from very early on in life we learned that our there are things that are
that our there are things that are
that our there are things that are impossible in life it’s impossible to
impossible in life it’s impossible to
impossible in life it’s impossible to make something disappear in thin air
make something disappear in thin air
make something disappear in thin air it’s impossible to tell what’s going to
it’s impossible to tell what’s going to
it’s impossible to tell what’s going to happen tomorrow or next week we cannot
happen tomorrow or next week we cannot
happen tomorrow or next week we cannot predict the future objects are
predict the future objects are
predict the future objects are impenetrable it’s impossible that my
impenetrable it’s impossible that my
impenetrable it’s impossible that my hand go through an object we learn all
hand go through an object we learn all
hand go through an object we learn all these things these are physical laws but
these things these are physical laws but
these things these are physical laws but I want to challenge them today a little
I want to challenge them today a little
I want to challenge them today a little bit so if if everything is right you
bit so if if everything is right you
bit so if if everything is right you should have in your chairs an envelope
should have in your chairs an envelope
should have in your chairs an envelope and inside that envelope there are two
and inside that envelope there are two
and inside that envelope there are two rubber bands please if you were very
rubber bands please if you were very
rubber bands please if you were very disciplined persons you didn’t play with
disciplined persons you didn’t play with
disciplined persons you didn’t play with them so you didn’t lose them please take
them so you didn’t lose them please take
them so you didn’t lose them please take them out now to do an experiment with me
them out now to do an experiment with me
them out now to do an experiment with me take off because magicians tend to put
take off because magicians tend to put
take off because magicians tend to put things in their sleeves so take one of
things in their sleeves so take one of
things in their sleeves so take one of the rubber bands in one of your hands
the rubber bands in one of your hands
the rubber bands in one of your hands that put it in the index and thumb
that put it in the index and thumb
that put it in the index and thumb finger like this I hope everyone can see
finger like this I hope everyone can see
finger like this I hope everyone can see just make a little loop let’s call this
just make a little loop let’s call this
just make a little loop let’s call this take the other rubber band hold it with
take the other rubber band hold it with
take the other rubber band hold it with the index finger and make it go inside
the index finger and make it go inside
the index finger and make it go inside that loop so they are now interlace you
that loop so they are now interlace you
that loop so they are now interlace you cannot take them out correct
cannot take them out correct
cannot take them out correct can you try yes I said objects are
can you try yes I said objects are
can you try yes I said objects are impenetrable I don’t know if everyone
impenetrable I don’t know if everyone
impenetrable I don’t know if everyone can see but the rubber bands can stretch
can see but the rubber bands can stretch
can see but the rubber bands can stretch a bit so if you play a little bit with
a bit so if you play a little bit with
a bit so if you play a little bit with them you can can you do it
them you can can you do it
them you can can you do it okay so I just proved that one of the
okay so I just proved that one of the
okay so I just proved that one of the things that we learned is not really
things that we learned is not really
things that we learned is not really impossible it’s not impossible objects
impossible it’s not impossible objects
impossible it’s not impossible objects are not really impenetrable I’ll get
are not really impenetrable I’ll get
are not really impenetrable I’ll get back to this at the end of the table so
back to this at the end of the table so
back to this at the end of the table so don’t worry so if this is true other
don’t worry so if this is true other
don’t worry so if this is true other things might be true as well so perhaps
things might be true as well so perhaps
things might be true as well so perhaps it’s possible to predict the future so I
it’s possible to predict the future so I
it’s possible to predict the future so I have this light now as a question please
have this light now as a question please
have this light now as a question please if you believe really believe that I
if you believe really believe that I
if you believe really believe that I mariano mendes can predict the future
mariano mendes can predict the future
mariano mendes can predict the future correctly and consistently meaning every
correctly and consistently meaning every
correctly and consistently meaning every time i predict something i’m right
time i predict something i’m right
time i predict something i’m right if you think that please raise your hand
if you think that please raise your hand
if you think that please raise your hand now Wow I made a prediction this morning
now Wow I made a prediction this morning
now Wow I made a prediction this morning nobody will raise their hand right you
nobody will raise their hand right you
nobody will raise their hand right you think online right I made another
think online right I made another
think online right I made another prediction I forgot to count the guy at
prediction I forgot to count the guy at
prediction I forgot to count the guy at the back yeah he was racing to her so it
the back yeah he was racing to her so it
the back yeah he was racing to her so it is possible to predict the future as I
is possible to predict the future as I
is possible to predict the future as I have just showed you and I will teach
have just showed you and I will teach
have just showed you and I will teach you I will tell you how you can do that
you I will tell you how you can do that
you I will tell you how you can do that but before I do that I have to do a
but before I do that I have to do a
but before I do that I have to do a disclaimer a legal disclaimer because if
disclaimer a legal disclaimer because if
disclaimer a legal disclaimer because if you this explanation is only meant for
you this explanation is only meant for
you this explanation is only meant for educational purposes it’s like when you
educational purposes it’s like when you
educational purposes it’s like when you go to these places where they teach you
go to these places where they teach you
go to these places where they teach you how to hack a computer they say this
how to hack a computer they say this
how to hack a computer they say this just to be safe I cannot be held
just to be safe I cannot be held
just to be safe I cannot be held responsible if you follow my
responsible if you follow my
responsible if you follow my instructions but not exactly and you
instructions but not exactly and you
instructions but not exactly and you make mistakes so you may be sued by
make mistakes so you may be sued by
make mistakes so you may be sued by someone I cannot be held responsible if
someone I cannot be held responsible if
someone I cannot be held responsible if you follow my instructions exactly
you follow my instructions exactly
you follow my instructions exactly either so one way or the other and oh no
either so one way or the other and oh no
either so one way or the other and oh no this is for another presentation sorry
this is for another presentation sorry
this is for another presentation sorry it was a mistake sorry okay
it was a mistake sorry okay
it was a mistake sorry okay so let me tell you the story of how I
so let me tell you the story of how I
so let me tell you the story of how I learned to predict the future a few
learned to predict the future a few
learned to predict the future a few years ago when I lived in Argentina I
years ago when I lived in Argentina I
years ago when I lived in Argentina I once was at home and I received a letter
once was at home and I received a letter
once was at home and I received a letter post a letter on paper from a guy yes at
post a letter on paper from a guy yes at
post a letter on paper from a guy yes at that time there was no internet so there
that time there was no internet so there
that time there was no internet so there were no emails and that
were no emails and that
were no emails and that this guy wrote a letter to me and said
this guy wrote a letter to me and said
this guy wrote a letter to me and said look I know you it will be difficult for
look I know you it will be difficult for
look I know you it will be difficult for you to believe but I can predict the
you to believe but I can predict the
you to believe but I can predict the future and I know that you’re going to
future and I know that you’re going to
future and I know that you’re going to be skeptical because you’re a scientist
be skeptical because you’re a scientist
be skeptical because you’re a scientist but please hold on a moment with me and
but please hold on a moment with me and
but please hold on a moment with me and I will show you that I can predict the
I will show you that I can predict the
I will show you that I can predict the future and he said the first thing I
future and he said the first thing I
future and he said the first thing I want to say is that tonight there is a
want to say is that tonight there is a
want to say is that tonight there is a football game like here like the Europa
football game like here like the Europa
football game like here like the Europa League attractive alex is playing
League attractive alex is playing
League attractive alex is playing Manchester United there was a football
Manchester United there was a football
Manchester United there was a football game the in South America that night and
game the in South America that night and
game the in South America that night and he said team a is gonna win actually
he said team a is gonna win actually
he said team a is gonna win actually team a wasn’t the strongest so I thought
team a wasn’t the strongest so I thought
team a wasn’t the strongest so I thought this guy is just making it up anyway I
this guy is just making it up anyway I
this guy is just making it up anyway I went wrong with my life the following
went wrong with my life the following
went wrong with my life the following day I picked up the newspaper yes team
day I picked up the newspaper yes team
day I picked up the newspaper yes team a1 Wow coincidence who knows the week
a1 Wow coincidence who knows the week
a1 Wow coincidence who knows the week after I received another letter for the
after I received another letter for the
after I received another letter for the guy from the guy says look I predicted
guy from the guy says look I predicted
guy from the guy says look I predicted team a was going to win and it won now I
team a was going to win and it won now I
team a was going to win and it won now I show you a completely you can think it’s
show you a completely you can think it’s
show you a completely you can think it’s a coincidence I’ll show you that it’s
a coincidence I’ll show you that it’s
a coincidence I’ll show you that it’s not I’ll show you another one and he
not I’ll show you another one and he
not I’ll show you another one and he made another prediction there was a
made another prediction there was a
made another prediction there was a basketball final like the NBA final and
basketball final like the NBA final and
basketball final like the NBA final and he said Team B is going to win again I
he said Team B is going to win again I
he said Team B is going to win again I was not so impressed but ok the
was not so impressed but ok the
was not so impressed but ok the following day I read the newspaper team
following day I read the newspaper team
following day I read the newspaper team we won Wow the week after he sent me
we won Wow the week after he sent me
we won Wow the week after he sent me another letter and says you know this
another letter and says you know this
another letter and says you know this company the shares of this company are
company the shares of this company are
company the shares of this company are gonna go up tomorrow in the market again
gonna go up tomorrow in the market again
gonna go up tomorrow in the market again didn’t believe the next thing I read the
didn’t believe the next thing I read the
didn’t believe the next thing I read the newspaper they went up and so he went on
newspaper they went up and so he went on
newspaper they went up and so he went on for 9 weeks in a row predicting exactly
for 9 weeks in a row predicting exactly
for 9 weeks in a row predicting exactly what was going to happen at that point I
what was going to happen at that point I
what was going to happen at that point I was convinced if you’re not convinced
was convinced if you’re not convinced
was convinced if you’re not convinced you’re very skeptical so week number 10
you’re very skeptical so week number 10
you’re very skeptical so week number 10 I get another letter recess now tonight
I get another letter recess now tonight
I get another letter recess now tonight there is a boxing match boxer a is
there is a boxing match boxer a is
there is a boxing match boxer a is playing box for B you can bet because I
playing box for B you can bet because I
playing box for B you can bet because I tell you who’s gonna win you now if
tell you who’s gonna win you now if
tell you who’s gonna win you now if you’re convinced you can go on BET and
you’re convinced you can go on BET and
you’re convinced you can go on BET and win some money and he said I do this you
win some money and he said I do this you
win some money and he said I do this you might wonder why I don’t don’t do it
might wonder why I don’t don’t do it
might wonder why I don’t don’t do it myself why don’t I go and bathe myself
myself why don’t I go and bathe myself
myself why don’t I go and bathe myself and make my
and make my
and make my of millionaire and he said the reason is
of millionaire and he said the reason is
of millionaire and he said the reason is that it happens I don’t know why but I
that it happens I don’t know why but I
that it happens I don’t know why but I can tell the future but whenever I tried
can tell the future but whenever I tried
can tell the future but whenever I tried to use to profit
to use to profit
to use to profit myself it doesn’t work so I need to make
myself it doesn’t work so I need to make
myself it doesn’t work so I need to make someone else profit voluntarily this
someone else profit voluntarily this
someone else profit voluntarily this person doesn’t have to do it it’s just
person doesn’t have to do it it’s just
person doesn’t have to do it it’s just their own decision that makes it work
their own decision that makes it work
their own decision that makes it work and the next thing is I asked him a
and the next thing is I asked him a
and the next thing is I asked him a little payback if they make it if they
little payback if they make it if they
little payback if they make it if they bet and if they win because I give him
bet and if they win because I give him
bet and if they win because I give him the prediction I ask them ok pay me
the prediction I ask them ok pay me
the prediction I ask them ok pay me something bad I thought well it’s fair
something bad I thought well it’s fair
something bad I thought well it’s fair if he tells me how to make money it’s
if he tells me how to make money it’s
if he tells me how to make money it’s fair so I went collected my famous there
fair so I went collected my famous there
fair so I went collected my famous there wasn’t there was not enough money
wasn’t there was not enough money
wasn’t there was not enough money my parents had money under the mattress
my parents had money under the mattress
my parents had money under the mattress for a second honeymoon I didn’t tell
for a second honeymoon I didn’t tell
for a second honeymoon I didn’t tell them anything took the money went with
them anything took the money went with
them anything took the money went with all this money to the betting shop stood
all this money to the betting shop stood
all this money to the betting shop stood on the role on the road to the counter
on the role on the road to the counter
on the role on the road to the counter and said I want to bet for bobster a
and said I want to bet for bobster a
and said I want to bet for bobster a because that was the guy he told me was
because that was the guy he told me was
because that was the guy he told me was gonna win next to me there was another
gonna win next to me there was another
gonna win next to me there was another person also betting for that boxing
person also betting for that boxing
person also betting for that boxing match and he was waiting for boxer be
match and he was waiting for boxer be
match and he was waiting for boxer be and I thought he doesn’t know poor guy
and I thought he doesn’t know poor guy
and I thought he doesn’t know poor guy is gonna lose his money because I’m
is gonna lose his money because I’m
is gonna lose his money because I’m gonna win because the guy told me anyway
gonna win because the guy told me anyway
gonna win because the guy told me anyway so I bet he looked at me a bit also bit
so I bet he looked at me a bit also bit
so I bet he looked at me a bit also bit strange but he left before me and we
strange but he left before me and we
strange but he left before me and we resource living he let something fall
resource living he let something fall
resource living he let something fall from his pocket a piece of paper so I
from his pocket a piece of paper so I
from his pocket a piece of paper so I thought ok I’ll pick it up and give it
thought ok I’ll pick it up and give it
thought ok I’ll pick it up and give it to him when I picked it up and look at
to him when I picked it up and look at
to him when I picked it up and look at it it looked familiar to me started
it it looked familiar to me started
it it looked familiar to me started reading it was the same text of all the
reading it was the same text of all the
reading it was the same text of all the letters that I had been receiving the
letters that I had been receiving the
letters that I had been receiving the last nine weeks except except now in my
last nine weeks except except now in my
last nine weeks except except now in my case it said boxer a was going to win in
case it said boxer a was going to win in
case it said boxer a was going to win in this case it said boxer B was going to
this case it said boxer B was going to
this case it said boxer B was going to win so you start to imagine how I felt I
win so you start to imagine how I felt I
win so you start to imagine how I felt I put the money of my parents all my money
put the money of my parents all my money
put the money of my parents all my money so I was going to become poor and also
so I was going to become poor and also
so I was going to become poor and also my purse will this was never like me
my purse will this was never like me
my purse will this was never like me anymore and I realized immediately or
anymore and I realized immediately or
anymore and I realized immediately or after a while I realized what was going
after a while I realized what was going
after a while I realized what was going to happen then explain you what the guy
to happen then explain you what the guy
to happen then explain you what the guy did is he collected the list of 1024
did is he collected the list of 1024
did is he collected the list of 1024 persons
persons
persons and he divided them into groups of 512
and he divided them into groups of 512
and he divided them into groups of 512 each so he then sent letters to each
each so he then sent letters to each
each so he then sent letters to each person in each group and half of them
person in each group and half of them
person in each group and half of them got the prediction a the other half got
got the prediction a the other half got
got the prediction a the other half got the prediction B that was the first
the prediction B that was the first
the prediction B that was the first tradition he made he waited to see what
tradition he made he waited to see what
tradition he made he waited to see what was the result of that event and he said
was the result of that event and he said
was the result of that event and he said okay if a was the result then B did not
okay if a was the result then B did not
okay if a was the result then B did not happen so all these parcels are now
happen so all these parcels are now
happen so all these parcels are now discarded I keep the other 512 so I
discarded I keep the other 512 so I
discarded I keep the other 512 so I divide them now in two groups again 256
divide them now in two groups again 256
divide them now in two groups again 256 each and I sent half of them prediction
each and I sent half of them prediction
each and I sent half of them prediction and half of them prediction B wait for
and half of them prediction B wait for
and half of them prediction B wait for the result see what happens if B is what
the result see what happens if B is what
the result see what happens if B is what happens I lose those 256 I’m left with
happens I lose those 256 I’m left with
happens I lose those 256 I’m left with 256 I divide them in two group of 128
256 I divide them in two group of 128
256 I divide them in two group of 128 and I continue doing that nine times and
and I continue doing that nine times and
and I continue doing that nine times and thing I’m left with only two persons and
thing I’m left with only two persons and
thing I’m left with only two persons and if you do that you send prediction 8:1
if you do that you send prediction 8:1
if you do that you send prediction 8:1 and prediction B to the other and one of
and prediction B to the other and one of
and prediction B to the other and one of them will win and one of them will give
them will win and one of them will give
them will win and one of them will give you the money we’ll send you money if
you the money we’ll send you money if
you the money we’ll send you money if they bet they will send this guy money
they bet they will send this guy money
they bet they will send this guy money so the way it works is like this I have
so the way it works is like this I have
so the way it works is like this I have this little animation you start with
this little animation you start with
this little animation you start with 1024 this number is just a power of two
1024 this number is just a power of two
1024 this number is just a power of two that means that you can always keep
that means that you can always keep
that means that you can always keep dividing it by two by two by two and so
dividing it by two by two by two and so
dividing it by two by two by two and so what you do is you divide them in these
what you do is you divide them in these
what you do is you divide them in these two groups you check or B is not happen
two groups you check or B is not happen
two groups you check or B is not happen then I take a so B is not happen I go a
then I take a so B is not happen I go a
then I take a so B is not happen I go a and you follow the lines that are not
and you follow the lines that are not
and you follow the lines that are not crossed whenever there is a cross that
crossed whenever there is a cross that
crossed whenever there is a cross that part of the people you just forget you
part of the people you just forget you
part of the people you just forget you keep with keep going with the others
keep with keep going with the others
keep with keep going with the others until you’re left only with two and
until you’re left only with two and
until you’re left only with two and that’s when you give them the final
that’s when you give them the final
that’s when you give them the final prediction and one of them no matter
prediction and one of them no matter
prediction and one of them no matter which one we win so you can imagine
which one we win so you can imagine
which one we win so you can imagine that was not nice because I had to hold
that was not nice because I had to hold
that was not nice because I had to hold through now that I would read I don’t
through now that I would read I don’t
through now that I would read I don’t tell you what happened in the end I tell
tell you what happened in the end I tell
tell you what happened in the end I tell you I had to use this trick many for
you I had to use this trick many for
you I had to use this trick many for many many years to pay my penance back
many many years to pay my penance back
many many years to pay my penance back now really this is not something that
now really this is not something that
now really this is not something that happened to me this is a story that is
happened to me this is a story that is
happened to me this is a story that is told in a movie by Hitchcock is called
told in a movie by Hitchcock is called
told in a movie by Hitchcock is called the male or the prophet from 1957 with
the male or the prophet from 1957 with
the male or the prophet from 1957 with these two actors and actually it’s
these two actors and actually it’s
these two actors and actually it’s exactly what happens
exactly what happens
exactly what happens the story is exciting but it’s only that
the story is exciting but it’s only that
the story is exciting but it’s only that he bets the money from his company
he bets the money from his company
he bets the money from his company instead of his parents but it’s a very
instead of his parents but it’s a very
instead of his parents but it’s a very nice estill story and the reason I say
nice estill story and the reason I say
nice estill story and the reason I say that is because it uses something that
that is because it uses something that
that is because it uses something that is called a cognitive illusion is called
is called a cognitive illusion is called
is called a cognitive illusion is called the survivors bias if I tell you I have
the survivors bias if I tell you I have
the survivors bias if I tell you I have a company that sells parachute the
a company that sells parachute the
a company that sells parachute the parachute must be fantastic because I
parachute must be fantastic because I
parachute must be fantastic because I never heard a complaint from any user
never heard a complaint from any user
never heard a complaint from any user right so if I look at the filters that
right so if I look at the filters that
right so if I look at the filters that survived they will not complain the ones
survived they will not complain the ones
survived they will not complain the ones that died will not complain either there
that died will not complain either there
that died will not complain either there was this guy in during the Second World
was this guy in during the Second World
was this guy in during the Second World War Abraham wall who realized this was a
War Abraham wall who realized this was a
War Abraham wall who realized this was a problem they were sending planes to
problem they were sending planes to
problem they were sending planes to bombard the Nazis and when the planes
bombard the Nazis and when the planes
bombard the Nazis and when the planes came back they looked at where they were
came back they looked at where they were
came back they looked at where they were hit they make an inventory of the places
hit they make an inventory of the places
hit they make an inventory of the places where the planes were hit and they said
where the planes were hit and they said
where the planes were hit and they said okay we have to reinforce those places
okay we have to reinforce those places
okay we have to reinforce those places because otherwise they thought they
because otherwise they thought they
because otherwise they thought they couldn’t reinforce the whole plane
couldn’t reinforce the whole plane
couldn’t reinforce the whole plane because it was becoming too heavy so
because it was becoming too heavy so
because it was becoming too heavy so they have to choose the places but this
they have to choose the places but this
they have to choose the places but this guy said no you don’t have to reinforce
guy said no you don’t have to reinforce
guy said no you don’t have to reinforce those places you have to reinforce the
those places you have to reinforce the
those places you have to reinforce the places where you don’t see hits because
places where you don’t see hits because
places where you don’t see hits because the place that came with those hits
the place that came with those hits
the place that came with those hits actually came lightly the ones that did
actually came lightly the ones that did
actually came lightly the ones that did not come back were hit in those places
not come back were hit in those places
not come back were hit in those places where these ones were not hit right so
where these ones were not hit right so
where these ones were not hit right so you should you should reinforce the
you should you should reinforce the
you should you should reinforce the places where the planes that come back
places where the planes that come back
places where the planes that come back are not hit because the other place fell
are not hit because the other place fell
are not hit because the other place fell and that works
and that works
and that works this is the survivors wires it happens
this is the survivors wires it happens
this is the survivors wires it happens in many other things I wrote something
in many other things I wrote something
in many other things I wrote something here like 90% 95% of the world
here like 90% 95% of the world
here like 90% 95% of the world population is happy or extremely happy
population is happy or extremely happy
population is happy or extremely happy shows a study of the Facebook profiles
shows a study of the Facebook profiles
shows a study of the Facebook profiles of a large number of persons when you go
of a large number of persons when you go
of a large number of persons when you go to a Facebook profile of someone they
to a Facebook profile of someone they
to a Facebook profile of someone they had fantastic holidays they went to
had fantastic holidays they went to
had fantastic holidays they went to fantastic restaurants they had fantastic
fantastic restaurants they had fantastic
fantastic restaurants they had fantastic wine they never had this awful
wine they never had this awful
wine they never had this awful restaurant where the food was very bad
restaurant where the food was very bad
restaurant where the food was very bad and they went to a holiday will it rain
and they went to a holiday will it rain
and they went to a holiday will it rain the whole time you know another one
the whole time you know another one
the whole time you know another one almost everybody is a paranoid a
almost everybody is a paranoid a
almost everybody is a paranoid a concluded psychiatrist on the basis of a
concluded psychiatrist on the basis of a
concluded psychiatrist on the basis of a sample of his patients yes so this is
sample of his patients yes so this is
sample of his patients yes so this is called the survival aspire bias and it
called the survival aspire bias and it
called the survival aspire bias and it was actually introduced way longer 2500
was actually introduced way longer 2500
was actually introduced way longer 2500 years ago by a philosopher called
years ago by a philosopher called
years ago by a philosopher called Diogenes I will not go to so you can
Diogenes I will not go to so you can
Diogenes I will not go to so you can look it up on internet if you want I
look it up on internet if you want I
look it up on internet if you want I don’t have too much time to talk about
don’t have too much time to talk about
don’t have too much time to talk about that one of the things that happens to
that one of the things that happens to
that one of the things that happens to that is also something that we all had
that is also something that we all had
that is also something that we all had experience with is called premonition we
experience with is called premonition we
experience with is called premonition we had a dream that something bad was going
had a dream that something bad was going
had a dream that something bad was going to happen or something good was going to
to happen or something good was going to
to happen or something good was going to happen and it happened the following day
happen and it happened the following day
happen and it happened the following day it happened and the feeling that you get
it happened and the feeling that you get
it happened and the feeling that you get Wow
Wow
Wow I dreamt it it happened or you’re at
I dreamt it it happened or you’re at
I dreamt it it happened or you’re at home and moving papers and suddenly if a
home and moving papers and suddenly if a
home and moving papers and suddenly if a picture of a friend that you haven’t
picture of a friend that you haven’t
picture of a friend that you haven’t seen for 20 years well maybe you are so
seen for 20 years well maybe you are so
seen for 20 years well maybe you are so young that maybe four five five years
young that maybe four five five years
young that maybe four five five years ten years let’s say you haven’t seen
ten years let’s say you haven’t seen
ten years let’s say you haven’t seen them and then the next day you see that
them and then the next day you see that
them and then the next day you see that person at the supermarket Wow how does
person at the supermarket Wow how does
person at the supermarket Wow how does that happen well the way it happens is
that happen well the way it happens is
that happen well the way it happens is we dream every night about someone or
we dream every night about someone or
we dream every night about someone or something we see pictures of people many
something we see pictures of people many
something we see pictures of people many times but we don’t see them the next day
times but we don’t see them the next day
times but we don’t see them the next day at the supermarket and so we forget we
at the supermarket and so we forget we
at the supermarket and so we forget we don’t remember that we had the dream we
don’t remember that we had the dream we
don’t remember that we had the dream we only remember when it happens the next
only remember when it happens the next
only remember when it happens the next day so we only remember the survivors we
day so we only remember the survivors we
day so we only remember the survivors we forget the ones who died
forget the ones who died
forget the ones who died the feeling is fantastic
the feeling is fantastic
the feeling is fantastic I heard it too but you can explain it
I heard it too but you can explain it
I heard it too but you can explain it scientifically
scientifically
scientifically in science we have those problems is we
in science we have those problems is we
in science we have those problems is we don’t want we need to know how ignorant
don’t want we need to know how ignorant
don’t want we need to know how ignorant we are about our ignorance we need to do
we are about our ignorance we need to do
we are about our ignorance we need to do that it’s something called completeness
that it’s something called completeness
that it’s something called completeness if you look at the sample of animals or
if you look at the sample of animals or
if you look at the sample of animals or stars or anything you have to think how
stars or anything you have to think how
stars or anything you have to think how are the stars that we don’t see that we
are the stars that we don’t see that we
are the stars that we don’t see that we missed how do they contribute how do
missed how do they contribute how do
missed how do they contribute how do they make me understand what I see now
they make me understand what I see now
they make me understand what I see now the human mind cannot deal with non
the human mind cannot deal with non
the human mind cannot deal with non events things that don’t happen we
events things that don’t happen we
events things that don’t happen we cannot deal with those everyone
cannot deal with those everyone
cannot deal with those everyone remembers what happened on September 11
remembers what happened on September 11
remembers what happened on September 11 2001 right almost everyone knows no one
2001 right almost everyone knows no one
2001 right almost everyone knows no one knows what happened on July 7 no one
knows what happened on July 7 no one
knows what happened on July 7 no one knows what happened on October 6 no one
knows what happened on October 6 no one
knows what happened on October 6 no one one knows what happens and children 14
one knows what happens and children 14
one knows what happens and children 14 don’t they say you nothing perhaps in
don’t they say you nothing perhaps in
don’t they say you nothing perhaps in one of those days there was a guy who
one of those days there was a guy who
one of those days there was a guy who prevented a similar attack as the one on
prevented a similar attack as the one on
prevented a similar attack as the one on September 11 but you don’t know because
September 11 but you don’t know because
September 11 but you don’t know because it didn’t happen you know there was a
it didn’t happen you know there was a
it didn’t happen you know there was a guy who failed preventing the attack on
guy who failed preventing the attack on
guy who failed preventing the attack on September 11 because it happened your
September 11 because it happened your
September 11 because it happened your faculty your Institute your country runs
faculty your Institute your country runs
faculty your Institute your country runs over day after day day after day if I go
over day after day day after day if I go
over day after day day after day if I go to my in my Institute is there tomorrow
to my in my Institute is there tomorrow
to my in my Institute is there tomorrow when tomorrow is a holiday but the day
when tomorrow is a holiday but the day
when tomorrow is a holiday but the day after is still there actually but I’ll
after is still there actually but I’ll
after is still there actually but I’ll still there because someone
still there because someone
still there because someone many people took care that it didn’t
many people took care that it didn’t
many people took care that it didn’t collapse that the budget is there that
collapse that the budget is there that
collapse that the budget is there that the positions are there the computers
the positions are there the computers
the positions are there the computers are working but if one day I go there
are working but if one day I go there
are working but if one day I go there and nothing works and the building is
and nothing works and the building is
and nothing works and the building is falling apart I will remember right I
falling apart I will remember right I
falling apart I will remember right I don’t notice the positive things that
don’t notice the positive things that
don’t notice the positive things that happen if something like in Alice in
happen if something like in Alice in
happen if something like in Alice in Wonderland the unbirthday there are 364
Wonderland the unbirthday there are 364
Wonderland the unbirthday there are 364 am birthdays and one birthday we don’t
am birthdays and one birthday we don’t
am birthdays and one birthday we don’t know much about the am birthdays you
know much about the am birthdays you
know much about the am birthdays you know this guy likely Steve Jobs this guy
know this guy likely Steve Jobs this guy
know this guy likely Steve Jobs this guy is remembered because he dropped out of
is remembered because he dropped out of
is remembered because he dropped out of school University he went to a garage
school University he went to a garage
school University he went to a garage started a company and make it a billion
started a company and make it a billion
started a company and make it a billion dollar business but you don’t know that
dollar business but you don’t know that
dollar business but you don’t know that there are millions of others who did
there are millions of others who did
there are millions of others who did exactly the same but never made it
exactly the same but never made it
exactly the same but never made it so if you look at the at the at the
so if you look at the at the at the
so if you look at the at the at the stairs let me see how it goes I went the
stairs let me see how it goes I went the
stairs let me see how it goes I went the wrong direction sorry is this one is
wrong direction sorry is this one is
wrong direction sorry is this one is still a Steve Jobs is this last one over
still a Steve Jobs is this last one over
still a Steve Jobs is this last one over there I forgot no one gave me the
there I forgot no one gave me the
there I forgot no one gave me the pointer but it doesn’t matter is day one
pointer but it doesn’t matter is day one
pointer but it doesn’t matter is day one there but you don’t remember so he’s
there but you don’t remember so he’s
there but you don’t remember so he’s that one we remember the one that
that one we remember the one that
that one we remember the one that survived but we forget all the others
survived but we forget all the others
survived but we forget all the others human mind likes causality so things are
human mind likes causality so things are
human mind likes causality so things are caused by things so he became a mission
caused by things so he became a mission
caused by things so he became a mission a millionaire because he dropped school
a millionaire because he dropped school
a millionaire because he dropped school but there are many random things all
but there are many random things all
but there are many random things all those other 1023 if you had all these
those other 1023 if you had all these
those other 1023 if you had all these crossed numbers they add up to one
crossed numbers they add up to one
crossed numbers they add up to one thousand and twenty three and if you
thousand and twenty three and if you
thousand and twenty three and if you count there are nine there are actually
count there are nine there are actually
count there are nine there are actually nine rows until you find the last one is
nine rows until you find the last one is
nine rows until you find the last one is nine times
nine times
nine times you split the thing in two but we forget
you split the thing in two but we forget
you split the thing in two but we forget and we tend to think there are cash cash
and we tend to think there are cash cash
and we tend to think there are cash cash cash wells things that produce this but
cash wells things that produce this but
cash wells things that produce this but it’s full of this life is full of
it’s full of this life is full of
it’s full of this life is full of accidents randomness this guy is
accidents randomness this guy is
accidents randomness this guy is abnormal pricing economy but he said
abnormal pricing economy but he said
abnormal pricing economy but he said psychologist he said our minds are
psychologist he said our minds are
psychologist he said our minds are strongly biased towards causal
strongly biased towards causal
strongly biased towards causal explanations and cannot deal well with
explanations and cannot deal well with
explanations and cannot deal well with me randomness stories of businesses
me randomness stories of businesses
me randomness stories of businesses empires people companies whatever that
empires people companies whatever that
empires people companies whatever that rise and fall strike a chord in our mind
rise and fall strike a chord in our mind
rise and fall strike a chord in our mind because it gives us what we want we find
because it gives us what we want we find
because it gives us what we want we find the reason why this happened but this
the reason why this happened but this
the reason why this happened but this happened just by chance and it happens
happened just by chance and it happens
happened just by chance and it happens many more times that people fall then
many more times that people fall then
many more times that people fall then that they rise so the last 30 seconds
that they rise so the last 30 seconds
that they rise so the last 30 seconds are to explain how the rubber band trick
are to explain how the rubber band trick
are to explain how the rubber band trick works so now you see because you cannot
works so now you see because you cannot
works so now you see because you cannot predict the future it’s a trick so you
predict the future it’s a trick so you
predict the future it’s a trick so you cannot make things go through so can you
cannot make things go through so can you
cannot make things go through so can you please be the witness for the rest of
please be the witness for the rest of
please be the witness for the rest of the world here that the things are
the world here that the things are
the world here that the things are really are correct ants okay so what and
really are correct ants okay so what and
really are correct ants okay so what and my my sleeves are ok actually I’ll do
my my sleeves are ok actually I’ll do
my my sleeves are ok actually I’ll do something else this time
something else this time
something else this time I only have one so things can disappear
I only have one so things can disappear
I only have one so things can disappear in thin air thank you very much
in thin air thank you very much
in thin air thank you very much [Applause]
”
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