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Business Models For Impossible Problems | John Ryan | TEDxBeaconStreet


yes I’m gonna give a cheerful talk about

yes I’m gonna give a cheerful talk about the world’s most serious problems

the world’s most serious problems

the world’s most serious problems because I believe that we can see our

because I believe that we can see our

because I believe that we can see our way to thinking of them of them as

way to thinking of them of them as

way to thinking of them of them as solvable and then solved but first a

solvable and then solved but first a

solvable and then solved but first a picture of a pelican I live on the San

picture of a pelican I live on the San

picture of a pelican I live on the San Francisco Bay I don’t mean that as a

Francisco Bay I don’t mean that as a

Francisco Bay I don’t mean that as a metaphor I read them floating home in

metaphor I read them floating home in

metaphor I read them floating home in the San Francisco Bay

the San Francisco Bay

the San Francisco Bay so pelicans will quite literally fly by

so pelicans will quite literally fly by

so pelicans will quite literally fly by the back door and so on a recent evening

the back door and so on a recent evening

the back door and so on a recent evening folks are over for dinner

folks are over for dinner

folks are over for dinner I find myself with on one side of me one

I find myself with on one side of me one

I find myself with on one side of me one of those guys who believes that climate

of those guys who believes that climate

of those guys who believes that climate change is not real because it offends

change is not real because it offends

change is not real because it offends his deeply held political persuasions or

his deeply held political persuasions or

his deeply held political persuasions or something and on and on the other side

something and on and on the other side

something and on and on the other side one of those other people who is

one of those other people who is

one of those other people who is paralyzed with fear with the imminence

paralyzed with fear with the imminence

paralyzed with fear with the imminence of climate change neither of those

of climate change neither of those

of climate change neither of those attitudes is actually very helpful we

attitudes is actually very helpful we

attitudes is actually very helpful we have to get to a point where we actually

have to get to a point where we actually

have to get to a point where we actually understand that we can put our arms

understand that we can put our arms

understand that we can put our arms around these great challenges and get

around these great challenges and get

around these great challenges and get them solved and so we’re going to be

them solved and so we’re going to be

them solved and so we’re going to be taking a quick look at how we can think

taking a quick look at how we can think

taking a quick look at how we can think of these as business model challenges

of these as business model challenges

of these as business model challenges and think of getting them to the point

and think of getting them to the point

and think of getting them to the point where although these problems are vast

where although these problems are vast

where although these problems are vast they are solvable well here’s a list of

they are solvable well here’s a list of

they are solvable well here’s a list of these vast problems and yes the internet

these vast problems and yes the internet

these vast problems and yes the internet is on the list along with water and

is on the list along with water and

is on the list along with water and power reversing climate change not just

power reversing climate change not just

power reversing climate change not just ending it reversing it food for 10 or

ending it reversing it food for 10 or

ending it reversing it food for 10 or maybe 11 billion people without

maybe 11 billion people without

maybe 11 billion people without destroying the planet unfill thiing our

destroying the planet unfill thiing our

destroying the planet unfill thiing our oceans trees you could add to the list

oceans trees you could add to the list

oceans trees you could add to the list there are almost certainly other things

there are almost certainly other things

there are almost certainly other things that belong on those we do face vast

that belong on those we do face vast

that belong on those we do face vast problems at global scale we do not have

problems at global scale we do not have

problems at global scale we do not have the ability to put in place a cord

the ability to put in place a cord

the ability to put in place a cord a global solution and yet we’re going to

a global solution and yet we’re going to

a global solution and yet we’re going to get these things done yeah it’s an old

get these things done yeah it’s an old

get these things done yeah it’s an old saying it’s attributed to Mark Twain but

saying it’s attributed to Mark Twain but

saying it’s attributed to Mark Twain but it was actually his pal Charles Warner

it was actually his pal Charles Warner

it was actually his pal Charles Warner everybody talks about the weather but

everybody talks about the weather but

everybody talks about the weather but nobody does anything about it but take

nobody does anything about it but take

nobody does anything about it but take out the word weather and put in climate

out the word weather and put in climate

out the word weather and put in climate or oceans and we now have the

or oceans and we now have the

or oceans and we now have the responsibility actually the opportunity

responsibility actually the opportunity

responsibility actually the opportunity the exciting challenge to take on these

the exciting challenge to take on these

the exciting challenge to take on these fantastic things and we will I do

fantastic things and we will I do

fantastic things and we will I do believe that we are going to solve them

believe that we are going to solve them

believe that we are going to solve them but we’re not going to solve them by

but we’re not going to solve them by

but we’re not going to solve them by just worrying about them and I you think

just worrying about them and I you think

just worrying about them and I you think of this in part because of an important

of this in part because of an important

of this in part because of an important lesson from history you’ll all know that

lesson from history you’ll all know that

lesson from history you’ll all know that I’m going to be talking about Robert

I’m going to be talking about Robert

I’m going to be talking about Robert Malthus the British cleric who about two

Malthus the British cleric who about two

Malthus the British cleric who about two hundred and twenty years ago did the

hundred and twenty years ago did the

hundred and twenty years ago did the math actually he’s British on the maths

math actually he’s British on the maths

math actually he’s British on the maths and he was able to prove quite

and he was able to prove quite

and he was able to prove quite conclusively that we’re all going to

conclusively that we’re all going to

conclusively that we’re all going to starve to death and the reason was that

starve to death and the reason was that

starve to death and the reason was that population grows exponentially he

population grows exponentially he

population grows exponentially he actually says geometrically so by a

actually says geometrically so by a

actually says geometrically so by a certain percentage every decade also and

certain percentage every decade also and

certain percentage every decade also and that becomes this vast up rising curve

that becomes this vast up rising curve

that becomes this vast up rising curve whereas food output from farms he was

whereas food output from farms he was

whereas food output from farms he was able to show using the data available at

able to show using the data available at

able to show using the data available at the time was growing linearly

the time was growing linearly

the time was growing linearly he said arithmetic li by a certain

he said arithmetic li by a certain

he said arithmetic li by a certain amount every decade and sooner rather

amount every decade and sooner rather

amount every decade and sooner rather than the later of that curve outstrips

than the later of that curve outstrips

than the later of that curve outstrips that curve and this was the outcome that

that curve and this was the outcome that

that curve and this was the outcome that he foresaw the power of population is so

he foresaw the power of population is so

he foresaw the power of population is so superior to the power of the earth to

superior to the power of the earth to

superior to the power of the earth to provide subsistence for man the

provide subsistence for man the

provide subsistence for man the premature death must in some shape or

premature death must in some shape or

premature death must in some shape or rather visit the human race a couple of

rather visit the human race a couple of

rather visit the human race a couple of things about this first of all it’s

things about this first of all it’s

things about this first of all it’s really cheerful

really cheerful

really cheerful but also it has this very passive view

but also it has this very passive view

but also it has this very passive view this is gonna happen kind of sorry his

this is gonna happen kind of sorry his

this is gonna happen kind of sorry his idea for the solution was population

idea for the solution was population

idea for the solution was population control but also you can see within this

control but also you can see within this

control but also you can see within this the view that Earth exists to support

the view that Earth exists to support

the view that Earth exists to support man also not a helpful way of thinking

man also not a helpful way of thinking

man also not a helpful way of thinking about this so what did he get right the

about this so what did he get right the

about this so what did he get right the exponential growth part he kind of got

exponential growth part he kind of got

exponential growth part he kind of got right at the time that Robert Malthus

right at the time that Robert Malthus

right at the time that Robert Malthus was alive there were 1 billion people on

was alive there were 1 billion people on

was alive there were 1 billion people on earth today at 7.6 also and by the end

earth today at 7.6 also and by the end

earth today at 7.6 also and by the end of the century maybe 10 or 11 so we can

of the century maybe 10 or 11 so we can

of the century maybe 10 or 11 so we can give him a passing grade on the

give him a passing grade on the

give him a passing grade on the exponential growth of population but

exponential growth of population but

exponential growth of population but hunger in fact a lower percentage of the

hunger in fact a lower percentage of the

hunger in fact a lower percentage of the population is hungry today than at any

population is hungry today than at any

population is hungry today than at any time in human history certainly far

time in human history certainly far

time in human history certainly far lower than then of course way too many

lower than then of course way too many

lower than then of course way too many people really are hungry so what did he

people really are hungry so what did he

people really are hungry so what did he miss typically the people when you ask

miss typically the people when you ask

miss typically the people when you ask people that question they come up with a

people that question they come up with a

people that question they come up with a shopping basket full of answers

shopping basket full of answers

shopping basket full of answers synthetic chemicals gave us fertilizers

synthetic chemicals gave us fertilizers

synthetic chemicals gave us fertilizers they gave us herbicides and pesticides

they gave us herbicides and pesticides

they gave us herbicides and pesticides we’ve had hybridized seeds and GMO

we’ve had hybridized seeds and GMO

we’ve had hybridized seeds and GMO organisms and tractors refrigeration is

organisms and tractors refrigeration is

organisms and tractors refrigeration is really important and on the business

really important and on the business

really important and on the business side

side

side similarly things but one worth paying

similarly things but one worth paying

similarly things but one worth paying attention to crop futures an invention

attention to crop futures an invention

attention to crop futures an invention from the Chicago Board of Trade in the

from the Chicago Board of Trade in the

from the Chicago Board of Trade in the 1870s which meant that a farmer could be

1870s which meant that a farmer could be

1870s which meant that a farmer could be paid in October for a crop to be

paid in October for a crop to be

paid in October for a crop to be delivered the next August that just

delivered the next August that just

delivered the next August that just didn’t mean that the farmer and his for

didn’t mean that the farmer and his for

didn’t mean that the farmer and his for her family could eat and sleep during a

her family could eat and sleep during a

her family could eat and sleep during a long cold winter it D risked farming and

long cold winter it D risked farming and

long cold winter it D risked farming and once farming was dearest’ banking got

once farming was dearest’ banking got

once farming was dearest’ banking got involved and once banking was involved

involved and once banking was involved

involved and once banking was involved agriculture became huge the business

agriculture became huge the business

agriculture became huge the business thinking then really led the emergence

thinking then really led the emergence

thinking then really led the emergence of large-scale agriculture that’s a

of large-scale agriculture that’s a

of large-scale agriculture that’s a lesson we need to carry forward but the

lesson we need to carry forward but the

lesson we need to carry forward but the shopping basket approach to thinking

shopping basket approach to thinking

shopping basket approach to thinking about what Malthus missed isn’t enough

about what Malthus missed isn’t enough

about what Malthus missed isn’t enough what did he really miss he missed the

what did he really miss he missed the

what did he really miss he missed the power of human innovation

power of human innovation

power of human innovation he missed ingenuity and most of that

he missed ingenuity and most of that

he missed ingenuity and most of that innovation in ingenuity was not there

innovation in ingenuity was not there

innovation in ingenuity was not there thinking about the poor people in front

thinking about the poor people in front

thinking about the poor people in front of us who are about to be hungry almost

of us who are about to be hungry almost

of us who are about to be hungry almost all of it and there are a couple of key

all of it and there are a couple of key

all of it and there are a couple of key exceptions was there looking for growth

exceptions was there looking for growth

exceptions was there looking for growth and prosperity and bounty and that I’m

and prosperity and bounty and that I’m

and prosperity and bounty and that I’m going to argue is the way we must think

going to argue is the way we must think

going to argue is the way we must think about climate change and all the rest of

about climate change and all the rest of

about climate change and all the rest of those things we have the power as

those things we have the power as

those things we have the power as humanity to design for our descendants a

humanity to design for our descendants a

humanity to design for our descendants a better earth and that’s the goal that we

better earth and that’s the goal that we

better earth and that’s the goal that we should be achieving so the solutions

should be achieving so the solutions

should be achieving so the solutions start to look like well we’ve got these

start to look like well we’ve got these

start to look like well we’ve got these ingredients yes human behavior yes

ingredients yes human behavior yes

ingredients yes human behavior yes policies but the business models for

policies but the business models for

policies but the business models for doing important new things with

doing important new things with

doing important new things with important new technologies I’m not going

important new technologies I’m not going

important new technologies I’m not going to read these at all but there is one

to read these at all but there is one

to read these at all but there is one everybody knows that solar power has now

everybody knows that solar power has now

everybody knows that solar power has now emerged as the best way to power the

emerged as the best way to power the

emerged as the best way to power the earth the marginal cost for solar power

earth the marginal cost for solar power

earth the marginal cost for solar power may actually reaches zero it is already

may actually reaches zero it is already

may actually reaches zero it is already at a point where it is typically lower

at a point where it is typically lower

at a point where it is typically lower cost than fossil fuel none of which

cost than fossil fuel none of which

cost than fossil fuel none of which would have been possible without the

would have been possible without the

would have been possible without the invention of a guy called Giga Shah who

invention of a guy called Giga Shah who

invention of a guy called Giga Shah who a decade or so created something really

a decade or so created something really

a decade or so created something really boring called the power purchase

boring called the power purchase

boring called the power purchase agreement it turns out a lot of people

agreement it turns out a lot of people

agreement it turns out a lot of people once solar power not only because it’s

once solar power not only because it’s

once solar power not only because it’s green because once it’s on your roof you

green because once it’s on your roof you

green because once it’s on your roof you have you know the cost of power for the

have you know the cost of power for the

have you know the cost of power for the next 20 years

next 20 years

next 20 years but neither businesses nor homes wanted

but neither businesses nor homes wanted

but neither businesses nor homes wanted to pay out the tens of thousands of

to pay out the tens of thousands of

to pay out the tens of thousands of dollars to do it Jigga Shah realized

dollars to do it Jigga Shah realized

dollars to do it Jigga Shah realized that this was an opportunity for a

that this was an opportunity for a

that this was an opportunity for a banking innovation that banking

banking innovation that banking

banking innovation that banking innovation meant people could put solar

innovation meant people could put solar

innovation meant people could put solar on their roofs or their company’s roofs

on their roofs or their company’s roofs

on their roofs or their company’s roofs with no capital cost upfront that

with no capital cost upfront that

with no capital cost upfront that de-risked it the banks got involved and

de-risked it the banks got involved and

de-risked it the banks got involved and now Solar has basically it is taking

now Solar has basically it is taking

now Solar has basically it is taking over and that’s where we get to in

over and that’s where we get to in

over and that’s where we get to in thinking about the business models for

thinking about the business models for

thinking about the business models for building the better

building the better

building the better that we want a really big number 100

that we want a really big number 100

that we want a really big number 100 trillion dollars the first context for

trillion dollars the first context for

trillion dollars the first context for thinking about the number 100 trillion

thinking about the number 100 trillion

thinking about the number 100 trillion dollars is that this is the total

dollars is that this is the total

dollars is that this is the total economic output of the world you take

economic output of the world you take

economic output of the world you take all of the gross domestic products of

all of the gross domestic products of

all of the gross domestic products of every country put them in a pile and

every country put them in a pile and

every country put them in a pile and it’s a hundred trillion dollars another

it’s a hundred trillion dollars another

it’s a hundred trillion dollars another context for thinking about the number a

context for thinking about the number a

context for thinking about the number a hundred trillion dollars is this it is

hundred trillion dollars is this it is

hundred trillion dollars is this it is the current estimate for the total cost

the current estimate for the total cost

the current estimate for the total cost to completely stop using fossil fuels

to completely stop using fossil fuels

to completely stop using fossil fuels now that means we can’t afford to do it

now that means we can’t afford to do it

now that means we can’t afford to do it in a year the good news is we don’t have

in a year the good news is we don’t have

in a year the good news is we don’t have either technologies or the business and

either technologies or the business and

either technologies or the business and we don’t need to do it in a year but if

we don’t need to do it in a year but if

we don’t need to do it in a year but if we were to try and do it in let’s say 20

we were to try and do it in let’s say 20

we were to try and do it in let’s say 20 years 25 years four trillion a year now

years 25 years four trillion a year now

years 25 years four trillion a year now four trillion a year is an interesting

four trillion a year is an interesting

four trillion a year is an interesting number not just because it’s smaller

number not just because it’s smaller

number not just because it’s smaller because it’s actually about the same

because it’s actually about the same

because it’s actually about the same amount of money that is spent every year

amount of money that is spent every year

amount of money that is spent every year subsidizing fossil fuels so I’m going to

subsidizing fossil fuels so I’m going to

subsidizing fossil fuels so I’m going to repeat that the amount that it will cost

repeat that the amount that it will cost

repeat that the amount that it will cost us to get rid of fossil fuels we’re

us to get rid of fossil fuels we’re

us to get rid of fossil fuels we’re already spending propping them up with

already spending propping them up with

already spending propping them up with the technologies and the business models

the technologies and the business models

the technologies and the business models to do that aren’t yet mature as they

to do that aren’t yet mature as they

to do that aren’t yet mature as they mature the non-fossil fuel solutions

mature the non-fossil fuel solutions

mature the non-fossil fuel solutions become broadly affordable as they become

become broadly affordable as they become

become broadly affordable as they become affordable they become profitable and as

affordable they become profitable and as

affordable they become profitable and as they become profitable they become

they become profitable they become

they become profitable they become inevitable and this is stuff that we can

inevitable and this is stuff that we can

inevitable and this is stuff that we can do in about 20 to 25 years elements of

do in about 20 to 25 years elements of

do in about 20 to 25 years elements of business models that we can put into the

business models that we can put into the

business models that we can put into the recipe include accounting investing

recipe include accounting investing

recipe include accounting investing trusting and employing accounting not

trusting and employing accounting not

trusting and employing accounting not everybody’s most exciting subject about

everybody’s most exciting subject about

everybody’s most exciting subject about 700 years ago I think starting in Venice

700 years ago I think starting in Venice

700 years ago I think starting in Venice or somewhere the double entry the double

or somewhere the double entry the double

or somewhere the double entry the double column form of accounting came into

column form of accounting came into

column form of accounting came into being and now dominates corporations and

being and now dominates corporations and

being and now dominates corporations and governments at one con for

governments at one con for

governments at one con for credit and one for debit and they have

credit and one for debit and they have

credit and one for debit and they have to balance but over the last 10 years

to balance but over the last 10 years

to balance but over the last 10 years accountants have realized it’s not

accountants have realized it’s not

accountants have realized it’s not enough because we’re pushing into

enough because we’re pushing into

enough because we’re pushing into unconsidered things the externalities as

unconsidered things the externalities as

unconsidered things the externalities as economists call them a whole set of

economists call them a whole set of

economists call them a whole set of other things including intellectual

other things including intellectual

other things including intellectual capital and what we’re considering here

capital and what we’re considering here

capital and what we’re considering here environmental and natural capital and if

environmental and natural capital and if

environmental and natural capital and if you don’t do this

you don’t do this

you don’t do this this is what you get now where I live in

this is what you get now where I live in

this is what you get now where I live in California the free plastic bag is a

California the free plastic bag is a

California the free plastic bag is a thing of the past we go to the

thing of the past we go to the

thing of the past we go to the supermarket you got your groceries paper

supermarket you got your groceries paper

supermarket you got your groceries paper bag plastic bag 25 cents the consequence

bag plastic bag 25 cents the consequence

bag plastic bag 25 cents the consequence of that over the last two years is that

of that over the last two years is that

of that over the last two years is that the number of plastic bags being picked

the number of plastic bags being picked

the number of plastic bags being picked up on california’s beaches has dropped

up on california’s beaches has dropped

up on california’s beaches has dropped by depends on which county that’s

by depends on which county that’s

by depends on which county that’s measured by county the least drop is

measured by county the least drop is

measured by county the least drop is ninety percent and the most significant

ninety percent and the most significant

ninety percent and the most significant one of the county’s went from several

one of the county’s went from several

one of the county’s went from several thousand in a beach cleanup exercise to

thousand in a beach cleanup exercise to

thousand in a beach cleanup exercise to 42 and this however is a resort in Bali

42 and this however is a resort in Bali

42 and this however is a resort in Bali Indonesia and in Bali Indonesia in in

Indonesia and in Bali Indonesia in in

Indonesia and in Bali Indonesia in in Indonesia

Indonesia

Indonesia plastic bags are not priced to include

plastic bags are not priced to include

plastic bags are not priced to include the price of picking them up so putting

the price of picking them up so putting

the price of picking them up so putting the external cost the full cost of

the external cost the full cost of

the external cost the full cost of things into the cost of a product has

things into the cost of a product has

things into the cost of a product has real beneficial outcomes as a result we

real beneficial outcomes as a result we

real beneficial outcomes as a result we must look to a future and we must all

must look to a future and we must all

must look to a future and we must all push for a future in which that full

push for a future in which that full

push for a future in which that full cost accounting happens and we must get

cost accounting happens and we must get

cost accounting happens and we must get states and governments to do that

states and governments to do that

states and governments to do that likewise next investing I mentioned how

likewise next investing I mentioned how

likewise next investing I mentioned how Jigga Shah and before that the crop

Jigga Shah and before that the crop

Jigga Shah and before that the crop futures enabled large-scale investing is

futures enabled large-scale investing is

futures enabled large-scale investing is that number again a hundred trillion

that number again a hundred trillion

that number again a hundred trillion dollars McKinsey estimates that over a

dollars McKinsey estimates that over a

dollars McKinsey estimates that over a hundred trillion dollars perhaps as much

hundred trillion dollars perhaps as much

hundred trillion dollars perhaps as much as a hundred and twenty is looking to

as a hundred and twenty is looking to

as a hundred and twenty is looking to put places into long-term enduring

put places into long-term enduring

put places into long-term enduring infrastructures

infrastructures

infrastructures so if we can actually create an

so if we can actually create an

so if we can actually create an infrastructure business that is about

infrastructure business that is about

infrastructure business that is about taking care of those externalities in

taking care of those externalities in

taking care of those externalities in cleaning up our earth then this is the

cleaning up our earth then this is the

cleaning up our earth then this is the amount of money that’s actually

amount of money that’s actually

amount of money that’s actually available what they need is long-dated

available what they need is long-dated

available what they need is long-dated capital these are sovereign funds their

capital these are sovereign funds their

capital these are sovereign funds their pension funds they have no interest in a

pension funds they have no interest in a

pension funds they have no interest in a sixth month gain on the stock market

sixth month gain on the stock market

sixth month gain on the stock market they want to put money into a project

they want to put money into a project

they want to put money into a project and it’s still their 20 or 50 years from

and it’s still their 20 or 50 years from

and it’s still their 20 or 50 years from now doing good work it has to be an

now doing good work it has to be an

now doing good work it has to be an essential infrastructure yes it has to

essential infrastructure yes it has to

essential infrastructure yes it has to provide good returns but essential

provide good returns but essential

provide good returns but essential infrastructure is what those guys want

infrastructure is what those guys want

infrastructure is what those guys want to invest in the money’s there the third

to invest in the money’s there the third

to invest in the money’s there the third thing is trust when you think about the

thing is trust when you think about the

thing is trust when you think about the kinds of characters that we have

kinds of characters that we have

kinds of characters that we have available to spend these sums of money

available to spend these sums of money

available to spend these sums of money and to do these important things and you

and to do these important things and you

and to do these important things and you put them up as a sort of list of species

put them up as a sort of list of species

put them up as a sort of list of species they start to look like oh I don’t know

they start to look like oh I don’t know

they start to look like oh I don’t know the list of criminals at the police

the list of criminals at the police

the list of criminals at the police station

station

station right we can’t natively trust any of

right we can’t natively trust any of

right we can’t natively trust any of them if only there were a technology

them if only there were a technology

them if only there were a technology that could enable us to actually build

that could enable us to actually build

that could enable us to actually build trust in if only and that’s the promise

trust in if only and that’s the promise

trust in if only and that’s the promise of blockchain which by taking the ledger

of blockchain which by taking the ledger

of blockchain which by taking the ledger instead of having a secret and

instead of having a secret and

instead of having a secret and controlled by one person or one entity

controlled by one person or one entity

controlled by one person or one entity spreading it out in multiple copies

spreading it out in multiple copies

spreading it out in multiple copies starts to create the basis of

starts to create the basis of

starts to create the basis of unimpeachable ledgers of records that

unimpeachable ledgers of records that

unimpeachable ledgers of records that are everywhere and no were at the same

are everywhere and no were at the same

are everywhere and no were at the same time smart contracts in which people get

time smart contracts in which people get

time smart contracts in which people get paid algorithmically upon executing upon

paid algorithmically upon executing upon

paid algorithmically upon executing upon doing what they said they were going to

doing what they said they were going to

doing what they said they were going to do now block chaining perfect is sort of

do now block chaining perfect is sort of

do now block chaining perfect is sort of at the pimply teenager stage of life but

at the pimply teenager stage of life but

at the pimply teenager stage of life but it seems to be headed in the right

it seems to be headed in the right

it seems to be headed in the right direction as putting the basis for

direction as putting the basis for

direction as putting the basis for executing trustworthy projects do

executing trustworthy projects do

executing trustworthy projects do risking projects no matter where they

risking projects no matter where they

risking projects no matter where they are and the last thing employing we’re

are and the last thing employing we’re

are and the last thing employing we’re all used to the idea than another sad

all used to the idea than another sad

all used to the idea than another sad story we have is the jobless future of

story we have is the jobless future of

story we have is the jobless future of course artificial intelligence and

course artificial intelligence and

course artificial intelligence and robots and software

robots and software

robots and software eating all jobs and the second problem

eating all jobs and the second problem

eating all jobs and the second problem of course is that jobs good jobs are

of course is that jobs good jobs are

of course is that jobs good jobs are being created in places like Boston and

being created in places like Boston and

being created in places like Boston and Northern California and Tel Aviv which

Northern California and Tel Aviv which

Northern California and Tel Aviv which is not where most people are most people

is not where most people are most people

is not where most people are most people are actually going to be in sub-saharan

are actually going to be in sub-saharan

are actually going to be in sub-saharan Africa and South Asia believe that I’m

Africa and South Asia believe that I’m

Africa and South Asia believe that I’m not sure

not sure

not sure consider the island of Borneo and this

consider the island of Borneo and this

consider the island of Borneo and this by the way is a really sad story I flew

by the way is a really sad story I flew

by the way is a really sad story I flew over Borneo about 20 years ago it’s the

over Borneo about 20 years ago it’s the

over Borneo about 20 years ago it’s the world’s third-largest islands it was

world’s third-largest islands it was

world’s third-largest islands it was trackless jungle with elephants and

trackless jungle with elephants and

trackless jungle with elephants and rhinos and orangutans and today it is

rhinos and orangutans and today it is

rhinos and orangutans and today it is depending on who’s count you believe

depending on who’s count you believe

depending on who’s count you believe between 60 and 80 percent clear-cut so

between 60 and 80 percent clear-cut so

between 60 and 80 percent clear-cut so as a result their forestry industry is

as a result their forestry industry is

as a result their forestry industry is dying and the tourist tree industry is

dying and the tourist tree industry is

dying and the tourist tree industry is dying and unemployment is rising but

dying and unemployment is rising but

dying and unemployment is rising but trees and forests are really important

trees and forests are really important

trees and forests are really important for carbon sequestration we’ve got the

for carbon sequestration we’ve got the

for carbon sequestration we’ve got the money to do that and software doesn’t

money to do that and software doesn’t

money to do that and software doesn’t plant trees so one can actually think

plant trees so one can actually think

plant trees so one can actually think about global renewal projects as not

about global renewal projects as not

about global renewal projects as not only important but actually having the

only important but actually having the

only important but actually having the potential to create hundreds of millions

potential to create hundreds of millions

potential to create hundreds of millions of jobs collectively we have cut down

of jobs collectively we have cut down

of jobs collectively we have cut down and not replaced several hundred billion

and not replaced several hundred billion

and not replaced several hundred billion trees and it’s going to take a lot of

trees and it’s going to take a lot of

trees and it’s going to take a lot of work to replace them and as we do that

work to replace them and as we do that

work to replace them and as we do that we not only put real people to real work

we not only put real people to real work

we not only put real people to real work but we actually create real value in

but we actually create real value in

but we actually create real value in local communities in real wealth so full

local communities in real wealth so full

local communities in real wealth so full accounting tens of trillions of dollars

accounting tens of trillions of dollars

accounting tens of trillions of dollars looking for good investment blockchain

looking for good investment blockchain

looking for good investment blockchain for trust and employment and of course a

for trust and employment and of course a

for trust and employment and of course a pelican I know I actually took this

pelican I know I actually took this

pelican I know I actually took this photograph myself two weeks ago it’s got

photograph myself two weeks ago it’s got

photograph myself two weeks ago it’s got a date stamp yeah and I want you to use

a date stamp yeah and I want you to use

a date stamp yeah and I want you to use this one as a bit of a metaphor in a

this one as a bit of a metaphor in a

this one as a bit of a metaphor in a different way in the background those

different way in the background those

different way in the background those white little stripy things those are the

white little stripy things those are the

white little stripy things those are the port of Auckland a big container port in

port of Auckland a big container port in

port of Auckland a big container port in Northern California and of course the

Northern California and of course the

Northern California and of course the pelican and that’s the image of the

pelican and that’s the image of the

pelican and that’s the image of the world that we need to design for our

world that we need to design for our

world that we need to design for our future one in which there is a balance

future one in which there is a balance

future one in which there is a balance between the business of bounty and the

between the business of bounty and the

between the business of bounty and the strange beauty

strange beauty

strange beauty nature because if we set that as our

nature because if we set that as our

nature because if we set that as our goal we will achieve it and the

goal we will achieve it and the

goal we will achieve it and the impossible problems will become possible

impossible problems will become possible

impossible problems will become possible thank you

thank you

thank you [Applause]

”

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