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Our Common Future in the South China Sea | Jay Batongbacal | TEDxDiliman


good evening and thank you for having me

good evening and thank you for having me here to give a short talk the theme of

here to give a short talk the theme of

here to give a short talk the theme of our activities starting points and for

our activities starting points and for

our activities starting points and for something as complex as the South China

something as complex as the South China

something as complex as the South China Sea disputes I think it’s by quite

Sea disputes I think it’s by quite

Sea disputes I think it’s by quite fitting that we start with something

fitting that we start with something

fitting that we start with something something I will be quite relevant to

something I will be quite relevant to

something I will be quite relevant to each one of us the title is our common

each one of us the title is our common

each one of us the title is our common future in the South China Sea and

future in the South China Sea and

future in the South China Sea and interestingly right now because of the

interestingly right now because of the

interestingly right now because of the disputes it seems like that future is

disputes it seems like that future is

disputes it seems like that future is becoming less and less common and more

becoming less and less common and more

becoming less and less common and more and more exclusive now why is it like

and more exclusive now why is it like

and more exclusive now why is it like that well really it’s not because of oil

that well really it’s not because of oil

that well really it’s not because of oil it’s not because of military advantages

it’s not because of military advantages

it’s not because of military advantages really but most fundamentally it’s about

really but most fundamentally it’s about

really but most fundamentally it’s about this it’s about fish ok the South China

this it’s about fish ok the South China

this it’s about fish ok the South China Sea is actually precipitated by a

Sea is actually precipitated by a

Sea is actually precipitated by a problem with fish rather than anything

problem with fish rather than anything

problem with fish rather than anything else

else

else all the other other activities military

all the other other activities military

all the other other activities military oil and gas etc they tend to be much

oil and gas etc they tend to be much

oil and gas etc they tend to be much less of a problem but it’s the fishing

less of a problem but it’s the fishing

less of a problem but it’s the fishing that really tends to be this part of

that really tends to be this part of

that really tends to be this part of some something really really big so for

some something really really big so for

some something really really big so for example in the in throughout the 1970s

example in the in throughout the 1970s

example in the in throughout the 1970s there have been two armed clashes in the

there have been two armed clashes in the

there have been two armed clashes in the South China Sea between Vietnam and

South China Sea between Vietnam and

South China Sea between Vietnam and China one in the Paracels another one in

China one in the Paracels another one in

China one in the Paracels another one in Johnson South Beach in both instances

Johnson South Beach in both instances

Johnson South Beach in both instances the run-up to it the the precipitator is

the run-up to it the the precipitator is

the run-up to it the the precipitator is really an argument between fishermen in

really an argument between fishermen in

really an argument between fishermen in our case the event symbolized by this

our case the event symbolized by this

our case the event symbolized by this sculpture how timely Scarborough Shoal

sculpture how timely Scarborough Shoal

sculpture how timely Scarborough Shoal in 2012 notice what did it start with

in 2012 notice what did it start with

in 2012 notice what did it start with the Philippine Navy trying to arrest

the Philippine Navy trying to arrest

the Philippine Navy trying to arrest Chinese fishermen so it’s really about

Chinese fishermen so it’s really about

Chinese fishermen so it’s really about the fish and that’s something that most

the fish and that’s something that most

the fish and that’s something that most people don’t seem to appreciate because

people don’t seem to appreciate because

people don’t seem to appreciate because they tend to think in other terms such

they tend to think in other terms such

they tend to think in other terms such as military terms or oil and gas every

as military terms or oil and gas every

as military terms or oil and gas every time we say South China Sea in the

time we say South China Sea in the

time we say South China Sea in the papers there’s always that adjective

papers there’s always that adjective

papers there’s always that adjective boil rich South China Sea but that’s not

boil rich South China Sea but that’s not

boil rich South China Sea but that’s not really what’s working of are the

really what’s working of are the

really what’s working of are the problems most of the time now for us

problems most of the time now for us

problems most of the time now for us Filipinos fish

Filipinos fish

Filipinos fish no fish fishing that’s so familiar why

no fish fishing that’s so familiar why

no fish fishing that’s so familiar why because we live with fish we eat fish so

because we live with fish we eat fish so

because we live with fish we eat fish so much no I’ve been to several other

much no I’ve been to several other

much no I’ve been to several other countries many times and there there are

countries many times and there there are

countries many times and there there are quite a lot of them where if you you go

quite a lot of them where if you you go

quite a lot of them where if you you go to dinner have lunch you’ll not see a

to dinner have lunch you’ll not see a

to dinner have lunch you’ll not see a fish or whatever fish that they have is

fish or whatever fish that they have is

fish or whatever fish that they have is probably the same kind of fish that they

probably the same kind of fish that they

probably the same kind of fish that they use for every other dish literally we

use for every other dish literally we

use for every other dish literally we have such a variety and diversity of

have such a variety and diversity of

have such a variety and diversity of fish to eat now compared to say in the

fish to eat now compared to say in the

fish to eat now compared to say in the United States or in Canada where

United States or in Canada where

United States or in Canada where everything is either a Pollock or a

everything is either a Pollock or a

everything is either a Pollock or a haddock or a or a Dory Dory the creme

haddock or a or a Dory Dory the creme

haddock or a or a Dory Dory the creme Doreen at Natori okay so in the

Doreen at Natori okay so in the

Doreen at Natori okay so in the Philippines of course we expect to have

Philippines of course we expect to have

Philippines of course we expect to have to take our fish from Philippine waters

to take our fish from Philippine waters

to take our fish from Philippine waters and everybody especially in the past

and everybody especially in the past

and everybody especially in the past couple of years has gained such a

couple of years has gained such a

couple of years has gained such a different awareness of this Philippine

different awareness of this Philippine

different awareness of this Philippine waters and how important they are prior

waters and how important they are prior

waters and how important they are prior to the net to say 2009-2010 most people

to the net to say 2009-2010 most people

to the net to say 2009-2010 most people were really focused on the land

were really focused on the land

were really focused on the land everything that they knew was about the

everything that they knew was about the

everything that they knew was about the land and few people actually gave

land and few people actually gave

land and few people actually gave importance to the waters of our

importance to the waters of our

importance to the waters of our archipelago but thankfully since that

archipelago but thankfully since that

archipelago but thankfully since that time a lot of our people both in

time a lot of our people both in

time a lot of our people both in government and and in the wider public

government and and in the wider public

government and and in the wider public have gained much much greater

have gained much much greater

have gained much much greater appreciation for these waters and here

appreciation for these waters and here

appreciation for these waters and here I’m showing you actually what these

I’m showing you actually what these

I’m showing you actually what these waters are under international law now

waters are under international law now

waters are under international law now the West Philippine Sea which has become

the West Philippine Sea which has become

the West Philippine Sea which has become so ingrained in our consciousness in the

so ingrained in our consciousness in the

so ingrained in our consciousness in the past couple of years is actually this

past couple of years is actually this

past couple of years is actually this little portion here not the entire South

little portion here not the entire South

little portion here not the entire South China Sea I had to point out to Gigot

China Sea I had to point out to Gigot

China Sea I had to point out to Gigot that these two are not synonymous so

that these two are not synonymous so

that these two are not synonymous so when you talk about the West Philippine

when you talk about the West Philippine

when you talk about the West Philippine Sea disputes we’re using that term to

Sea disputes we’re using that term to

Sea disputes we’re using that term to identify that part of the South China

identify that part of the South China

identify that part of the South China Sea which we claim to be ours and why is

Sea which we claim to be ours and why is

Sea which we claim to be ours and why is it important again fish if you look at

it important again fish if you look at

it important again fish if you look at the fishing activity that has been

the fishing activity that has been

the fishing activity that has been taking place in this country for it is

taking place in this country for it is

taking place in this country for it is the past couple of years and thankfully

the past couple of years and thankfully

the past couple of years and thankfully we can see that now more vividly through

we can see that now more vividly through

we can see that now more vividly through satellite data you’ll notice that for

satellite data you’ll notice that for

satellite data you’ll notice that for example in the middle of the archipelago

example in the middle of the archipelago

example in the middle of the archipelago those are archaeologic waters are inter

those are archaeologic waters are inter

those are archaeologic waters are inter Island waters that’s where more

Island waters that’s where more

Island waters that’s where more of the Philippine fishing activity

of the Philippine fishing activity

of the Philippine fishing activity actually takes place and much of the

actually takes place and much of the

actually takes place and much of the fish that we eat comes from there but a

fish that we eat comes from there but a

fish that we eat comes from there but a good portion also comes from the West

good portion also comes from the West

good portion also comes from the West Philippine Sea now the West Philippine

Philippine Sea now the West Philippine

Philippine Sea now the West Philippine Sea however invention is only part of

Sea however invention is only part of

Sea however invention is only part of something bigger and that’s the South

something bigger and that’s the South

something bigger and that’s the South China Sea not the South China Sea that

China Sea not the South China Sea that

China Sea not the South China Sea that China is claiming but something more

China is claiming but something more

China is claiming but something more than that extending out onto the edges

than that extending out onto the edges

than that extending out onto the edges of the Gulf of Thailand and right up

of the Gulf of Thailand and right up

of the Gulf of Thailand and right up there nearly around Taiwan the South

there nearly around Taiwan the South

there nearly around Taiwan the South China Sea is so big that it and it has

China Sea is so big that it and it has

China Sea is so big that it and it has so much so much resources that actually

so much so much resources that actually

so much so much resources that actually all of the surrounding countries get

all of the surrounding countries get

all of the surrounding countries get their fish from that same place so it’s

their fish from that same place so it’s

their fish from that same place so it’s not just us it’s everyone else and the

not just us it’s everyone else and the

not just us it’s everyone else and the thing that most people don’t realize is

thing that most people don’t realize is

thing that most people don’t realize is that fish move they don’t stay in any

that fish move they don’t stay in any

that fish move they don’t stay in any one place and here what you see here

one place and here what you see here

one place and here what you see here from satellite data is the movement of

from satellite data is the movement of

from satellite data is the movement of plankton the base of the food chain

plankton the base of the food chain

plankton the base of the food chain where the plant don’t go the fish will

where the plant don’t go the fish will

where the plant don’t go the fish will follow and where the fish go fishermen

follow and where the fish go fishermen

follow and where the fish go fishermen will this is actually a series of images

will this is actually a series of images

will this is actually a series of images taken over the course of one year in

taken over the course of one year in

taken over the course of one year in 2010 so every month if that’s one shop

2010 so every month if that’s one shop

2010 so every month if that’s one shop or one photograph or one one image

or one photograph or one one image

or one photograph or one one image rather of the distribution plankton now

rather of the distribution plankton now

rather of the distribution plankton now and I’ve gotten only one image per month

and I’ve gotten only one image per month

and I’ve gotten only one image per month but just from that you can see how the

but just from that you can see how the

but just from that you can see how the water circulates how the plantain

water circulates how the plantain

water circulates how the plantain circulates more or less here in a

circulates more or less here in a

circulates more or less here in a counterclockwise motion so you realize

counterclockwise motion so you realize

counterclockwise motion so you realize that really whatever fish we catch

that really whatever fish we catch

that really whatever fish we catch actually comes from somewhere else and

actually comes from somewhere else and

actually comes from somewhere else and those that we don’t catch go somewhere

those that we don’t catch go somewhere

those that we don’t catch go somewhere else and that is the crux of the problem

else and that is the crux of the problem

else and that is the crux of the problem sort of South China Sea really is a

sort of South China Sea really is a

sort of South China Sea really is a common resource it’s a common pool

common resource it’s a common pool

common resource it’s a common pool resource and this is going to be a big

resource and this is going to be a big

resource and this is going to be a big part of what we need to realize and in

part of what we need to realize and in

part of what we need to realize and in order for us to come up with a solution

order for us to come up with a solution

order for us to come up with a solution to the problems that we face again

to the problems that we face again

to the problems that we face again if we look at that image I showed you

if we look at that image I showed you

if we look at that image I showed you earlier about fishing the fishing

earlier about fishing the fishing

earlier about fishing the fishing activity look this time at the left side

activity look this time at the left side

activity look this time at the left side of that image and you’ll notice how much

of that image and you’ll notice how much

of that image and you’ll notice how much more fishing has been going on

more fishing has been going on

more fishing has been going on especially since 2012 the other thing

especially since 2012 the other thing

especially since 2012 the other thing you probably will notice is the lot of

you probably will notice is the lot of

you probably will notice is the lot of that fishing

that fishing

that fishing has been increasingly coming closer and

has been increasingly coming closer and

has been increasingly coming closer and closer to our shores other statistics

closer to our shores other statistics

closer to our shores other statistics gathered but I assigned this elsewhere

gathered but I assigned this elsewhere

gathered but I assigned this elsewhere we commonly consult with with this we

we commonly consult with with this we

we commonly consult with with this we designed this in order to to appreciate

designed this in order to to appreciate

designed this in order to to appreciate marine policy issues some of them have

marine policy issues some of them have

marine policy issues some of them have tried to put together the attached data

tried to put together the attached data

tried to put together the attached data from this region and adjusted them based

from this region and adjusted them based

from this region and adjusted them based on certain information and you look here

on certain information and you look here

on certain information and you look here in this particular chart this is the

in this particular chart this is the

in this particular chart this is the catch since 1950 going up to around 2015

catch since 1950 going up to around 2015

catch since 1950 going up to around 2015 if I’m not mistaken and each 12 these

if I’m not mistaken and each 12 these

if I’m not mistaken and each 12 these colors represent a type of fish that is

colors represent a type of fish that is

colors represent a type of fish that is being harvested and you’ll notice that

being harvested and you’ll notice that

being harvested and you’ll notice that what does this track represent all types

what does this track represent all types

what does this track represent all types of fish are being caught or fished out

of fish are being caught or fished out

of fish are being caught or fished out of the South China Sea and it has been

of the South China Sea and it has been

of the South China Sea and it has been increasing as such a massive trait

increasing as such a massive trait

increasing as such a massive trait especially since the 1990s we’ve gone

especially since the 1990s we’ve gone

especially since the 1990s we’ve gone from the region has gone from catching

from the region has gone from catching

from the region has gone from catching about 1 million tons in 1950 to about 14

about 1 million tons in 1950 to about 14

about 1 million tons in 1950 to about 14 to 15 million tons just last year that’s

to 15 million tons just last year that’s

to 15 million tons just last year that’s over a hundred million tons in the past

over a hundred million tons in the past

over a hundred million tons in the past few decades if we then look at who is

few decades if we then look at who is

few decades if we then look at who is catching the fish here you see the

catching the fish here you see the

catching the fish here you see the Philippines in light green that’s us and

Philippines in light green that’s us and

Philippines in light green that’s us and that’s everybody else particularly this

that’s everybody else particularly this

that’s everybody else particularly this is Thailand and China

is Thailand and China

is Thailand and China that’s Malaysia and then some of the

that’s Malaysia and then some of the

that’s Malaysia and then some of the other smaller countries so you see that

other smaller countries so you see that

other smaller countries so you see that with this increasing fish catch we have

with this increasing fish catch we have

with this increasing fish catch we have not been actually increasing our fishing

not been actually increasing our fishing

not been actually increasing our fishing effort in that area everyone else has

and if we take a look again at the

and if we take a look again at the different percentage a different I’d

different percentage a different I’d

different percentage a different I’d kinda presentation that data this is

kinda presentation that data this is

kinda presentation that data this is actually photographs of lights at night

actually photographs of lights at night

actually photographs of lights at night that have been averaged out so this each

that have been averaged out so this each

that have been averaged out so this each is equivalent to a year’s worth of

is equivalent to a year’s worth of

is equivalent to a year’s worth of location of off lights each light

location of off lights each light

location of off lights each light represents a fishing vessel and the

represents a fishing vessel and the

represents a fishing vessel and the or you can get a sense of the fishing

or you can get a sense of the fishing

or you can get a sense of the fishing activity for that entire year and if you

activity for that entire year and if you

activity for that entire year and if you look at that series since 2012 what

look at that series since 2012 what

look at that series since 2012 what you’ll notice really is that fishing

you’ll notice really is that fishing

you’ll notice really is that fishing activity especially from the western

activity especially from the western

activity especially from the western side that would be China Vietnam and

side that would be China Vietnam and

side that would be China Vietnam and Thailand have been moving closer and

Thailand have been moving closer and

Thailand have been moving closer and closer to us and basically they’ve also

closer to us and basically they’ve also

closer to us and basically they’ve also been fishing more and more of the West

been fishing more and more of the West

been fishing more and more of the West Philippine Sea and that is really now

Philippine Sea and that is really now

Philippine Sea and that is really now the the challenge before us everyone

the the challenge before us everyone

the the challenge before us everyone around the region needs food we need it

around the region needs food we need it

around the region needs food we need it as much as they do and yet because of

as much as they do and yet because of

as much as they do and yet because of this this need it is driving it is

this this need it is driving it is

this this need it is driving it is driving the exploitation of the South

driving the exploitation of the South

driving the exploitation of the South China Sea at a far greater rate than

China Sea at a far greater rate than

China Sea at a far greater rate than ever before and we are now seeing the

ever before and we are now seeing the

ever before and we are now seeing the manifestation of that dispute in things

manifestation of that dispute in things

manifestation of that dispute in things like the West Philippine Sea case the

like the West Philippine Sea case the

like the West Philippine Sea case the Chinese incursions into our waters the

Chinese incursions into our waters the

Chinese incursions into our waters the artificial islands all of this the

artificial islands all of this the

artificial islands all of this the question that we need to start with is

question that we need to start with is

question that we need to start with is what do we want to do with it how do we

what do we want to do with it how do we

what do we want to do with it how do we want to do it do we do it by trying to

want to do it do we do it by trying to

want to do it do we do it by trying to be exclusive trying to clean these

be exclusive trying to clean these

be exclusive trying to clean these waters only as our own trying to keep

waters only as our own trying to keep

waters only as our own trying to keep everyone out or do we do it by trying to

everyone out or do we do it by trying to

everyone out or do we do it by trying to look at different cooperative solutions

look at different cooperative solutions

look at different cooperative solutions trying to recognize that this is a

trying to recognize that this is a

trying to recognize that this is a common resource that we all share and

common resource that we all share and

common resource that we all share and trying to work together to try to manage

trying to work together to try to manage

trying to work together to try to manage and make them sustainable the reason why

and make them sustainable the reason why

and make them sustainable the reason why this is most important is that if we

this is most important is that if we

this is most important is that if we look at who has been catching this this

look at who has been catching this this

look at who has been catching this this fish this division that represents

fish this division that represents

fish this division that represents different sectors most of the fish are

different sectors most of the fish are

different sectors most of the fish are being caught by this group it is the

being caught by this group it is the

being caught by this group it is the industrial sector meanwhile everyone

industrial sector meanwhile everyone

industrial sector meanwhile everyone else the small fishermen the artisanal

else the small fishermen the artisanal

else the small fishermen the artisanal fishermen as I call it have only been

fishermen as I call it have only been

fishermen as I call it have only been catching this and people who have been

catching this and people who have been

catching this and people who have been working classified as subsistence

working classified as subsistence

working classified as subsistence fishermen are only this and so while

fishermen are only this and so while

fishermen are only this and so while everybody else has been catching more

everybody else has been catching more

everybody else has been catching more and more of the fish actually the people

and more of the fish actually the people

and more of the fish actually the people who are most more dependent on them have

who are most more dependent on them have

who are most more dependent on them have been unable to people

been unable to people

been unable to people at the same time because we’ve been

at the same time because we’ve been

at the same time because we’ve been catching all of the fish and the

catching all of the fish and the

catching all of the fish and the exploitation rates have been increasing

exploitation rates have been increasing

exploitation rates have been increasing this is and in these two charts are a

this is and in these two charts are a

this is and in these two charts are a kind of warning signal the first one

kind of warning signal the first one

kind of warning signal the first one shows us that from the 1950s when only

shows us that from the 1950s when only

shows us that from the 1950s when only that small portion about 20 percent of

that small portion about 20 percent of

that small portion about 20 percent of the South China Sea was actually being

the South China Sea was actually being

the South China Sea was actually being exploited we’ve gone to nearly what 99

exploited we’ve gone to nearly what 99

exploited we’ve gone to nearly what 99 percent and a good portion about five

percent and a good portion about five

percent and a good portion about five five to seven percent are now already in

five to seven percent are now already in

five to seven percent are now already in a state of collapse another look at that

a state of collapse another look at that

a state of collapse another look at that data also shows that in terms of each

data also shows that in terms of each

data also shows that in terms of each particular kind of fish whether its

particular kind of fish whether its

particular kind of fish whether its crustaceans or or tunas or politics as

crustaceans or or tunas or politics as

crustaceans or or tunas or politics as we call them bottom dwellers or the

we call them bottom dwellers or the

we call them bottom dwellers or the swimmers now they’re all also being

swimmers now they’re all also being

swimmers now they’re all also being exploited because as we saw earlier we

exploited because as we saw earlier we

exploited because as we saw earlier we are taking all kinds of fish all of the

are taking all kinds of fish all of the

are taking all kinds of fish all of the kinds of fish that we can find that is

kinds of fish that we can find that is

kinds of fish that we can find that is found in the South China Sea and what

found in the South China Sea and what

found in the South China Sea and what they’re seeing here is a huge trend of

they’re seeing here is a huge trend of

they’re seeing here is a huge trend of it of the exploitation peaking and

it of the exploitation peaking and

it of the exploitation peaking and beginning now to taper off and possibly

beginning now to taper off and possibly

beginning now to taper off and possibly go down that is the signal in other

go down that is the signal in other

go down that is the signal in other places this pattern has been seen before

places this pattern has been seen before

places this pattern has been seen before it is the signal of the beginning of a

it is the signal of the beginning of a

it is the signal of the beginning of a collapse so thank you very much I hope

collapse so thank you very much I hope

collapse so thank you very much I hope that with that kind of information you

that with that kind of information you

that with that kind of information you can you can now have a very different

can you can now have a very different

can you can now have a very different perspective about what this represents

perspective about what this represents

perspective about what this represents and this is the South China Sea disputes

and this is the South China Sea disputes

and this is the South China Sea disputes thank you

thank you

thank you [Applause]

[Applause]

[Applause] [Music]

[Music]

[Music] [Applause]

”

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