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What the rise of intelligent machines means for our future | Sarah Larimer | TEDxLFHS


the oscar-nominated movie hidden figures

the oscar-nominated movie hidden figures follows the incredible true stories of

follows the incredible true stories of

follows the incredible true stories of three women and their contributions to

three women and their contributions to

three women and their contributions to Project Mercury the first attempts at

Project Mercury the first attempts at

Project Mercury the first attempts at human spaceflight by NASA they worked as

human spaceflight by NASA they worked as

human spaceflight by NASA they worked as human computers a job that is now

human computers a job that is now

human computers a job that is now obsolete

obsolete

obsolete they worked to do the complex math to

they worked to do the complex math to

they worked to do the complex math to help create flight plans for spacecraft

help create flight plans for spacecraft

help create flight plans for spacecraft including the John Glenn mercury 7

including the John Glenn mercury 7

including the John Glenn mercury 7 mission but partway through their work

mission but partway through their work

mission but partway through their work they’re faced with the installation of

they’re faced with the installation of

they’re faced with the installation of the IBM 7090 electronic computer this

the IBM 7090 electronic computer this

the IBM 7090 electronic computer this computer threatens their jobs as well as

computer threatens their jobs as well as

computer threatens their jobs as well as their livelihood and in response Dorothy

their livelihood and in response Dorothy

their livelihood and in response Dorothy Vaughn teachers herself the programming

Vaughn teachers herself the programming

Vaughn teachers herself the programming language Fortran and learns how to

language Fortran and learns how to

language Fortran and learns how to operate the computer why am I telling

operate the computer why am I telling

operate the computer why am I telling you this

you this

you this well as a junior in high school I think

well as a junior in high school I think

well as a junior in high school I think it’s fair to say that the question of

it’s fair to say that the question of

it’s fair to say that the question of the year is College where I’m going to

the year is College where I’m going to

the year is College where I’m going to school what what I’m going to study and

school what what I’m going to study and

school what what I’m going to study and perhaps more importantly what career all

perhaps more importantly what career all

perhaps more importantly what career all eventually pursue and as most of you

eventually pursue and as most of you

eventually pursue and as most of you being high schoolers I also think it’s

being high schoolers I also think it’s

being high schoolers I also think it’s fair to assume that you expect to be

fair to assume that you expect to be

fair to assume that you expect to be employed one day but what if I were to

employed one day but what if I were to

employed one day but what if I were to tell you that the security of your jobs

tell you that the security of your jobs

tell you that the security of your jobs isn’t as certain as it might seem well

isn’t as certain as it might seem well

isn’t as certain as it might seem well older economists love to talk in

older economists love to talk in

older economists love to talk in abstractions about how the future

abstractions about how the future

abstractions about how the future workforce the workforce our generation

workforce the workforce our generation

workforce the workforce our generation will have to enter is going to be a

will have to enter is going to be a

will have to enter is going to be a place without employment where all the

place without employment where all the

place without employment where all the jobs are going to be displaced by

jobs are going to be displaced by

jobs are going to be displaced by machines but at the end of the day this

machines but at the end of the day this

machines but at the end of the day this complicated and changing workforce won’t

complicated and changing workforce won’t

complicated and changing workforce won’t be their problem but ultimately ours so

be their problem but ultimately ours so

be their problem but ultimately ours so today I hope to provide you with a more

today I hope to provide you with a more

today I hope to provide you with a more realistic reality of what I think this

realistic reality of what I think this

realistic reality of what I think this future will be so first off I want to

future will be so first off I want to

future will be so first off I want to talk about what exactly machine learning

talk about what exactly machine learning

talk about what exactly machine learning is as this is the technology that’s

is as this is the technology that’s

is as this is the technology that’s driving the general intelligence that

driving the general intelligence that

driving the general intelligence that threatens our jobs in a broad sense

threatens our jobs in a broad sense

threatens our jobs in a broad sense machine learning is the idea of

machine learning is the idea of

machine learning is the idea of programming computers to use the

programming computers to use the

programming computers to use the information they’re given to make

information they’re given to make

information they’re given to make decisions all of this without being

decisions all of this without being

decisions all of this without being explicitly told what to do the

explicitly told what to do the

explicitly told what to do the technology that’s coming from this is

technology that’s coming from this is

technology that’s coming from this is incredibly sophisticated it includes

incredibly sophisticated it includes

incredibly sophisticated it includes everything from self-driving cars to the

everything from self-driving cars to the

everything from self-driving cars to the speech recognition devices on our smart

speech recognition devices on our smart

speech recognition devices on our smart phones and Google search recommendations

phones and Google search recommendations

phones and Google search recommendations so the first area that is usually

so the first area that is usually

so the first area that is usually assessed when talking about economic

assessed when talking about economic

assessed when talking about economic displacement is factory work and other

displacement is factory work and other

displacement is factory work and other forms of what’s regarded to be

forms of what’s regarded to be

forms of what’s regarded to be monotonous and unskilled labor and it’s

monotonous and unskilled labor and it’s

monotonous and unskilled labor and it’s no surprise to anybody here that

no surprise to anybody here that

no surprise to anybody here that machines can offer a more cost-effective

machines can offer a more cost-effective

machines can offer a more cost-effective and efficient alternative to work of a

and efficient alternative to work of a

and efficient alternative to work of a person the average factory worker can

person the average factory worker can

person the average factory worker can expect to bring in about $25,000 per

expect to bring in about $25,000 per

expect to bring in about $25,000 per year the price to do have a machine do

year the price to do have a machine do

year the price to do have a machine do the same work a one-time cost of 32

the same work a one-time cost of 32

the same work a one-time cost of 32 dollars and this machine doesn’t take

dollars and this machine doesn’t take

dollars and this machine doesn’t take sick days observe holidays we need

sick days observe holidays we need

sick days observe holidays we need health insurance but factory work isn’t

health insurance but factory work isn’t

health insurance but factory work isn’t the only type of jobs that are being

the only type of jobs that are being

the only type of jobs that are being threatened by technology in fact today’s

threatened by technology in fact today’s

threatened by technology in fact today’s economy has no place for jobs that only

economy has no place for jobs that only

economy has no place for jobs that only a few decades ago would have seemed

a few decades ago would have seemed

a few decades ago would have seemed impossible to displace with machines

impossible to displace with machines

impossible to displace with machines these include switchboard operators film

these include switchboard operators film

these include switchboard operators film projectionist and telemarketers and this

projectionist and telemarketers and this

projectionist and telemarketers and this doesn’t even include the jobs that are

doesn’t even include the jobs that are

doesn’t even include the jobs that are in the process of being displaced such

in the process of being displaced such

in the process of being displaced such as truck drivers accountants toll booth

as truck drivers accountants toll booth

as truck drivers accountants toll booth workers and tellers so unless you’re

workers and tellers so unless you’re

workers and tellers so unless you’re gonna be an accountant or factory worker

gonna be an accountant or factory worker

gonna be an accountant or factory worker there’s no threat of displacement right

there’s no threat of displacement right

there’s no threat of displacement right unfortunately no how many of you guys

unfortunately no how many of you guys

unfortunately no how many of you guys know someone who wants to be a judge or

know someone who wants to be a judge or

know someone who wants to be a judge or a lawyer or any have any job in the

a lawyer or any have any job in the

a lawyer or any have any job in the judicial system

judicial system

judicial system well in 2010 Nikolas all I trust of

well in 2010 Nikolas all I trust of

well in 2010 Nikolas all I trust of University College London developed a

University College London developed a

University College London developed a machine that was able to accurately

machine that was able to accurately

machine that was able to accurately predict the outcome of nearly 80% of the

predict the outcome of nearly 80% of the

predict the outcome of nearly 80% of the 600 human rights cases presented to it

600 human rights cases presented to it

600 human rights cases presented to it and while he believes that artificial

and while he believes that artificial

and while he believes that artificial intelligence will never be able to

intelligence will never be able to

intelligence will never be able to replace human judgment it opens the door

replace human judgment it opens the door

replace human judgment it opens the door to an entirely different conversation

to an entirely different conversation

to an entirely different conversation regarding the necessity of our justice

regarding the necessity of our justice

regarding the necessity of our justice system why would we employ judges when a

system why would we employ judges when a

system why would we employ judges when a machine will already be able to predict

machine will already be able to predict

machine will already be able to predict the verdict and perhaps more importantly

the verdict and perhaps more importantly

the verdict and perhaps more importantly can our complex rational and emotional

can our complex rational and emotional

can our complex rational and emotional thinking be replicated by machines it

thinking be replicated by machines it

thinking be replicated by machines it seems as if the answer to this question

seems as if the answer to this question

seems as if the answer to this question is yes and even jobs like musicians are

is yes and even jobs like musicians are

is yes and even jobs like musicians are being threatened the American Federation

being threatened the American Federation

being threatened the American Federation of musicians is working to impose

of musicians is working to impose

of musicians is working to impose stricter orchestra minimums on musicals

stricter orchestra minimums on musicals

stricter orchestra minimums on musicals this would require productions to hire a

this would require productions to hire a

this would require productions to hire a certain amount musicians per show this

certain amount musicians per show this

certain amount musicians per show this comes after an alarming increase in

comes after an alarming increase in

comes after an alarming increase in computer generated music in the

computer generated music in the

computer generated music in the background of our favorite musicals

background of our favorite musicals

background of our favorite musicals across the nation so it seems is that

across the nation so it seems is that

across the nation so it seems is that the future I just pictured seems really

the future I just pictured seems really

the future I just pictured seems really bleak but unfortunately here to tell you

bleak but unfortunately here to tell you

bleak but unfortunately here to tell you that it’s not total displacement from

that it’s not total displacement from

that it’s not total displacement from machines isn’t as realistic as it might

machines isn’t as realistic as it might

machines isn’t as realistic as it might seem nobody would be employed and if

seem nobody would be employed and if

seem nobody would be employed and if that would be the case it would limit

that would be the case it would limit

that would be the case it would limit the necessity of transactions between

the necessity of transactions between

the necessity of transactions between businesses and individuals and it

businesses and individuals and it

businesses and individuals and it wouldn’t be helpful for anybody for this

wouldn’t be helpful for anybody for this

wouldn’t be helpful for anybody for this idea of consumer capitalism to collapse

idea of consumer capitalism to collapse

idea of consumer capitalism to collapse furthermore most economists can agree on

furthermore most economists can agree on

furthermore most economists can agree on one thing that for the time being these

one thing that for the time being these

one thing that for the time being these machines are most cost efficient and

machines are most cost efficient and

machines are most cost efficient and effective when used alongside their

effective when used alongside their

effective when used alongside their human counterparts even in factories

human counterparts even in factories

human counterparts even in factories where machines are doing most of the

where machines are doing most of the

where machines are doing most of the work it’s still a human who overlooks

work it’s still a human who overlooks

work it’s still a human who overlooks them but back to my original question

them but back to my original question

them but back to my original question what does this mean for our generation

what does this mean for our generation

what does this mean for our generation what does this mean for the jobs we’ll

what does this mean for the jobs we’ll

what does this mean for the jobs we’ll take

take

take well it’s not looking bleak as it might

well it’s not looking bleak as it might

well it’s not looking bleak as it might seem first off there might just be an

seem first off there might just be an

seem first off there might just be an advantage to being

advantage to being

advantage to being first generation to go up so completely

first generation to go up so completely

first generation to go up so completely surrounded by such a rich culture of

surrounded by such a rich culture of

surrounded by such a rich culture of technology will have the skills and most

technology will have the skills and most

technology will have the skills and most importantly the knowledge and the

importantly the knowledge and the

importantly the knowledge and the experience to be able to work alongside

experience to be able to work alongside

experience to be able to work alongside these machines in our jobs think about

these machines in our jobs think about

these machines in our jobs think about all the times you’ve helped an adult

all the times you’ve helped an adult

all the times you’ve helped an adult with a computer or a smartphone whether

with a computer or a smartphone whether

with a computer or a smartphone whether we realize it or not these are the

we realize it or not these are the

we realize it or not these are the skills we will need and we will have to

skills we will need and we will have to

skills we will need and we will have to use to be able to integrate this

use to be able to integrate this

use to be able to integrate this technology into our lives without

technology into our lives without

technology into our lives without displacing our jobs our generation of

displacing our jobs our generation of

displacing our jobs our generation of endless potential and creativity and I

endless potential and creativity and I

endless potential and creativity and I feel as if this is often overlooked when

feel as if this is often overlooked when

feel as if this is often overlooked when talking about economic displacement when

talking about economic displacement when

talking about economic displacement when surveyed nearly three and four people of

surveyed nearly three and four people of

surveyed nearly three and four people of my generation say that they want to

my generation say that they want to

my generation say that they want to start their own business and more than

start their own business and more than

start their own business and more than one in three say that they want to

one in three say that they want to

one in three say that they want to invest in ideas that will change the

invest in ideas that will change the

invest in ideas that will change the world

world

world we’re activists and creators we’re

we’re activists and creators we’re

we’re activists and creators we’re educators for mathematicians but more

educators for mathematicians but more

educators for mathematicians but more importantly we’re thinkers we’ll have

importantly we’re thinkers we’ll have

importantly we’re thinkers we’ll have the skills we’ll have the knowledge and

the skills we’ll have the knowledge and

the skills we’ll have the knowledge and we will be able to keep up thank you

we will be able to keep up thank you

we will be able to keep up thank you [Applause]

”

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