Press "Enter" to skip to content

Smarte Maschinen – Diener oder Dämonen? | Ulrich Eberl | TEDxMünchen


[Applause]

I want to thank him then and Europe

he had good news

[Applause]

grandchildren right there is a sign of

intelligence

I do not think it was just that

nicely programmed but keyword

intelligence what is the smartest

we are on earth when we are

intelligence is defined as the ability

to solve problems

then I think I could already here

a bit pondering

our cities are overcrowded

heat up the climate we lead wars

we waste the landscape

I think we need help and that

Good news is it is indeed

help on the way help from machines the

more and more approximate what

people can

Smart machines could be smart

Machines smart machines can

can walk can speak speak

can listen and see things

can read and write

can analyze sensor data and they

can learn by yourself

watch by imitating

rewards

I think that these smart ones

machines in their fields

can actually help

just play for the older

expectant population I think that

smart machines could be helpful

when cleaning up at home

maybe go shopping food cook the

Dishwasher give that

pour beer glass or even just

transmit messages or in the

industry smart industry known as

Industry 4.0 a high with us

automated very flexible production

Electrically networked autonomously at cars

These are the big trends of the cars

the advantage

there will be less traffic jams less

accidents and much more comfort too

Here again the old people

By 2050, the number of over

100 year old in Germany

tenfold

even 90 or 100 years old would like to

still mobile but they do not drive then

More auto auto you then call yourself

maybe an autonomous vehicle that

folds the seats out of the rising

comfortable 1 folds in the seats again

and they say the car should go

smart grids also one of these

tags today are necessary to

offer and demand in line too

bring in particular in the nets where

a lot of renewable energy

are present and these smart

Machines are already so good today

In some cases they are better than

People

I bring a few examples that is

the watson of ibm so in the middle

you see the earth with one

garland that symbolizes the

computer here at a quiz game

Verdi did a bit

more complex variant of who will

millionaire of this root system had in

his entire memory

internet lexicon wikipedia

he could read everything

he could get the information

to bring together and the special he

Made it into 230 customers and got it

he is actually the human

champions defeated but ibm wants

of course no quiz games

organize but use the

watson, for example, is referring to doctors today

help

because if the doctor has a cancer patient

then he can ask watson for advice

The Watson seeks thousands of people

anonymized patient records and

medical literature and tries that

Doctor helping with diagnosis and therapy

or also bank consultant stock transactions

For example, watson can help as well

in workshops at kreutzer

and so on google will mean it

maybe also known alpha that was

the software of those who have the

worlds best player the boardgame go the

World’s best player in spring this year

year defeated go is very much so

interesting because it is extremely complex

there is more on a board

Possible combinations as atoms in the

universe

that can no longer calculate computer

So alf ag had to learn millions

Examples of how to close well and

how successful they are next

example, kita times a mobile

robot runs faster than his

boot the human world champion over

100 and 200 meters distance

traffic sign recognition also such a

example

the best software for

Traffic Sign Recognition today has one

error rate of 0 5 percent so 99 5

percent are right and human

error rate is more than twice as high

examples from the industry wind turbines

Hundreds of sensors measure them

Vibration whether the turbine is running smoothly

and so on trains also have sensors

many many other machines though

you analyze what these sensors data

deliver then you can predict when

this system will fail and that

days or even weeks in advance if

The vibrations are not quite right though

it goes a bit wrong too

goes with the smart machines cancer

Recognizable learning software finds

Show more of cancer in

tissue samples so there is analyzed whether

a cell is a cancer cell or

no more indicative of cancer than in the

human literature at all

Of course, the doctors knew about it

google street view also help

an example

here are france driven in

france there are millions of

houses have the whole

house numbers

so take pictures of the pictures

houses the task was to read the

house numbers and locate the houses

the just when it’s people that

that would make about two

take years

The software has two hours

made

and another human example

emotion recognition typical emotions of the

people so base emotions as anger

joy surprise mourning show up

in the face and worldwide the same

regardless of culture regardless of

old and then it can of course

analyze a computer and the best

Systems are now even better than

Many people like you tests

has found that were only times now

seven examples of what marty machines

already better today than humans

and the development remains natural

do not stand this train does not stay

stand when comparing 1995 was the

the most powerful supercomputer of the

world could reach 100 billion

computing operations per second

that creates a good smartphone today

Today we carry in our bags the

Supercomputer from 20 years ago

And this development will happen again

We will continue in 20 years

supercomputers of today in bags

carry

and some people even say we will

in 2040 the processing speed

the storage capacity of a

human brain for under 1000

can buy dollars

then , so to speak, have second brain in

the bag who would not like to get off and

sometimes a second brain

it can go even further new

chips not by software

simulate how our brain works

but by hardware electrically the

Learn 10,000 times faster than ours

own brain, too, that is already

possible, however, still in the labs

and what comes to

These data are based on those smart

learning machines usually come

from the internet learning by the millions

of images of videos of audio files

They learn the cars look like one

piece of mozart sounds and so on

we have a data explosion in the

internet this shows that data

mountains of humanity so to speak and

smart man has calculated times

that until the year 2000, humanity

about two ex works on information

it has produced two billion

gigabyte

these two extra at the stand today

a single day

that means everything we do until the

year 2000 on data

we produce today in one day

smartphones with sensors of all kinds

one day and accordingly a lot

have opportunities to learn and

they can even learn without them

Data on the internet you can too

learn by watching people

by imitating people

trial and error through rewards

So my favorite robot is here

that it’s the heck off he goes for example

in genoa in the school actually one

small classroom for yourself and there

He learns from the human teachers

Learn how his toys look like

He learns how to clear the table

learning through play piano learned

to deal with part and bow

He is always learning very curiously

I have the osaka in japan again

met and he learns through

rewards

He will be rewarded for doing that

so that they help people

Can you look at everything then

Of course, one could also be afraid

get clear when these machines like that

then they could be smart

someday be smarter than us

killer robot super intelligence there is

yes, some scientists before that

to warn

I think it’s essentially science

fiction and it is also one more

Western science fiction we have in

West has grown up with

frankenstein with terminal with it

transformers

metal 9000 like all of them are called

East is very different in Japan

robots and smart machines helper of

People have always been in the

culture in literature it is one

Western history and when I go up

the researchers are asking the question

roboterforschung then say the all of

development of general intelligence

you would need a machine to us

it is still dangerous to be dangerous

very very far away so i think so

is something to which we at the moment

but at least have no fear but

here is the actually happen

this is about the jobs here it is

That’s why there are many studies which jobs

which activities in the future

be automated

and here is for example applied

different professions and the

probability automation in

Danger are actually routine jobs in

factories but also in offices especially

in offices this time bank consultant

insurance representative logistician

accountant easy cleaning staff bus

taxi truck driver when all

brings together about twelve

percent of jobs in germany where a lot

can be automated that would be 5

million jobs

but you have to keep in mind that are

activities that are automated

not necessarily the job that goes away

So a doctor has as explained by

with security rate machine in future

to help him with the

diagnosis but there are still the

human doctors and I think so too

not the trucks on the highways

will drive without that there still man

maybe they are doing it in there

something else meanwhile billing

but bring in new orders

will not be there in danger

Of course the jobs are very complex

tasks have been creative research

development of media design craft

which require high social skills

teachers social workers caregivers and

you always have to ask her is that

automation actually

economical and it becomes social

which does not always accept anything

the case is and accordingly

also decide to emerge

Of course a lot of new jobs so the

Example design of such machines

it’s like software development

35 years ago at the beginning of the 80s

There are no software developers so good

like none today since 19

millions of new jobs worldwide

arise

and I think in the end it will be like

said all life both people

but we will affect these things

really need

the smartphone was or start it

the smartcast come the smart grid

smart home smart transportation

smarthouse and was everything you needed

can imagine

we will need it for the older ones

expectant population we will

Need for the sustainable

energy systems for the

Mobility systems will need it

for liveable cities and for the

competitiveness of our industry

and I think we will not only

get used to it

we are actually in one

community between people and

smart machines live like we do today

quite naturally smartphones

take the course quite naturally

adopt social networks

that’s how we become in our lives

welcome

maybe not like the Japanese here

which is actually electronic or

Digital clones build out of robots

it does not have to be this, but we will be the one

encounter smart machines everywhere

that’s enough of the autonomous vehicle like

said right up to the chat at the

speaker boxes on our tables

which should come soon

we will see her everywhere and me

think if it’s right and if

we are not against the machines, so to speak

compete but learn with them

be sure to use them

reliable to use

also to ensure the safety

that they do not hurt anyone

if only to be so to speak

dance with the machines then I think

we have a good future there and then

we have the chance that the smart

machine together with us maybe

enable something that is smart humans

people could call that peacefully

the eco-conscious lives are the most creative

and that would really be the

good news thank you

[Applause]

”

Be First to Comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *