times have changed over the last couple hundred years and we were a culture at
hundred years and we were a culture at
hundred years and we were a culture at one point that most people when they’re
one point that most people when they’re
one point that most people when they’re farming I have a ranch sure to come a
farming I have a ranch sure to come a
farming I have a ranch sure to come a knowledge with your neighbor then as
knowledge with your neighbor then as
knowledge with your neighbor then as technologies advance you started getting
technologies advance you started getting
technologies advance you started getting more and more specialized knowledge so
more and more specialized knowledge so
more and more specialized knowledge so today we exist in society where there
today we exist in society where there
today we exist in society where there are experts and how you know they’re an
are experts and how you know they’re an
are experts and how you know they’re an expert is because they have a
expert is because they have a
expert is because they have a certificate that says that they’re an
certificate that says that they’re an
certificate that says that they’re an expert or an occupation but it’s fairly
expert or an occupation but it’s fairly
expert or an occupation but it’s fairly easy to convince me that you’re an
easy to convince me that you’re an
easy to convince me that you’re an expert and that’s kind of where
expert and that’s kind of where
expert and that’s kind of where confidence comes in this is interesting
confidence comes in this is interesting
confidence comes in this is interesting because it uses something that seems
because it uses something that seems
because it uses something that seems very simple it’s three cups I want to
very simple it’s three cups I want to
very simple it’s three cups I want to turn to and face down I want you to try
turn to and face down I want you to try
turn to and face down I want you to try to turn over two at a time so watch me
to turn over two at a time so watch me
to turn over two at a time so watch me and I’m gonna try to get all three of
and I’m gonna try to get all three of
and I’m gonna try to get all three of the cups just to turn face up so here’s
the cups just to turn face up so here’s
the cups just to turn face up so here’s one two three now that looks pretty easy
one two three now that looks pretty easy
one two three now that looks pretty easy doesn’t it give it a shot you have to
doesn’t it give it a shot you have to
doesn’t it give it a shot you have to turn over to it time use three turns go
turn over to it time use three turns go
turn over to it time use three turns go ahead that’s one colin is short for
ahead that’s one colin is short for
ahead that’s one colin is short for confidence can I make you feel overly
confidence can I make you feel overly
confidence can I make you feel overly confident there’s different ways of
confident there’s different ways of
confident there’s different ways of luring people into a confidence game
luring people into a confidence game
luring people into a confidence game some of its simply asking them a
some of its simply asking them a
some of its simply asking them a question and making them feel like they
question and making them feel like they
question and making them feel like they have a safe knowledge of it until they
have a safe knowledge of it until they
have a safe knowledge of it until they actually get their feet in the water
actually get their feet in the water
actually get their feet in the water more always it’s deeper than they
more always it’s deeper than they
more always it’s deeper than they thought 1 2 3 did you notice that it’s
thought 1 2 3 did you notice that it’s
thought 1 2 3 did you notice that it’s on my left maybe you should try it on
on my left maybe you should try it on
on my left maybe you should try it on your left instead go ahead and give it a
your left instead go ahead and give it a
your left instead go ahead and give it a shot
shot
shot one too a lot of times because we have
one too a lot of times because we have
one too a lot of times because we have access to the Internet or this
access to the Internet or this
access to the Internet or this information that I think it’s at our
information that I think it’s at our
information that I think it’s at our fingertips we personally think that we
fingertips we personally think that we
fingertips we personally think that we have we have a overconfidence in what we
have we have a overconfidence in what we
have we have a overconfidence in what we know what we don’t know that’s something
know what we don’t know that’s something
know what we don’t know that’s something that can be exploited you want me to
that can be exploited you want me to
that can be exploited you want me to show you how it works there’s actually a
show you how it works there’s actually a
show you how it works there’s actually a trick and something very small a lot of
trick and something very small a lot of
trick and something very small a lot of times people make it they’re
times people make it they’re
times people make it they’re overconfident and I think that what they
overconfident and I think that what they
overconfident and I think that what they did is a little bit different here’s
did is a little bit different here’s
did is a little bit different here’s what I was doing if the middle cup tells
what I was doing if the middle cup tells
what I was doing if the middle cup tells you that they’re all going to be face-up
you that they’re all going to be face-up
you that they’re all going to be face-up so when I turn them over as one two
so when I turn them over as one two
so when I turn them over as one two three but when I handed it to you I turn
three but when I handed it to you I turn
three but when I handed it to you I turn the middle one facedown so there’s no
the middle one facedown so there’s no
the middle one facedown so there’s no way you could do it so I cheated a
way you could do it so I cheated a
way you could do it so I cheated a little bit
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