The Rarity or Probability of a Miracle | The Story of God

how do you define a miracle how rare

how do you define a miracle how rare does an event have to be before we would

does an event have to be before we would

does an event have to be before we would call it miraculous one in a million one

call it miraculous one in a million one

call it miraculous one in a million one in a billion if a miraculous thing is

in a billion if a miraculous thing is

in a billion if a miraculous thing is something that happens one in a billion

something that happens one in a billion

something that happens one in a billion times it happens all the time because

times it happens all the time because

times it happens all the time because with six billion people in the world

with six billion people in the world

with six billion people in the world there are so many opportunities for

there are so many opportunities for

there are so many opportunities for something really unusual to happen we

something really unusual to happen we

something really unusual to happen we would expect it to happen to some of

would expect it to happen to some of

would expect it to happen to some of them your attention is biased to things

them your attention is biased to things

them your attention is biased to things that happen as opposed to things that

that happen as opposed to things that

that happen as opposed to things that don’t happen right now there’s all sorts

don’t happen right now there’s all sorts

don’t happen right now there’s all sorts of non miraculous things that aren’t

of non miraculous things that aren’t

of non miraculous things that aren’t happening and we don’t notice them but

happening and we don’t notice them but

happening and we don’t notice them but you can be sure if something really

you can be sure if something really

you can be sure if something really unusual happened we’d pay attention we

unusual happened we’d pay attention we

unusual happened we’d pay attention we think only special things are happening

think only special things are happening

think only special things are happening but in reality we’re just neglecting all

but in reality we’re just neglecting all

but in reality we’re just neglecting all of those other things before we

of those other things before we

of those other things before we determine that something is miraculous

determine that something is miraculous

determine that something is miraculous we should probably rule out more mundane

we should probably rule out more mundane

we should probably rule out more mundane explanations for things like chance how

explanations for things like chance how

explanations for things like chance how many times were there opportunities for

many times were there opportunities for

many times were there opportunities for something to happen and it didn’t

something to happen and it didn’t

something to happen and it didn’t miraculous is divine but sometimes it’s

miraculous is divine but sometimes it’s

miraculous is divine but sometimes it’s not actually miraculous sometimes it’s

not actually miraculous sometimes it’s

not actually miraculous sometimes it’s just probability playing its tricks on

just probability playing its tricks on

just probability playing its tricks on you nothing I’m saying here rules out

you nothing I’m saying here rules out

you nothing I’m saying here rules out the possibility of the divine but when

the possibility of the divine but when

the possibility of the divine but when we’re trying to determine if something

we’re trying to determine if something

we’re trying to determine if something is a miracle or not we might want to

is a miracle or not we might want to

is a miracle or not we might want to start by thinking well what are the odds

start by thinking well what are the odds

start by thinking well what are the odds that we would get this by chance and if

that we would get this by chance and if

that we would get this by chance and if it seems very likely well that doesn’t

it seems very likely well that doesn’t

it seems very likely well that doesn’t seem very divine or miraculous we should

seem very divine or miraculous we should

seem very divine or miraculous we should reserve the term divine for things that

reserve the term divine for things that

reserve the term divine for things that we wouldn’t expect by chance alone