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When the Arctic isn’t Cold | Brian Branfireun | TEDxWesternU


[Applause]

[Applause] it’s my pleasure to be here today and I

it’s my pleasure to be here today and I

it’s my pleasure to be here today and I appreciate the invitation to talk to you

appreciate the invitation to talk to you

appreciate the invitation to talk to you the first thing I’d like to do is I’d

the first thing I’d like to do is I’d

the first thing I’d like to do is I’d like to thank the people and the

like to thank the people and the

like to thank the people and the communities that I have worked with in

communities that I have worked with in

communities that I have worked with in the North for welcoming me welcoming me

the North for welcoming me welcoming me

the North for welcoming me welcoming me to their homes and to their land and I’d

to their homes and to their land and I’d

to their homes and to their land and I’d also like to thank the First Nations

also like to thank the First Nations

also like to thank the First Nations peoples whose land we’re meeting on

peoples whose land we’re meeting on

peoples whose land we’re meeting on today I’m an environmental scientist and

today I’m an environmental scientist and

today I’m an environmental scientist and I’ve been studying mercury in the

I’ve been studying mercury in the

I’ve been studying mercury in the environment for almost 20 years I

environment for almost 20 years I

environment for almost 20 years I studied water quality I study the

studied water quality I study the

studied water quality I study the impacts that we have on ecosystems and

impacts that we have on ecosystems and

impacts that we have on ecosystems and because of the kindness and generosity

because of the kindness and generosity

because of the kindness and generosity of a colleague of mine I had the

of a colleague of mine I had the

of a colleague of mine I had the opportunity to visit a part of Canada

opportunity to visit a part of Canada

opportunity to visit a part of Canada that I’d never been to before this year

that I’d never been to before this year

that I’d never been to before this year spent time in the North but not the

spent time in the North but not the

spent time in the North but not the North North you know not the Yukon

North North you know not the Yukon

North North you know not the Yukon Territories not Nunavut not the

Territories not Nunavut not the

Territories not Nunavut not the northwestern all three of which I saw

northwestern all three of which I saw

northwestern all three of which I saw this year in the process of doing that I

this year in the process of doing that I

this year in the process of doing that I also discovered why I do what I do I’ve

also discovered why I do what I do I’ve

also discovered why I do what I do I’ve been a professor for 15 years and it’s

been a professor for 15 years and it’s

been a professor for 15 years and it’s never been fully clear to me what my

never been fully clear to me what my

never been fully clear to me what my underlying motivation is this is Luke

underlying motivation is this is Luke

underlying motivation is this is Luke Duke in a community of about 1,500

Duke in a community of about 1,500

Duke in a community of about 1,500 people

people

people that’s the Arctic Ocean right there so

that’s the Arctic Ocean right there so

that’s the Arctic Ocean right there so it’s it’s pretty far north a lot farther

it’s it’s pretty far north a lot farther

it’s it’s pretty far north a lot farther north than most people have been and it

north than most people have been and it

north than most people have been and it certainly was the farthest north I had

certainly was the farthest north I had

certainly was the farthest north I had ever be my sign it’s a place that you

ever be my sign it’s a place that you

ever be my sign it’s a place that you can imagine is pretty connected to the

can imagine is pretty connected to the

can imagine is pretty connected to the land it’s a place that it’s underlined

land it’s a place that it’s underlined

land it’s a place that it’s underlined by frozen ground permafrost atom I don’t

by frozen ground permafrost atom I don’t

by frozen ground permafrost atom I don’t know my timer here can you cue me please

know my timer here can you cue me please

know my timer here can you cue me please keep me at 15 it’s underlined by frozen

keep me at 15 it’s underlined by frozen

keep me at 15 it’s underlined by frozen ground you can see the houses are all up

ground you can see the houses are all up

ground you can see the houses are all up on stilts because the ground is covered

on stilts because the ground is covered

on stilts because the ground is covered under lying by permafrost you can’t put

under lying by permafrost you can’t put

under lying by permafrost you can’t put things on the ground real sticky that

things on the ground real sticky that

things on the ground real sticky that melts it

this is just at the end of the day

this is just at the end of the day difference getting out of school the

difference getting out of school the

difference getting out of school the place that’s really connected to the

place that’s really connected to the

place that’s really connected to the land it’s a place that’s remote most

land it’s a place that’s remote most

land it’s a place that’s remote most supplies come in by barge it’s expensive

supplies come in by barge it’s expensive

supplies come in by barge it’s expensive people hunt fish people rely on the land

people hunt fish people rely on the land

people hunt fish people rely on the land for their day-to-day well-being they

for their day-to-day well-being they

for their day-to-day well-being they rely on land for their subsistence they

rely on land for their subsistence they

rely on land for their subsistence they feed themselves and they sustain their

feed themselves and they sustain their

feed themselves and they sustain their economy

they fish a lot this is a picture of

they fish a lot this is a picture of drying our thick char that’s a staple

drying our thick char that’s a staple

drying our thick char that’s a staple diet there and the reason why land food

diet there and the reason why land food

diet there and the reason why land food from the land and food from the local

from the land and food from the local

from the land and food from the local waters is so important because this well

waters is so important because this well

waters is so important because this well pack of coke is 20 bucks right fresh

pack of coke is 20 bucks right fresh

pack of coke is 20 bucks right fresh food fresh vegetables meats things like

food fresh vegetables meats things like

food fresh vegetables meats things like this at the part refrigeration and

this at the part refrigeration and

this at the part refrigeration and shipping are unbelievably expensive and

shipping are unbelievably expensive and

shipping are unbelievably expensive and when your annual income is in the order

when your annual income is in the order

when your annual income is in the order of hundreds to thousands of dollars

of hundreds to thousands of dollars

of hundreds to thousands of dollars that’s it this is a luxury item

that’s it this is a luxury item

that’s it this is a luxury item this isn’t staple food this is what so

this isn’t staple food this is what so

this isn’t staple food this is what so think about if this is threatened right

think about if this is threatened right

think about if this is threatened right think about if that source of staple

think about if that source of staple

think about if that source of staple subsistence food that keeps you going is

subsistence food that keeps you going is

subsistence food that keeps you going is threatened I’m going to present this to

threatened I’m going to present this to

threatened I’m going to present this to you as a risk and I’m gonna try and

you as a risk and I’m gonna try and

you as a risk and I’m gonna try and paint a picture of risk to know there

paint a picture of risk to know there

paint a picture of risk to know there are communities both in terms of

are communities both in terms of

are communities both in terms of environment social that hopefully we can

environment social that hopefully we can

environment social that hopefully we can become engaged in and you can give some

become engaged in and you can give some

become engaged in and you can give some thought about how you might participate

thought about how you might participate

thought about how you might participate we all know what risk is and I’d like us

we all know what risk is and I’d like us

we all know what risk is and I’d like us to think about risk rather than problems

to think about risk rather than problems

to think about risk rather than problems problems require solutions risks

problems require solutions risks

problems require solutions risks requires management I think it’s risk is

requires management I think it’s risk is

requires management I think it’s risk is something that we all are familiar with

something that we all are familiar with

something that we all are familiar with yeah we have risks that we deal with

yeah we have risks that we deal with

yeah we have risks that we deal with every day and we understand risk

every day and we understand risk

every day and we understand risk management we make decisions about what

management we make decisions about what

management we make decisions about what we’re gonna eat what we’re gonna buy who

we’re gonna eat what we’re gonna buy who

we’re gonna eat what we’re gonna buy who we’re gonna talk to we’re gonna spend

we’re gonna talk to we’re gonna spend

we’re gonna talk to we’re gonna spend our time those risks can be kind of

our time those risks can be kind of

our time those risks can be kind of non-life-threatening you know maybe I

non-life-threatening you know maybe I

non-life-threatening you know maybe I want to eat this chocolate bar because

want to eat this chocolate bar because

want to eat this chocolate bar because it tastes good but then I’m worried

it tastes good but then I’m worried

it tastes good but then I’m worried about my caloric intake or maybe I have

about my caloric intake or maybe I have

about my caloric intake or maybe I have to trust this server because they’ve

to trust this server because they’ve

to trust this server because they’ve told me there’s no peanuts in this dish

told me there’s no peanuts in this dish

told me there’s no peanuts in this dish but I might die right these are risk

but I might die right these are risk

but I might die right these are risk trade-off that we’re constantly

trade-off that we’re constantly

trade-off that we’re constantly these are pretty straightforward risk

these are pretty straightforward risk

these are pretty straightforward risk these are simple risks these are ones

these are simple risks these are ones

these are simple risks these are ones that we know what the driver is we know

that we know what the driver is we know

that we know what the driver is we know what the consequences are and we can

what the consequences are and we can

what the consequences are and we can manage them because we understand those

manage them because we understand those

manage them because we understand those we can manage them statistically

we can manage them statistically

we can manage them statistically insurance companies love these kinds of

insurance companies love these kinds of

insurance companies love these kinds of risks car accidents you know the

risks car accidents you know the

risks car accidents you know the likelihood of having heart attack based

likelihood of having heart attack based

likelihood of having heart attack based on your age and lifestyle these are

on your age and lifestyle these are

on your age and lifestyle these are relatively simple risks but the reality

relatively simple risks but the reality

relatively simple risks but the reality in the environment is that risks are not

in the environment is that risks are not

in the environment is that risks are not nearly so straightforward

nearly so straightforward

nearly so straightforward they are risks that have complexity they

they are risks that have complexity they

they are risks that have complexity they have interdependencies they have a

have interdependencies they have a

have interdependencies they have a social context they’re definitely

social context they’re definitely

social context they’re definitely involve multiple or groups of people if

involve multiple or groups of people if

involve multiple or groups of people if they’re multi stakeholder and they

they’re multi stakeholder and they

they’re multi stakeholder and they involve the social dimension all of

involve the social dimension all of

involve the social dimension all of these things together contribute to high

these things together contribute to high

these things together contribute to high levels of uncertainty about how to

levels of uncertainty about how to

levels of uncertainty about how to handle these how to manage them in a

handle these how to manage them in a

handle these how to manage them in a meaningful way that we can deem

meaningful way that we can deem

meaningful way that we can deem acceptable or at least tolerable to the

acceptable or at least tolerable to the

acceptable or at least tolerable to the people who are these are often referred

people who are these are often referred

people who are these are often referred to as systemic risks there’s a really

to as systemic risks there’s a really

to as systemic risks there’s a really interesting body of literature about

interesting body of literature about

interesting body of literature about risk cutoff there that I find

risk cutoff there that I find

risk cutoff there that I find fascinating because what it does it

fascinating because what it does it

fascinating because what it does it speaks to all of the things that come

speaks to all of the things that come

speaks to all of the things that come together to help us understand risk

together to help us understand risk

together to help us understand risk related to complex environment certainly

related to complex environment certainly

related to complex environment certainly one of the big issues is that there’s a

one of the big issues is that there’s a

one of the big issues is that there’s a huge amount of complexity because of

huge amount of complexity because of

huge amount of complexity because of interrelationships of the economy of

interrelationships of the economy of

interrelationships of the economy of society and social questions and

society and social questions and

society and social questions and environmental a huge amount of

environmental a huge amount of

environmental a huge amount of uncertainty associated with these

uncertainty associated with these

uncertainty associated with these problems that involve the environment

problems that involve the environment

problems that involve the environment because we don’t understand the

because we don’t understand the

because we don’t understand the environment very well may as much work

environment very well may as much work

environment very well may as much work as we do on it and even I can get myself

as we do on it and even I can get myself

as we do on it and even I can get myself as an environmental scientist I feel

as an environmental scientist I feel

as an environmental scientist I feel like I know nothing complexity over

like I know nothing complexity over

like I know nothing complexity over space finally we have ambiguity about

space finally we have ambiguity about

space finally we have ambiguity about the nature of the risk because those of

the nature of the risk because those of

the nature of the risk because those of us sitting here at Western will view an

us sitting here at Western will view an

us sitting here at Western will view an environmental risk very differently than

environmental risk very differently than

environmental risk very differently than someone that is living on the coast of

someone that is living on the coast of

someone that is living on the coast of the Arctic Ocean and so what I’m going

the Arctic Ocean and so what I’m going

the Arctic Ocean and so what I’m going to paint for you today is a bit of a

to paint for you today is a bit of a

to paint for you today is a bit of a discussion about two of those

discussion about two of those

discussion about two of those kind of those major environmental risks

kind of those major environmental risks

kind of those major environmental risks those challenges and have us think a

those challenges and have us think a

those challenges and have us think a little bit about what role we can play

little bit about what role we can play

little bit about what role we can play so this is what I do

so this is what I do

so this is what I do here’s me up here I’m the environmental

here’s me up here I’m the environmental

here’s me up here I’m the environmental scientist I get to go out to amazing

scientist I get to go out to amazing

scientist I get to go out to amazing places to do the work that I do not

places to do the work that I do not

places to do the work that I do not because I mean it’s an added bonus that

because I mean it’s an added bonus that

because I mean it’s an added bonus that there beautiful places with beautiful

there beautiful places with beautiful

there beautiful places with beautiful people but it’s just the it’s where some

people but it’s just the it’s where some

people but it’s just the it’s where some of these complex problems are vested

of these complex problems are vested

of these complex problems are vested right now beautiful Northwest

right now beautiful Northwest

right now beautiful Northwest Territories where I was this summer this

Territories where I was this summer this

Territories where I was this summer this tundra it’s a little bit dark but this

tundra it’s a little bit dark but this

tundra it’s a little bit dark but this is this big flat expansive landscape

is this big flat expansive landscape

is this big flat expansive landscape with the Arctic Ocean and the button in

with the Arctic Ocean and the button in

with the Arctic Ocean and the button in the back this is up here on Kewanee Lake

the back this is up here on Kewanee Lake

the back this is up here on Kewanee Lake and Yukon sampling for water quality

and Yukon sampling for water quality

and Yukon sampling for water quality these are unbelievable opportunities and

these are unbelievable opportunities and

these are unbelievable opportunities and experiences that I have

but what drives me there what makes me

but what drives me there what makes me think about these problems are this

think about these problems are this

think about these problems are this stomach the industrialization of our

stomach the industrialization of our

stomach the industrialization of our modern world has presents us with some

modern world has presents us with some

modern world has presents us with some of the most profound systemic risks that

of the most profound systemic risks that

of the most profound systemic risks that we can imagine certainly the impacts on

we can imagine certainly the impacts on

we can imagine certainly the impacts on the environment as a result of that’s

the environment as a result of that’s

the environment as a result of that’s those drivers of that industrialization

those drivers of that industrialization

those drivers of that industrialization of our world is global in scale in scope

of our world is global in scale in scope

of our world is global in scale in scope we know this a climate change is

we know this a climate change is

we know this a climate change is something that affects every part what

something that affects every part what

something that affects every part what we often don’t think about is how

we often don’t think about is how

we often don’t think about is how industrialization has also affected

industrialization has also affected

industrialization has also affected things like food quality

things like food quality

things like food quality industrialization has dispersed

industrialization has dispersed

industrialization has dispersed contaminants like mercury around the

contaminants like mercury around the

contaminants like mercury around the world in the same way that it’s

world in the same way that it’s

world in the same way that it’s dispersed carbon dioxide around so we

dispersed carbon dioxide around so we

dispersed carbon dioxide around so we have contamination of ecosystems and

have contamination of ecosystems and

have contamination of ecosystems and foods which is how I’d like to start

foods which is how I’d like to start

foods which is how I’d like to start reframing a fish to you it’s somebody’s

reframing a fish to you it’s somebody’s

reframing a fish to you it’s somebody’s dinner and not by choice but by

dinner and not by choice but by

dinner and not by choice but by necessity we have contamination of foods

necessity we have contamination of foods

necessity we have contamination of foods that are really have nothing to do with

that are really have nothing to do with

that are really have nothing to do with the people who need this the most it’s

the people who need this the most it’s

the people who need this the most it’s driven by our global processes of

driven by our global processes of

driven by our global processes of industrialization the same as climate

industrialization the same as climate

industrialization the same as climate change

a little bit fast so the first example I

a little bit fast so the first example I want to give to you is climate change in

want to give to you is climate change in

want to give to you is climate change in the north so I’m going to frame these

the north so I’m going to frame these

the north so I’m going to frame these problems from the northern perspective

problems from the northern perspective

problems from the northern perspective for you Coppermine

for you Coppermine

for you Coppermine River it’s not just a pretty picture

River it’s not just a pretty picture

River it’s not just a pretty picture slideshow I’m trying to get you to think

slideshow I’m trying to get you to think

slideshow I’m trying to get you to think about how beautiful these places are and

about how beautiful these places are and

about how beautiful these places are and how important they are to to our world

how important they are to to our world

how important they are to to our world not just here we are with an interesting

not just here we are with an interesting

not just here we are with an interesting figure from the most recent IPCC the

figure from the most recent IPCC the

figure from the most recent IPCC the occupied one glory with too much data

occupied one glory with too much data

occupied one glory with too much data but this diagram is an interesting one

but this diagram is an interesting one

but this diagram is an interesting one it tells us how much temperature

it tells us how much temperature

it tells us how much temperature increase there will be in different

increase there will be in different

increase there will be in different parts of the world relative to how much

parts of the world relative to how much

parts of the world relative to how much warmer the world is going to be overall

warmer the world is going to be overall

warmer the world is going to be overall so what this means that if the world is

so what this means that if the world is

so what this means that if the world is gonna be two degrees warmer overall then

gonna be two degrees warmer overall then

gonna be two degrees warmer overall then here we are in London we’re gonna be

here we are in London we’re gonna be

here we are in London we’re gonna be about two degrees warmer than that so

about two degrees warmer than that so

about two degrees warmer than that so the whole world is gonna increase by two

the whole world is gonna increase by two

the whole world is gonna increase by two we’re going to increase by okay and you

we’re going to increase by okay and you

we’re going to increase by okay and you can see that most of the high lap mid

can see that most of the high lap mid

can see that most of the high lap mid latitudes are kind of about the same you

latitudes are kind of about the same you

latitudes are kind of about the same you know everyone’s kind of hovering around

know everyone’s kind of hovering around

know everyone’s kind of hovering around that we’re gonna increase about as much

that we’re gonna increase about as much

that we’re gonna increase about as much as the rest of it if we go into the high

as the rest of it if we go into the high

as the rest of it if we go into the high latitudes we’re talking anywhere between

latitudes we’re talking anywhere between

latitudes we’re talking anywhere between four and six degrees warmer than the

four and six degrees warmer than the

four and six degrees warmer than the rest of the world

rest of the world

rest of the world so a lot of projections have by 2100 the

so a lot of projections have by 2100 the

so a lot of projections have by 2100 the northern parts of our continent being

northern parts of our continent being

northern parts of our continent being about eight to ten degrees warmer than

about eight to ten degrees warmer than

about eight to ten degrees warmer than they are so the difference between being

they are so the difference between being

they are so the difference between being one or two degrees warmer versus ten

one or two degrees warmer versus ten

one or two degrees warmer versus ten degrees warmer it’s quite significant

degrees warmer it’s quite significant

degrees warmer it’s quite significant particularly when you think about

particularly when you think about

particularly when you think about people’s connection to the land and the

people’s connection to the land and the

people’s connection to the land and the importance

importance

importance snow precipitation is gonna do the same

snow precipitation is gonna do the same

snow precipitation is gonna do the same thing right we don’t change that much we

thing right we don’t change that much we

thing right we don’t change that much we increase a bit so per degree warmer the

increase a bit so per degree warmer the

increase a bit so per degree warmer the earth is we’re gonna go out by about

earth is we’re gonna go out by about

earth is we’re gonna go out by about three percent more rainfall and snow far

three percent more rainfall and snow far

three percent more rainfall and snow far north it’s well over twelve percent more

north it’s well over twelve percent more

north it’s well over twelve percent more so you might think that that’s good but

so you might think that that’s good but

so you might think that that’s good but actually the North is really dry no more

actually the North is really dry no more

actually the North is really dry no more snow and more rain actually really

snow and more rain actually really

snow and more rain actually really changes the ecosystem quite a lot and it

changes the ecosystem quite a lot and it

changes the ecosystem quite a lot and it also provides feedbacks into other

also provides feedbacks into other

also provides feedbacks into other aspects of the environment so in the

aspects of the environment so in the

aspects of the environment so in the north and climate change I mean there’s

north and climate change I mean there’s

north and climate change I mean there’s all kinds of interacting things that are

all kinds of interacting things that are

all kinds of interacting things that are gonna happen I’m highlighting a few of

gonna happen I’m highlighting a few of

gonna happen I’m highlighting a few of them here for you we’re gonna have

them here for you we’re gonna have

them here for you we’re gonna have warmer oils we have warmer waters

warmer oils we have warmer waters

warmer oils we have warmer waters there’s gonna be more rain and snow and

there’s gonna be more rain and snow and

there’s gonna be more rain and snow and that’s gonna lead to all kinds of

that’s gonna lead to all kinds of

that’s gonna lead to all kinds of problematic things in the in the

problematic things in the in the

problematic things in the in the environment permafrost thaw is one of

environment permafrost thaw is one of

environment permafrost thaw is one of the big ones that I think we’re hearing

the big ones that I think we’re hearing

the big ones that I think we’re hearing a lot more about these days this is what

a lot more about these days this is what

a lot more about these days this is what it looks like this is a picture by my

it looks like this is a picture by my

it looks like this is a picture by my colleague Scott Munroe from Queens

colleague Scott Munroe from Queens

colleague Scott Munroe from Queens University it’s flying over Banks Island

University it’s flying over Banks Island

University it’s flying over Banks Island this summer and all of these big bites

this summer and all of these big bites

this summer and all of these big bites out of landscape is the frozen ground

out of landscape is the frozen ground

out of landscape is the frozen ground thawing and just running off into the

thawing and just running off into the

thawing and just running off into the ocean you know this is what happens when

ocean you know this is what happens when

ocean you know this is what happens when we start thawing grounds been frozen for

we start thawing grounds been frozen for

we start thawing grounds been frozen for tens of thousands of years this is a

tens of thousands of years this is a

tens of thousands of years this is a sort of the ground image of what happens

sort of the ground image of what happens

sort of the ground image of what happens in parts of Northwest Territories when

in parts of Northwest Territories when

in parts of Northwest Territories when we saw the ground this is what forest

we saw the ground this is what forest

we saw the ground this is what forest looks like when it’s frozen underneath

looks like when it’s frozen underneath

looks like when it’s frozen underneath it’s perfectly fine pause in the summer

it’s perfectly fine pause in the summer

it’s perfectly fine pause in the summer but it’s still frozen down deeper but

but it’s still frozen down deeper but

but it’s still frozen down deeper but when it starts thawing permanently it

when it starts thawing permanently it

when it starts thawing permanently it just turns into this sort of marshy wet

just turns into this sort of marshy wet

just turns into this sort of marshy wet it’s totally different in terms of the

it’s totally different in terms of the

it’s totally different in terms of the chemistry totally different in terms of

chemistry totally different in terms of

chemistry totally different in terms of the carbon and it affects everything

the carbon and it affects everything

the carbon and it affects everything else that it’s connected

else that it’s connected

else that it’s connected it certainly affects things like mercury

it certainly affects things like mercury

it certainly affects things like mercury so this is sang West Lake in the

so this is sang West Lake in the

so this is sang West Lake in the Northwest Territories a very beautiful

Northwest Territories a very beautiful

Northwest Territories a very beautiful small lake a really important Lake to

small lake a really important Lake to

small lake a really important Lake to the gene resource nation that use it for

the gene resource nation that use it for

the gene resource nation that use it for traditional fishing and they have done

traditional fishing and they have done

traditional fishing and they have done for as long as anybody knows generation

for as long as anybody knows generation

for as long as anybody knows generation after generation the problem is that the

after generation the problem is that the

after generation the problem is that the footprint of industrialization has found

footprint of industrialization has found

footprint of industrialization has found its way of course even to their fish

its way of course even to their fish

its way of course even to their fish from sangwich lake above a certain size

from sangwich lake above a certain size

from sangwich lake above a certain size that have certain species are no longer

that have certain species are no longer

that have certain species are no longer safe for people to eat this is this is

safe for people to eat this is this is

safe for people to eat this is this is this is a risk this because that’s a

this is a risk this because that’s a

this is a risk this because that’s a risk cultural and social risk that I

risk cultural and social risk that I

risk cultural and social risk that I don’t think we can fully imagine what

don’t think we can fully imagine what

don’t think we can fully imagine what does that look like why is this well

does that look like why is this well

does that look like why is this well mercury accumulates in fish humiliates

mercury accumulates in fish humiliates

mercury accumulates in fish humiliates in fish as they get older and bigger so

in fish as they get older and bigger so

in fish as they get older and bigger so when we have fish that are above a

when we have fish that are above a

when we have fish that are above a certain size they start you know

certain size they start you know

certain size they start you know increasing in mercury concentration this

increasing in mercury concentration this

increasing in mercury concentration this is mercury concentration thank for those

is mercury concentration thank for those

is mercury concentration thank for those of us in other parts of the country if

of us in other parts of the country if

of us in other parts of the country if we want to go to the store and buy some

we want to go to the store and buy some

we want to go to the store and buy some fish we’re not allowed to buy fish that

fish we’re not allowed to buy fish that

fish we’re not allowed to buy fish that has concentrations above 0.5 parts

has concentrations above 0.5 parts

has concentrations above 0.5 parts there’s lots of fish sank ways like that

there’s lots of fish sank ways like that

there’s lots of fish sank ways like that have concentrations about 0.5 but of

have concentrations about 0.5 but of

have concentrations about 0.5 but of course we don’t subsist on that fish

course we don’t subsist on that fish

course we don’t subsist on that fish people there have to subscribe to this

people there have to subscribe to this

people there have to subscribe to this limit because if you’re eating a lot of

limit because if you’re eating a lot of

limit because if you’re eating a lot of it you can’t eat as much and you can’t

it you can’t eat as much and you can’t

it you can’t eat as much and you can’t tolerate this basically means that

tolerate this basically means that

tolerate this basically means that almost every fish bigger than this is in

almost every fish bigger than this is in

almost every fish bigger than this is in some way shape or form a risk like that

some way shape or form a risk like that

some way shape or form a risk like that signs posted around lakes that are

signs posted around lakes that are

signs posted around lakes that are literally I mean in it for though for us

literally I mean in it for though for us

literally I mean in it for though for us the middle no one to tell us that

the middle no one to tell us that

the middle no one to tell us that mercury that are above consumption

mercury that are above consumption

mercury that are above consumption guidelines and for example a child can

guidelines and for example a child can

guidelines and for example a child can only one serving per month which is

only one serving per month which is

only one serving per month which is equivalent to a pack of cards that’s not

equivalent to a pack of cards that’s not

equivalent to a pack of cards that’s not a lot food that’s not a lot of protein

a lot food that’s not a lot of protein

a lot food that’s not a lot of protein that means that food has to be derived

that means that food has to be derived

that means that food has to be derived from other places which means we’re

from other places which means we’re

from other places which means we’re starting to rely on other sources of

starting to rely on other sources of

starting to rely on other sources of food that are maybe not certainly

food that are maybe not certainly

food that are maybe not certainly non-traditional and certainly may not be

non-traditional and certainly may not be

non-traditional and certainly may not be itself

I’ve already presented these points to

I’ve already presented these points to you

you

you warmer soils warmer waters more rain and

warmer soils warmer waters more rain and

warmer soils warmer waters more rain and snow permafrost thaw as things that are

snow permafrost thaw as things that are

snow permafrost thaw as things that are driving change in the north as a result

driving change in the north as a result

driving change in the north as a result of climate change but these things also

of climate change but these things also

of climate change but these things also affect mercury infection warmer soils

affect mercury infection warmer soils

affect mercury infection warmer soils and warmer waters promote processes in

and warmer waters promote processes in

and warmer waters promote processes in the landscape that make mercury more

the landscape that make mercury more

the landscape that make mercury more available on to those organisms more

available on to those organisms more

available on to those organisms more rain and snow results in more mercury

rain and snow results in more mercury

rain and snow results in more mercury running off the landscape and into the

running off the landscape and into the

running off the landscape and into the lakes which then further promotes

lakes which then further promotes

lakes which then further promotes greater accumulation and permafrost thaw

greater accumulation and permafrost thaw

greater accumulation and permafrost thaw takes this huge vault of contaminants

takes this huge vault of contaminants

takes this huge vault of contaminants that have been stored in the landscape

that have been stored in the landscape

that have been stored in the landscape and translates it into water that then

and translates it into water that then

and translates it into water that then flows off the land off the land and into

flows off the land off the land and into

flows off the land off the land and into lakes and rivers so all of these things

lakes and rivers so all of these things

lakes and rivers so all of these things you know start to start to cause us to

you know start to start to cause us to

you know start to start to cause us to under to question what’s happening here

under to question what’s happening here

under to question what’s happening here how am i doing for time Adam

so we have now an intersection of two

so we have now an intersection of two interesting and complex risk spheres

interesting and complex risk spheres

interesting and complex risk spheres climate and contaminants both of them

climate and contaminants both of them

climate and contaminants both of them being driven by an industrialization of

being driven by an industrialization of

being driven by an industrialization of our globe but now interdigitating both

our globe but now interdigitating both

our globe but now interdigitating both of them individually presenting risks to

of them individually presenting risks to

of them individually presenting risks to northern residents and northern

northern residents and northern

northern residents and northern ecosystems and then together presenting

ecosystems and then together presenting

ecosystems and then together presenting a compounded risk that the complexity of

a compounded risk that the complexity of

a compounded risk that the complexity of which and the interplay between all of

which and the interplay between all of

which and the interplay between all of these factors becomes a little bit my

these factors becomes a little bit my

these factors becomes a little bit my number and we start thinking about all

number and we start thinking about all

number and we start thinking about all of the things that are going so let’s

of the things that are going so let’s

of the things that are going so let’s return you know to our diagram that

return you know to our diagram that

return you know to our diagram that speaks to the complexity and the

speaks to the complexity and the

speaks to the complexity and the uncertainty of this process these are

uncertainty of this process these are

uncertainty of this process these are our three spheres

our three spheres

our three spheres we have our economy our environment we

we have our economy our environment we

we have our economy our environment we have our social sphere we’re in the

have our social sphere we’re in the

have our social sphere we’re in the social sphere I’m giving you the example

social sphere I’m giving you the example

social sphere I’m giving you the example of food security and food sovereignty

of food security and food sovereignty

of food security and food sovereignty for northern communities the

for northern communities the

for northern communities the interdigitating the intersection of

interdigitating the intersection of

interdigitating the intersection of these three Sisk spheres right here and

these three Sisk spheres right here and

these three Sisk spheres right here and that’s the north those are the

that’s the north those are the

that’s the north those are the communities that we’re talking about

communities that we’re talking about

communities that we’re talking about that we’re not in that risk we’re not in

that we’re not in that risk we’re not in

that we’re not in that risk we’re not in this nexus between all of these

this nexus between all of these

this nexus between all of these somewhere here where we don’t have all

somewhere here where we don’t have all

somewhere here where we don’t have all of these things laying on top of one

of these things laying on top of one

of these things laying on top of one that you know cause us to have concern

that you know cause us to have concern

that you know cause us to have concern for our social

so let’s give some thought to risk

so let’s give some thought to risk governance instead of problem-solving

governance instead of problem-solving

governance instead of problem-solving we’re gonna govern this risk we’re gonna

we’re gonna govern this risk we’re gonna

we’re gonna govern this risk we’re gonna figure out what we need to do in order

figure out what we need to do in order

figure out what we need to do in order to determine whether a risk that we

to determine whether a risk that we

to determine whether a risk that we present somebody with is acceptable and

present somebody with is acceptable and

present somebody with is acceptable and I posed the question well who is it that

I posed the question well who is it that

I posed the question well who is it that determines whether the risk of climate

determines whether the risk of climate

determines whether the risk of climate change is driven by globalization

change is driven by globalization

change is driven by globalization industrialization who determines whether

industrialization who determines whether

industrialization who determines whether that risk is acceptable or whether the

that risk is acceptable or whether the

that risk is acceptable or whether the risk of mercury contamination to fish

risk of mercury contamination to fish

risk of mercury contamination to fish that are staple service of our diamond

that are staple service of our diamond

that are staple service of our diamond part of our diet who determines whether

part of our diet who determines whether

part of our diet who determines whether that risk is acceptable I’m gonna I’m

that risk is acceptable I’m gonna I’m

that risk is acceptable I’m gonna I’m gonna make the case that it’s everyone

gonna make the case that it’s everyone

gonna make the case that it’s everyone it’s all of us it’s all of the

it’s all of us it’s all of the

it’s all of us it’s all of the legitimate voices that need to take part

legitimate voices that need to take part

legitimate voices that need to take part in this conversation it’s not us here

in this conversation it’s not us here

in this conversation it’s not us here it’s not exclusively people in northern

it’s not exclusively people in northern

it’s not exclusively people in northern communities it’s all of us that have

communities it’s all of us that have

communities it’s all of us that have legitimate voices to participate most

legitimate voices to participate most

legitimate voices to participate most oftentimes our wrists are not acceptable

oftentimes our wrists are not acceptable

oftentimes our wrists are not acceptable okay tolerable maybe in which case we

okay tolerable maybe in which case we

okay tolerable maybe in which case we get into a sphere of risk management we

get into a sphere of risk management we

get into a sphere of risk management we start thinking about what we need to do

start thinking about what we need to do

start thinking about what we need to do in order to keep that risk tolerable so

in order to keep that risk tolerable so

in order to keep that risk tolerable so that it doesn’t get into the realm of

that it doesn’t get into the realm of

that it doesn’t get into the realm of something or into intolerable risk is

something or into intolerable risk is

something or into intolerable risk is the one that we can’t possibly continue

the one that we can’t possibly continue

the one that we can’t possibly continue on this path we can’t continue on a path

on this path we can’t continue on a path

on this path we can’t continue on a path whereby we are going to continue to

whereby we are going to continue to

whereby we are going to continue to threaten our well-being as a society as

threaten our well-being as a society as

threaten our well-being as a society as a society so I’m gonna make the case

a society so I’m gonna make the case

a society so I’m gonna make the case that when we start thinking about risk

that when we start thinking about risk

that when we start thinking about risk governance we all can contribute to the

governance we all can contribute to the

governance we all can contribute to the governance of complex global risks we

governance of complex global risks we

governance of complex global risks we all can play a role in this because we

all can play a role in this because we

all can play a role in this because we all have something to contribute my

all have something to contribute my

all have something to contribute my contributions are small they’re in one

contributions are small they’re in one

contributions are small they’re in one area of environmental science where I’m

area of environmental science where I’m

area of environmental science where I’m trying to address questions of

trying to address questions of

trying to address questions of uncertainty in some specific things

uncertainty in some specific things

uncertainty in some specific things related to mercury

related to mercury

related to mercury but I’ve come to realize that what I’m

but I’ve come to realize that what I’m

but I’ve come to realize that what I’m doing is contributing to a management or

doing is contributing to a management or

doing is contributing to a management or governance of a set of complex systemic

governance of a set of complex systemic

governance of a set of complex systemic risks that face communities and my

risks that face communities and my

risks that face communities and my motivation is trying to understand that

motivation is trying to understand that

motivation is trying to understand that on behalf of communities that don’t have

on behalf of communities that don’t have

on behalf of communities that don’t have the needs to necessarily undertake

we can all equitably contribute and

we can all equitably contribute and include legitimate voices in this

include legitimate voices in this

include legitimate voices in this conversation right those legitimate

conversation right those legitimate

conversation right those legitimate voices include us they include people

voices include us they include people

voices include us they include people who are living in other countries that

who are living in other countries that

who are living in other countries that we’re pollution is is rising but it’s

we’re pollution is is rising but it’s

we’re pollution is is rising but it’s also voices and legitimate concerns

also voices and legitimate concerns

also voices and legitimate concerns raised by communities that are impacted

raised by communities that are impacted

raised by communities that are impacted by these processes I who have had

by these processes I who have had

by these processes I who have had nothing to do with

nothing to do with

nothing to do with [Music]

I think we can also all work together

I think we can also all work together especially in Canada to build trust and

especially in Canada to build trust and

especially in Canada to build trust and consensus amongst all of the

consensus amongst all of the

consensus amongst all of the stakeholders and all of the people who

stakeholders and all of the people who

stakeholders and all of the people who are contributing their voices to this as

are contributing their voices to this as

are contributing their voices to this as part of that trust and consensus is in

part of that trust and consensus is in

part of that trust and consensus is in fact accepting and acknowledging so

fact accepting and acknowledging so

fact accepting and acknowledging so here’s me I’m in the environment this is

here’s me I’m in the environment this is

here’s me I’m in the environment this is what I do this is my little part myself

what I do this is my little part myself

what I do this is my little part myself my students my colleagues go out and do

my students my colleagues go out and do

my students my colleagues go out and do our best to inform what’s happening in

our best to inform what’s happening in

our best to inform what’s happening in the environment through our science so I

the environment through our science so I

the environment through our science so I ask you to consider where you are we all

ask you to consider where you are we all

ask you to consider where you are we all have a role to play in understanding

have a role to play in understanding

have a role to play in understanding these problems we don’t have to solve

these problems we don’t have to solve

these problems we don’t have to solve them individually we don’t have to be in

them individually we don’t have to be in

them individually we don’t have to be in charge of this whole process but we can

charge of this whole process but we can

charge of this whole process but we can all be a player in understanding these

all be a player in understanding these

all be a player in understanding these risks and that may simply be by having

risks and that may simply be by having

risks and that may simply be by having an open mind and an open heart to the

an open mind and an open heart to the

an open mind and an open heart to the legitimate voices that contribute to

legitimate voices that contribute to

legitimate voices that contribute to this so why not New Age thank you

you

you [Applause]

”

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