vain to that coherent text is quite a challenge like long any long

quite a challenge like long any long

quite a challenge like long any long amount of text a lot of journalists

amount of text a lot of journalists

amount of text a lot of journalists journalists I feel like a big victim to

journalists I feel like a big victim to

journalists I feel like a big victim to hype because it’s kind of their fault

hype because it’s kind of their fault

hype because it’s kind of their fault uh-huh and they’re kind of worried about

uh-huh and they’re kind of worried about

uh-huh and they’re kind of worried about their jobs about RDR deep nets and like

their jobs about RDR deep nets and like

their jobs about RDR deep nets and like start writing articles for us and the

start writing articles for us and the

start writing articles for us and the answer seems to be no so if you’re a

answer seems to be no so if you’re a

answer seems to be no so if you’re a journalist

journalist

journalist don’t worry sorry

did you say it’s hard to investigate

did you say it’s hard to investigate journalists as an AI

I couldn’t quite hear the last part of

I couldn’t quite hear the last part of that oh yeah for sure

that oh yeah for sure

that oh yeah for sure he said as may I it’s hard to do

he said as may I it’s hard to do

he said as may I it’s hard to do investigative journalism that is

investigative journalism that is

investigative journalism that is definitely true debatable about how much

definitely true debatable about how much

definitely true debatable about how much investigative journalism current

investigative journalism current

investigative journalism current journalists do but that’s definitely the

journalists do but that’s definitely the

journalists do but that’s definitely the case I think in this case it is even the

case I think in this case it is even the

case I think in this case it is even the worry that a lot of journalism is read

worry that a lot of journalism is read

worry that a lot of journalism is read stuff on Twitter turn it into an article

stuff on Twitter turn it into an article

stuff on Twitter turn it into an article hope to get lots of clicks make click

hope to get lots of clicks make click

hope to get lots of clicks make click vadie headline topic definitely not all

vadie headline topic definitely not all

vadie headline topic definitely not all of it but some fraction of it is that

of it but some fraction of it is that

of it but some fraction of it is that and I think that there is some worry

and I think that there is some worry

and I think that there is some worry about this like I believe in finance

about this like I believe in finance

about this like I believe in finance there’s a big race to like who can

there’s a big race to like who can

there’s a big race to like who can publish these articles first based on

publish these articles first based on

publish these articles first based on various data sources and if you’re not

various data sources and if you’re not

various data sources and if you’re not talking about quality but speed these

talking about quality but speed these

talking about quality but speed these things definitely have a speed advantage

yeah III I’m not I’m personally not

yeah III I’m not I’m personally not worried about journalists jobs being

worried about journalists jobs being

worried about journalists jobs being taken for sure cool sorry sorry I

taken for sure cool sorry sorry I

taken for sure cool sorry sorry I couldn’t hear you very well but thank

couldn’t hear you very well but thank

couldn’t hear you very well but thank you for yelling that time yeah so

you for yelling that time yeah so

you for yelling that time yeah so something that seems to be really

something that seems to be really

something that seems to be really promising I actually think that this is

promising I actually think that this is

promising I actually think that this is one of the most promising upcoming uses

one of the most promising upcoming uses

one of the most promising upcoming uses of deep learning that’s like not quite

of deep learning that’s like not quite

of deep learning that’s like not quite there but might be there and it’s like a

there but might be there and it’s like a

there but might be there and it’s like a would be a really sexy field to get into

would be a really sexy field to get into

would be a really sexy field to get into with robotics it seems like there’s a

with robotics it seems like there’s a

with robotics it seems like there’s a lot of really good stuff happening with

lot of really good stuff happening with

lot of really good stuff happening with imitation learning and a lot of people

imitation learning and a lot of people

imitation learning and a lot of people are invested just working oh it is

are invested just working oh it is

are invested just working oh it is working this is pretty cool people are

working this is pretty cool people are

working this is pretty cool people are investing in a lot of the the research

investing in a lot of the the research

investing in a lot of the the research labs are investing and getting the

labs are investing and getting the

labs are investing and getting the robots training together in like how do

robots training together in like how do

robots training together in like how do we collect lots of data for robots to

we collect lots of data for robots to

we collect lots of data for robots to get them working automatically because

get them working automatically because

get them working automatically because right now

right now

right now at least to my understanding I’m no

at least to my understanding I’m no

at least to my understanding I’m no roboticist is that majority of the work

roboticist is that majority of the work

roboticist is that majority of the work done by robots is done manually and if

done by robots is done manually and if

done by robots is done manually and if we can like make it a lot easier to

we can like make it a lot easier to

we can like make it a lot easier to train robots to do things that we care

train robots to do things that we care

train robots to do things that we care about maybe

about maybe

about maybe all of a sudden we’re going to have like

all of a sudden we’re going to have like

all of a sudden we’re going to have like more general programmable robots that

more general programmable robots that

more general programmable robots that people can do stuff with so that I think

people can do stuff with so that I think

people can do stuff with so that I think is really really promising and at least

is really really promising and at least

is really really promising and at least from a research perspective of someone

from a research perspective of someone

from a research perspective of someone who reads the papers and like keeps up

who reads the papers and like keeps up

who reads the papers and like keeps up with what people are doing it seems very

with what people are doing it seems very

with what people are doing it seems very plausible that this kind of thing could

plausible that this kind of thing could

plausible that this kind of thing could make a breakthrough in the near term

make a breakthrough in the near term

make a breakthrough in the near term especially with what’s called imitation

especially with what’s called imitation

especially with what’s called imitation learning where robots rather than

learning where robots rather than

learning where robots rather than learning by trial and error which can be

learning by trial and error which can be

learning by trial and error which can be very hard they just learn to copy humans

very hard they just learn to copy humans

very hard they just learn to copy humans which is goes back into the rule of

which is goes back into the rule of

which is goes back into the rule of thumb I was talking about we’re giving

thumb I was talking about we’re giving

thumb I was talking about we’re giving giving these algorithms supervised data

giving these algorithms supervised data

giving these algorithms supervised data telling them what to do generally works

telling them what to do generally works

telling them what to do generally works a lot better than hoping for magic that

a lot better than hoping for magic that

a lot better than hoping for magic that you know hoping that they will magically

you know hoping that they will magically

you know hoping that they will magically figure out the thing to do which is what

figure out the thing to do which is what

figure out the thing to do which is what a lot of the field is trying to get

a lot of the field is trying to get

a lot of the field is trying to get working right now depending on who you

working right now depending on who you

working right now depending on who you ask

ask

ask game playing I would count categories

game playing I would count categories

game playing I would count categories that is not yet there there have been

that is not yet there there have been

that is not yet there there have been some amazing successes in game playing

some amazing successes in game playing

some amazing successes in game playing but a lot of those successes aren’t

but a lot of those successes aren’t

but a lot of those successes aren’t quite super general a lot of it it’s

quite super general a lot of it it’s

quite super general a lot of it it’s like very input simple input output

like very input simple input output

like very input simple input output mapping like I was mentioning so Atari

mapping like I was mentioning so Atari

mapping like I was mentioning so Atari seemed to be a lot of that debatable

seemed to be a lot of that debatable

seemed to be a lot of that debatable whether or not go was that even though

whether or not go was that even though

whether or not go was that even though that was definitely a huge win but

that was definitely a huge win but

that was definitely a huge win but there’s been other games where models

there’s been other games where models

there’s been other games where models are nowhere near as successful so things

are nowhere near as successful so things

are nowhere near as successful so things like even like very simple Minecraft

like even like very simple Minecraft

like even like very simple Minecraft mazes it’s still the model still aren’t

mazes it’s still the model still aren’t

mazes it’s still the model still aren’t quite there yet or recently there’s been

quite there yet or recently there’s been

quite there yet or recently there’s been a bunch of work on doom visual doom like

a bunch of work on doom visual doom like

a bunch of work on doom visual doom like do them from the pixels and this model

do them from the pixels and this model

do them from the pixels and this model actually super cool let me see here does

actually super cool let me see here does

actually super cool let me see here does this work you can skip to the fighting

this work you can skip to the fighting

this work you can skip to the fighting so there’s been a lot of progress on

so there’s been a lot of progress on

so there’s been a lot of progress on that really recently this is like the

that really recently this is like the

that really recently this is like the what was the state of the art in 2013 if

what was the state of the art in 2013 if

what was the state of the art in 2013 if you can tell it’s like pretty dumb like

you can tell it’s like pretty dumb like

you can tell it’s like pretty dumb like shooting a wall right now let’s see here

shooting a wall right now let’s see here

shooting a wall right now let’s see here yeah this is so this is a little bit

yeah this is so this is a little bit

yeah this is so this is a little bit smarter this was state of the art in I

smarter this was state of the art in I

smarter this was state of the art in I would say 2016 ish mid 2016 this is

would say 2016 ish mid 2016 this is

would say 2016 ish mid 2016 this is still pretty dumb

still pretty dumb

still pretty dumb and people been making a lot more

and people been making a lot more

and people been making a lot more progress recently with this we’re look

progress recently with this we’re look

progress recently with this we’re look at this this is actually intimidating

at this this is actually intimidating

at this this is actually intimidating it’s like moving around its shooting

it’s like moving around its shooting

it’s like moving around its shooting intelligently etc etc there’s been a lot

intelligently etc etc there’s been a lot

intelligently etc etc there’s been a lot more progress being made in this and it

more progress being made in this and it

more progress being made in this and it seems that we’re nowhere near close to

seems that we’re nowhere near close to

seems that we’re nowhere near close to or at least to my knowledge solving

or at least to my knowledge solving

or at least to my knowledge solving something like Starcraft but it’s really

something like Starcraft but it’s really

something like Starcraft but it’s really promising and people are putting a lot

promising and people are putting a lot

promising and people are putting a lot of effort into this so the likelihood

of effort into this so the likelihood

of effort into this so the likelihood that we make some big breakthroughs in

that we make some big breakthroughs in

that we make some big breakthroughs in the coming years seems to be likely cool

the coming years seems to be likely cool

the coming years seems to be likely cool and this is category of stuff it’s like

and this is category of stuff it’s like

and this is category of stuff it’s like what I am one of the most excited about

what I am one of the most excited about

what I am one of the most excited about just because I would never consider

just because I would never consider

just because I would never consider using like these extremely powerful

using like these extremely powerful

using like these extremely powerful classification models for artsy things

classification models for artsy things

classification models for artsy things maybe that’s just me but some of these

maybe that’s just me but some of these

maybe that’s just me but some of these use cases are incredibly creative and

use cases are incredibly creative and

use cases are incredibly creative and incredibly cool and like this stuff is

incredibly cool and like this stuff is

incredibly cool and like this stuff is amazing this one came out pretty

amazing this one came out pretty

amazing this one came out pretty recently and it learns to transform

recently and it learns to transform

recently and it learns to transform images from different domains so

images from different domains so

images from different domains so transforming like a zebra into a horse

transforming like a zebra into a horse

transforming like a zebra into a horse or vice versa so image transformation it

or vice versa so image transformation it

or vice versa so image transformation it can be done can even be done with videos

can be done can even be done with videos

can be done can even be done with videos so this is like actually really done by

so this is like actually really done by

so this is like actually really done by a model it’s not like cherry pick data

but so it’s actually a transform this

but so it’s actually a transform this video and like this is not seamless but

video and like this is not seamless but

video and like this is not seamless but that’s pretty good better than I could

that’s pretty good better than I could

that’s pretty good better than I could do with Photoshop which is not saying

do with Photoshop which is not saying

do with Photoshop which is not saying much but like this is like pretty

much but like this is like pretty

much but like this is like pretty impressive and I would not even have

impressive and I would not even have

impressive and I would not even have thought of this as a use case like hey

thought of this as a use case like hey

thought of this as a use case like hey I’m a machining researcher at Google I

I’m a machining researcher at Google I

I’m a machining researcher at Google I have a you know giant cluster

have a you know giant cluster

have a you know giant cluster I’m gonna transform a horse into a zebra

I’m gonna transform a horse into a zebra

I’m gonna transform a horse into a zebra right

unfortunately this kind of thing is not

unfortunately this kind of thing is not completely reliable but this is pretty

completely reliable but this is pretty

completely reliable but this is pretty amusing so like with all machine

amusing so like with all machine

amusing so like with all machine learning like making it completely

learning like making it completely

learning like making it completely reliable can be challenging talking

reliable can be challenging talking

reliable can be challenging talking about that there’s been an app that’s

about that there’s been an app that’s

about that there’s been an app that’s been gaining popularity called face app

been gaining popularity called face app

been gaining popularity called face app that

that

that does facial transformation so in the top

does facial transformation so in the top

does facial transformation so in the top left you see the original photo top

left you see the original photo top

left you see the original photo top right you see like a more manly

right you see like a more manly

right you see like a more manly transformation you know like more edgy

transformation you know like more edgy

transformation you know like more edgy chin bill beardy then bottom left and

chin bill beardy then bottom left and

chin bill beardy then bottom left and old miss transformation and bottom right

old miss transformation and bottom right

old miss transformation and bottom right a smiling transformation and this is

a smiling transformation and this is

a smiling transformation and this is actually pretty good pretty good and

actually pretty good pretty good and

actually pretty good pretty good and like an app can do it on your phone no

like an app can do it on your phone no

like an app can do it on your phone no human input it just does it it’s pretty

human input it just does it it’s pretty

human input it just does it it’s pretty impressive that you can do this and this

impressive that you can do this and this

impressive that you can do this and this is a really cool use case unfortunately

is a really cool use case unfortunately

is a really cool use case unfortunately it’s not perfect in particular it’s also

it’s not perfect in particular it’s also

it’s not perfect in particular it’s also suffers from that bias problem like with

suffers from that bias problem like with

suffers from that bias problem like with many other things when you turn a cool

many other things when you turn a cool

many other things when you turn a cool model into a product it there’s a

model into a product it there’s a

model into a product it there’s a different set of requirements in this

different set of requirements in this

different set of requirements in this case they had a transformation which

case they had a transformation which

case they had a transformation which makes a person’s face hotter and one of

makes a person’s face hotter and one of

makes a person’s face hotter and one of the things it did was it always lighten

the things it did was it always lighten

the things it did was it always lighten skin which was offensive to some people

skin which was offensive to some people

skin which was offensive to some people yeah that they had to pull that feature

yeah that they had to pull that feature

yeah that they had to pull that feature I think or change I think they actually

I think or change I think they actually

I think or change I think they actually changed the name from hot to something

changed the name from hot to something

changed the name from hot to something else I can’t remember art is doable this

else I can’t remember art is doable this

else I can’t remember art is doable this is art from scratch or unconditional art

is art from scratch or unconditional art

is art from scratch or unconditional art like it’s like these models can just

like it’s like these models can just

like it’s like these models can just create these artsy things and I think

create these artsy things and I think

create these artsy things and I think that this is really really cool I

that this is really really cool I

that this is really really cool I personally think that these both look

personally think that these both look

personally think that these both look really good can I get a show of hands of

really good can I get a show of hands of

really good can I get a show of hands of who thinks the one on the left is better

who thinks the one on the left is better

who thinks the one on the left is better what about the right oh it looks like a

what about the right oh it looks like a

what about the right oh it looks like a tie I made the one on the left so I was

tie I made the one on the left so I was

tie I made the one on the left so I was hoping that people would vote for that

hoping that people would vote for that

hoping that people would vote for that one cool I think they’re both really

one cool I think they’re both really

one cool I think they’re both really cool I would definitely have a poster of

cool I would definitely have a poster of

cool I would definitely have a poster of that in my room or a painting of that in

that in my room or a painting of that in

that in my room or a painting of that in my house then this kind of thing like

my house then this kind of thing like

my house then this kind of thing like who would have even thought that as a

who would have even thought that as a

who would have even thought that as a side effect of these really powerful

side effect of these really powerful

side effect of these really powerful actually useful things we would get art

oh yeah I’m definitely not claiming that

oh yeah I’m definitely not claiming that this is the like the the the first thing

this is the like the the the first thing

this is the like the the the first thing in terms of algorithmic arts it’s just I

in terms of algorithmic arts it’s just I

in terms of algorithmic arts it’s just I find to just be a really cool use case

find to just be a really cool use case

find to just be a really cool use case of deep learning because when III don’t

of deep learning because when III don’t

of deep learning because when III don’t think ten years ago people would have

think ten years ago people would have

think ten years ago people would have imagined like yeah imagine all of these

imagined like yeah imagine all of these

imagined like yeah imagine all of these cool pictures will make and every

cool pictures will make and every

cool pictures will make and every actually every time there’s a new use

actually every time there’s a new use

actually every time there’s a new use case in art I’m just amazed like who

case in art I’m just amazed like who

case in art I’m just amazed like who thought of this like who spent their

thought of this like who spent their

thought of this like who spent their time on this and I’m thankful for that

time on this and I’m thankful for that

time on this and I’m thankful for that because I wouldn’t have done it but I

because I wouldn’t have done it but I

because I wouldn’t have done it but I think it’s really awesome and I think in

think it’s really awesome and I think in

think it’s really awesome and I think in some ways it’s also kind of cool that

some ways it’s also kind of cool that

some ways it’s also kind of cool that unlike fractals or something like that

unlike fractals or something like that

unlike fractals or something like that it feels like there’s there’s a lot more

it feels like there’s there’s a lot more

it feels like there’s there’s a lot more like there’s more unknown unknowns in

like there’s more unknown unknowns in

like there’s more unknown unknowns in this right now which makes it really

this right now which makes it really

this right now which makes it really promising as well maybe that’s from my

promising as well maybe that’s from my

promising as well maybe that’s from my misunderstanding of art though or

misunderstanding of art though or

misunderstanding of art though or algorithms or anything I’m not expert in

algorithms or anything I’m not expert in

algorithms or anything I’m not expert in any of this stuff sketching with another

any of this stuff sketching with another

any of this stuff sketching with another recent use case where you just train in

recent use case where you just train in

recent use case where you just train in a data set of humans drawing little

a data set of humans drawing little

a data set of humans drawing little things and the things in the the top

things and the things in the the top

things and the things in the the top corner up there is things that the model

corner up there is things that the model

corner up there is things that the model drew and in the bottom here you can

drew and in the bottom here you can

drew and in the bottom here you can actually do math on sketches so you take

actually do math on sketches so you take

actually do math on sketches so you take like a cat face you add in a pig with a

like a cat face you add in a pig with a

like a cat face you add in a pig with a body you subtract a pig face and you end

body you subtract a pig face and you end

body you subtract a pig face and you end up with like a cat with a body and like

up with like a cat with a body and like

up with like a cat with a body and like it’s kind of cool that it works I mean

it’s kind of cool that it works I mean

it’s kind of cool that it works I mean the math checks out so awesome for for

the math checks out so awesome for for

the math checks out so awesome for for the non artists in the room you can also

the non artists in the room you can also

the non artists in the room you can also turn what is arguably not art in the

turn what is arguably not art in the

turn what is arguably not art in the bottom-left into something that is

bottom-left into something that is

bottom-left into something that is potentially art so this is another very

potentially art so this is another very

potentially art so this is another very cool use case where you like it can like

cool use case where you like it can like

cool use case where you like it can like enable people to it becomes almost like

enable people to it becomes almost like

enable people to it becomes almost like you know a new artistic medium right

you know a new artistic medium right

you know a new artistic medium right where you can now use these things to

where you can now use these things to

where you can now use these things to enhance existing art to do things maybe

enhance existing art to do things maybe

enhance existing art to do things maybe that people wouldn’t have done before or

that people wouldn’t have done before or

that people wouldn’t have done before or enable people who couldn’t have done

enable people who couldn’t have done

enable people who couldn’t have done this before

this before

this before or maybe just make it more faster

or maybe just make it more faster

or maybe just make it more faster thing like that it feels almost like you

thing like that it feels almost like you

thing like that it feels almost like you know like a new instrument from the

know like a new instrument from the

know like a new instrument from the musical sense so this stuff is really

musical sense so this stuff is really

musical sense so this stuff is really cool style transfer I think this is

cool style transfer I think this is

cool style transfer I think this is crazy because a year and a half ago this

crazy because a year and a half ago this

crazy because a year and a half ago this was already looking really good and it’s

was already looking really good and it’s

was already looking really good and it’s just gotten better and better so this is

just gotten better and better so this is

just gotten better and better so this is like going so well I actually I should

like going so well I actually I should

like going so well I actually I should have put the old pictures here as well

have put the old pictures here as well

have put the old pictures here as well but like these are the new what I think

but like these are the new what I think

but like these are the new what I think is the latest in style transfer and this

is the latest in style transfer and this

is the latest in style transfer and this is pretty good like you can see

is pretty good like you can see

is pretty good like you can see transferring the style of a fire into a

transferring the style of a fire into a

transferring the style of a fire into a bottle like this is like a professional

bottle like this is like a professional

bottle like this is like a professional Photoshop job and I guess and this is

Photoshop job and I guess and this is

Photoshop job and I guess and this is like impressive and I would want to do

like impressive and I would want to do

like impressive and I would want to do this and I look forward to this being

this and I look forward to this being

this and I look forward to this being able to be done for me because I don’t

able to be done for me because I don’t

able to be done for me because I don’t want to implement it myself but there’s

want to implement it myself but there’s

want to implement it myself but there’s a lot of really cool stuff being done

a lot of really cool stuff being done

a lot of really cool stuff being done with style transfer and this stuff is

with style transfer and this stuff is

with style transfer and this stuff is really pragmatic because like

really pragmatic because like

really pragmatic because like aesthetically this is already like very

aesthetically this is already like very

aesthetically this is already like very high quality this is my crowning

high quality this is my crowning

high quality this is my crowning achievement actually mixing my face with

achievement actually mixing my face with

achievement actually mixing my face with that of a Pokemon probably my best

that of a Pokemon probably my best

that of a Pokemon probably my best achievement and deep learning definitely

achievement and deep learning definitely

achievement and deep learning definitely works would recommend trying it again

works would recommend trying it again

works would recommend trying it again and probably newer stuff will work even

and probably newer stuff will work even

and probably newer stuff will work even better and as far as specific go there’s

better and as far as specific go there’s

better and as far as specific go there’s all sorts of other things a rough

all sorts of other things a rough

all sorts of other things a rough formula is taken input that is similar

formula is taken input that is similar

formula is taken input that is similar to another input that deep learning has

to another input that deep learning has

to another input that deep learning has succeeded on like images audio raw text

succeeded on like images audio raw text

succeeded on like images audio raw text other domains like that pick a response

other domains like that pick a response

other domains like that pick a response that is a relatively simple mapping from

that is a relatively simple mapping from

that is a relatively simple mapping from that input so nothing too complicated

that input so nothing too complicated

that input so nothing too complicated but simple mappings like are they human

but simple mappings like are they human

but simple mappings like are they human faces and collected data set trainer

faces and collected data set trainer

faces and collected data set trainer model usually something like that gets

model usually something like that gets

model usually something like that gets just something that works quite well and

just something that works quite well and

just something that works quite well and as far as what it can do if you if you

as far as what it can do if you if you

as far as what it can do if you if you pick the right things generally it

pick the right things generally it

pick the right things generally it generally makes it is the valgar isn’t

generally makes it is the valgar isn’t

generally makes it is the valgar isn’t helped you a lot in doing

helped you a lot in doing

helped you a lot in doing a lot of the easy work for you getting

a lot of the easy work for you getting

a lot of the easy work for you getting like the last bit of presents always a

like the last bit of presents always a

like the last bit of presents always a lot of work but you you’ll know if you

lot of work but you you’ll know if you

lot of work but you you’ll know if you can get it which is it which makes it a

can get it which is it which makes it a

can get it which is it which makes it a little bit easier

little bit easier

little bit easier oh so back to the big questions how will

oh so back to the big questions how will

oh so back to the big questions how will the world change I think this is a great

the world change I think this is a great

the world change I think this is a great tweet like Andrew Inge

tweet like Andrew Inge

tweet like Andrew Inge I do believe automation and steroids is

I do believe automation and steroids is

I do believe automation and steroids is the right way to think about it not

the right way to think about it not

the right way to think about it not sentience or AI overlords or anything

sentience or AI overlords or anything

sentience or AI overlords or anything else like that I actually would be quite

else like that I actually would be quite

else like that I actually would be quite pleasantly surprised to see generally I

pleasantly surprised to see generally I

pleasantly surprised to see generally I in my lifetime just because I think

in my lifetime just because I think

in my lifetime just because I think that’s so unlikely and that’s not

that’s so unlikely and that’s not

that’s so unlikely and that’s not because despite what my current pants

because despite what my current pants

because despite what my current pants might imply that I’m one of the live

might imply that I’m one of the live

might imply that I’m one of the live fast die young types it’s it’s that I I

fast die young types it’s it’s that I I

fast die young types it’s it’s that I I think that it’s quite quite a ways away

think that it’s quite quite a ways away

think that it’s quite quite a ways away though I would love to be wrong as far

though I would love to be wrong as far

though I would love to be wrong as far as how the world change I won’t claim to

as how the world change I won’t claim to

as how the world change I won’t claim to be an expert on the societal effects of

be an expert on the societal effects of

be an expert on the societal effects of automation but luckily this guy would he

automation but luckily this guy would he

automation but luckily this guy would he had a TED talk called will automation

had a TED talk called will automation

had a TED talk called will automation take away all our jobs all seems like a

take away all our jobs all seems like a

take away all our jobs all seems like a little bit of a weasel word here it has

little bit of a weasel word here it has

little bit of a weasel word here it has over a million views and bet riches law

over a million views and bet riches law

over a million views and bet riches law of headlines applies here any headline

of headlines applies here any headline

of headlines applies here any headline that ends in a question mark can be

that ends in a question mark can be

that ends in a question mark can be answered by no so the answer is no

answered by no so the answer is no

answered by no so the answer is no saving you 18 minutes the claim is that

saving you 18 minutes the claim is that

saving you 18 minutes the claim is that AI automation just like other automation

AI automation just like other automation

AI automation just like other automation will take some jobs away but it will

will take some jobs away but it will

will take some jobs away but it will probably do much more transformation of

probably do much more transformation of

probably do much more transformation of jobs because a lot of jobs aren’t these

jobs because a lot of jobs aren’t these

jobs because a lot of jobs aren’t these just simple mappings and there’s more

just simple mappings and there’s more

just simple mappings and there’s more complicated new instincts to them but

complicated new instincts to them but

complicated new instincts to them but automation increases the leverage of any

automation increases the leverage of any

automation increases the leverage of any person and there will be a lot more jobs

person and there will be a lot more jobs

person and there will be a lot more jobs that we just can’t imagine will happen

that we just can’t imagine will happen

that we just can’t imagine will happen so that’s his view I don’t have strong

so that’s his view I don’t have strong

so that’s his view I don’t have strong views in this yeah what can deep

views in this yeah what can deep

views in this yeah what can deep learning do the fields really exciting

learning do the fields really exciting

learning do the fields really exciting there’s a whole lot of things that we

there’s a whole lot of things that we

there’s a whole lot of things that we can do now that we previously couldn’t a

can do now that we previously couldn’t a

can do now that we previously couldn’t a lot of things that were once thought to

lot of things that were once thought to

lot of things that were once thought to be really really hard are now doable

be really really hard are now doable

be really really hard are now doable people fought out of solving go was like

people fought out of solving go was like

people fought out of solving go was like a hundred years away or more and there’s

a hundred years away or more and there’s

a hundred years away or more and there’s all sorts of fields that this could

all sorts of fields that this could

all sorts of fields that this could affect

affect

affect as far as specifics ago which is what

as far as specifics ago which is what

as far as specifics ago which is what would actually be more useful to you

would actually be more useful to you

would actually be more useful to you guys

guys

guys the answer is it’s kind of complicated

the answer is it’s kind of complicated

the answer is it’s kind of complicated my advice would be to look at example

my advice would be to look at example

my advice would be to look at example failure and success cases network with

failure and success cases network with

failure and success cases network with researchers and people in industry or

researchers and people in industry or

researchers and people in industry or use someone’s rule of thumb maybe my own

use someone’s rule of thumb maybe my own

use someone’s rule of thumb maybe my own maybe take it and change it but really

maybe take it and change it but really

maybe take it and change it but really you want to build your own mental

you want to build your own mental

you want to build your own mental classifier of what isn’t isn’t possible

classifier of what isn’t isn’t possible

classifier of what isn’t isn’t possible and refine that classifier around the

and refine that classifier around the

and refine that classifier around the set of problems that you specifically

set of problems that you specifically

set of problems that you specifically care about so if you want like a

care about so if you want like a

care about so if you want like a specific like I want to figure out if

specific like I want to figure out if

specific like I want to figure out if deep learning can find X in a genomic

deep learning can find X in a genomic

deep learning can find X in a genomic data set you like go into the research

data set you like go into the research

data set you like go into the research look at that figure out like what seems

look at that figure out like what seems

look at that figure out like what seems possible what’s not and there’s so many

possible what’s not and there’s so many

possible what’s not and there’s so many problems out there that you might have

problems out there that you might have

problems out there that you might have you might end up being the world expert

you might end up being the world expert

you might end up being the world expert in knowing if deep learning works for

in knowing if deep learning works for

in knowing if deep learning works for your problem so it’s just there’s so

your problem so it’s just there’s so

your problem so it’s just there’s so much opportunity right there that if you

much opportunity right there that if you

much opportunity right there that if you ask anyone there probably will tell you

ask anyone there probably will tell you

ask anyone there probably will tell you an answer because people love to give

an answer because people love to give

an answer because people love to give answers but they probably won’t give you

answers but they probably won’t give you

answers but they probably won’t give you a very good one including myself so

a very good one including myself so

a very good one including myself so right now it’s unavoidable to do some of

right now it’s unavoidable to do some of

right now it’s unavoidable to do some of that work unless you do something that

that work unless you do something that

that work unless you do something that someone’s already solved but that’s kind

someone’s already solved but that’s kind

someone’s already solved but that’s kind of a cop-out answer the last big

of a cop-out answer the last big

of a cop-out answer the last big question it was how do I take advantage

question it was how do I take advantage

question it was how do I take advantage of these trends I think it’s a lot like

of these trends I think it’s a lot like

of these trends I think it’s a lot like learning softer engineering especially

learning softer engineering especially

learning softer engineering especially back in like when the internet was young

back in like when the internet was young

back in like when the internet was young and my answers scratch your own itch

and my answers scratch your own itch

and my answers scratch your own itch play around with it a lot of the work on

play around with it a lot of the work on

play around with it a lot of the work on art specifically was done by hobbyists

art specifically was done by hobbyists

art specifically was done by hobbyists and not researchers and we have no idea

and not researchers and we have no idea

and not researchers and we have no idea yet what can be done on you know the

yet what can be done on you know the

yet what can be done on you know the problems you care about and for all you

problems you care about and for all you

problems you care about and for all you know you might be sitting on depending

know you might be sitting on depending

know you might be sitting on depending the next killer app that no one else is

the next killer app that no one else is

the next killer app that no one else is thought of and it’s scratching your own

thought of and it’s scratching your own

thought of and it’s scratching your own itch leads to something valid for others

itch leads to something valid for others

itch leads to something valid for others start a company on it there’s lots of

start a company on it there’s lots of

start a company on it there’s lots of money for companies going around right

money for companies going around right

money for companies going around right right now and the world needs more AI

right now and the world needs more AI

right now and the world needs more AI companies that actually provide value

companies that actually provide value

companies that actually provide value I’m not gonna name names and also

I’m not gonna name names and also

I’m not gonna name names and also prepare for like a sweet transition

prepare for like a sweet transition

prepare for like a sweet transition consider joining Google it’s the best or

consider joining Google it’s the best or

consider joining Google it’s the best or any other like AI focused company which

any other like AI focused company which

any other like AI focused company which is like interesting impactful problems

is like interesting impactful problems

is like interesting impactful problems and the resources to solve those

and the resources to solve those

and the resources to solve those problems

problems

problems thank you

thank you

thank you you

”

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