I want to talk about injury process
reflective that I had a while ago when
visiting an educational institution I
I ran into a professor friend of mine whom
I really appreciate that I had not seen for a long time
between the conversation that we had one of my
questions that went is that camps is
happening that this is happening
semester and he tells me that the kind of
statistics and then I love
the statistics
I applied him constantly in my life
daily of professional practice and I tuned
to tell him what’s happening is he’s giving the
statistical class I love the
statistics and to my surprise I
he replies that he does not and not only
he answers that he does not give me reasons
reasons why not but of everything
what he told me there is a phrase that
staff caused me at that time was the
the first time I heard it and it caused me
a shock an impact if you’re saying
that and he tells me americas that for me
the statistics the prostitute the
math I told you that you ‘re me
saying that statistics the
mathematical possibility like that and he told me
his reasons and he told me zhu because the
statistic the prostitute of the
mathematics
I came to the office really up
I shared it that I think I just got
say and there I was in a process that
it lasted a long time trying to
reflection to him because not only
but listened to throughout my
professional exercise critical towards
this science but that is for me the
statistics to do this process
Reflective beyond a concept
academic for example beyond what
that we say so it’s a
exact science yes it is
the statistics is not only
transversal to all disciplines
because it is required for physics the
chemical medicine for the economy
all these sciences require it for
your scientific research process
the companies for their process of making
decisions
but anyway beyond all this for
me we are human beings the
daily test of the application of the
statistics its use and its application
I believe that since
we are born until we die
we think about our lifeline
if from birth to death you go
making decisions from your
learning from your daily process
learning what observed since
you are a child and you start to carry all the
mouth to try to experiment and
try things until they reach age
mature your whole making process
decisions from these
observations that you are taking in your or of
individual way some occasion of
I had the opportunity to make a
research with country people
it surprised me I do not know if
you have had the opportunity
talk country people
I was surprised to see how without a
or watch them without any device
tell the weather
they could tell you very accurately
interesting the time or even with seeing the
sky and true is free you know that the
next week it’s going to rain or it’s going to fall
a frost and we have to protect
our crops or our planting
etc
how can they say that maybe the
country people have not be some gift
special that we do not have the city people
but that has nothing to do with your process
diary and observations since they are born and
that are there in this process that the
helps predict fairly accurately
situations like weather or weather and
that we accept a device is
checking how to spend the crime day of
today not what will happen to certain
hours
I made this process and it is this issue that
I was shocked because he told me
that and I want to reflect on some
of the things he said to me not for
example a situation that I was wondering
erika is that you want to measure everything with
statistics want to measure everything
objective and the subjective and the subject is not
the goal because the goal the best
it does not generate doubts for example some data
which can quantify as age
if I take data like age the weight
etcetera are topics that you can measure and
can make measurements
statistics about it but what
subjective for example love like me
says you can measure a subjective subject
like love and tell me when is the
love is something that maybe you can
feel that there is more much more
personalists
the maximum level of love when for
another person love is something in another
level is not something very subjective like what
You can measure and I said yes
of course yes to a reason to see me a
little exaggerated I said yes to me
it is possible to measure all the objective and
subjective as long as the
key as long as you use a
appropriate measure as long as you
scal your process and subjects
going to submit to that process be
aware of the scale they are
using what are you using and what
I will give an example to those with
you in the auditorium there is a
theme that is very fashionable not the subject of
the subjective well-being in the
happiness that we are so happy and
there is a very simple question and I
I want you to think about that
ask how happy are you in
this moment if I asked him with
his life in general he is happy with
its merger with your life in general
think about your family and your work in
everything that is happy today
and they will answer me on a scale
precisely what I want is to scale their
answer and this scale is very simple
from 1 to 10
if I try to get all of you to tell me
on a scale of 1 to 10 that is
happy that if you told me one
it implies that they are totally unhappy
there is no happiness in your life if you
says in a 10 implies that they are in their
maximum happiness are totally
happy and I ask you to think clearly
They will not be able to say and stood at
number of these on a scale of 1 to
10
I am convinced that everyone could
be located in this parameter that
I’m giving on a scale of 1 to 10
and if I had taken that information from
a proper way and if I had done
processes I could get statistics
about happiness that generally feels
each one of the assistants who are
here he could have taken out frequencies
could it be more could have taken
averages because my scale
despite being a subjective data as in
happiness try to measure it
number and then I can take the
average the happiness of this room and yes
for me it is possible to measure everything always and
when you use
appropriate scale as long as the
scale is understandable to all
subjects and then something that is so
subjective you can measure it you can
climb another question that I
I said it was okay, everything you want
measure but how representative is
how can you tell me you ‘re going interviews
a thousand Juarenses and 6 thousand Juarez
they say they are happy and you generate
difference on all Juarenses a
million of 40 is one million 400 thousand
juarenses when we give smith interviews
it’s representative is what you’re
saying is valid as you can affirm
that and I will answer
Of course, yes, of course, yes yes alone and
as long as it shows that I’m
taking be enough and be
representative and well I know I had a
professor of statistics that when we
I taught
I do not know what this topic represented
with a soup and said boys you
you do not have to take a whole pot of
soup commented there is not that for to be able
describe what you know with soup
scoop that they taste of it can
say that you know the soup
I like it more than with a bow for
represent it with a cake and cake
that you see there has three
different colors not like for
distinguish this I do not need to eat from
all the cake to describe is
the cake is more the process of
observation is a scientific process and
I could just observe and
I could write it but I could not speak
of its flavor consistency because it does not
I’ve tried it if I want to go beyond
You will have to try it but also eye
If I have this cake, only the
red part
if I would have to say that only
I’m describing representing the
red part
if I took the white part I would have
what to do in my research
clarifications that I’m just
representing the white part
if I want to talk about the full cake
I would have to take a sample
sufficient and representative of all its
segments
yes then yes definitely not
place to interview a million 400
thousand juarenses to be able to take
statistics inferences from them with
a representative and sufficient sample
I can talk about them ok the subject
central prostitution of the
statistic was not this was the frauds
and this one is a subject that I want
you reflect with me the frauds
is clear that he did not talk about fraud
scientists and spas
we are about the year that enters from
live elections and how many times
we hear say a political party
who pays a survey and says I’m the
who will win and in the same period
another political party also for
another survey said I’m the one that’s going to
win then the statistic is the
max to the best position where you earn pay
yes or vice versa that they pay to then I
I wanted myself in this thoughtful process to go
beyond not only speak if a
research agency or if a
entrepreneur because sometimes you see this
way for profit manipulates the
statistics for your good we go to the
scientific frauds to the academy
let’s think about the science that uses
because statistics is a science
bush that a whole reflection on
scientific fraud the amount of
academic frauds that I found in that
tremendous image displayed some
example nothing to visualize a
doctor a doctor who says that finally
achieved the cloning of an embryo
Human is published in the magazine
scientific
later this way they gave him a
Novel implied tremendous advances in the
medicine advances that could be carried
problems like the jaime like the
parkinson to solve this kind of
problems when later on
discovered a fraud that he himself
They supported him away to prison the
subject of manipulated data concealed
information is used procedures
inadequate that he himself admits that
made another case a doctor who says he has
could implant skin of a mouse
white or black on a mouse to wine
this involved white too
very important because there was no
rejection and thought about the application
in the use in the human being
then the same published in magazines
refereed and other scientific and
then with only the attendees the
bar the mice realized that
it was not true that the piece was
rotting of the rat and the only thing
did was to paint them to hide their
this scientific fraud or not or the case
for example of these two physicists
these two physicists announce to the world that
have been able to create cold fusion is
this involved the generation of
cheap energy energy that
would solve many problems to the world
and again when you review your
document when others try to
find out what nobody could replicate their
experiment they realize that it was a
falsehood
another statistical fraud and could
talk about many statistical scams
yes but more than going to talk about all the
let’s think about our institutions
educational
let’s think how many researchers in this
country that are in charge of
investigations of institutions
educational assign their students that
there is nothing wrong with it was that it assigns a
student to help you in a process of
investigation because the way that
they learn but they never train us
it reviews hama ceccacci are applying
a valid statistical method and
we are simply going to give an example
applies if in surveys I give them and the
student does it at his trial and his
benefit
and then that information arrives
academics the processes analyze and do
academic papers that go in magazines
scientific
if all that is also a frappé that
it’s an academic fraud then to this
Lord for example with only 12
cases two students not students 12
2 in children with autism makes a
correlation and says the triple vaccine
viral generates this autism and then in
many countries like England leave the
dads of wanting to vaccinate their children to
from an observation of 12 cases
which is not representative
statistically it is not enough
statistically then I go back to
insist
all this reflection made me carry
that all these cases had something in
the common scientific research
statistics I was wearing
I was saying it was wrong that your
hypothesis could not be proven that
they had to refuse their investigation
but they did not want to accept it and then
they all manipulated data hidden
observations invented information
in order to have an academic prestige
scientific even many times
monetary yes and I want to go back to
ask what back then
they said
the statistic is the prostitute the
mathematics and statistics sounded the
prostitute mathematics
my answer even if they do not believe it I carry
thinking about a movie I remembered
the film forrest gump I do not know
how many saw it love that movie
and suddenly I remembered a scene in
where they ask you if you’re stupid
and he replies that his mother always
says how stupid is he who
crap
that was my answer to that question not
for me the statistics is not the
prostitute of mathematics because
prostitute or prostitute is who
prostitute and that depends on the subject and not
of the object
that depends on the scientist the
academic the company the professional
that for your interest manipulate data neither
generates false information knowing
who is manipulating the information
hiding observations in order to have
self-interest or academic interest is not the
statistics because statistics and
use it as it is an exact science and
tells you what you did not want to hear
or what I did not want to accept then I
I want to conclude only with a theme
key to me this is about ethics
this is about that since we are
children in each of the schools in
those that we were up to our stage
of professional or masters doctorates
we have to talk about professional ethics
with children with professionals
futures and the teachers that we have the
virtue of being in front of a group not
we just have to talk about it
we have to live the students have
to see that we ourselves work
with ethics because it’s not only com
the works but with facts that you can
show that things can be done from
a correct way
thank you very much
”
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