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The Case For Realistic Optimism | Ray Poole | TEDxStripDistrict


when my wife and I sit down to watch a

when my wife and I sit down to watch a horror movie

horror movie

horror movie we have two very different approaches I

we have two very different approaches I

we have two very different approaches I tend to think about how I could defeat

tend to think about how I could defeat

tend to think about how I could defeat the monster that could come in handy in

the monster that could come in handy in

the monster that could come in handy in real life I also like to think that

real life I also like to think that

real life I also like to think that maybe that makes me a realist my wife

maybe that makes me a realist my wife

maybe that makes me a realist my wife thinks I’m an optimist when it comes to

thinks I’m an optimist when it comes to

thinks I’m an optimist when it comes to defeating fake threats but she spends

defeating fake threats but she spends

defeating fake threats but she spends that time trying not to get too attached

that time trying not to get too attached

that time trying not to get too attached to the characters and I know this

to the characters and I know this

to the characters and I know this because she’s a vocal movie watcher for

because she’s a vocal movie watcher for

because she’s a vocal movie watcher for every character that wanders off alone

every character that wanders off alone

every character that wanders off alone she announces with confidence and

she announces with confidence and

she announces with confidence and certainty that they’re done for they

certainty that they’re done for they

certainty that they’re done for they shouldn’t have left the group the

shouldn’t have left the group the

shouldn’t have left the group the monster can see them and they’re never

monster can see them and they’re never

monster can see them and they’re never coming out of the garage I think she

coming out of the garage I think she

coming out of the garage I think she does this so she’s not surprised if they

does this so she’s not surprised if they

does this so she’s not surprised if they get a little bit murdered but the funny

get a little bit murdered but the funny

get a little bit murdered but the funny thing is she thinks she’s a realist too

thing is she thinks she’s a realist too

thing is she thinks she’s a realist too but that’s the point of a movie to be on

but that’s the point of a movie to be on

but that’s the point of a movie to be on the edge of your seat that uncertainty

the edge of your seat that uncertainty

the edge of your seat that uncertainty makes for a more entertaining story and

makes for a more entertaining story and

makes for a more entertaining story and though I feel I could defeat some of

though I feel I could defeat some of

though I feel I could defeat some of those villains I prefer a little less

those villains I prefer a little less

those villains I prefer a little less excitement in real life unfortunately we

excitement in real life unfortunately we

excitement in real life unfortunately we got our scare in a different way my wife

got our scare in a different way my wife

got our scare in a different way my wife suffers from cystic fibrosis and more

suffers from cystic fibrosis and more

suffers from cystic fibrosis and more scary than any horror movie was watching

scary than any horror movie was watching

scary than any horror movie was watching her suffer through heart failure

her suffer through heart failure

her suffer through heart failure respiratory failure and then six months

respiratory failure and then six months

respiratory failure and then six months on a ventilator when that became my

on a ventilator when that became my

on a ventilator when that became my reality I struggled to find a way to

reality I struggled to find a way to

reality I struggled to find a way to stay realistic but also have a sense of

stay realistic but also have a sense of

stay realistic but also have a sense of optimism and I learned that that

optimism and I learned that that

optimism and I learned that that perspective of realistic optimism had

perspective of realistic optimism had

perspective of realistic optimism had even more value in a struggle lasted

even more value in a struggle lasted

even more value in a struggle lasted month after month after month now

month after month after month now

month after month after month now Rebecca had always suffered from CF and

Rebecca had always suffered from CF and

Rebecca had always suffered from CF and we’d expected that at some point she

we’d expected that at some point she

we’d expected that at some point she would have a decline and require a lung

would have a decline and require a lung

would have a decline and require a lung transplant but when that decline started

transplant but when that decline started

transplant but when that decline started it still took us off-guard she was

it still took us off-guard she was

it still took us off-guard she was working from her hospital room just a

working from her hospital room just a

working from her hospital room just a few hours before she went into

few hours before she went into

few hours before she went into respiratory failure it was New Year’s

respiratory failure it was New Year’s

respiratory failure it was New Year’s Eve when she was placed on a ventilator

Eve when she was placed on a ventilator

Eve when she was placed on a ventilator in a chemically induced coma

in a chemically induced coma

in a chemically induced coma as the is past her odds for survival

as the is past her odds for survival

as the is past her odds for survival began to decrease and as the weeks

began to decrease and as the weeks

began to decrease and as the weeks passed I witnessed one scare after

passed I witnessed one scare after

passed I witnessed one scare after another and I remember how I felt when

another and I remember how I felt when

another and I remember how I felt when they told me she probably wouldn’t

they told me she probably wouldn’t

they told me she probably wouldn’t survive I did not feel optimistic cuz to

survive I did not feel optimistic cuz to

survive I did not feel optimistic cuz to me optimistic people just knew things

me optimistic people just knew things

me optimistic people just knew things would be fine they had this blind faith

would be fine they had this blind faith

would be fine they had this blind faith that everything would work out but I

that everything would work out but I

that everything would work out but I wasn’t so sure and I’d much rather hear

wasn’t so sure and I’d much rather hear

wasn’t so sure and I’d much rather hear a harsh reality then get a watered down

a harsh reality then get a watered down

a harsh reality then get a watered down version of the truth so when the doctors

version of the truth so when the doctors

version of the truth so when the doctors gave me the opportunity to participate

gave me the opportunity to participate

gave me the opportunity to participate in morning rounds I took them up on it I

in morning rounds I took them up on it I

in morning rounds I took them up on it I wanted to learn as much as possible

wanted to learn as much as possible

wanted to learn as much as possible because even though I wasn’t an expert I

because even though I wasn’t an expert I

because even though I wasn’t an expert I wanted to help figure out how we were

wanted to help figure out how we were

wanted to help figure out how we were going to defeat this monster

Rebecca’s condition stayed borderline

Rebecca’s condition stayed borderline for months and I’d update friends and

for months and I’d update friends and

for months and I’d update friends and family every day they started to call me

family every day they started to call me

family every day they started to call me optimistic and I knew it wasn’t blind

optimistic and I knew it wasn’t blind

optimistic and I knew it wasn’t blind optimism so I recognized it as something

optimism so I recognized it as something

optimism so I recognized it as something else

else

else realistic optimism I wasn’t telling them

realistic optimism I wasn’t telling them

realistic optimism I wasn’t telling them that everything would be fine but I was

that everything would be fine but I was

that everything would be fine but I was telling them what her path to success

telling them what her path to success

telling them what her path to success look like

look like

look like I didn’t cherry-pick the positive but I

I didn’t cherry-pick the positive but I

I didn’t cherry-pick the positive but I did try to see a silver lining through

did try to see a silver lining through

did try to see a silver lining through all the negative and there were a lot of

all the negative and there were a lot of

all the negative and there were a lot of bad update first she was placed on a

bad update first she was placed on a

bad update first she was placed on a ventilator

ventilator

ventilator then she aspirated into her Airways

then she aspirated into her Airways

then she aspirated into her Airways meaning her stomach contents got into

meaning her stomach contents got into

meaning her stomach contents got into her lungs that caused another pneumonia

her lungs that caused another pneumonia

her lungs that caused another pneumonia they told me she wouldn’t survive

they told me she wouldn’t survive

they told me she wouldn’t survive without a lung transplant then they said

without a lung transplant then they said

without a lung transplant then they said that she was too sick to qualify for one

that she was too sick to qualify for one

that she was too sick to qualify for one but there was some good news mixed in

but there was some good news mixed in

but there was some good news mixed in with a bad when she cultured a bad

with a bad when she cultured a bad

with a bad when she cultured a bad bacteria it would later clear when her

bacteria it would later clear when her

bacteria it would later clear when her kidney numbers came back worse one day

kidney numbers came back worse one day

kidney numbers came back worse one day another day they might come back better

another day they might come back better

another day they might come back better and when she required more support from

and when she required more support from

and when she required more support from the ventilator one week the next week

the ventilator one week the next week

the ventilator one week the next week she might require less there were

she might require less there were

she might require less there were definitely weeks

definitely weeks

definitely weeks where the bad news outweighed the good

where the bad news outweighed the good

where the bad news outweighed the good but I saw no reason not to celebrate the

but I saw no reason not to celebrate the

but I saw no reason not to celebrate the good I didn’t consider myself blind

good I didn’t consider myself blind

good I didn’t consider myself blind optimistic but I thought the positive

optimistic but I thought the positive

optimistic but I thought the positive was at least as important to share as

was at least as important to share as

was at least as important to share as the negative in February

the negative in February

the negative in February Rebecca woke from the coma our first

Rebecca woke from the coma our first

Rebecca woke from the coma our first conversation didn’t go as expected

conversation didn’t go as expected

conversation didn’t go as expected because she was still on the ventilator

because she was still on the ventilator

because she was still on the ventilator it connected through a trach placed

it connected through a trach placed

it connected through a trach placed below her vocal cords so she literally

below her vocal cords so she literally

below her vocal cords so she literally had no voice but I could learn to read

had no voice but I could learn to read

had no voice but I could learn to read lips and I soon found out that we had

lips and I soon found out that we had

lips and I soon found out that we had bigger problems she had experienced

bigger problems she had experienced

bigger problems she had experienced severe muscle atrophy from weeks of

severe muscle atrophy from weeks of

severe muscle atrophy from weeks of immobility and could only lift her hand

immobility and could only lift her hand

immobility and could only lift her hand a few shaky inches off the bed

a few shaky inches off the bed

a few shaky inches off the bed she couldn’t even reach up and scratch

she couldn’t even reach up and scratch

she couldn’t even reach up and scratch her own cheek we knew she needed to get

her own cheek we knew she needed to get

her own cheek we knew she needed to get stronger to be a good transplant

stronger to be a good transplant

stronger to be a good transplant candidate she needed to be stronger not

candidate she needed to be stronger not

candidate she needed to be stronger not only to survive a transplant but simply

only to survive a transplant but simply

only to survive a transplant but simply be considered for evaluation excuse me

be considered for evaluation excuse me

be considered for evaluation excuse me and at the time she was vulnerable

and at the time she was vulnerable

and at the time she was vulnerable dependent on a ventilator for every

dependent on a ventilator for every

dependent on a ventilator for every breath she had diabetes they could turn

breath she had diabetes they could turn

breath she had diabetes they could turn life-threatening like and she also had

life-threatening like and she also had

life-threatening like and she also had no voice to call for help in an

no voice to call for help in an

no voice to call for help in an emergency so our first strength goal was

emergency so our first strength goal was

emergency so our first strength goal was simple and functional be able to press

simple and functional be able to press

simple and functional be able to press the call button in an emergency when she

the call button in an emergency when she

the call button in an emergency when she can do that it became to stand and then

can do that it became to stand and then

can do that it became to stand and then walk and then walk further walking

walk and then walk further walking

walk and then walk further walking wasn’t just exercise it was the

wasn’t just exercise it was the

wasn’t just exercise it was the demonstration of that strength and we

demonstration of that strength and we

demonstration of that strength and we wanted to show the hospitals that she

wanted to show the hospitals that she

wanted to show the hospitals that she was driven and that she could survive at

was driven and that she could survive at

was driven and that she could survive at this point it was unlikely still that

this point it was unlikely still that

this point it was unlikely still that they would list somebody as sick as

they would list somebody as sick as

they would list somebody as sick as Rebecca but it was possible

Rebecca but it was possible

Rebecca but it was possible we were realistically optimistic we

we were realistically optimistic we

we were realistically optimistic we needed to be and we learned that you

needed to be and we learned that you

needed to be and we learned that you could have a good day in a hospital it

could have a good day in a hospital it

could have a good day in a hospital it wasn’t all about the living you were

wasn’t all about the living you were

wasn’t all about the living you were going to do later it was about the

going to do later it was about the

going to do later it was about the living we were doing right then and

living we were doing right then and

living we were doing right then and there we could listen to music I could

there we could listen to music I could

there we could listen to music I could bring in her cat Paul for a visit

bring in her cat Paul for a visit

bring in her cat Paul for a visit we could take we could get takeout as an

we could take we could get takeout as an

we could take we could get takeout as an alternative to hospital food one thing I

alternative to hospital food one thing I

alternative to hospital food one thing I learned was that Rebecca

learned was that Rebecca

learned was that Rebecca like alternatives to hospital food and

like alternatives to hospital food and

like alternatives to hospital food and at a time when her condition was

at a time when her condition was

at a time when her condition was borderline we recognized we had a choice

borderline we recognized we had a choice

borderline we recognized we had a choice we could either begin grieving early or

we could either begin grieving early or

we could either begin grieving early or make the best of these days and what I

make the best of these days and what I

make the best of these days and what I learned was that these days between

learned was that these days between

learned was that these days between prognosis and conclusion whatever that

prognosis and conclusion whatever that

prognosis and conclusion whatever that might be

might be

might be they had value staying motivated was

they had value staying motivated was

they had value staying motivated was still a challenge and what 15 years

still a challenge and what 15 years

still a challenge and what 15 years leading projects had taught me was that

leading projects had taught me was that

leading projects had taught me was that sometimes short time short-term

sometimes short time short-term

sometimes short time short-term successes could provide a little

successes could provide a little

successes could provide a little motivation

it wasn’t usually about some big

it wasn’t usually about some big surprise victory was about chipping away

surprise victory was about chipping away

surprise victory was about chipping away at a goal short-term successes and it

at a goal short-term successes and it

at a goal short-term successes and it was tempting just to step back and be

was tempting just to step back and be

was tempting just to step back and be overwhelmed by the mountain in front of

overwhelmed by the mountain in front of

overwhelmed by the mountain in front of us Henry Ford once said obstacles are

us Henry Ford once said obstacles are

us Henry Ford once said obstacles are those frightful things you see when you

those frightful things you see when you

those frightful things you see when you take your eyes off your goal but what do

take your eyes off your goal but what do

take your eyes off your goal but what do you focus on when your goal is so far

you focus on when your goal is so far

you focus on when your goal is so far away well back at work and in the

away well back at work and in the

away well back at work and in the hospital there were many steps between

hospital there were many steps between

hospital there were many steps between where we were and where we wanted to be

where we were and where we wanted to be

where we were and where we wanted to be and if we could recognize each of those

and if we could recognize each of those

and if we could recognize each of those steps for what they were successes then

steps for what they were successes then

steps for what they were successes then the journey itself could provide a

the journey itself could provide a

the journey itself could provide a little motivation to keep us going

little motivation to keep us going

little motivation to keep us going when Rebecca woke from the coma and we

when Rebecca woke from the coma and we

when Rebecca woke from the coma and we had that first conversation that was a

had that first conversation that was a

had that first conversation that was a victory when she became strong enough to

victory when she became strong enough to

victory when she became strong enough to pick things from her bedside table that

pick things from her bedside table that

pick things from her bedside table that was a victory and when UPMC transplant

was a victory and when UPMC transplant

was a victory and when UPMC transplant program agreed to evaluate her after

program agreed to evaluate her after

program agreed to evaluate her after five consecutive hospitals declined –

five consecutive hospitals declined –

five consecutive hospitals declined – that was a victory I have to admit

that was a victory I have to admit

that was a victory I have to admit though in a beginning I was celebrating

though in a beginning I was celebrating

though in a beginning I was celebrating many of these milestones alone when she

many of these milestones alone when she

many of these milestones alone when she had gone into the coma she could walk

had gone into the coma she could walk

had gone into the coma she could walk talk and breathe on her own now she

talk and breathe on her own now she

talk and breathe on her own now she could do none of that I remember one

could do none of that I remember one

could do none of that I remember one night when I told her I was proud of her

night when I told her I was proud of her

night when I told her I was proud of her and she said I believe you’re proud of

and she said I believe you’re proud of

and she said I believe you’re proud of me but I’m not proud of myself

she’d always been an overachiever but

she’d always been an overachiever but she was comparing herself to

she was comparing herself to

she was comparing herself to possible standard but that was her

possible standard but that was her

possible standard but that was her opinion and I couldn’t change that

opinion and I couldn’t change that

opinion and I couldn’t change that directly the best I could do was make a

directly the best I could do was make a

directly the best I could do was make a case for her accomplishments now full

case for her accomplishments now full

case for her accomplishments now full disclosure my track record at convincing

disclosure my track record at convincing

disclosure my track record at convincing my wife of things mediocre at best but I

my wife of things mediocre at best but I

my wife of things mediocre at best but I knew one thing and I used it my wife is

knew one thing and I used it my wife is

knew one thing and I used it my wife is a science nerd so I learned to include a

a science nerd so I learned to include a

a science nerd so I learned to include a fact with every compliment it was great

fact with every compliment it was great

fact with every compliment it was great that she’d completed two more exercise

that she’d completed two more exercise

that she’d completed two more exercise sessions than the prior week walk 10

sessions than the prior week walk 10

sessions than the prior week walk 10 feet further than a few days ago or done

feet further than a few days ago or done

feet further than a few days ago or done 15 more reps than yesterday I hoped that

15 more reps than yesterday I hoped that

15 more reps than yesterday I hoped that she would start to build a new baseline

she would start to build a new baseline

she would start to build a new baseline a new measure for success and then one

a new measure for success and then one

a new measure for success and then one night I told her I was proud of her and

night I told her I was proud of her and

night I told her I was proud of her and she said I’m proud too that mindset was

she said I’m proud too that mindset was

she said I’m proud too that mindset was critical at a time when her drive to

critical at a time when her drive to

critical at a time when her drive to survive meant everything at this point

survive meant everything at this point

survive meant everything at this point we didn’t know if she would get listed

we didn’t know if she would get listed

we didn’t know if she would get listed but we were optimistic we still hit some

but we were optimistic we still hit some

but we were optimistic we still hit some hurdles though after waking from the

hurdles though after waking from the

hurdles though after waking from the coma building up her strength and

coma building up her strength and

coma building up her strength and transferring to Pittsburgh for

transferring to Pittsburgh for

transferring to Pittsburgh for evaluation

evaluation

evaluation Rebecca crashed

her heart rate dropped to 41 beats a

her heart rate dropped to 41 beats a minute her blood pressure dropped to 57

minute her blood pressure dropped to 57

minute her blood pressure dropped to 57 over 30 and her oxygen level dropped to

over 30 and her oxygen level dropped to

over 30 and her oxygen level dropped to 29%

29%

29% she almost died waiting to be listed the

she almost died waiting to be listed the

she almost died waiting to be listed the staff reacted quickly though they put

staff reacted quickly though they put

staff reacted quickly though they put her on something called ECMO now this

her on something called ECMO now this

her on something called ECMO now this machine continuously pump blood from a

machine continuously pump blood from a

machine continuously pump blood from a vein in her neck through a device that

vein in her neck through a device that

vein in her neck through a device that added oxygen and remove carbon dioxide

added oxygen and remove carbon dioxide

added oxygen and remove carbon dioxide before returning it to her now these

before returning it to her now these

before returning it to her now these tubes couldn’t kink or pull out without

tubes couldn’t kink or pull out without

tubes couldn’t kink or pull out without detrimental effect so she wore a

detrimental effect so she wore a

detrimental effect so she wore a headband to keep one in place and the

headband to keep one in place and the

headband to keep one in place and the other was stitched a per right leg as a

other was stitched a per right leg as a

other was stitched a per right leg as a result she could only move a few degrees

result she could only move a few degrees

result she could only move a few degrees in any direction and I couldn’t imagine

in any direction and I couldn’t imagine

in any direction and I couldn’t imagine how horrible this was for her to top it

how horrible this was for her to top it

how horrible this was for her to top it off they told us it was unlikely she’d

off they told us it was unlikely she’d

off they told us it was unlikely she’d survive more than two weeks without a

survive more than two weeks without a

survive more than two weeks without a transplant and she wasn’t even listed it

transplant and she wasn’t even listed it

transplant and she wasn’t even listed it was more than just discouraging it was

was more than just discouraging it was

was more than just discouraging it was terrifying and I’ve read many things

terrifying and I’ve read many things

terrifying and I’ve read many things from her lips over the previous months

from her lips over the previous months

from her lips over the previous months but I’ll never forget what I read after

but I’ll never forget what I read after

but I’ll never forget what I read after she was placed on ECMO I’m in hell she

she was placed on ECMO I’m in hell she

she was placed on ECMO I’m in hell she told me she had this look of desperation

told me she had this look of desperation

told me she had this look of desperation in her eyes when she said I’m done I

in her eyes when she said I’m done I

in her eyes when she said I’m done I want to die

she was done fighting done working so

she was done fighting done working so hard toward a gold that would never be

hard toward a gold that would never be

hard toward a gold that would never be realized this was what it looked like

realized this was what it looked like

realized this was what it looked like when all hope was gone but all hope

when all hope was gone but all hope

when all hope was gone but all hope wasn’t gone that’s the thing about the

wasn’t gone that’s the thing about the

wasn’t gone that’s the thing about the future we don’t know what it’ll bring

future we don’t know what it’ll bring

future we don’t know what it’ll bring even though we spend our entire lives

even though we spend our entire lives

even though we spend our entire lives trying to predict it she could be listed

trying to predict it she could be listed

trying to predict it she could be listed at any point and I told her this but

at any point and I told her this but

at any point and I told her this but she’d heard it before I tried to paint

she’d heard it before I tried to paint

she’d heard it before I tried to paint this vision of us sitting on a couch

this vision of us sitting on a couch

this vision of us sitting on a couch watching a movie post-transplant but she

watching a movie post-transplant but she

watching a movie post-transplant but she wasn’t buying it

wasn’t buying it

wasn’t buying it and when we finished that conversation

and when we finished that conversation

and when we finished that conversation she just stared off there was no

she just stared off there was no

she just stared off there was no conclusion no optimism in an unknowable

conclusion no optimism in an unknowable

conclusion no optimism in an unknowable future then my phone rang in one

future then my phone rang in one

future then my phone rang in one conversation our entire trajectory

conversation our entire trajectory

conversation our entire trajectory changed

Rebecca was listed now as the next

Rebecca was listed now as the next short-term success and no guarantee of

short-term success and no guarantee of

short-term success and no guarantee of anything but it meant everything she was

anything but it meant everything she was

anything but it meant everything she was so sick that she was in the number one

so sick that she was in the number one

so sick that she was in the number one position on that list and as I told her

position on that list and as I told her

position on that list and as I told her I watched the despair fade and the hope

I watched the despair fade and the hope

I watched the despair fade and the hope returned to her eyes in just a few hours

returned to her eyes in just a few hours

returned to her eyes in just a few hours we had gone from the lowest low to an

we had gone from the lowest low to an

we had gone from the lowest low to an incredible high but even then we had a

incredible high but even then we had a

incredible high but even then we had a choice we could choose to be upset that

choice we could choose to be upset that

choice we could choose to be upset that she had declined so far or we could

she had declined so far or we could

she had declined so far or we could choose to be happy that she had a chance

choose to be happy that she had a chance

choose to be happy that she had a chance at transplant but if we had a choice why

at transplant but if we had a choice why

at transplant but if we had a choice why not be optimistic

Rebecca faced those next weeks with a

Rebecca faced those next weeks with a drive and determination that I had never

drive and determination that I had never

drive and determination that I had never seen from anyone she had this look in

seen from anyone she had this look in

seen from anyone she had this look in her eye a resolve at this point there

her eye a resolve at this point there

her eye a resolve at this point there was no delusion about our current

was no delusion about our current

was no delusion about our current condition there was simply a realistic

condition there was simply a realistic

condition there was simply a realistic optimism

and as I look back it’s more clear than

and as I look back it’s more clear than ever

ever

ever Rebecca is the strongest person I know

on June 18th 2015

on June 18th 2015 Rebecca received a double lung

Rebecca received a double lung

Rebecca received a double lung transplant that saved her life thanks to

transplant that saved her life thanks to

transplant that saved her life thanks to great care she received in Cincinnati a

great care she received in Cincinnati a

great care she received in Cincinnati a hospital in Pittsburgh that took a

hospital in Pittsburgh that took a

hospital in Pittsburgh that took a chance on her a donor and their selfless

chance on her a donor and their selfless

chance on her a donor and their selfless family

family

family Rebecca’s two and a half years post

Rebecca’s two and a half years post

Rebecca’s two and a half years post transplant and breathing strong but even

transplant and breathing strong but even

transplant and breathing strong but even now though worry creeps in the average

now though worry creeps in the average

now though worry creeps in the average life expectancy at five years post

life expectancy at five years post

life expectancy at five years post transplant is not much better than 50%

transplant is not much better than 50%

transplant is not much better than 50% so yet again we’re living in those days

so yet again we’re living in those days

so yet again we’re living in those days between prognosis and conclusion but if

between prognosis and conclusion but if

between prognosis and conclusion but if we can have a good day in the hospital

we can have a good day in the hospital

we can have a good day in the hospital we can certainly have a good day outside

we can certainly have a good day outside

we can certainly have a good day outside of it and who’s to say what the future

of it and who’s to say what the future

of it and who’s to say what the future will bring I’ve become no better at

will bring I’ve become no better at

will bring I’ve become no better at predicting it and now we can face that

predicting it and now we can face that

predicting it and now we can face that future sitting on a couch and watching a

future sitting on a couch and watching a

future sitting on a couch and watching a movie Rebecca still thinks the worse for

movie Rebecca still thinks the worse for

movie Rebecca still thinks the worse for those poor supporting characters in

those poor supporting characters in

those poor supporting characters in horror movies but their stories are

horror movies but their stories are

horror movies but their stories are already written and as pessimistic as

already written and as pessimistic as

already written and as pessimistic as you want to be you’ll only think the

you want to be you’ll only think the

you want to be you’ll only think the worst for about two hours while you

worst for about two hours while you

worst for about two hours while you watch that movie in reality you could

watch that movie in reality you could

watch that movie in reality you could think the worst for three days for four

think the worst for three days for four

think the worst for three days for four months or five years so if those days

months or five years so if those days

months or five years so if those days between prognosis and conclusion can be

between prognosis and conclusion can be

between prognosis and conclusion can be good days then they have value and if

good days then they have value and if

good days then they have value and if those days in between matter then

those days in between matter then

those days in between matter then optimism can cause a real effect and

optimism can cause a real effect and

optimism can cause a real effect and just maybe choosing realistic optimism

just maybe choosing realistic optimism

just maybe choosing realistic optimism can drive a better result than you ever

can drive a better result than you ever

can drive a better result than you ever thought possible

thought possible

thought possible and if that’s true I’ll ask why not be

and if that’s true I’ll ask why not be

and if that’s true I’ll ask why not be optimistic

[Applause]

[Applause] [Music]

[Music]

[Music] [Applause]

[Applause]

[Applause] [Music]

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