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Anthropocène : coup d’envoi ou coup de grâce ? | Nicolas Kramar | TEDxMartigny


we calm down right away

maybe not that bad

true that I will probably do

to blow the driver is cold but

first of all javené anyway

planned to tell you that to start

there is no environmental crisis

that’s okay this information

is quite serious she is

based on scientific information

very important published the year

last in a very street

prestigious in this case the street

salient is not all read

way it’s too small an information

which was also presented to

the occasion of an international colloquium

very important geology indeed

it’s good georgia that takes place

every four years and this

information had a very big impact

in the scientific community but

also in the international press

and can see here also reviews

prestigious as economists the

world

spiegel and this is this info what is this

what did it tell us what is it about

deeply these scientists we

say that during this year it is

an international group of 35 people

have studied the overall state of the

planet and its recent evolution and

have come to the conclusion that we

were out of the state that prevailed

on our land since the end of

last creations ago 10 2010 10

thousand years forgiveness and that allowed

our homo sapiens species of pro specie

to prosper and develop

so far we have spoken we have

talked about a time we have a

criterion that has been named

the Holocene but what these

scientists is that we were

come out of this state that we had

brought the earth into a new state that

walked to call now

anthropocene and this is precisely for

this reason that the word crisis does

not fit because the word crisis

finally we have to keep this word crisis

to describe a system that has the

chances to return to its original state

this is precisely the conclusion

what did these scientists do he was

unthinkable to imagine that the earth

can go back to the previous state

which prevailed since Ghana

glaciation and that we had brought

the state of the earth in this new state

who do we call this time

this

possible then of course now I

cold breath

there is no environmental crisis

but there are obviously

environmental issues

pressing

there is a whole constellation

environmental issues there are

had the star who dominates

absolutely every other

problematic and that’s obviously

climate change

it’s on the constant agenda of

media also then to the agent

talent of many policies

it is certainly important but they do

although still interested in

other issues that have

accounts and that allow to develop

and to bring the elect and ideas

very very surprising and I would love

present you a

it is the theme of biodiversity

this biodiversity is indeed its

study its evolution shows that it is

as currently we can compare it

at very important phases of

the history of the earth a judge at the log

so obviously I have this approach and

in particular to what are called

massive extinctions

indeed our planet since at least

600 million years has known five

phases of massive extinctions

so what is an extinction

massive I’m going to show you this I’m going

you show it in the form of a

graphic i’m sorry i have a

basic scientific training but

it’s a very simple graph without

numbers with on the one hand an axis that you

presents biodiversity another axis

the time and when we study a

extinction remains an evolution of

the evolution of biodiversity and the

development of massive extinction

At first, it can be seen that

curve is relatively flat ya a

form of balance between appearances and

disappearances of living species then

under the effect of an igloo stress

global ecological we’ll see this

biodiversity dropped very sharply

to reach a minimum point then

then in all cases back up so the

life always takes back his rights then

here it’s a general case and in the

general case we consider and speak

massive abuses

as for the minimum 75% of species

alive disappear from the earth in

a time less than 2 million

of years and the general case and that has

been demonstrated for each of these

five massive extinction experts

it was closely related to

less to volcanism

that’s the classic situation of a

of these five massive extinctions but

finally they all happened

a little bit differently and I you

propose to interest you in a

particular who is very famous

because she did not see and that was the

fifth of the last she saw the

disappearance of the famous dinosaurs

it was 65 million years ago

so I left the race

previous and is 65 million years ago

what happened in a first

time we first had a vocalist

extremely important which indeed has

decreases very strongly

the university and then

later

icing on the cake or drop of water

stick drop of water that overflows the

vase

we had the fall of a meteorite and

there you saw that the system is

still goes much faster it’s up to

say we first see the slope

it is certainly wrinkle but still with the

meteorite the slope of the curve so

the speed of the fall of the

biodiversity with even faster

that’s what happened at the end

dinosaurs

if that’s the situation that led to the

end of the two hours and then finally

comparing this situation I reported

in gray the agreement of the family in gold

with what we are in the process of

live

for now we have not lived the

sixth extinction fortunately

living species but we are

in a primed situation that presents

two features we see here this is

the curve in red we see that this

curve is steeper than the curve of a

classical volcanic system are

massive

in other words currently the species

alive disappear more quickly

that disappeared from the hunger of

dinosaurs the other observation

interesting this is the shame of

this form it is quite

similar to the curve that knows the

fall in biodiversity due to a lack of

meteorite fall so there some

it’s okay to compare them

so from these observations of this link

introduce yourself we can remember three

things first now the species

alive disappear at least as

quickly that the vanish as much

dinosaurs the dinosaurs and that I

take advantage to tell you have not disappeared

all a big planetary barbecue

lit by a meteorite in a

very short time

it still took time to do

disappear we would have when we

consider this duration and that they

back to speeds we know

now the current phenomenon is at

less as fast as he read

one and the other the second

important consequence is that the

five great extinctions we have known

that the earth has known so far

have always had a geological origin

volcano and where meteorite and more here

for the first time on a time

very short the cause is original

biological it’s us homo sapiens and

hence the anthropocene name that was

chosen for this geological period

companies meaning a third

result

imagine that we were coming to

massive extinction which is all to

does some calculations predict it

in a few thousand years what

is just a split second to

the geological time scale on

speaks over two million years

a quest thousands of years ago imagine

that it happens that’s what I

reproduce between were here

necessarily have no fear the

life with a big v anyway is going

make it out

a hot shot she will get out the

city ​​but what is at stake

fundamentally from the Anthropocene

it’s not the survival of life with had

capital is good the survival of us

and well our humanity indeed

could naturally since I come

to develop the question of

biodiversity and that the climate that is

also a very serious question

be tempted to want to associate these

two themes and finally say themselves

to that of the university is due to the

fall to climate change

well no actually the climate up

present is very very little

responsible for the fall of biodiversity

obviously that if the climate came to

degrade very strongly

it will have an even greater impact this

chu biodiversity but for now

it’s not him who explains the

situation

so suddenly you see we have a

problem to learn these questions

mental hardships because I you

presents the question of diversity

who came and finally we do not stop

before a global vision of what is

happening on earth for

learn the question in a way

general climatic issues he

have to go through something else and

same scientists have not worked

on this issue of the stage warehouse

that I quote at the beginning well we

proposed a kind of dashboard

global presentation presenting nine themes

environmental issues that should be

to monitor in priority it’s not

exhaustive but in any case it’s nine

there it would be necessary to supervise

it’s obviously about change

climate of new entities

chemical in this case

imagine for example for a subject that

now is known by the general public

it’s the question of disrupters

endocrine

these suspicions that interferes with the

hormonal system

it is also the ozone layer

aerosols the particles into

suspension of a poster

ocean acidification cycle

nitrogen and phosphorus two substances

chemicals abundantly used in a

just in farming from

the use of 12 of the use of the

territory and finally of course the

biodiversity and for each of these

environmental themes

it was first defined a limit

a limit below kehl the system

should not be too much in any case the

environmental theme itself

will not be too perturbed but

beyond this limit this is the

second circle here in bold

concentric one more outside

there is no longer a limit it is a

threshold beyond this threshold the system

becomes completely uncontrollable and

we do not know at all what can be

produce and he can set himself up

dynamites of negative feedbacks

to terrestrial systems

so I leave you a few seconds

consider celis 9000 planetary and

it’s to imagine which are the most

which we laugh for which

would have exceeded the limits or even the

thresholds quickly the days gives the

reply

three possibilities first there are some

limits for which calculations

it was end of intervention which are

presented here for which the

calculations not that they did not pay

for the moment to the state of

research

we just know it’s thematic

are serious that need to be monitored

the new chemical entities are

sometimes presented as bombs to

delay

the effect on hormonal systems are

terrible for 40 years we lost near

40% male fertility for

this reason but it was not

calculated let’s consider what they have

been calculated two of its limits for

two to three deaths from these

themes

we are still in the green that means

we still have not exceeded the limit

ozone layer have these two extremes

project a process pretty much

regulated ocean acidification

so here we are still from that of the

limit but in fact it is growing

we could very well

relatively quickly exceed it

fresh water still not too bad when

well even we know that in some

places in the world this is a

very very serious problem

now there are physical limits

are yellow

these are limits that have been

exceeded values ​​that were

obviously outdated change

climate and by itself this scheme

sums up the climate issue

current we have exceeded the limit

planetary in terms of change

climate change but we did not go

the threshold means that it is urgent

at the international level to take the

necessary arrangements for us

especially not beyond this threshold

we have effects of changes

but it’s still a

situation manageable the same thing if this

is the use of the territory and

it is quite

the news of our country since a

decision was taken recently on

this issue at the level of the swiss

it’s an extremely parameter

important to know that this is the

main parameter that explains the

fall of the diversity bay so the

of the territory of use of the

territory is a parameter

extremely important and then of

limits we broke down we are we

exceeded the thresholds obviously the

biodiversity

I will not go back to that but the

nitrogen and phosphorus abbreviations with two

things

Nitrogen phosphorus break test

of agriculture all our system

Global agriculture is based on these

resources there or phosphorus does

if only the phosphorus is a

resource that comes from production

mining is therefore a limited resource

and we should in a fortnight

of years reach the peak of production

so that means that afterwards we

will go into phases of scarcity

of form potentially

shortage of food production

but even more so it’s people

are very calm and more so nitrogen

and phosphorus participate in a form of

asphyxiation of asphyxiated seas and

oceans and since we are we have

far exceeded the threshold a lot

scientists are worried about the

situation because we could see

first seas of the inland seas of

Mediterranean type impoverish very

strongly oxygen and so see any

the life that contains it strongly

diminished it obviously has some

disastrous consequences in terms of

food chain biodiversity

but obviously in the short term also in

economic terms since you

imagine that are resources

very important for the economies

that’s for a bezat vision see that 7

7 7 this dashboard is a kind

dashboard allows us to have

this global vision are now

it’s all very nice but basically

it gives us numbers that we

show evolutions but that does not

tells us nothing about the substance are the

reasons that are at stake behind this

problematic

so we could obviously say to ourselves eh

well all that is the population at the 20th

century the popularity always

currently the population is experiencing a

extraordinary growth and this is the

because of the problem

that’s for sure it’s a parameter

important but it is not enough

to understand where we are

currently the world’s population is

certainly a very important parameter

but it’s mostly a parameter

aggravating and to fully understand this

once you have to get out of what I’m doing

I presented out of the field of essences

natural 60 mental rhône and

his physique to go into another

field of knowledge which one the essence

human and social

you know is to know that they are

often live because they have

simple solutions in a complex world

because these sounds are very important and

what they tell us they

do not tell us what’s at stake on

this environmental theme

fundamentally

representations we have of our

environment and our way of

design this environment these

questions there they are characterized

are they are key to understanding

the Anthropocene and one could say

a lot of things you can assume

summarize these representations that we

let’s wear in our way of seeing

the environment through a model

very simple and very effective

the one of seeing the world

according to a very very simple scheme so

in sharing things be of

nature be of culture without any

possible and and possibilities

uncompromising intermediary

things are either of each other

so by nature we mean all that

is determined it’s the world

outside of us that derives from the laws of

physical laws intangible and besides

it is on this idea that science

modern seventeenth century and that’s where and what

without basically looking for the

science sought to find ie

this must temporarily interrupt

the other side there culture is a

freedom in this world conceived freedom

as an absence of constraints for

humanity and its manna leeches

essential still teaches us that

this very strong idea that conditions

our way of seeing the world is

appeared very precisely during the

rebirth in the west she was little

gradually developed in the West

to then export to the world

whole so we’ve arrived now

in a situation it’s not the only one

way to consider our relationship

and it’s the one that started

dominate others

and in a way we can say

that a good part of humanity lives

as if it was outside the

world apart without government if I

can take one to a mine a

comparison with the automobile is

as if we had a foot on the abuse of

the clutch pedal and conceded

disconnect you top so how

how now can we go more

far is because this way of

seeing the world is a bit like

glasses

it’s a bit like glasses has

for a few centuries to see the

world but now the anthropocene

pushes us to observe the limits of

this model to see the world of another

way and I’ll take two examples on

knows very well

two examples the first by a

question

imagine for a moment that there

have a single surface of the soup the

land on which human activity

did not show up and in my opinion

it’s not possible

imagine for a moment the oceans the

oceans cover roughly more than

70% of the planet’s surface

we know that in the oceans floats

a lot of plastic

we know it’s a problem in

speak of the seventh continent

these systems that turns on the oceans

of plastic but the others did not believe

not that it is that these plastics are not

than on the surface

in this network the big part of

his passes he also falls to the bottom

water so we also find ourselves

with ocean bottoms

by and large the 70% the planet that is

covered with plastic debris

so how do you imagine and apply this

separation nature and culture but a

another example I would like to take here

drawn from an object I find remarkable

of museums beyond the nature of Valais

to sion

what is this greenhouse trophy we could

a priori imagine that this is a

work of art that would have its place in a

modern Art Museum

the problem is that this object in

done comes from a deer who died by

exhaustion with sticks in his

sails of the back boats dancing

see and that was discovered by his

life of the purchase so we do not have a

work the purely cultural appropriation

but on the other hand it is not no

more the classic greenhouse trophy

presented in sometimes in a I

two natural meaning since precisely he has

said pic and greenhouse in the tooth in the

so head on for sure it’s on these tracks

as for somewhere we have here an object

what is symbolic of our healthy skin

is a hybrid object that is neither

really nature nor really culture so

you see that this way

companies have very strongly

limits of this way of conceiving

our relationship to the environment

so to conclude I would like to

I would like to conclude this sentence is

still blow a little bit of

things on this assembly I believe in it

very strongly finish this phase

very strong gardois who says the

probable and disintegration

I will not continue to follow a

year enough says however on the other hand

the improbable is possible the

metamorphosis that is to say consider

respect morin the skite exhausted

currently in our way of seeing

the world somehow this is our

story that is exhausted we need

change the model you have to change this

way of seeing the world and it’s a

true cultural issue but on the other hand

it does not mean that power

Creative creative human and l agoa

my breath absolutely not contrary

because we are in a situation

crisis we see emerge more and

more solutions all over the world

and are for the moment marginal but

which necessarily because we

we know who will ably and Culture

is not transformed by religions

but by lamps metamorphoses the if

all these initiatives that are in the process of

to be born

currently almost everywhere in the

world will probably be and for as much

that we succeed our adaptation

anthropocene will make the ferments that

was held in the new report

world we have to invent

so it’s clear that it’s that this

creative power she has to go through

technology development

environmental environment that’s it

a necessary condition but it does not

will not be enough to rely on the

technical to succeed necessarily

we must also accept the idea

that our culture and our and its

way of conceiving the world can

also evolved then bend in flight

stop the Anthropocene it’s

especially strong signal of the necessary

metamorphosis to succeed our for

continue the adventure

[Applause]

”

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