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Will AI outsmart humans? | Mateja Jamnik | TEDxKlagenfurt


[Music]

[Music] [Applause]

[Applause]

[Applause] humans love to pretend that objects are

humans love to pretend that objects are

humans love to pretend that objects are like people we give them names we talk

like people we give them names we talk

like people we give them names we talk to them we get attached to them like Tom

to them we get attached to them like Tom

to them we get attached to them like Tom hangs here in castaway talking to his

hangs here in castaway talking to his

hangs here in castaway talking to his friend of olive oil called Wilson but

friend of olive oil called Wilson but

friend of olive oil called Wilson but when it comes to computers how do you

when it comes to computers how do you

when it comes to computers how do you feel about machines thinking like people

feel about machines thinking like people

feel about machines thinking like people and if machines can think like people

and if machines can think like people

and if machines can think like people what if one day they begin to think

what if one day they begin to think

what if one day they begin to think better than us these are the sorts of

better than us these are the sorts of

better than us these are the sorts of questions that people keep asking me how

questions that people keep asking me how

questions that people keep asking me how far away are we from being outsmarted by

far away are we from being outsmarted by

far away are we from being outsmarted by computers how far is the development of

computers how far is the development of

computers how far is the development of artificial intelligence I’m a researcher

artificial intelligence I’m a researcher

artificial intelligence I’m a researcher in artificial intelligence at Cambridge

in artificial intelligence at Cambridge

in artificial intelligence at Cambridge University and it’s been my life’s work

University and it’s been my life’s work

University and it’s been my life’s work to address these questions artificial

to address these questions artificial

to address these questions artificial intelligence is making the news

intelligence is making the news

intelligence is making the news headlines almost daily we read about the

headlines almost daily we read about the

headlines almost daily we read about the computer deep mind beating the world

computer deep mind beating the world

computer deep mind beating the world grandmaster in the game of go driverless

grandmaster in the game of go driverless

grandmaster in the game of go driverless cars are being tested on our streets

cars are being tested on our streets

cars are being tested on our streets drones are going to be delivering our

drones are going to be delivering our

drones are going to be delivering our parcels films like ex machina and Blade

parcels films like ex machina and Blade

parcels films like ex machina and Blade Runner are portraying our future

Runner are portraying our future

Runner are portraying our future populated with robots that are

populated with robots that are

populated with robots that are indistinguishable from us but what does

indistinguishable from us but what does

indistinguishable from us but what does the future of AI really hoped for us

the future of AI really hoped for us

the future of AI really hoped for us when I was a child I loved maths what I

when I was a child I loved maths what I

when I was a child I loved maths what I really really was fascinated about was

really really was fascinated about was

really really was fascinated about was the beauty and the elegance of the

the beauty and the elegance of the

the beauty and the elegance of the solutions that I saw and sometimes even

solutions that I saw and sometimes even

solutions that I saw and sometimes even found by myself and I was also

found by myself and I was also

found by myself and I was also interested in people so I wondered how

interested in people so I wondered how

interested in people so I wondered how do you people come up with such

do you people come up with such

do you people come up with such intuitive answers

intuitive answers

intuitive answers as I went through my education and work

as I went through my education and work

as I went through my education and work journey I began to investigate this kind

journey I began to investigate this kind

journey I began to investigate this kind of human thinking and try to make

of human thinking and try to make

of human thinking and try to make computers do the same I want computers

computers do the same I want computers

computers do the same I want computers to find solutions that are intuitive to

to find solutions that are intuitive to

to find solutions that are intuitive to humans let me give you an example what I

humans let me give you an example what I

humans let me give you an example what I mean by intuitive human thinking here’s

mean by intuitive human thinking here’s

mean by intuitive human thinking here’s a checkerboard it’s called a mutilated

a checkerboard it’s called a mutilated

a checkerboard it’s called a mutilated checkerboard because two diagonal

checkerboard because two diagonal

checkerboard because two diagonal corners have been removed now a famous

corners have been removed now a famous

corners have been removed now a famous problem asks can you cover this mutilate

problem asks can you cover this mutilate

problem asks can you cover this mutilate the checkerboard with Domino’s there are

the checkerboard with Domino’s there are

the checkerboard with Domino’s there are many ways that we could try to do that

many ways that we could try to do that

many ways that we could try to do that like this

still no now consider this idea let’s

still no now consider this idea let’s color this board black and white like a

color this board black and white like a

color this board black and white like a chess board and now it’s immediately

chess board and now it’s immediately

chess board and now it’s immediately obvious that we have more black squares

obvious that we have more black squares

obvious that we have more black squares than white squares because when we

than white squares because when we

than white squares because when we mutilated the board we removed two white

mutilated the board we removed two white

mutilated the board we removed two white squares but we need there to be the same

squares but we need there to be the same

squares but we need there to be the same number of black squares and white

number of black squares and white

number of black squares and white squares because a domino covers one

squares because a domino covers one

squares because a domino covers one black and one white square so it’s

black and one white square so it’s

black and one white square so it’s obvious we will never be able to cover

obvious we will never be able to cover

obvious we will never be able to cover this mutilated checkerboard with

this mutilated checkerboard with

this mutilated checkerboard with dominoes

dominoes

dominoes this is something so easy and simple for

this is something so easy and simple for

this is something so easy and simple for people to see and understand no symbols

people to see and understand no symbols

people to see and understand no symbols no algebra no numbers I’m done now what

no algebra no numbers I’m done now what

no algebra no numbers I’m done now what do you think how does a computer go

do you think how does a computer go

do you think how does a computer go about solving this problem this is how

about solving this problem this is how

about solving this problem this is how lots of symbols

lots of symbols

lots of symbols lots of algebra lots of mathematical

lots of algebra lots of mathematical

lots of algebra lots of mathematical concepts it’s completely unintelligible

concepts it’s completely unintelligible

concepts it’s completely unintelligible and the intuition behind

and the intuition behind

and the intuition behind human solution is completely lost in it

human solution is completely lost in it

human solution is completely lost in it computers can’t capture this kind of

computers can’t capture this kind of

computers can’t capture this kind of human thinking yet this is what

human thinking yet this is what

human thinking yet this is what fascinates me how do we emulate this

fascinates me how do we emulate this

fascinates me how do we emulate this kind of human thinking on machines now

kind of human thinking on machines now

kind of human thinking on machines now artificial intelligence has long strived

artificial intelligence has long strived

artificial intelligence has long strived to achieve computer thinking and

to achieve computer thinking and

to achieve computer thinking and behavior that is indistinguishable from

behavior that is indistinguishable from

behavior that is indistinguishable from a human so why is it that AI is such a

a human so why is it that AI is such a

a human so why is it that AI is such a hot topic now

hot topic now

hot topic now well there are three main advances there

well there are three main advances there

well there are three main advances there are enabling us to make huge progress in

are enabling us to make huge progress in

are enabling us to make huge progress in AI research and they are the

AI research and they are the

AI research and they are the availability of masses of data that we

availability of masses of data that we

availability of masses of data that we all generate all the time the massive

all generate all the time the massive

all generate all the time the massive computing power that we have access to

computing power that we have access to

computing power that we have access to today and the new and more sophisticated

today and the new and more sophisticated

today and the new and more sophisticated machine learning algorithms that we

machine learning algorithms that we

machine learning algorithms that we haven’t considered before so in terms of

haven’t considered before so in terms of

haven’t considered before so in terms of data every click you make is recorded

data every click you make is recorded

data every click you make is recorded somewhere every video you watch every

somewhere every video you watch every

somewhere every video you watch every item you buy online everything you say

item you buy online everything you say

item you buy online everything you say to your friends on social media and this

to your friends on social media and this

to your friends on social media and this data is used to learn something and to

data is used to learn something and to

data is used to learn something and to gain insights about you individually so

gain insights about you individually so

gain insights about you individually so that you can get personalized

that you can get personalized

that you can get personalized recommendations such as what kind of

recommendations such as what kind of

recommendations such as what kind of film you might like but more than that

film you might like but more than that

film you might like but more than that it’s also used to learn about groups of

it’s also used to learn about groups of

it’s also used to learn about groups of people and their behavior computing

people and their behavior computing

people and their behavior computing power well you can rent it really

power well you can rent it really

power well you can rent it really cheaply from anyone of for example

cheaply from anyone of for example

cheaply from anyone of for example Amazon’s data centers and gain access to

Amazon’s data centers and gain access to

Amazon’s data centers and gain access to its 80,000 or so computer servers for

its 80,000 or so computer servers for

its 80,000 or so computer servers for comparison the Watson computer that beat

comparison the Watson computer that beat

comparison the Watson computer that beat a human in jeopardy

a human in jeopardy

a human in jeopardy in 2011 used 90 servers so we have

in 2011 used 90 servers so we have

in 2011 used 90 servers so we have instant access to massive computing

instant access to massive computing

instant access to massive computing power

power

power but if the neumes and more sophisticated

but if the neumes and more sophisticated

but if the neumes and more sophisticated machine learning algorithms that are at

machine learning algorithms that are at

machine learning algorithms that are at the heart of the AI revolution unlike in

the heart of the AI revolution unlike in

the heart of the AI revolution unlike in the past when we build these specialized

the past when we build these specialized

the past when we build these specialized systems that knew about problems and

systems that knew about problems and

systems that knew about problems and went about solving these specific

went about solving these specific

went about solving these specific problems the machine learning algorithms

problems the machine learning algorithms

problems the machine learning algorithms of today know nothing about the problems

of today know nothing about the problems

of today know nothing about the problems they only know about learning they only

they only know about learning they only

they only know about learning they only know about learning

know about learning

know about learning take for example autocorrect on your

take for example autocorrect on your

take for example autocorrect on your phone

phone

phone previously your spelling mistake would

previously your spelling mistake would

previously your spelling mistake would rarely be picked up and even then only

rarely be picked up and even then only

rarely be picked up and even then only if it was misspelled in a particular way

if it was misspelled in a particular way

if it was misspelled in a particular way and this was because these were

and this was because these were

and this was because these were specialized system that had very

specialized system that had very

specialized system that had very specific rules today I can type into my

specific rules today I can type into my

specific rules today I can type into my phone in Slovene and even though my

phone in Slovene and even though my

phone in Slovene and even though my phone knows nothing about this foreign

phone knows nothing about this foreign

phone knows nothing about this foreign language it will be able to learn how I

language it will be able to learn how I

language it will be able to learn how I spell surveen words and even how I

spell surveen words and even how I

spell surveen words and even how I misspell them now this is interesting

misspell them now this is interesting

misspell them now this is interesting because it seems rather counterintuitive

because it seems rather counterintuitive

because it seems rather counterintuitive doesn’t it so these machine learning

doesn’t it so these machine learning

doesn’t it so these machine learning algorithms know nothing about the

algorithms know nothing about the

algorithms know nothing about the problem instead they are general in that

problem instead they are general in that

problem instead they are general in that they can take any data and crunch it and

they can take any data and crunch it and

they can take any data and crunch it and spot patterns in fact any problem that

spot patterns in fact any problem that

spot patterns in fact any problem that can be recast as a statistical algorithm

can be recast as a statistical algorithm

can be recast as a statistical algorithm running on huge datasets can now be

running on huge datasets can now be

running on huge datasets can now be revisited and tackled again using these

revisited and tackled again using these

revisited and tackled again using these new creative approaches so for example

new creative approaches so for example

new creative approaches so for example the modern dating apps use new machine

the modern dating apps use new machine

the modern dating apps use new machine learning algorithms and the result is

learning algorithms and the result is

learning algorithms and the result is your ideal partner did you know

your ideal partner did you know

your ideal partner did you know apparently one in three of us use them

apparently one in three of us use them

apparently one in three of us use them but there are huge challenges in trying

but there are huge challenges in trying

but there are huge challenges in trying to achieve what sometimes is referred to

to achieve what sometimes is referred to

to achieve what sometimes is referred to as general AI a flexible adaptable

as general AI a flexible adaptable

as general AI a flexible adaptable learning self improving system that does

learning self improving system that does

learning self improving system that does all the things that the human does in

all the things that the human does in

all the things that the human does in ways that are indistinguishable from a

ways that are indistinguishable from a

ways that are indistinguishable from a human computer systems today are super

human computer systems today are super

human computer systems today are super fast are dealing with lots of data

fast are dealing with lots of data

fast are dealing with lots of data that far exceeds human capabilities but

that far exceeds human capabilities but

that far exceeds human capabilities but they do so in ways that are machine

they do so in ways that are machine

they do so in ways that are machine oriented and most of the time

oriented and most of the time

oriented and most of the time incomprehensible to humans one of the

incomprehensible to humans one of the

incomprehensible to humans one of the things that they lack is the ability to

things that they lack is the ability to

things that they lack is the ability to think intuitively like humans not yet

think intuitively like humans not yet

think intuitively like humans not yet now this brings me back to my love of

now this brings me back to my love of

now this brings me back to my love of maths and people and in my work I look

maths and people and in my work I look

maths and people and in my work I look at how people solve mathematical

at how people solve mathematical

at how people solve mathematical problems and then I make computers do

problems and then I make computers do

problems and then I make computers do the same in particular I’m interested in

the same in particular I’m interested in

the same in particular I’m interested in how people solve problems with using

how people solve problems with using

how people solve problems with using intuitive methods like using diagrams

intuitive methods like using diagrams

intuitive methods like using diagrams here’s an example I’m going to add up

here’s an example I’m going to add up

here’s an example I’m going to add up all the numbers from 1 to any number

all the numbers from 1 to any number

all the numbers from 1 to any number that you give me yes any number so any

that you give me yes any number so any

that you give me yes any number so any number from 0 to 100 let’s say so I I

number from 0 to 100 let’s say so I I

number from 0 to 100 let’s say so I I have a chance even so if look can I hear

have a chance even so if look can I hear

have a chance even so if look can I hear a number ok I hear 53 so the sum of all

a number ok I hear 53 so the sum of all

a number ok I hear 53 so the sum of all the numbers from 1 to 53 is 1431 how did

the numbers from 1 to 53 is 1431 how did

the numbers from 1 to 53 is 1431 how did I do that

I do that

I do that well I used the theorem this one so I

well I used the theorem this one so I

well I used the theorem this one so I didn’t really add up all the numbers for

didn’t really add up all the numbers for

didn’t really add up all the numbers for 1 to 53 instead I multiplied it 53 times

1 to 53 instead I multiplied it 53 times

1 to 53 instead I multiplied it 53 times 54 divided by 2 because I used this

54 divided by 2 because I used this

54 divided by 2 because I used this theorem it’s much easier and faster that

theorem it’s much easier and faster that

theorem it’s much easier and faster that way so this is the kind of problem that

way so this is the kind of problem that

way so this is the kind of problem that you may remember from your maths classes

you may remember from your maths classes

you may remember from your maths classes in school so and my children are now

in school so and my children are now

in school so and my children are now learning about it so let me see show of

learning about it so let me see show of

learning about it so let me see show of hands how many of you remember this from

hands how many of you remember this from

hands how many of you remember this from school ah some some not all let’s see if

school ah some some not all let’s see if

school ah some some not all let’s see if I can jog your memory and I will show

I can jog your memory and I will show

I can jog your memory and I will show you how I was taught this problem in

you how I was taught this problem in

you how I was taught this problem in school we used a diagram

school we used a diagram

school we used a diagram so my job is to add up all the numbers

so my job is to add up all the numbers

so my job is to add up all the numbers from to show that adding up all the

from to show that adding up all the

from to show that adding up all the numbers from 1 to any number n equals to

numbers from 1 to any number n equals to

numbers from 1 to any number n equals to n times n plus 1 divided by 2 so I’m

n times n plus 1 divided by 2 so I’m

n times n plus 1 divided by 2 so I’m gonna represent because we’re talking

gonna represent because we’re talking

gonna represent because we’re talking about numbers I’m gonna represent them

about numbers I’m gonna represent them

about numbers I’m gonna represent them with using counters and in fact I’m

with using counters and in fact I’m

with using counters and in fact I’m gonna start showing one side of the

gonna start showing one side of the

gonna start showing one side of the equation n times n plus 1 and so I will

equation n times n plus 1 and so I will

equation n times n plus 1 and so I will take a rectangle in fact I’m gonna take

take a rectangle in fact I’m gonna take

take a rectangle in fact I’m gonna take n to be a particular number to be a

n to be a particular number to be a

n to be a particular number to be a number 5 so I’m gonna draw a diagram a

number 5 so I’m gonna draw a diagram a

number 5 so I’m gonna draw a diagram a rectangle that is five counters wide and

rectangle that is five counters wide and

rectangle that is five counters wide and six counters tall and that’s my n times

six counters tall and that’s my n times

six counters tall and that’s my n times n plus 1 now imagine cutting this

n plus 1 now imagine cutting this

n plus 1 now imagine cutting this rectangle down the diagonal like this

rectangle down the diagonal like this

rectangle down the diagonal like this and you can see that what we get is two

and you can see that what we get is two

and you can see that what we get is two identical triangles and each is five

identical triangles and each is five

identical triangles and each is five counters tall but my problem halfs my

counters tall but my problem halfs my

counters tall but my problem halfs my rectangle it says n times n plus 1

rectangle it says n times n plus 1

rectangle it says n times n plus 1 divided by 2 so I’m just gonna take one

divided by 2 so I’m just gonna take one

divided by 2 so I’m just gonna take one of these triangles and this now

of these triangles and this now

of these triangles and this now represents one side of my equation now

represents one side of my equation now

represents one side of my equation now my job is to show that that equals to

my job is to show that that equals to

my job is to show that that equals to the sum of all increasing numbers now

the sum of all increasing numbers now

the sum of all increasing numbers now imagine cutting this triangle into rows

imagine cutting this triangle into rows

imagine cutting this triangle into rows like this and now you will notice that I

like this and now you will notice that I

like this and now you will notice that I get a sequence of increasing numbers so

get a sequence of increasing numbers so

get a sequence of increasing numbers so my triangle shows that 1 plus 2 Plus 3

my triangle shows that 1 plus 2 Plus 3

my triangle shows that 1 plus 2 Plus 3 plus 4 plus 5 equals 2 5 times 6 divided

plus 4 plus 5 equals 2 5 times 6 divided

plus 4 plus 5 equals 2 5 times 6 divided by 2 which is 15 but more than that it

by 2 which is 15 but more than that it

by 2 which is 15 but more than that it also we can see that my solution is

also we can see that my solution is

also we can see that my solution is gonna hold for any number number 5 or

gonna hold for any number number 5 or

gonna hold for any number number 5 or number 3 that you gave me or 99 or 1,001

number 3 that you gave me or 99 or 1,001

number 3 that you gave me or 99 or 1,001 it will be the same and we can also see

it will be the same and we can also see

it will be the same and we can also see that it’s a correct solution so I wanted

that it’s a correct solution so I wanted

that it’s a correct solution so I wanted to capture this on computers and wanted

to capture this on computers and wanted

to capture this on computers and wanted to make them solve problems in exactly

to make them solve problems in exactly

to make them solve problems in exactly this way

this way

this way which is which is exactly what I did so

which is which is exactly what I did so

which is which is exactly what I did so I built a system where these spatial

I built a system where these spatial

I built a system where these spatial manipulations are the inferences of the

manipulations are the inferences of the

manipulations are the inferences of the solution I then used formal methods to

solution I then used formal methods to

solution I then used formal methods to justify why a specific a concrete case

justify why a specific a concrete case

justify why a specific a concrete case like for number five can capture a

like for number five can capture a

like for number five can capture a solution for any number and the system

solution for any number and the system

solution for any number and the system shows them that the solution is correct

shows them that the solution is correct

shows them that the solution is correct so I showed that computers can solve

so I showed that computers can solve

so I showed that computers can solve problems in similar ways that people

problems in similar ways that people

problems in similar ways that people solve them but I also wondered could

solve them but I also wondered could

solve them but I also wondered could they discover new unseen solutions

they discover new unseen solutions

they discover new unseen solutions things that people have not understood

things that people have not understood

things that people have not understood before so in order to do that we could

before so in order to do that we could

before so in order to do that we could use AI methods like machine learning

use AI methods like machine learning

use AI methods like machine learning that I mentioned before I focused on

that I mentioned before I focused on

that I mentioned before I focused on problems in mathematics but the general

problems in mathematics but the general

problems in mathematics but the general principles of intuitive thinking can be

principles of intuitive thinking can be

principles of intuitive thinking can be applied to any area of human endeavor

applied to any area of human endeavor

applied to any area of human endeavor and this is where I’m going to be

and this is where I’m going to be

and this is where I’m going to be focusing next making machines discover

focusing next making machines discover

focusing next making machines discover new knowledge new intuitive human

new knowledge new intuitive human

new knowledge new intuitive human solutions so will AI outsmart humans

solutions so will AI outsmart humans

solutions so will AI outsmart humans will these intelligence systems pose a

will these intelligence systems pose a

will these intelligence systems pose a threat to humans one day I see the

threat to humans one day I see the

threat to humans one day I see the future in the hands of human experts but

future in the hands of human experts but

future in the hands of human experts but heavily supported and helped with these

heavily supported and helped with these

heavily supported and helped with these intelligent systems machines are gonna

intelligent systems machines are gonna

intelligent systems machines are gonna work and collaborate with us in order to

work and collaborate with us in order to

work and collaborate with us in order to help us work more effectively but also

help us work more effectively but also

help us work more effectively but also to do things that are beyond our

to do things that are beyond our

to do things that are beyond our capability alone should we be scared no

capability alone should we be scared no

capability alone should we be scared no should we restrict or slow down the

should we restrict or slow down the

should we restrict or slow down the development of artificial intelligence

development of artificial intelligence

development of artificial intelligence definitely not the positives far

definitely not the positives far

definitely not the positives far outweigh the negatives in fact I think

outweigh the negatives in fact I think

outweigh the negatives in fact I think it’s more risky not to pursue the

it’s more risky not to pursue the

it’s more risky not to pursue the development of artificial intelligence

development of artificial intelligence

development of artificial intelligence we are nowhere near a Terminator style

we are nowhere near a Terminator style

we are nowhere near a Terminator style future

future

future but we are only a decade or so away from

but we are only a decade or so away from

but we are only a decade or so away from the future where intelligent systems

the future where intelligent systems

the future where intelligent systems help doctors diagnose better where

help doctors diagnose better where

help doctors diagnose better where personalized drugs are used to treat

personalized drugs are used to treat

personalized drugs are used to treat diseases more effectively where AI

diseases more effectively where AI

diseases more effectively where AI systems help drivers drive more safely

systems help drivers drive more safely

systems help drivers drive more safely surgeons operate more accurately where

surgeons operate more accurately where

surgeons operate more accurately where these system enable us all ask people to

these system enable us all ask people to

these system enable us all ask people to converse across multiple languages this

converse across multiple languages this

converse across multiple languages this is perhaps the most exciting time in the

is perhaps the most exciting time in the

is perhaps the most exciting time in the history of mankind the rate at which

history of mankind the rate at which

history of mankind the rate at which technology is advancing is exponential

technology is advancing is exponential

technology is advancing is exponential and with rapid change there will always

and with rapid change there will always

and with rapid change there will always be winners and losers so now how what do

be winners and losers so now how what do

be winners and losers so now how what do we do how do we become winners in this

we do how do we become winners in this

we do how do we become winners in this listen learn to understand embrace the

listen learn to understand embrace the

listen learn to understand embrace the possibilities and make everything that

possibilities and make everything that

possibilities and make everything that we know today

we know today

we know today work for us so we can turn our planet

work for us so we can turn our planet

work for us so we can turn our planet into a better place thank you

into a better place thank you

into a better place thank you [Applause]

”

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