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Who’s afraid of artificial intelligence? | Jim Stolze | TEDxAmsterdam


[Music]

[Music] one step beyond

if this redhead talk in the 19th century

if this redhead talk in the 19th century then you’d be sitting there all dressed

then you’d be sitting there all dressed

then you’d be sitting there all dressed up just like you are now and you’ve

up just like you are now and you’ve

up just like you are now and you’ve probably come here by horse-drawn

probably come here by horse-drawn

probably come here by horse-drawn carriage and then in that 19th century

carriage and then in that 19th century

carriage and then in that 19th century theater a guy like me will be talking to

theater a guy like me will be talking to

theater a guy like me will be talking to you about a new invention a breakthrough

you about a new invention a breakthrough

you about a new invention a breakthrough technology it’s like a steam engine on

technology it’s like a steam engine on

technology it’s like a steam engine on wheels

wheels

wheels a horseless carriage let’s call it Auto

a horseless carriage let’s call it Auto

a horseless carriage let’s call it Auto automobile chances are that I would be

automobile chances are that I would be

automobile chances are that I would be booed off stage people would shout their

booed off stage people would shout their

booed off stage people would shout their concerns I mean this side of the room

concerns I mean this side of the room

concerns I mean this side of the room this worker like what about the jobs

this worker like what about the jobs

this worker like what about the jobs what about all the people who taking

what about all the people who taking

what about all the people who taking care of our horses what about them and

care of our horses what about them and

care of our horses what about them and on this side of the room people would go

on this side of the room people would go

on this side of the room people would go like it’s not safe an engine on wheels

like it’s not safe an engine on wheels

like it’s not safe an engine on wheels it’s out of control this is our

it’s out of control this is our

it’s out of control this is our relationship with technology first we

relationship with technology first we

relationship with technology first we don’t quite understand it and we are

don’t quite understand it and we are

don’t quite understand it and we are programmed to fear it in fact I don’t

programmed to fear it in fact I don’t

programmed to fear it in fact I don’t know if you’re aware but around the turn

know if you’re aware but around the turn

know if you’re aware but around the turn of the 19th century there was actually a

of the 19th century there was actually a

of the 19th century there was actually a law in many countries that said that if

law in many countries that said that if

law in many countries that said that if a automobile would drive on the public

a automobile would drive on the public

a automobile would drive on the public road at least two mechanics needed to be

road at least two mechanics needed to be

road at least two mechanics needed to be in the vehicle and there should be one

in the vehicle and there should be one

in the vehicle and there should be one person in front carrying a red flag I’m

person in front carrying a red flag I’m

person in front carrying a red flag I’m not kidding as a warning it’s true it

not kidding as a warning it’s true it

not kidding as a warning it’s true it sounds silly don’t you think I mean we

sounds silly don’t you think I mean we

sounds silly don’t you think I mean we all know how this story played out I

all know how this story played out I

all know how this story played out I mean we can imagine a world without

mean we can imagine a world without

mean we can imagine a world without curse flash-forward 2017 we’re back in

curse flash-forward 2017 we’re back in

curse flash-forward 2017 we’re back in the theater you’re looking awesome by

the theater you’re looking awesome by

the theater you’re looking awesome by the way and a guy like me is here on

the way and a guy like me is here on

the way and a guy like me is here on stage talking about a breakthrough

stage talking about a breakthrough

stage talking about a breakthrough technology a new invention

technology a new invention

technology a new invention machines that can think for themselves

machines that can think for themselves

machines that can think for themselves we should call it artificial artificial

we should call it artificial artificial

we should call it artificial artificial intelligence and again people have

intelligence and again people have

intelligence and again people have concerns this side of the room what

concerns this side of the room what

concerns this side of the room what about the jobs what about all the people

about the jobs what about all the people

about the jobs what about all the people that used to sit behind the computers

that used to sit behind the computers

that used to sit behind the computers what about them and you guys you would

what about them and you guys you would

what about them and you guys you would say it’s not safe

say it’s not safe

say it’s not safe machines that make decisions it’s out of

machines that make decisions it’s out of

machines that make decisions it’s out of control it’s a black box I’m here to

control it’s a black box I’m here to

control it’s a black box I’m here to tell you that in 20 years from now we

tell you that in 20 years from now we

tell you that in 20 years from now we won’t be able to imagine a world without

won’t be able to imagine a world without

won’t be able to imagine a world without artificial intelligence without AI will

artificial intelligence without AI will

artificial intelligence without AI will it be easy

it be easy

it be easy no it won’t will we make it work yes we

no it won’t will we make it work yes we

no it won’t will we make it work yes we will

will

will so in my talk I’d like to talk a little

so in my talk I’d like to talk a little

so in my talk I’d like to talk a little bit about these concerns first I’ll talk

bit about these concerns first I’ll talk

bit about these concerns first I’ll talk about safety no worries then I’ll talk

about safety no worries then I’ll talk

about safety no worries then I’ll talk about the jobs and I will end with what

about the jobs and I will end with what

about the jobs and I will end with what I call unexpected consequences the

I call unexpected consequences the

I call unexpected consequences the side-effects that new technology tends

side-effects that new technology tends

side-effects that new technology tends to have so let’s start with safety right

to have so let’s start with safety right

to have so let’s start with safety right why are we so afraid of artificial

why are we so afraid of artificial

why are we so afraid of artificial intelligence well I think it’s because

intelligence well I think it’s because

intelligence well I think it’s because the concept of AI is so hard to grasp

the concept of AI is so hard to grasp

the concept of AI is so hard to grasp that we tend to base our few on what

that we tend to base our few on what

that we tend to base our few on what we’ve seen in Hollywood movies right and

we’ve seen in Hollywood movies right and

we’ve seen in Hollywood movies right and we all know how these movies go is like

we all know how these movies go is like

we all know how these movies go is like machines are getting smarter and smarter

machines are getting smarter and smarter

machines are getting smarter and smarter they’re doing a lot of work for us and

they’re doing a lot of work for us and

they’re doing a lot of work for us and then they’ll make us obsolete then

then they’ll make us obsolete then

then they’ll make us obsolete then they’ll become so smart they tell even

they’ll become so smart they tell even

they’ll become so smart they tell even become self-aware then the revolt

become self-aware then the revolt

become self-aware then the revolt machines taking over robo clips or as

machines taking over robo clips or as

machines taking over robo clips or as some worn a AI is humanity’s last

some worn a AI is humanity’s last

some worn a AI is humanity’s last invention

invention

invention now as tempting as this may sound I have

now as tempting as this may sound I have

now as tempting as this may sound I have to say outside of Hollywood not a very

to say outside of Hollywood not a very

to say outside of Hollywood not a very likely scenario I mean just look at the

likely scenario I mean just look at the

likely scenario I mean just look at the pace of the technological progress I

pace of the technological progress I

pace of the technological progress I mean the whole race between man and

mean the whole race between man and

mean the whole race between man and machine had started in the end of the

machine had started in the end of the

machine had started in the end of the 80s I mean Garry Kasparov playing chess

80s I mean Garry Kasparov playing chess

80s I mean Garry Kasparov playing chess against a chess come

against a chess come

against a chess come pewter and losing to deep blue then 20

pewter and losing to deep blue then 20

pewter and losing to deep blue then 20 years later we were able to learn a

years later we were able to learn a

years later we were able to learn a computer or a set of algorithms to play

computer or a set of algorithms to play

computer or a set of algorithms to play go now I have to say go is infinitely

go now I have to say go is infinitely

go now I have to say go is infinitely more complex than chess but hey it’s

more complex than chess but hey it’s

more complex than chess but hey it’s still a board game and last year the

still a board game and last year the

still a board game and last year the Grandmaster from South Korea Alisa dough

Grandmaster from South Korea Alisa dough

Grandmaster from South Korea Alisa dough was beat by a set of algorithms now to

was beat by a set of algorithms now to

was beat by a set of algorithms now to say that another jump of twenty years

say that another jump of twenty years

say that another jump of twenty years and then automatically out of these very

and then automatically out of these very

and then automatically out of these very algorithms some more computing power in

algorithms some more computing power in

algorithms some more computing power in some data automatically some come

some data automatically some come

some data automatically some come something as chemically complex as

something as chemically complex as

something as chemically complex as self-awareness

self-awareness

self-awareness that’s not computer science I think

that’s not computer science I think

that’s not computer science I think that’s science fiction as my friend the

that’s science fiction as my friend the

that’s science fiction as my friend the data scientist said he said you know

data scientist said he said you know

data scientist said he said you know what a AI is not magic it’s just math

what a AI is not magic it’s just math

what a AI is not magic it’s just math I’m not saying that these that we

I’m not saying that these that we

I’m not saying that these that we shouldn’t worry about these doomsday

shouldn’t worry about these doomsday

shouldn’t worry about these doomsday scenarios now I think it’s important to

scenarios now I think it’s important to

scenarios now I think it’s important to talk about safe implementation of new

talk about safe implementation of new

talk about safe implementation of new technology so what can we learn from the

technology so what can we learn from the

technology so what can we learn from the automobile industry well of course the

automobile industry well of course the

automobile industry well of course the key word then is regulation I mean in in

key word then is regulation I mean in in

key word then is regulation I mean in in with the introduction of the automobile

with the introduction of the automobile

with the introduction of the automobile we came up with better traffic laws

we came up with better traffic laws

we came up with better traffic laws people had to get their drivers license

people had to get their drivers license

people had to get their drivers license we came up with traffic lights and if

we came up with traffic lights and if

we came up with traffic lights and if that all would fail would always have

that all would fail would always have

that all would fail would always have insurance now how about AI and

insurance now how about AI and

insurance now how about AI and regulation well I think Europe is

regulation well I think Europe is

regulation well I think Europe is leading the way the new GDP our

leading the way the new GDP our

leading the way the new GDP our legislation the general data protection

legislation the general data protection

legislation the general data protection regulation is a big step forward these

regulation is a big step forward these

regulation is a big step forward these word of the privacy laws and we thought

word of the privacy laws and we thought

word of the privacy laws and we thought that’s gonna be a hassle it’s a blessing

that’s gonna be a hassle it’s a blessing

that’s gonna be a hassle it’s a blessing in disguise suddenly big organizations

in disguise suddenly big organizations

in disguise suddenly big organizations large institutions are talking about the

large institutions are talking about the

large institutions are talking about the ethical implications of automated

ethical implications of automated

ethical implications of automated decision making about transparency

decision making about transparency

decision making about transparency responsibilities about explain ability

responsibilities about explain ability

responsibilities about explain ability and most importantly the question of

and most importantly the question of

and most importantly the question of this time how can we hold algorithms

this time how can we hold algorithms

this time how can we hold algorithms ansible accountable and is there still a

ansible accountable and is there still a

ansible accountable and is there still a human being in the loop this brings me

human being in the loop this brings me

human being in the loop this brings me to the to the job constraints why are we

to the to the job constraints why are we

to the to the job constraints why are we so afraid of artificial Italians why do

so afraid of artificial Italians why do

so afraid of artificial Italians why do we think that it’ll eat up our jobs well

we think that it’ll eat up our jobs well

we think that it’ll eat up our jobs well I think this underlying assumption is

I think this underlying assumption is

I think this underlying assumption is that technology is good for productivity

that technology is good for productivity

that technology is good for productivity but bad for jobs this is called

but bad for jobs this is called

but bad for jobs this is called automation angst or the Luddites fallacy

automation angst or the Luddites fallacy

automation angst or the Luddites fallacy all across history this theory in the

all across history this theory in the

all across history this theory in the long term has been proven wrong in fact

long term has been proven wrong in fact

long term has been proven wrong in fact the MIT economist David author in his

the MIT economist David author in his

the MIT economist David author in his TED talk last year points out that

TED talk last year points out that

TED talk last year points out that across all of history throughout all

across all of history throughout all

across all of history throughout all these innovations from agricultural

these innovations from agricultural

these innovations from agricultural industrial automation IT work has

industrial automation IT work has

industrial automation IT work has created work and right now there are

created work and right now there are

created work and right now there are more people than ever active on the job

more people than ever active on the job

more people than ever active on the job market despite of all this technological

market despite of all this technological

market despite of all this technological innovation so why should this time be

innovation so why should this time be

innovation so why should this time be different look at the car industry the

different look at the car industry the

different look at the car industry the people who used to work in the stables

people who used to work in the stables

people who used to work in the stables went on to work in the car factories the

went on to work in the car factories the

went on to work in the car factories the automotive industry created millions of

automotive industry created millions of

automotive industry created millions of jobs a lot of economic growth and the

jobs a lot of economic growth and the

jobs a lot of economic growth and the people who used to carry the flag or

people who used to carry the flag or

people who used to carry the flag or they became accountants I love

they became accountants I love

they became accountants I love accountants by the way and this brings

accountants by the way and this brings

accountants by the way and this brings me through the third part of my talk the

me through the third part of my talk the

me through the third part of my talk the unexpected consequences because you know

unexpected consequences because you know

unexpected consequences because you know what the biggest problem was that the

what the biggest problem was that the

what the biggest problem was that the automobile solved it was horse manure in

automobile solved it was horse manure in

automobile solved it was horse manure in New York City alone there were 100,000

New York City alone there were 100,000

New York City alone there were 100,000 horses back in the day producing 1,200

horses back in the day producing 1,200

horses back in the day producing 1,200 metric tons of manure on a daily basis

metric tons of manure on a daily basis

metric tons of manure on a daily basis there were not enough people to clean it

there were not enough people to clean it

there were not enough people to clean it up it was literally a shitty situation

up it was literally a shitty situation

up it was literally a shitty situation the smell was horrific and that all

the smell was horrific and that all

the smell was horrific and that all changed with the introduction of the

changed with the introduction of the

changed with the introduction of the automobile another side effect of the

automobile another side effect of the

automobile another side effect of the car was that it’s freed us

car was that it’s freed us

car was that it’s freed us it’s freed us from geographical

it’s freed us from geographical

it’s freed us from geographical limitations suddenly you didn’t have to

limitations suddenly you didn’t have to

limitations suddenly you didn’t have to work in the same city or village where

work in the same city or village where

work in the same city or village where you were born hey I will do the same it

you were born hey I will do the same it

you were born hey I will do the same it will create new markets it will create

will create new markets it will create

will create new markets it will create new jobs and it will turn out to be a

new jobs and it will turn out to be a

new jobs and it will turn out to be a solution to a problem we didn’t even

solution to a problem we didn’t even

solution to a problem we didn’t even know we had turns out the more we learn

know we had turns out the more we learn

know we had turns out the more we learn about artificial intelligence the more

about artificial intelligence the more

about artificial intelligence the more we become aware of our inner robot we

we become aware of our inner robot we

we become aware of our inner robot we don’t have to be scared about external

don’t have to be scared about external

don’t have to be scared about external robots we have to be scared of our inner

robots we have to be scared of our inner

robots we have to be scared of our inner robot I mean humanity have we come this

robot I mean humanity have we come this

robot I mean humanity have we come this far that however each day is being in a

far that however each day is being in a

far that however each day is being in a very awkward position behind a screen

very awkward position behind a screen

very awkward position behind a screen more for more than three or four hours a

more for more than three or four hours a

more for more than three or four hours a day clicking through screens finding

day clicking through screens finding

day clicking through screens finding information in one system and then

information in one system and then

information in one system and then typing in it into another that’s not a

typing in it into another that’s not a

typing in it into another that’s not a very human work that’s a robot’s work

very human work that’s a robot’s work

very human work that’s a robot’s work just like Microsoft Excel freed us from

just like Microsoft Excel freed us from

just like Microsoft Excel freed us from doing bookkeeping on paper AI will free

doing bookkeeping on paper AI will free

doing bookkeeping on paper AI will free us from excel yes a standing ovation no

us from excel yes a standing ovation no

us from excel yes a standing ovation no no no don’t worry no but it sounds good

no no don’t worry no but it sounds good

no no don’t worry no but it sounds good doesn’t it yeah I mean humans are best

doesn’t it yeah I mean humans are best

doesn’t it yeah I mean humans are best at being human a ice will do the rest

at being human a ice will do the rest

at being human a ice will do the rest why because AIS are great at number

why because AIS are great at number

why because AIS are great at number crunching hey eyes are great as

crunching hey eyes are great as

crunching hey eyes are great as predictive modeling AIS will do the

predictive modeling AIS will do the

predictive modeling AIS will do the heavy lifting for us so that we become

heavy lifting for us so that we become

heavy lifting for us so that we become more human the only ones will be jobless

more human the only ones will be jobless

more human the only ones will be jobless are the ones who don’t pick up this new

are the ones who don’t pick up this new

are the ones who don’t pick up this new technology that is handed to them I

technology that is handed to them I

technology that is handed to them I think the future of AI is bright and it

think the future of AI is bright and it

think the future of AI is bright and it will affect all of us and we should work

will affect all of us and we should work

will affect all of us and we should work together and trust me we have enough

together and trust me we have enough

together and trust me we have enough people who are waving the red flag I’m

people who are waving the red flag I’m

people who are waving the red flag I’m calling on you I’m counting on you to

calling on you I’m counting on you to

calling on you I’m counting on you to actually sit next to the mechanic and

actually sit next to the mechanic and

actually sit next to the mechanic and help him design a better safer car the

help him design a better safer car the

help him design a better safer car the future is not written it is shaped by

future is not written it is shaped by

future is not written it is shaped by our decisions and actions today so let’s

our decisions and actions today so let’s

our decisions and actions today so let’s work too

work too

work too get her and use AI for good thank you

get her and use AI for good thank you

get her and use AI for good thank you very much thank you

very much thank you

”

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