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Complexity, citizen engagement in a Post-Social Media time | David Snowden | TEDxUniversityofNicosia


for all of our history as a species

for all of our history as a species we’ve contrasted two types of system

we’ve contrasted two types of system

we’ve contrasted two types of system ordered systems and chaotic systems and

ordered systems and chaotic systems and

ordered systems and chaotic systems and other systems have huge value for

other systems have huge value for

other systems have huge value for Humanity it gives us legal structure at

Humanity it gives us legal structure at

Humanity it gives us legal structure at the present level in operating theaters

the present level in operating theaters

the present level in operating theaters it means we can rely on the fact that

it means we can rely on the fact that

it means we can rely on the fact that they’ll count out the surgical

they’ll count out the surgical

they’ll count out the surgical instruments as they counted them in and

instruments as they counted them in and

instruments as they counted them in and you won’t have to be operated on for a

you won’t have to be operated on for a

you won’t have to be operated on for a second time as I get older I find that

second time as I get older I find that

second time as I get older I find that sort of process of increasing importance

sort of process of increasing importance

sort of process of increasing importance order is hugely valuable to human beings

order is hugely valuable to human beings

order is hugely valuable to human beings on a negative side a fear of chaos has

on a negative side a fear of chaos has

on a negative side a fear of chaos has been used to impose order unnecessarily

been used to impose order unnecessarily

been used to impose order unnecessarily and destroy creative creativity and to

and destroy creative creativity and to

and destroy creative creativity and to destroy freedom the reality is over the

destroy freedom the reality is over the

destroy freedom the reality is over the last 40 or 50 years we’ve taken an

last 40 or 50 years we’ve taken an

last 40 or 50 years we’ve taken an engineering focus on society and

engineering focus on society and

engineering focus on society and engineering metaphor

engineering metaphor

engineering metaphor and we’ve actually compounded order with

and we’ve actually compounded order with

and we’ve actually compounded order with excessive outcome based measurement if

excessive outcome based measurement if

excessive outcome based measurement if you actually look at the whole history

you actually look at the whole history

you actually look at the whole history of last 40 or 50 years everything has to

of last 40 or 50 years everything has to

of last 40 or 50 years everything has to have a target everything has to have a

have a target everything has to have a

have a target everything has to have a defined outcome and it has to be a

defined outcome and it has to be a

defined outcome and it has to be a number yeah whether it’s kpi’s number of

number yeah whether it’s kpi’s number of

number yeah whether it’s kpi’s number of published papers or whatever else the

published papers or whatever else the

published papers or whatever else the reality is all of the scientific

reality is all of the scientific

reality is all of the scientific evidence says that when human beings are

evidence says that when human beings are

evidence says that when human beings are pursuing explicit targets

pursuing explicit targets

pursuing explicit targets it destroys intrinsic motivation there

it destroys intrinsic motivation there

it destroys intrinsic motivation there is no evidence to contradict that and

is no evidence to contradict that and

is no evidence to contradict that and where do we most need intrinsic

where do we most need intrinsic

where do we most need intrinsic motivation in health and education and

motivation in health and education and

motivation in health and education and where do we impose the worst targets in

where do we impose the worst targets in

where do we impose the worst targets in health and education so we need to start

health and education so we need to start

health and education so we need to start to think differently about this and we

to think differently about this and we

to think differently about this and we need to move away from a primitive

need to move away from a primitive

need to move away from a primitive dichotomy in which we can trust one

dichotomy in which we can trust one

dichotomy in which we can trust one highly structured system with an

highly structured system with an

highly structured system with an absolutely chaotic system into something

absolutely chaotic system into something

absolutely chaotic system into something more sophisticated now there is actually

more sophisticated now there is actually

more sophisticated now there is actually a third type of system which exists in

a third type of system which exists in

a third type of system which exists in nature it’s a complex adaptive system

nature it’s a complex adaptive system

nature it’s a complex adaptive system it’s a system defined not by its

it’s a system defined not by its

it’s a system defined not by its structure by it by its connectivity in a

structure by it by its connectivity in a

structure by it by its connectivity in a complex system everything is connected

complex system everything is connected

complex system everything is connected with everything else but many of the

with everything else but many of the

with everything else but many of the connections

connections

connections cannot be known we talk about dark

cannot be known we talk about dark

cannot be known we talk about dark constraints a reference to cosmology and

constraints a reference to cosmology and

constraints a reference to cosmology and dark matter we can see the impact of a

dark matter we can see the impact of a

dark matter we can see the impact of a constraint but we don’t know what the

constraint but we don’t know what the

constraint but we don’t know what the constraint is we see there are boundary

constraint is we see there are boundary

constraint is we see there are boundary conditions which aren’t defined we see

conditions which aren’t defined we see

conditions which aren’t defined we see connections making things novel or

connections making things novel or

connections making things novel or different in different ways the Internet

different in different ways the Internet

different in different ways the Internet is an example of a complex system

is an example of a complex system

is an example of a complex system humanity is a complex adaptive system

humanity is a complex adaptive system

humanity is a complex adaptive system now understanding these and

now understanding these and

now understanding these and understanding how we manage them is

understanding how we manage them is

understanding how we manage them is critical and it’s not about control it’s

critical and it’s not about control it’s

critical and it’s not about control it’s about understanding the connections

about understanding the connections

about understanding the connections about change in the linkages the best

about change in the linkages the best

about change in the linkages the best way I’ve ever learned to define the

way I’ve ever learned to define the

way I’ve ever learned to define the difference between the three types of

difference between the three types of

difference between the three types of system ordered systems complex systems

system ordered systems complex systems

system ordered systems complex systems and chaotic systems is to start to think

and chaotic systems is to start to think

and chaotic systems is to start to think about how we would use those approaches

about how we would use those approaches

about how we would use those approaches to manage a day-to-day problem so

to manage a day-to-day problem so

to manage a day-to-day problem so imagine if you can that tomorrow you

imagine if you can that tomorrow you

imagine if you can that tomorrow you have to organize a party for a bunch of

have to organize a party for a bunch of

have to organize a party for a bunch of nine-year-old children everybody can

nine-year-old children everybody can

nine-year-old children everybody can imagine that yeah and you’re making the

imagine that yeah and you’re making the

imagine that yeah and you’re making the mistake of holding it in your own house

mistake of holding it in your own house

mistake of holding it in your own house you learn not to do this as you actually

you learn not to do this as you actually

you learn not to do this as you actually have more than one child all right the

have more than one child all right the

have more than one child all right the advantage of community centers is they

advantage of community centers is they

advantage of community centers is they have fire hoses fire hose is a very

have fire hoses fire hose is a very

have fire hoses fire hose is a very useful for clean up after a party and

useful for clean up after a party and

useful for clean up after a party and they’re occasionally necessary for crowd

they’re occasionally necessary for crowd

they’re occasionally necessary for crowd control draw in the party itself so

control draw in the party itself so

control draw in the party itself so let’s imagine how we would organize a

let’s imagine how we would organize a

let’s imagine how we would organize a party based on what assumption we make

party based on what assumption we make

party based on what assumption we make about the type of system if we assume

about the type of system if we assume

about the type of system if we assume that the system is chaotic then it means

that the system is chaotic then it means

that the system is chaotic then it means the children are acting without

the children are acting without

the children are acting without constraint their behavior is random so

constraint their behavior is random so

constraint their behavior is random so they’re probably discovered drugs and

they’re probably discovered drugs and

they’re probably discovered drugs and alcohol and go on a personal experience

alcohol and go on a personal experience

alcohol and go on a personal experience of self-discovery your house may burn

of self-discovery your house may burn

of self-discovery your house may burn down in the process but it was socially

down in the process but it was socially

down in the process but it was socially constructed in the first place so why

constructed in the first place so why

constructed in the first place so why are you worried about it I have a friend

are you worried about it I have a friend

are you worried about it I have a friend in California who did try this once

in California who did try this once

in California who did try this once yeah he’s never going to do it again the

yeah he’s never going to do it again the

yeah he’s never going to do it again the recovery cost was too high the order

recovery cost was too high the order

recovery cost was too high the order systems approach on the other hand is

systems approach on the other hand is

systems approach on the other hand is taught in all good management schools

taught in all good management schools

taught in all good management schools and all good business consultancy

and all good business consultancy

and all good business consultancy outfits under this it’s of critical

outfits under this it’s of critical

outfits under this it’s of critical importance to agree learning objectives

importance to agree learning objectives

importance to agree learning objectives to the party in advance of the party

to the party in advance of the party

to the party in advance of the party itself the learning objectives should be

itself the learning objectives should be

itself the learning objectives should be aligned with the

aligned with the

aligned with the statement for education in the society

statement for education in the society

statement for education in the society to which should be long and should be

to which should be long and should be

to which should be long and should be clearly articulated and printed off on

clearly articulated and printed off on

clearly articulated and printed off on motivational posters with pictures of

motivational posters with pictures of

motivational posters with pictures of eagles soaring over valleys and water

eagles soaring over valleys and water

eagles soaring over valleys and water dropping into ponds and placed around

dropping into ponds and placed around

dropping into ponds and placed around the walls of the room where you’re going

the walls of the room where you’re going

the walls of the room where you’re going to hold the party as the children come

to hold the party as the children come

to hold the party as the children come into the party they should be given

into the party they should be given

into the party they should be given Disney playing cards with the party

Disney playing cards with the party

Disney playing cards with the party value statement clearly printed on the

value statement clearly printed on the

value statement clearly printed on the back you will of course have produced a

back you will of course have produced a

back you will of course have produced a project plan for the party the project

project plan for the party the project

project plan for the party the project plan will have clear milestones

plan will have clear milestones

plan will have clear milestones throughout the party against which you

throughout the party against which you

throughout the party against which you can measure progress against the ideal

can measure progress against the ideal

can measure progress against the ideal party outcome and the senior adult will

party outcome and the senior adult will

party outcome and the senior adult will start the party with a motivational DVD

start the party with a motivational DVD

start the party with a motivational DVD don’t want the children wasting time in

don’t want the children wasting time in

don’t want the children wasting time in play which isn’t aligned with the

play which isn’t aligned with the

play which isn’t aligned with the learning objectives and then they’ll use

learning objectives and then they’ll use

learning objectives and then they’ll use PowerPoint to demonstrate their personal

PowerPoint to demonstrate their personal

PowerPoint to demonstrate their personal commitment to the party objectives and

commitment to the party objectives and

commitment to the party objectives and show their children how their allowances

show their children how their allowances

show their children how their allowances are linked to the achievement of the

are linked to the achievement of the

are linked to the achievement of the milestone targets following the highly

milestone targets following the highly

milestone targets following the highly successful completion of the party you

successful completion of the party you

successful completion of the party you conduct after-action review they teach

conduct after-action review they teach

conduct after-action review they teach your best practice database on party

your best practice database on party

your best practice database on party management a mandate future process

management a mandate future process

management a mandate future process improvement if at this stage for any

improvement if at this stage for any

improvement if at this stage for any remote reason the children aren’t happy

remote reason the children aren’t happy

remote reason the children aren’t happy you hire one of the new happiness

you hire one of the new happiness

you hire one of the new happiness consultants who will train them to be

consultants who will train them to be

consultants who will train them to be really very very happy and God help them

really very very happy and God help them

really very very happy and God help them if they’re not the next time they come

if they’re not the next time they come

if they’re not the next time they come to a party the complex systems approach

to a party the complex systems approach

to a party the complex systems approach on the other hand is much simpler we

on the other hand is much simpler we

on the other hand is much simpler we start off by drawing a line in the Sun

start off by drawing a line in the Sun

start off by drawing a line in the Sun known as a boundary constraint in

known as a boundary constraint in

known as a boundary constraint in complexity theory and we look the

complexity theory and we look the

complexity theory and we look the children squarely in the eye and say

children squarely in the eye and say

children squarely in the eye and say cross that and you die

cross that and you die

cross that and you die and one of the things you learn pretty

and one of the things you learn pretty

and one of the things you learn pretty fast as an adult is the value of

fast as an adult is the value of

fast as an adult is the value of flexible negotiable boundaries because

flexible negotiable boundaries because

flexible negotiable boundaries because rigid boundaries have a habit of

rigid boundaries have a habit of

rigid boundaries have a habit of breaking catastrophically when you least

breaking catastrophically when you least

breaking catastrophically when you least expect them we then introduced catalytic

expect them we then introduced catalytic

expect them we then introduced catalytic probes a football a barbecue or computer

probes a football a barbecue or computer

probes a football a barbecue or computer game any type of thing which will

game any type of thing which will

game any type of thing which will actually trigger a pattern of play which

actually trigger a pattern of play which

actually trigger a pattern of play which is called an attractor if it’s

is called an attractor if it’s

is called an attractor if it’s beneficial we give it more resources if

beneficial we give it more resources if

beneficial we give it more resources if it’s not beneficial well that’s where we

it’s not beneficial well that’s where we

it’s not beneficial well that’s where we deploy the fire hoses what we manage is

deploy the fire hoses what we manage is

deploy the fire hoses what we manage is the emergence of beneficial coherence

the emergence of beneficial coherence

the emergence of beneficial coherence within attractors within boundaries and

within attractors within boundaries and

within attractors within boundaries and we manage the only three things that you

we manage the only three things that you

we manage the only three things that you can manage in a complex adaptive system

can manage in a complex adaptive system

can manage in a complex adaptive system the boundary conditions the probes and

the boundary conditions the probes and

the boundary conditions the probes and the amplification strategy management

the amplification strategy management

the amplification strategy management and governance is much simpler when you

and governance is much simpler when you

and governance is much simpler when you understand the nature of the system and

understand the nature of the system and

understand the nature of the system and you stop trying to take an ecosystem as

you stop trying to take an ecosystem as

you stop trying to take an ecosystem as if it was an engineering problem when

if it was an engineering problem when

if it was an engineering problem when it’s an ecological problem so the work

it’s an ecological problem so the work

it’s an ecological problem so the work I’ve been doing with my research group

I’ve been doing with my research group

I’ve been doing with my research group and elsewhere is to find new methods or

and elsewhere is to find new methods or

and elsewhere is to find new methods or new ways to deal with us but you have to

new ways to deal with us but you have to

new ways to deal with us but you have to understand what’s going on you can only

understand what’s going on you can only

understand what’s going on you can only understand a complex system by

understand a complex system by

understand a complex system by understanding the small particular parts

understanding the small particular parts

understanding the small particular parts of day-to-day interaction for humans

of day-to-day interaction for humans

of day-to-day interaction for humans those are the anecdotal data of the

those are the anecdotal data of the

those are the anecdotal data of the school gate the street story there BR

school gate the street story there BR

school gate the street story there BR after work they’re not the grand

after work they’re not the grand

after work they’re not the grand narratives of workshops it’s the

narratives of workshops it’s the

narratives of workshops it’s the day-to-day anecdotes of people’s

day-to-day anecdotes of people’s

day-to-day anecdotes of people’s existence and we need to understand them

existence and we need to understand them

existence and we need to understand them through the voice of the people who tell

through the voice of the people who tell

through the voice of the people who tell them not through an AI machine

them not through an AI machine

them not through an AI machine interpreting the text or an expert

interpreting the text or an expert

interpreting the text or an expert making them fit their cultural

making them fit their cultural

making them fit their cultural expectations people’s own voice has to

expectations people’s own voice has to

expectations people’s own voice has to be subject to their own interpretation

be subject to their own interpretation

be subject to their own interpretation and then we need to allow those in power

and then we need to allow those in power

and then we need to allow those in power at any level society that have direct

at any level society that have direct

at any level society that have direct access to the raw stories of the people

access to the raw stories of the people

access to the raw stories of the people they govern without multiple levels of

they govern without multiple levels of

they govern without multiple levels of interpretation which allow them to hide

interpretation which allow them to hide

interpretation which allow them to hide from reality behind the guise of policy

from reality behind the guise of policy

from reality behind the guise of policy reports and everything else so that’s

reports and everything else so that’s

reports and everything else so that’s kind of like the work we’re doing in

kind of like the work we’re doing in

kind of like the work we’re doing in order to do that we have to engage

order to do that we have to engage

order to do that we have to engage people and people have had enough of

people and people have had enough of

people and people have had enough of surveys they’ve had enough of focus

surveys they’ve had enough of focus

surveys they’ve had enough of focus groups focus groups are biased by the

groups focus groups are biased by the

groups focus groups are biased by the facility

facility

facility within 15 minutes opinion polls aren’t

within 15 minutes opinion polls aren’t

within 15 minutes opinion polls aren’t trusted anymore we’ve never ever lived

trusted anymore we’ve never ever lived

trusted anymore we’ve never ever lived by the way in a poll in a print of

by the way in a poll in a print of

by the way in a poll in a print of fact-based society it’s just we used to

fact-based society it’s just we used to

fact-based society it’s just we used to trust experts and now we’re trying

trust experts and now we’re trying

trust experts and now we’re trying demagogues for a change the reality is

demagogues for a change the reality is

demagogues for a change the reality is we actually hand over a lot of our

we actually hand over a lot of our

we actually hand over a lot of our cognitive processes to structures it’s

cognitive processes to structures it’s

cognitive processes to structures it’s not based on ourselves as individuals so

not based on ourselves as individuals so

not based on ourselves as individuals so in order to do that we have to engage

in order to do that we have to engage

in order to do that we have to engage people so for example in South Wales we

people so for example in South Wales we

people so for example in South Wales we found that girls rugby clubs and the

found that girls rugby clubs and the

found that girls rugby clubs and the main agent of change in some of the

main agent of change in some of the

main agent of change in some of the rural community in some of the

rural community in some of the

rural community in some of the industrial communities so we give them

industrial communities so we give them

industrial communities so we give them tools by which they can capture their

tools by which they can capture their

tools by which they can capture their experiences and the experiences the

experiences and the experiences the

experiences and the experiences the people trying to recruit then they go

people trying to recruit then they go

people trying to recruit then they go into old people’s homes to actually help

into old people’s homes to actually help

into old people’s homes to actually help those people become more healthy because

those people become more healthy because

those people become more healthy because they become engaged we’re actually

they become engaged we’re actually

they become engaged we’re actually working now through schools because

working now through schools because

working now through schools because teachers need to teach P kids about

teachers need to teach P kids about

teachers need to teach P kids about community engagement about statistics so

community engagement about statistics so

community engagement about statistics so we give them tools so that every month

we give them tools so that every month

we give them tools so that every month their children can go into their

their children can go into their

their children can go into their communities and gather stories from

communities and gather stories from

communities and gather stories from those communities so they become

those communities so they become

those communities so they become ethnographers to their own condition

ethnographers to their own condition

ethnographers to their own condition rather than relying on outside experts

rather than relying on outside experts

rather than relying on outside experts this is a huge program which we’re

this is a huge program which we’re

this is a huge program which we’re starting off through small countries and

starting off through small countries and

starting off through small countries and city states Wales is a small country and

city states Wales is a small country and

city states Wales is a small country and the goal is to allow people to be

the goal is to allow people to be

the goal is to allow people to be ethnographers to their own condition to

ethnographers to their own condition to

ethnographers to their own condition to report their own stories but within a

report their own stories but within a

report their own stories but within a quantitative framework not a quality to

quantitative framework not a quality to

quantitative framework not a quality to framework over the last 30 or 40 years

framework over the last 30 or 40 years

framework over the last 30 or 40 years I’ve seen many attempts at digital

I’ve seen many attempts at digital

I’ve seen many attempts at digital storytelling at gathering people’s

storytelling at gathering people’s

storytelling at gathering people’s stories but nobody thinks about how to

stories but nobody thinks about how to

stories but nobody thinks about how to scale it and nobody allows people the

scale it and nobody allows people the

scale it and nobody allows people the power to tell you what their story means

power to tell you what their story means

power to tell you what their story means because that’s something done by the

because that’s something done by the

because that’s something done by the people who gather them so that kind of

people who gather them so that kind of

people who gather them so that kind of like leads us on to using people as

like leads us on to using people as

like leads us on to using people as ethnographers to their own condition

ethnographers to their own condition

ethnographers to their own condition this is a picture from work in Africa

this is a picture from work in Africa

this is a picture from work in Africa where we got young girls trying to

where we got young girls trying to

where we got young girls trying to understand the abuse that they and their

understand the abuse that they and their

understand the abuse that they and their colleagues have suffered but making them

colleagues have suffered but making them

colleagues have suffered but making them the ethnographers not external experts

the ethnographers not external experts

the ethnographers not external experts now in order to get there they say we

now in order to get there they say we

now in order to get there they say we have to empower people and power comes

have to empower people and power comes

have to empower people and power comes from the power to interpret your

from the power to interpret your

from the power to interpret your narrative not from the power to actually

narrative not from the power to actually

narrative not from the power to actually hand your narrative over to somebody

hand your narrative over to somebody

hand your narrative over to somebody else there in order to do that we have

else there in order to do that we have

else there in order to do that we have to

to

to find a way to scale it so there are

find a way to scale it so there are

find a way to scale it so there are several key elements on this one is we

several key elements on this one is we

several key elements on this one is we need to work with abstraction if you

need to work with abstraction if you

need to work with abstraction if you don’t know it art comes before language

don’t know it art comes before language

don’t know it art comes before language in human evolution the ability to

in human evolution the ability to

in human evolution the ability to abstract allows for scientific invention

abstract allows for scientific invention

abstract allows for scientific invention in fact the over emphasis on STEM

in fact the over emphasis on STEM

in fact the over emphasis on STEM education at the moment around the world

education at the moment around the world

education at the moment around the world will destroy scientific creativity

will destroy scientific creativity

will destroy scientific creativity because without art there is no

because without art there is no

because without art there is no invention that’s basic scientific fact

invention that’s basic scientific fact

invention that’s basic scientific fact so if we move up a level of abstraction

so if we move up a level of abstraction

so if we move up a level of abstraction we avoid gaming we need to increase

we avoid gaming we need to increase

we avoid gaming we need to increase cognitive load because we need to use

cognitive load because we need to use

cognitive load because we need to use the popular language to have people

the popular language to have people

the popular language to have people thinking slow not thinking fast we need

thinking slow not thinking fast we need

thinking slow not thinking fast we need reflection not the immediate response

reflection not the immediate response

reflection not the immediate response you get on questionnaires so this is an

you get on questionnaires so this is an

you get on questionnaires so this is an example from work we’ve been doing in

example from work we’ve been doing in

example from work we’ve been doing in Northern Ireland another small country

Northern Ireland another small country

Northern Ireland another small country in which we’ve been empowering patients

in which we’ve been empowering patients

in which we’ve been empowering patients to keep the stories of their own journey

to keep the stories of their own journey

to keep the stories of their own journey through the health system and then self

through the health system and then self

through the health system and then self interpret those stories so they become a

interpret those stories so they become a

interpret those stories so they become a subject in their journey for health not

subject in their journey for health not

subject in their journey for health not an object it doesn’t challenge the role

an object it doesn’t challenge the role

an object it doesn’t challenge the role of the health professional but it makes

of the health professional but it makes

of the health professional but it makes them a partner in the journey not the

them a partner in the journey not the

them a partner in the journey not the dominant partner but a co partner and

dominant partner but a co partner and

dominant partner but a co partner and here as you can see by place and telling

here as you can see by place and telling

here as you can see by place and telling a story and balancing it between three

a story and balancing it between three

a story and balancing it between three try on a triad between three qualities

try on a triad between three qualities

try on a triad between three qualities you don’t know what the right answer is

you don’t know what the right answer is

you don’t know what the right answer is you get better data that gives us quant

you get better data that gives us quant

you get better data that gives us quant data at scale typically five to six

data at scale typically five to six

data at scale typically five to six triangles together with other geometric

triangles together with other geometric

triangles together with other geometric shapes it’s more like a game but it’s

shapes it’s more like a game but it’s

shapes it’s more like a game but it’s quant backed up by qual and it means we

quant backed up by qual and it means we

quant backed up by qual and it means we can capture narrative in written form

can capture narrative in written form

can capture narrative in written form oral form or pictorial form we’re not

oral form or pictorial form we’re not

oral form or pictorial form we’re not restricting it to text for data

restricting it to text for data

restricting it to text for data analytics because what you can write

analytics because what you can write

analytics because what you can write down is at best

down is at best

down is at best tempis and to what you know if you focus

tempis and to what you know if you focus

tempis and to what you know if you focus on information you radically reduce

on information you radically reduce

on information you radically reduce human knowledge it’s far more than we

human knowledge it’s far more than we

human knowledge it’s far more than we can write down and then of course we

can write down and then of course we

can write down and then of course we have to find a way to enact what comes

have to find a way to enact what comes

have to find a way to enact what comes out of that we have to find a way to

out of that we have to find a way to

out of that we have to find a way to make real change and then we come on to

make real change and then we come on to

make real change and then we come on to a whole new theory of change so this is

a whole new theory of change so this is

a whole new theory of change so this is an example from a project working on

an example from a project working on

an example from a project working on health and safety very similar patterns

health and safety very similar patterns

health and safety very similar patterns whether it’s in aerospace manufacturing

whether it’s in aerospace manufacturing

whether it’s in aerospace manufacturing or the

or the

or the health sector these are two patterns

health sector these are two patterns

health sector these are two patterns from two groups the vertical dimension

from two groups the vertical dimension

from two groups the vertical dimension here is rule compliance the horizontal

here is rule compliance the horizontal

here is rule compliance the horizontal dimension is job completion and this

dimension is job completion and this

dimension is job completion and this comes from thousands of micro

comes from thousands of micro

comes from thousands of micro observations recorded and interpreted by

observations recorded and interpreted by

observations recorded and interpreted by patients or by health professionals this

patients or by health professionals this

patients or by health professionals this is not based on surveys it’s a

is not based on surveys it’s a

is not based on surveys it’s a continuous mass capture now you can see

continuous mass capture now you can see

continuous mass capture now you can see immediately on the left they’ve got a

immediately on the left they’ve got a

immediately on the left they’ve got a problem you either follow the rules or

problem you either follow the rules or

problem you either follow the rules or you get the job done the two are

you get the job done the two are

you get the job done the two are mutually incompatible States all of the

mutually incompatible States all of the

mutually incompatible States all of the questionnaires all of the focus groups

questionnaires all of the focus groups

questionnaires all of the focus groups all of the interviews say they’re doing

all of the interviews say they’re doing

all of the interviews say they’re doing both because people know that’s the

both because people know that’s the

both because people know that’s the right answer so that’s what they tell

right answer so that’s what they tell

right answer so that’s what they tell you the day-to-day micro observations

you the day-to-day micro observations

you the day-to-day micro observations tell you something completely different

tell you something completely different

tell you something completely different on the right it looks better because

on the right it looks better because

on the right it looks better because you’ve got a pattern at the top in which

you’ve got a pattern at the top in which

you’ve got a pattern at the top in which everybody is actually following the

everybody is actually following the

everybody is actually following the rules and getting the job done but that

rules and getting the job done but that

rules and getting the job done but that tends to work out to be a crisis yeah

tends to work out to be a crisis yeah

tends to work out to be a crisis yeah it’s accident an emergency it’s not a

it’s accident an emergency it’s not a

it’s accident an emergency it’s not a day-to-day operations on a day-to-day

day-to-day operations on a day-to-day

day-to-day operations on a day-to-day basis people have to break the rules to

basis people have to break the rules to

basis people have to break the rules to provide empathetic care to patients but

provide empathetic care to patients but

provide empathetic care to patients but increasingly bottomleft more people are

increasingly bottomleft more people are

increasingly bottomleft more people are just giving up than doing what they need

just giving up than doing what they need

just giving up than doing what they need to do to survive a pattern we’re seeing

to do to survive a pattern we’re seeing

to do to survive a pattern we’re seeing in universities so now how do we change

in universities so now how do we change

in universities so now how do we change that

that

that a traditional change mechanism and this

a traditional change mechanism and this

a traditional change mechanism and this is the engineering culture would define

is the engineering culture would define

is the engineering culture would define a desired future state and try and close

a desired future state and try and close

a desired future state and try and close the gap

the gap

the gap that’s bad complexity science in

that’s bad complexity science in

that’s bad complexity science in complexity what matters is we describe

complexity what matters is we describe

complexity what matters is we describe the present when we make small changes

the present when we make small changes

the present when we make small changes in the present to nudge the system in

in the present to nudge the system in

in the present to nudge the system in the right direction but I don’t mean the

the right direction but I don’t mean the

the right direction but I don’t mean the conventional approach of behavioral

conventional approach of behavioral

conventional approach of behavioral economics and ledger economics because

economics and ledger economics because

economics and ledger economics because to be quite honest that’s more yanking

to be quite honest that’s more yanking

to be quite honest that’s more yanking than it is nudging it decides where

than it is nudging it decides where

than it is nudging it decides where people want to where it wants people to

people want to where it wants people to

people want to where it wants people to be and it tries to tug them towards it

be and it tries to tug them towards it

be and it tries to tug them towards it what we want to work out is where people

what we want to work out is where people

what we want to work out is where people are and see when it’s ready to change so

are and see when it’s ready to change so

are and see when it’s ready to change so in this case I look for what in

in this case I look for what in

in this case I look for what in complexity is called an adjacent

complexity is called an adjacent

complexity is called an adjacent possible a cluster of narratives a

possible a cluster of narratives a

possible a cluster of narratives a cluster of stories near to where I am

cluster of stories near to where I am

cluster of stories near to where I am but going in the right direction and

but going in the right direction and

but going in the right direction and this by the way is called a vector

this by the way is called a vector

this by the way is called a vector measure

measure

measure I don’t measure outcomes

I don’t measure outcomes

I don’t measure outcomes I measure vectors direction and speed of

I measure vectors direction and speed of

I measure vectors direction and speed of travel for intensity of effort and I

travel for intensity of effort and I

travel for intensity of effort and I click on the material and say what can I

click on the material and say what can I

click on the material and say what can I do tomorrow to create more stories like

do tomorrow to create more stories like

do tomorrow to create more stories like these and fewer stories like that that

these and fewer stories like that that

these and fewer stories like that that is an instruction which can be

is an instruction which can be

is an instruction which can be understood by anybody at any educational

understood by anybody at any educational

understood by anybody at any educational level what can I do within the compass

level what can I do within the compass

level what can I do within the compass of my power to create more stories like

of my power to create more stories like

of my power to create more stories like this and fewer stories like that if this

this and fewer stories like that if this

this and fewer stories like that if this is a hospital administrator they asked

is a hospital administrator they asked

is a hospital administrator they asked the questions of themselves they don’t

the questions of themselves they don’t

the questions of themselves they don’t say what can I get my stuff to do

say what can I get my stuff to do

say what can I get my stuff to do because basically as we go underneath

because basically as we go underneath

because basically as we go underneath that every ward every nurse group every

that every ward every nurse group every

that every ward every nurse group every health group at a government level every

health group at a government level every

health group at a government level every district has their own map from the same

district has their own map from the same

district has their own map from the same source data so they can all nudge their

source data so they can all nudge their

source data so they can all nudge their systems in a direction appropriate to

systems in a direction appropriate to

systems in a direction appropriate to their context rather being subject to

their context rather being subject to

their context rather being subject to the tyranny of the average approach the

the tyranny of the average approach the

the tyranny of the average approach the global campaign we need to start doing

global campaign we need to start doing

global campaign we need to start doing small things in the present rather in

small things in the present rather in

small things in the present rather in promising massive things in the future

promising massive things in the future

promising massive things in the future because that just leaves the perpetual

because that just leaves the perpetual

because that just leaves the perpetual disappointment and we can go beyond that

disappointment and we can go beyond that

disappointment and we can go beyond that this is from work on peace and

this is from work on peace and

this is from work on peace and reconciliation where we’ve taken ideas

reconciliation where we’ve taken ideas

reconciliation where we’ve taken ideas as to how we can resolve a conflict and

as to how we can resolve a conflict and

as to how we can resolve a conflict and we presented it to hundreds and

we presented it to hundreds and

we presented it to hundreds and thousands of people for them to

thousands of people for them to

thousands of people for them to interpret it and we’ve drawn a pattern

interpret it and we’ve drawn a pattern

interpret it and we’ve drawn a pattern how different groups in society

how different groups in society

how different groups in society represent or see the same data okay you

represent or see the same data okay you

represent or see the same data okay you see here that the blue and green groups

see here that the blue and green groups

see here that the blue and green groups see the world in such a different way

see the world in such a different way

see the world in such a different way that there’s no point in getting them to

that there’s no point in getting them to

that there’s no point in getting them to sit down and talk but you’ll just

sit down and talk but you’ll just

sit down and talk but you’ll just increase conflict the only thing they’re

increase conflict the only thing they’re

increase conflict the only thing they’re both agreed on is that the red guys are

both agreed on is that the red guys are

both agreed on is that the red guys are really stupid so we actually have to

really stupid so we actually have to

really stupid so we actually have to chain find a way to channel that how can

chain find a way to channel that how can

chain find a way to channel that how can we create more stories like this fewer

we create more stories like this fewer

we create more stories like this fewer stories like that how can we change the

stories like that how can we change the

stories like that how can we change the day to day narratives of the present so

day to day narratives of the present so

day to day narratives of the present so a new future is possible and if you

a new future is possible and if you

a new future is possible and if you don’t change the way that people

don’t change the way that people

don’t change the way that people describe the past and for the present

describe the past and for the present

describe the past and for the present you haven’t got a new future anyway so

you haven’t got a new future anyway so

you haven’t got a new future anyway so that is called fractal engagement where

that is called fractal engagement where

that is called fractal engagement where the new key concepts on citizen

the new key concepts on citizen

the new key concepts on citizen engagement will void and it goes beyond

engagement will void and it goes beyond

engagement will void and it goes beyond that in the South Wales Valleys at the

that in the South Wales Valleys at the

that in the South Wales Valleys at the moment as we gather this data room we’re

moment as we gather this data room we’re

moment as we gather this data room we’re then starting to

then starting to

then starting to people instead of young people coming

people instead of young people coming

people instead of young people coming together and having a great event and be

together and having a great event and be

together and having a great event and be terribly idealistic and then nothing

terribly idealistic and then nothing

terribly idealistic and then nothing happens we’re saying to young people

happens we’re saying to young people

happens we’re saying to young people will train you how to use the software

will train you how to use the software

will train you how to use the software we train you in data analytics but you

we train you in data analytics but you

we train you in data analytics but you have to bring somebody from your

have to bring somebody from your

have to bring somebody from your grandparents generation with you so you

grandparents generation with you so you

grandparents generation with you so you work together as a trans generation

work together as a trans generation

work together as a trans generation player B that G grandparents will tell

player B that G grandparents will tell

player B that G grandparents will tell things to their grandchildren they won’t

things to their grandchildren they won’t

things to their grandchildren they won’t tell to their children and vice versa

tell to their children and vice versa

tell to their children and vice versa and if you start to create interventions

and if you start to create interventions

and if you start to create interventions at your local level which work will make

at your local level which work will make

at your local level which work will make you a trio with somebody from the

you a trio with somebody from the

you a trio with somebody from the government who can make your ideas

government who can make your ideas

government who can make your ideas happen so at a ministerial level what

happen so at a ministerial level what

happen so at a ministerial level what can i as a minister to do to create more

can i as a minister to do to create more

can i as a minister to do to create more like this fewer like that at a council

like this fewer like that at a council

like this fewer like that at a council level what can I do to create more like

level what can I do to create more like

level what can I do to create more like this few like that at a local community

this few like that at a local community

this few like that at a local community center of the Arts Center what can we do

center of the Arts Center what can we do

center of the Arts Center what can we do to create more like this fewer like that

to create more like this fewer like that

to create more like this fewer like that in our community

in our community

in our community multiple mass fractal engagement to

multiple mass fractal engagement to

multiple mass fractal engagement to achieve genuine sustainable change in

achieve genuine sustainable change in

achieve genuine sustainable change in society and based on a scientific

society and based on a scientific

society and based on a scientific approach not an engineering approach

approach not an engineering approach

approach not an engineering approach based on managing a complex ecosystem

based on managing a complex ecosystem

based on managing a complex ecosystem rather than trying to maintain a machine

rather than trying to maintain a machine

rather than trying to maintain a machine and it’s an open program for governments

and it’s an open program for governments

and it’s an open program for governments for countries for engagement worldwide

for countries for engagement worldwide

for countries for engagement worldwide thank you very much for your time

thank you very much for your time

thank you very much for your time [Applause]

”

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