
[Music] one step beyond
if this redhead talk in the 19th century
if this redhead talk in the 19th century then you’d be sitting there all dressed
then you’d be sitting there all dressed
then you’d be sitting there all dressed up just like you are now and you’ve
up just like you are now and you’ve
up just like you are now and you’ve probably come here by horse-drawn
probably come here by horse-drawn
probably come here by horse-drawn carriage and then in that 19th century
carriage and then in that 19th century
carriage and then in that 19th century theater a guy like me will be talking to
theater a guy like me will be talking to
theater a guy like me will be talking to you about a new invention a breakthrough
you about a new invention a breakthrough
you about a new invention a breakthrough technology it’s like a steam engine on
technology it’s like a steam engine on
technology it’s like a steam engine on wheels
wheels
wheels a horseless carriage let’s call it Auto
a horseless carriage let’s call it Auto
a horseless carriage let’s call it Auto automobile chances are that I would be
automobile chances are that I would be
automobile chances are that I would be booed off stage people would shout their
booed off stage people would shout their
booed off stage people would shout their concerns I mean this side of the room
concerns I mean this side of the room
concerns I mean this side of the room this worker like what about the jobs
this worker like what about the jobs
this worker like what about the jobs what about all the people who taking
what about all the people who taking
what about all the people who taking care of our horses what about them and
care of our horses what about them and
care of our horses what about them and on this side of the room people would go
on this side of the room people would go
on this side of the room people would go like it’s not safe an engine on wheels
like it’s not safe an engine on wheels
like it’s not safe an engine on wheels it’s out of control this is our
it’s out of control this is our
it’s out of control this is our relationship with technology first we
relationship with technology first we
relationship with technology first we don’t quite understand it and we are
don’t quite understand it and we are
don’t quite understand it and we are programmed to fear it in fact I don’t
programmed to fear it in fact I don’t
programmed to fear it in fact I don’t know if you’re aware but around the turn
know if you’re aware but around the turn
know if you’re aware but around the turn of the 19th century there was actually a
of the 19th century there was actually a
of the 19th century there was actually a law in many countries that said that if
law in many countries that said that if
law in many countries that said that if a automobile would drive on the public
a automobile would drive on the public
a automobile would drive on the public road at least two mechanics needed to be
road at least two mechanics needed to be
road at least two mechanics needed to be in the vehicle and there should be one
in the vehicle and there should be one
in the vehicle and there should be one person in front carrying a red flag I’m
person in front carrying a red flag I’m
person in front carrying a red flag I’m not kidding as a warning it’s true it
not kidding as a warning it’s true it
not kidding as a warning it’s true it sounds silly don’t you think I mean we
sounds silly don’t you think I mean we
sounds silly don’t you think I mean we all know how this story played out I
all know how this story played out I
all know how this story played out I mean we can imagine a world without
mean we can imagine a world without
mean we can imagine a world without curse flash-forward 2017 we’re back in
curse flash-forward 2017 we’re back in
curse flash-forward 2017 we’re back in the theater you’re looking awesome by
the theater you’re looking awesome by
the theater you’re looking awesome by the way and a guy like me is here on
the way and a guy like me is here on
the way and a guy like me is here on stage talking about a breakthrough
stage talking about a breakthrough
stage talking about a breakthrough technology a new invention
technology a new invention
technology a new invention machines that can think for themselves
machines that can think for themselves
machines that can think for themselves we should call it artificial artificial
we should call it artificial artificial
we should call it artificial artificial intelligence and again people have
intelligence and again people have
intelligence and again people have concerns this side of the room what
concerns this side of the room what
concerns this side of the room what about the jobs what about all the people
about the jobs what about all the people
about the jobs what about all the people that used to sit behind the computers
that used to sit behind the computers
that used to sit behind the computers what about them and you guys you would
what about them and you guys you would
what about them and you guys you would say it’s not safe
say it’s not safe
say it’s not safe machines that make decisions it’s out of
machines that make decisions it’s out of
machines that make decisions it’s out of control it’s a black box I’m here to
control it’s a black box I’m here to
control it’s a black box I’m here to tell you that in 20 years from now we
tell you that in 20 years from now we
tell you that in 20 years from now we won’t be able to imagine a world without
won’t be able to imagine a world without
won’t be able to imagine a world without artificial intelligence without AI will
artificial intelligence without AI will
artificial intelligence without AI will it be easy
it be easy
it be easy no it won’t will we make it work yes we
no it won’t will we make it work yes we
no it won’t will we make it work yes we will
will
will so in my talk I’d like to talk a little
so in my talk I’d like to talk a little
so in my talk I’d like to talk a little bit about these concerns first I’ll talk
bit about these concerns first I’ll talk
bit about these concerns first I’ll talk about safety no worries then I’ll talk
about safety no worries then I’ll talk
about safety no worries then I’ll talk about the jobs and I will end with what
about the jobs and I will end with what
about the jobs and I will end with what I call unexpected consequences the
I call unexpected consequences the
I call unexpected consequences the side-effects that new technology tends
side-effects that new technology tends
side-effects that new technology tends to have so let’s start with safety right
to have so let’s start with safety right
to have so let’s start with safety right why are we so afraid of artificial
why are we so afraid of artificial
why are we so afraid of artificial intelligence well I think it’s because
intelligence well I think it’s because
intelligence well I think it’s because the concept of AI is so hard to grasp
the concept of AI is so hard to grasp
the concept of AI is so hard to grasp that we tend to base our few on what
that we tend to base our few on what
that we tend to base our few on what we’ve seen in Hollywood movies right and
we’ve seen in Hollywood movies right and
we’ve seen in Hollywood movies right and we all know how these movies go is like
we all know how these movies go is like
we all know how these movies go is like machines are getting smarter and smarter
machines are getting smarter and smarter
machines are getting smarter and smarter they’re doing a lot of work for us and
they’re doing a lot of work for us and
they’re doing a lot of work for us and then they’ll make us obsolete then
then they’ll make us obsolete then
then they’ll make us obsolete then they’ll become so smart they tell even
they’ll become so smart they tell even
they’ll become so smart they tell even become self-aware then the revolt
become self-aware then the revolt
become self-aware then the revolt machines taking over robo clips or as
machines taking over robo clips or as
machines taking over robo clips or as some worn a AI is humanity’s last
some worn a AI is humanity’s last
some worn a AI is humanity’s last invention
invention
invention now as tempting as this may sound I have
now as tempting as this may sound I have
now as tempting as this may sound I have to say outside of Hollywood not a very
to say outside of Hollywood not a very
to say outside of Hollywood not a very likely scenario I mean just look at the
likely scenario I mean just look at the
likely scenario I mean just look at the pace of the technological progress I
pace of the technological progress I
pace of the technological progress I mean the whole race between man and
mean the whole race between man and
mean the whole race between man and machine had started in the end of the
machine had started in the end of the
machine had started in the end of the 80s I mean Garry Kasparov playing chess
80s I mean Garry Kasparov playing chess
80s I mean Garry Kasparov playing chess against a chess come
against a chess come
against a chess come pewter and losing to deep blue then 20
pewter and losing to deep blue then 20
pewter and losing to deep blue then 20 years later we were able to learn a
years later we were able to learn a
years later we were able to learn a computer or a set of algorithms to play
computer or a set of algorithms to play
computer or a set of algorithms to play go now I have to say go is infinitely
go now I have to say go is infinitely
go now I have to say go is infinitely more complex than chess but hey it’s
more complex than chess but hey it’s
more complex than chess but hey it’s still a board game and last year the
still a board game and last year the
still a board game and last year the Grandmaster from South Korea Alisa dough
Grandmaster from South Korea Alisa dough
Grandmaster from South Korea Alisa dough was beat by a set of algorithms now to
was beat by a set of algorithms now to
was beat by a set of algorithms now to say that another jump of twenty years
say that another jump of twenty years
say that another jump of twenty years and then automatically out of these very
and then automatically out of these very
and then automatically out of these very algorithms some more computing power in
algorithms some more computing power in
algorithms some more computing power in some data automatically some come
some data automatically some come
some data automatically some come something as chemically complex as
something as chemically complex as
something as chemically complex as self-awareness
self-awareness
self-awareness that’s not computer science I think
that’s not computer science I think
that’s not computer science I think that’s science fiction as my friend the
that’s science fiction as my friend the
that’s science fiction as my friend the data scientist said he said you know
data scientist said he said you know
data scientist said he said you know what a AI is not magic it’s just math
what a AI is not magic it’s just math
what a AI is not magic it’s just math I’m not saying that these that we
I’m not saying that these that we
I’m not saying that these that we shouldn’t worry about these doomsday
shouldn’t worry about these doomsday
shouldn’t worry about these doomsday scenarios now I think it’s important to
scenarios now I think it’s important to
scenarios now I think it’s important to talk about safe implementation of new
talk about safe implementation of new
talk about safe implementation of new technology so what can we learn from the
technology so what can we learn from the
technology so what can we learn from the automobile industry well of course the
automobile industry well of course the
automobile industry well of course the key word then is regulation I mean in in
key word then is regulation I mean in in
key word then is regulation I mean in in with the introduction of the automobile
with the introduction of the automobile
with the introduction of the automobile we came up with better traffic laws
we came up with better traffic laws
we came up with better traffic laws people had to get their drivers license
people had to get their drivers license
people had to get their drivers license we came up with traffic lights and if
we came up with traffic lights and if
we came up with traffic lights and if that all would fail would always have
that all would fail would always have
that all would fail would always have insurance now how about AI and
insurance now how about AI and
insurance now how about AI and regulation well I think Europe is
regulation well I think Europe is
regulation well I think Europe is leading the way the new GDP our
leading the way the new GDP our
leading the way the new GDP our legislation the general data protection
legislation the general data protection
legislation the general data protection regulation is a big step forward these
regulation is a big step forward these
regulation is a big step forward these word of the privacy laws and we thought
word of the privacy laws and we thought
word of the privacy laws and we thought that’s gonna be a hassle it’s a blessing
that’s gonna be a hassle it’s a blessing
that’s gonna be a hassle it’s a blessing in disguise suddenly big organizations
in disguise suddenly big organizations
in disguise suddenly big organizations large institutions are talking about the
large institutions are talking about the
large institutions are talking about the ethical implications of automated
ethical implications of automated
ethical implications of automated decision making about transparency
decision making about transparency
decision making about transparency responsibilities about explain ability
responsibilities about explain ability
responsibilities about explain ability and most importantly the question of
and most importantly the question of
and most importantly the question of this time how can we hold algorithms
this time how can we hold algorithms
this time how can we hold algorithms ansible accountable and is there still a
ansible accountable and is there still a
ansible accountable and is there still a human being in the loop this brings me
human being in the loop this brings me
human being in the loop this brings me to the to the job constraints why are we
to the to the job constraints why are we
to the to the job constraints why are we so afraid of artificial Italians why do
so afraid of artificial Italians why do
so afraid of artificial Italians why do we think that it’ll eat up our jobs well
we think that it’ll eat up our jobs well
we think that it’ll eat up our jobs well I think this underlying assumption is
I think this underlying assumption is
I think this underlying assumption is that technology is good for productivity
that technology is good for productivity
that technology is good for productivity but bad for jobs this is called
but bad for jobs this is called
but bad for jobs this is called automation angst or the Luddites fallacy
automation angst or the Luddites fallacy
automation angst or the Luddites fallacy all across history this theory in the
all across history this theory in the
all across history this theory in the long term has been proven wrong in fact
long term has been proven wrong in fact
long term has been proven wrong in fact the MIT economist David author in his
the MIT economist David author in his
the MIT economist David author in his TED talk last year points out that
TED talk last year points out that
TED talk last year points out that across all of history throughout all
across all of history throughout all
across all of history throughout all these innovations from agricultural
these innovations from agricultural
these innovations from agricultural industrial automation IT work has
industrial automation IT work has
industrial automation IT work has created work and right now there are
created work and right now there are
created work and right now there are more people than ever active on the job
more people than ever active on the job
more people than ever active on the job market despite of all this technological
market despite of all this technological
market despite of all this technological innovation so why should this time be
innovation so why should this time be
innovation so why should this time be different look at the car industry the
different look at the car industry the
different look at the car industry the people who used to work in the stables
people who used to work in the stables
people who used to work in the stables went on to work in the car factories the
went on to work in the car factories the
went on to work in the car factories the automotive industry created millions of
automotive industry created millions of
automotive industry created millions of jobs a lot of economic growth and the
jobs a lot of economic growth and the
jobs a lot of economic growth and the people who used to carry the flag or
people who used to carry the flag or
people who used to carry the flag or they became accountants I love
they became accountants I love
they became accountants I love accountants by the way and this brings
accountants by the way and this brings
accountants by the way and this brings me through the third part of my talk the
me through the third part of my talk the
me through the third part of my talk the unexpected consequences because you know
unexpected consequences because you know
unexpected consequences because you know what the biggest problem was that the
what the biggest problem was that the
what the biggest problem was that the automobile solved it was horse manure in
automobile solved it was horse manure in
automobile solved it was horse manure in New York City alone there were 100,000
New York City alone there were 100,000
New York City alone there were 100,000 horses back in the day producing 1,200
horses back in the day producing 1,200
horses back in the day producing 1,200 metric tons of manure on a daily basis
metric tons of manure on a daily basis
metric tons of manure on a daily basis there were not enough people to clean it
there were not enough people to clean it
there were not enough people to clean it up it was literally a shitty situation
up it was literally a shitty situation
up it was literally a shitty situation the smell was horrific and that all
the smell was horrific and that all
the smell was horrific and that all changed with the introduction of the
changed with the introduction of the
changed with the introduction of the automobile another side effect of the
automobile another side effect of the
automobile another side effect of the car was that it’s freed us
car was that it’s freed us
car was that it’s freed us it’s freed us from geographical
it’s freed us from geographical
it’s freed us from geographical limitations suddenly you didn’t have to
limitations suddenly you didn’t have to
limitations suddenly you didn’t have to work in the same city or village where
work in the same city or village where
work in the same city or village where you were born hey I will do the same it
you were born hey I will do the same it
you were born hey I will do the same it will create new markets it will create
will create new markets it will create
will create new markets it will create new jobs and it will turn out to be a
new jobs and it will turn out to be a
new jobs and it will turn out to be a solution to a problem we didn’t even
solution to a problem we didn’t even
solution to a problem we didn’t even know we had turns out the more we learn
know we had turns out the more we learn
know we had turns out the more we learn about artificial intelligence the more
about artificial intelligence the more
about artificial intelligence the more we become aware of our inner robot we
we become aware of our inner robot we
we become aware of our inner robot we don’t have to be scared about external
don’t have to be scared about external
don’t have to be scared about external robots we have to be scared of our inner
robots we have to be scared of our inner
robots we have to be scared of our inner robot I mean humanity have we come this
robot I mean humanity have we come this
robot I mean humanity have we come this far that however each day is being in a
far that however each day is being in a
far that however each day is being in a very awkward position behind a screen
very awkward position behind a screen
very awkward position behind a screen more for more than three or four hours a
more for more than three or four hours a
more for more than three or four hours a day clicking through screens finding
day clicking through screens finding
day clicking through screens finding information in one system and then
information in one system and then
information in one system and then typing in it into another that’s not a
typing in it into another that’s not a
typing in it into another that’s not a very human work that’s a robot’s work
very human work that’s a robot’s work
very human work that’s a robot’s work just like Microsoft Excel freed us from
just like Microsoft Excel freed us from
just like Microsoft Excel freed us from doing bookkeeping on paper AI will free
doing bookkeeping on paper AI will free
doing bookkeeping on paper AI will free us from excel yes a standing ovation no
us from excel yes a standing ovation no
us from excel yes a standing ovation no no no don’t worry no but it sounds good
no no don’t worry no but it sounds good
no no don’t worry no but it sounds good doesn’t it yeah I mean humans are best
doesn’t it yeah I mean humans are best
doesn’t it yeah I mean humans are best at being human a ice will do the rest
at being human a ice will do the rest
at being human a ice will do the rest why because AIS are great at number
why because AIS are great at number
why because AIS are great at number crunching hey eyes are great as
crunching hey eyes are great as
crunching hey eyes are great as predictive modeling AIS will do the
predictive modeling AIS will do the
predictive modeling AIS will do the heavy lifting for us so that we become
heavy lifting for us so that we become
heavy lifting for us so that we become more human the only ones will be jobless
more human the only ones will be jobless
more human the only ones will be jobless are the ones who don’t pick up this new
are the ones who don’t pick up this new
are the ones who don’t pick up this new technology that is handed to them I
technology that is handed to them I
technology that is handed to them I think the future of AI is bright and it
think the future of AI is bright and it
think the future of AI is bright and it will affect all of us and we should work
will affect all of us and we should work
will affect all of us and we should work together and trust me we have enough
together and trust me we have enough
together and trust me we have enough people who are waving the red flag I’m
people who are waving the red flag I’m
people who are waving the red flag I’m calling on you I’m counting on you to
calling on you I’m counting on you to
calling on you I’m counting on you to actually sit next to the mechanic and
actually sit next to the mechanic and
actually sit next to the mechanic and help him design a better safer car the
help him design a better safer car the
help him design a better safer car the future is not written it is shaped by
future is not written it is shaped by
future is not written it is shaped by our decisions and actions today so let’s
our decisions and actions today so let’s
our decisions and actions today so let’s work too
work too
work too get her and use AI for good thank you
get her and use AI for good thank you
get her and use AI for good thank you very much thank you
very much thank you
”
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