I would like you to imagine now that
you too in the year 78 and are
effective ibm in that year the company
largest computer or dominates the
market and suddenly an alarm sounds
they say that there is a company that is 23
a thousand times more girl and that in about 20
his position threatened
you desperate ask for a picture of
what company is and sends you in this
Photo
you would worry they recognize you to
bill gates chiquito today at microsoft is
five times bigger than ibm in value
of market really is also five
times bigger and bigger than ibm google
except that the founders of google in
that time they were five years old if not
we get pictures
those of us who dedicate ourselves to a piece of art we see
only one thing to stay still is to go
back not risk is the worst
what can happen to us
the comfort zone is not comfortable me
I’m going to use a metaphor that I like
a lot
when you work in technology you
he has to sit like that Sanchez has
to feel like Tarzan moving in
the jungle so the old ones remember
movies he moved in the jungle
jumping from liana in liana we
we go from another technology and we’re going
jumping like tarzan in the jungle
we are evolving and we move with
speed up to where it gives us
the length of the vine or the capacity
of technology problem number one
quote sanz wants to grab the next
flat and leaves the previous guide
he was hung in the jungle
I what happens to us when we stay
living between two technologies and not
we abandoned the previous
problem number 2 we grabbed the way
wrong is not well subject to
tree and we end this with a good
bump and with our pride
totally hurt
everything is this trip starts in the
60s with the
before large computers
computers cost tens of thousands
hundreds of thousands of dollars
the typical computer that era had
eight kb capacity
today any of you have
in your pocket your cell phone something that is
more than a million times more powerful
that computers evolution is the
microprocessor is the ability to put
many transients on a single chip of
silicon this microprocessor the
revolution in the world for the thousand year
974 the first computer appears
l’alter 8,000 all computers
evolved from that to occur
an idea the name alter derived from a
chapter of travel to the stars that
demonstrates the seriousness of the
hacker at that time
this chip starts to evolve and for the
80’s decade
exploits the microprocessor starts to
master all stages of the world
because it cheapens computing and starts
of the decade the hardware but while
there is the decade the hardware is
they start to specialize computers
in some thing appears the software of
text processing and died the
typewriter appears in the
electronic calculation sheets yy
the companies become true
centers of this one of finance appears the
qom software of assisted design and
change the architecture
then a trait of
computing what differentiates the
computers is the software then
we jump to the next decade that
we can call the decade the software
the first who realizes the
importance of the software is bill gates and
that makes him the richest man
of the world
basically he knew that already one a
handful of programmers could not
program all computers around
the world but had to do
canned programs that solve the
problems of many people in the nineties
‘despite the appearance of other phenomena,
computers are no longer isolated and
be personal they start to get together in
computer networks
first appears in the local area network
what is called
local adrian edwards after the networks
metropolitan and then it ends
leading to a phenomenon that is the
www1 there went and the next era begins
the first decade of this century is the
internet internet decade starts to
cheapen communications and start to
develop a lot of new
business and new openings with the
evolution of the internet begins to grow
more the world the connectivity and they appear
the two stars of this decade
first we develop fiber optics
the optical fiber is a small miracle
of electronics that allows you to carry
a lot of information very far a cost
very low
the smarphone allow us to have in
our pocket a machine that we
connects connectivity of course and
yandel w and fai with all the information
that we stayed at the moment we want
and from where we want we can
say that this decade the decade
the optical fiber and the smartphone
smartphones connect in two ways
a cheap one that is the use to wefaq when
They reach anywhere
when someone from a barbecue is two things
who asks first
The first is what is the key to
uruguay file the second thing to eat
this afternoon
the important thing is to know how to change eliana
time to realize which of the
technologies is dominating in every
moment is a bit chaotic apparently
but as all things must follow a
set of rules and laws
what are the laws that govern the
digital world we study
physics teaches us Newton’s laws
about the laws of newton we build
the whole building of mechanics
then a cleric appeared calling
where he started studying the
beans and the studies of the
we ride the world of genetics
appeared a man called kepler
in europe and on the laws that he
defined we built the out of the
astrophysics and the race was developed
spatial and the physical world it
developed about in concrete laws
what will be the laws that govern
the digital world that grows
accelerated
the first law the best known is called
moore’s law threw one of the
founders of intel and said simply
one thing the amount of transistors that
was going to be on a computer chip
they are going to double every year when
launched the law thousand 965 and transistors
that went into a chip were 64 maximum
in the year 2000 35 years later there was
55 million transistors on a chip
pentium 4 appears another law of a seal
that sam the caf
the invention the ethernet and he said that the
value of a network was going to be proportional
to the number of network users at
square
then another law appears in the 90s
they told him the law of andy bill
it started like a joke like a joke
the computer lectures said
that everything that made andy grove that
it was the ceo of intel and long a chip every
more powerful every two years the
double capacity
a man called Bill appears
gates that the ceo of microsoft designed
a software that sucked all the
power of the new chip did things that
before they could not do it software and
made the chips obsolete
automatically
here is the succession of the chips that
he launched Andy and the things he did
able to consume the power of the
chip and we work 5 synchronized
2000 a man called gilera appears on
announcement of a new law
he says that the bandwidth that goes to
have in the world is going to double every
four months and that was proven because in
the year 2002 circulated in a couple of
fiber optics more information than
circulated in all over the internet in 1997
four years before transfer vi
transfer a gigabit of information
between the angels and Boston in the year
70 cost a million and a half
dollars in the year 2000 cost 12
cents and the leader had a
interesting thought postulates that the
in all the heras they are based on there
something
it is abundant there is a key abundance and
there is a key shortage in the era
pre-industrial the abundant the land does not
is it was horsepower
for when the revolution appears
industrial
begins to lower the cost of the horse
of force the horsepower is
make them increasingly cheaper and in the
half the industrial revolution
the cost of one horsepower already
I was at 7 cents
then we start producing things
using mechanical force for example
an industrial loom and we were all the
work of the people who used
manual looms women like
have more clothes in your closet
then that is the natural consequence
the same thing happened with telephony the
old phones used copper wires
that they could carry four kilos hearst
bandwidth
Current cell phones can download
capacities of 15 or 20 mega easily
It depends on how much soy cell
competing for the same cell test
that gilbert’s enthusiasm made
many people invest in
fiber infrastructure and 2000e award
happens in the internet explosion what
that calls the dot with boom and most
of the companies that had invested
they lose everything they had bet
then hitler is forgotten what was
the problem guiler the problem and wilder
was that an infrastructure was launched
without there being enough capacity
of consumption is like the law of andy but
without bill the problem that is
infrastructure just became
necessary between seven and eight years
after when two things appear
youtube and netflix that are the ones
they begin to transmit video by the
high speed networks
then they are again scarce in a
fifth law is my responsibility is a law
later on it has not been recognized
around the world
she tells him that the cows do not follow the
moore’s law or that means no
they give twice as much meat every two years or
as in half of
this is the empirical explanation of my
law is a cow end up on a laptop in
the year 2000 a cow in Argentina
It cost $ 200 and a laptop
it cost 2000 the year 2010
I had a cow and it cost a thousand dollars and the
laptop had dropped to 500 dollars
year 2002 I needed 2010 cows to
take me a laptop
today with a cow I have two
laptop the terms of exchange cow
laptop changed 20 times in less than
ten years
all these laws serve to explain
what happened in the past but they serve to
extrapolate the future
what things we see in the future what things
this law does not say if even the law of melk
up
if a network is very important connecting
In people, your limit is going to be
world population but if now
we started to connect more things
the coffee maker of the people the car of the
people the oven of the people
all the belongings of the people
we are going to have an infinitely more network
rich that does not say the law of moore the law
de moore tells us that they will appear
increasingly powerful computers that
they will be able to do things that they did not
did the others
nowadays a computer can
identify them face a computer
can read our fingerprints and
positively identify one
computer can follow the look of
our eyes and accept commands the
computers increase their capacity
then what the other law says and read
we apply it to the video is now
we produce more videos at lower cost
it will not lead to what is called
the microsegmentation to each one go
to send a video to sell something
what one needs to buy when not
need to buy
Imagine when you went to the movies in
the seventies we went to the newspaper
we look for the movies that are in
premiere and there were 15 16 to which one
I could visit what’s left of his
house and it will take you all afternoon
delivered I went to the cinema I took out the tickets
I went back to the cinema
today we grab netflix and the
amount of movie offer that we
da is so overwhelming that sometimes
let’s join without seeing any to the corollary of
this thing about Horacio’s law is whether the
little things are the things that
they really have value that and more scarce
for humans that our health
and our life we are going to apply all the
digital knowledge in lengthen
our life
Shirov leite has been a century
contradictory
we have invented some things that have
lengthened life the sewers
initially x- rays penicillin
Diagnostic technologies by
images
the organ furnace transplant the
DNA mapping but we also invent
one thing to shorten life and metamos
sedentary lifestyle we invented obesity
smoking
we improve this the amount with which
we can take we organize the previous ones
the teenagers so that this one starts
to live less we invent food
Scrap
we increase environmental pollution
there were more accidents because of the speed and
we also introduce the drugs
dangerous
despite that we are making a living
lengthened 24 percent since the year
60 this work the average life of being
human in the year 60 were about 66 years
of life
the average age today is 82 in the world
civilized 78 in peripheral areas
like ours but we are already 55
percent difference in 60 in
latin america the average life of 53
years since we are doing
a catch up then we have seen that
We have crossed a digital jungle
these last 50 years
it’s a trip with advances and setbacks
but that in the long run has given us a lot
satisfaction and I to say goodbye I’m going to
end with an analogy they say that
every morning in Africa it
raise a gazelle
that day the gazelle knows that it has to
run faster than the lion more
fast because if you do not eat it but
a lion and the lion also get up
He knows that morning that he
have to run faster than
slower gazelle because otherwise it does not eat
The moral is that it does not matter that you
be in gaza and the solutions
wake up and start running after
war
[Music]
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