well they introduced me as a dinosaur
of the dinosaur industry and I
I come to pose two challenges for you
the next 25 years in 25 years
I will see how we are doing in an hour
more will be born 230 boys in india
about 200 more or less in China about 180
more or less in Africa and a
unrecognized son of maradona
if we draw a trend
from here to 2040 what we will find
is that for that time we are going to do something
as well as nine thousand 100 million
people against the 7,300 that we are today
and what I’m optimistic that we’re going
another good news because it’s a good
news that there are births
another good economic news two good
economic news
the most optimistic say that from here to
2040 the gross world product will have to
duplicate and the best news I think is
that it is also predicted that there will be a
promotion to the middle class of today
we consider low classes
today more or less the middle class are 2,000
million of the 7,000 and it is anticipated that
by 2040 there will be five thousand and
families more than 50%
Now imagine that people more wealth
more people who access wealth when
you access wealth this is about
seek comfort is about satisfying
the basic needs go beyond
basic needs buy the air
conditioning shopping the car and weights
Energy
or that stays good energy is
sustains growth with energy
it needs energy when we take the
example of the exponential growth that
had the Chinese economy of the past 20
years
what we see is that there was a trend
dangerous plus money plus kilowatts
very much co2 very much dioxide
carbon emitted if you project that same
trend towards 2040
we are going to have a problem for that time
we would be consuming something like the
double the global energy that today
consumed from the point of view of
emissions
that would be fatal days or literally if
follow that trend
we are in the liberal oven then it
always raises the debates good the
coal was the first source of energy
Then came the oil and its derivatives
of oil is less polluting than
charcoal
then the natural gas natural gas is
cleaner than the oil
renewable energy comes at a gallop but
I’m going to talk about renewable energy
because it comes at a gallop
that is something that is going to happen is
happening faster than
we thought
that debate totally which is more
pollutant that another is a debate
totally sterile and ples my advice is
let’s not waste time on that I could
tell them that the only energy that is not
pollutant is the energy that is not
consume this is the only one if we put together a
triangle a triangle of power between
the governments
the consumer technology and we
we agree is feasible that
we can be that trend from which
posed just
that trend we see from the economy
china and instead of doubling the energy
from here to 2040, increase only 25
cent with an increase in emissions
of the order of 15% at the most
that is sustainable and sustains the
demographic growth and growth
productive that raises the beginning is the
first challenge to keep growing
but grow without polluting without
self-destruct when we see that 25% of
why almost 90% of 25% is
tolerate that I am an engineer and that now
always from numbers to be generation
of electric power and the the greatest
source for power generation
electrical in the next 25 years
it’s still going to be the gas
natural is going to replace coal and
back the renewable energies are going to
grow in the period that I am
speaking at least four times but
even with that growth they will occupy in
the energy matrix no more than 15% if
it’s going to grow a lot but it’s still going to be
little if the 19th century was the kingdom of the
coal as a source of energy and the century
20 was oil and its derivatives
the king comes a new reign that goes
to be that of renewable energies but
meanwhile we have to pass a
transition where still always
dominating fossil fuels is the
second challenge then I will
raised how to survive with something that does not
he has good press we do not like
a lot and I started thinking about him on how
survive with something fixed
I looked in the mirror and said black
survive 55 years with this that look
and trying to find the round the
explanation is that I survived good with
attitude is to survive with attitude with
the fossils is to use it so
efficient
there are two components the component
technology and there is the component of
users
today we had a very excellent
dissertation about what is coming
technologically and did not underestimate us the
effort in the technological
but it is something that advances and advances and
advances and advances and is unstoppable
for example if we to all our
electricity generation plants there
in Argentina and they burn fuel
we close the cycles and take advantage of the
heat to be with gases
we would be increasing almost three times
generation efficiency we are
talking a lot lately about the
electric vehicles
the penetration of vehicles
electrical will take a little time
the most optimistic say five the least
optimists say ten years to be
equate the price of a vehicle
electric with a combustion vehicle
internal that is to say technology is advancing
if it advances in innovating in 10 some
ruptures such as vehicles
electric
but just that irruption that
innovation is pushing that the
traditional automotive industry
put the batteries in a good time in that
only 20 percent of the fuel
that burns a conventional vehicle is
they convert the energy that mobilizes it
and say that there is 80 percent energy
that the vehicle is being lost
typical classic can travel 10 12
kilometers per liter
good or very little you can go over 10 or
12 to 20 and the countries that have signed the
Paris agreement for the reduction of
emissions has set goals to
turn to pressure the industry
automotive to accelerate those
optimization processes for example
Japan is encouraged to say that a vehicle
conventional will be able to do 40
kilometers per liter
I have been less than a month
I left my old vehicle and bought myself one
new that is consumed half five
five years of technological change
he said of electric vehicles that
they have a strong impact but when one
measures that impact even in spite of
huge penetration huge acceleration of
the penetration
we are talking about a saving of 2 per
cent of the energy while if the
conventional vehicles are modified
that is to contributions 8 percent
of energy saving back as
I can tell you guys, guys, I do not know
worry about the wave technology
involve yourself with technology
if there are any who are thinking what
university careers continue to consider
engineering luis
the other thing is technology can make a
lots of things but what can not
to do is calibrate to control what
we humans do there
we have a theme
because we can have a lot of optimization
from the technological point of view
but it will not help if we do not
we change our habits when
Habits are consolidating habits
they become culture and what I
I come to raise here is a change
cultural of all our behavior in
please be of surviving as a species
that cultural change that brought them
from my point of view it has at least
two pillars one move from the individual
to the collective and another is to make the
ethics will win the aesthetic has to
see this with the energy rose the
Flocks of birds such as going on
sky is a subject that is a subject
geometric is an aesthetic subject is not the
way that birds are incorporated
to save energy on your flight is a
organized collective flight is a way
collective to organize themselves in the
north access of the city of good
airs every business day centers
around 3 300 thousand vehicles
they know how many passengers go by vehicle
average 1.2
know what is the average capacity a
vehicle five years there is a problem of
turkey individualism or not over
it’s expensive and it’s also boring
we put the speaker to the journalist for
to make the trip instead of chatting
with someone
now he just transported also
you can change that fashion is that
modality can be changed to others
habits of life in a remote place
from the city
We live about a thousand people
closest supermarket I have left
sixteen kilometers
if each of the thousand families a
representative my family has to
do 32 kilometers to go to
Supermarket
we are wasting energy uselessly
we have organized among friends to
do the shopping and we have told the
supermarket from us go see you
we came to see us many years ago
When I was a boy to my house, came the
baker came the milkman came the
dealer of whatever and there is not
need to move one there was one that
optimally he came and offered his
product
the second thing that raised them is the ethical
versus the aesthetic and why do I say this
because for that weird thing that never
I’m going to understand that obsession of January we
leads to having something more and more
sophisticated
when sometimes we do not need it said
someone that many of us
spend the money they do not have to
buy things you do not need to
impress people who do not care
among other things huge vehicles
200 horses vehicles like mine
accuracy if you did not impress with the car
him but that’s here we had just now
Gardel is evident in the head
someone can become happy that
way if someone is happy so I
I think I need a good therapist or
or I would recommend that you adopt a
pup puppy from the street that
surely you will find more
meaning to life doing so having
a giant refrigerator that occupies the
5% of the volume
yes factory cigars in less
an hour or else it has an air
conditioning of 500 frigorías does not have
ignited in august in río negro
that is not this
no, I do not think that gratifies is the
change of habit that will impact a
cultural change and surely
as a consequence besides being better
people will lower consumption
energy and energy consumption not
it is the problem itself but the
emissions and emissions are not the
problem in itself
the problem is that if this land is
keep heating
we ‘re going to mash and there’s
something that sometimes we do not have in
consideration we are not alone there are other
species that are more vulnerable and what
they suffer
before us and us to change
climate
so back I was presented as a
dinosaur of the industry of
dinosaurs and he reflected that the
dinosaurs disappeared
we want our species to be a little
smarter as at least since
our side does not force
it is to that end that they had those
old habits
Thank you
[Applause]
[Music]
me
”
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