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Demografischer Wandel verändert alles! | Eike Wenzel | TEDxHeidelberg


[Applause]

Why

thanks for the nice ones

now

for the first time in German version mega

Trends demography is one of the

main megatrends in the next

years megatrends we work

actually everything we do everytime

People can say to us we have to

start talking about megatrends

and megatrends in the most important

change accelerator into the

next 30 to 50 years everywhere

so important are our lives of

get up over the way to work up

to our investments, in fact

will affect and demographics

demographics changed in the next

years everything and demography is one

the central megatrends of the most important

Next year, let’s take a look

that’s 15 megatrends and demographics

is actually there in the middle

Of course, there are so many

There is a lot of communication between these

single megatrends but I would like

Today demographics talk about it

a lot of things in the next few years

will do and if we find out

want to give it over what actually

a new change happens there

is demographically very much in the center

What we will experience in the next few years

not only in Western Europe

not only in North America but also in Asia

everywhere we live is that

we from this three-phase biography

Logic that our grandparents lived

to have

which we in the sixth in the 60s

lived in the 70s still in

the 80s that we got out of this

three-phase biography logic all

sooner or earlier or later out

The going was going to be that we

childhood and youth have experienced there

not yet aware of lifestyles

but then speak between 23 18 and 60

we all actually have at least in

the western world in these acquisitions

Family lived means we had

a job

that means we are in a family

lived there at that time was in Germany came

someday other divorce

legislations there was more divorce

we have

usually a training done

have worked in a profession and it

There were relatively few unemployed in the country

70s and 80s so we

actually in this phase in

twentieth century relatively stable

could live biographies and that

actually marketing relatively

wanted standardized respond

what could be 80 percent of the people in

this phase between 18 and 60

actually wanted and wanted

we were over 60 then it was like that

said we are slowly leaving ours

memorize or postpone the acquisition phase

after that, we still have 10 15 healthy ones

but then we have to have

actually make it clear that we have that

our life is finally and

prepare us, as it were, for that

everything will go a bit slower and we will

go out of this three-phase logic and

We remember that for several years

beautiful

it is not all actually

consciously , but go out of this

Three-phase logic out and go in the

into a new world, so to speak

very strongly with demographic change too

do the production phase at german

women in their mid-70s so that

average age among women middle of

1970s at firstborn lay between

24 and 25 years today

average age of the German vw

firstborn who knows who valued was 36

would be a disaster

even worse than in japan because if you

even older than the Japanese 9:30 and we

or on the way that it turns 29

but that it is demographic change

that actually means that we have a lot

will be given to children later and we

make the reasons of certain

out so we go from this

three-phase biography logic there is am

at the beginning everything is pretty much the same

Let’s go six weeks and logic

suddenly a lot more happens and we

notice that we are different phases

experience and this first phase you

see is this phase of the post

adolescence means people between

20 and 30 years rob between 20 and 30 years

30

I do not think so

may experience because always when I’m so with

boards and so on

company speech is it so that then

always one on show or 2

we have democratic change and

one looks with 30 in the boards

or in the management positions of a

showing an excited red head

you ask me questions

So I do not do that today

when we notice demographics and

Demographic change is aging

so the society starts

actually not just at the end

we have to pay attention to it but before

front and post adolescence means in the

at the moment, 40% of us

people between 20 and 29 or 30 so

the majority here in the courtroom versa

at least once again to the parent house

back can also say that is

boomerang kids who can back again

If I’m that I’m from the late 80s

studied if I had done that

would me before how the defeat

come so the boy did study

and then somehow he sees the economy

is not so good that one has not so

I worked properly with the relationship

go back and go

so to speak with my parents

a relatively strategic alliance

that I somehow open it again

would have been a catastrophe for me

Today it is normal today

actually not only in the usa

but we notice in all modern ones

Countries everywhere where modern

States are also created in

argentina the price everywhere

have looked everywhere it is

actually so that people later

go out of the parents’ house and

at least once more actually

go back there and we have to

So we have to go to it

assume demographic change

causes people today

between 20 and 30 are completely different

needs have as the people the

20 or 30 years ago or 40 years ago

between 20 and 30 were

and that’s exactly how it is in the rush hour

life’s rushhour of life is called

So we had what these people did

between 20 and 30 above all things

Actually, they are actually trying

permanent

postponing adult life

Growing up as a moratorium I have

for still time we live in the multi

Option companies I can do that

Wait a bit longer then 30

We suddenly realize, but now it has to be

let’s go we are 30 and we want that

most money make a great job

have good dad his brother lover

good boss to do the most amazing projects

even now, it actually has to

flaps and men have that in the

also have the twentieth century

that can always do so then have

until 60 so their self-realization

but it can be done today

so that women too in this phase

want to experience family happiness most

want to earn money great projects

want to do self-realization and

and so on

and that leads us to that

all so between 30 and 55 so close to

The edges of the nervous breakdown are because

just a lot of things suddenly

has to happen and should work

and we have a relative for that

limited time are available

only 25 years and that’s why we run in

this phase so hectic around and the

people who are between 30 and 55 today

need completely different products

have completely different wishes than that

People who were 30 years ago in this

age was

and when she comes back soon

to assemble your employees or

have new customers in front of you

that’s the demographic change

means we all get older at all

continents of this world feel us

but younger trend researchers call

the down- aging there is only survey in

Germany

which has revealed that the German if

they are asked average

for 10 to 15 years younger than

they are actually

[Music]

that is quite a while ago someone came

after I told that to it

I would like to say thank you very much

I’m great and I have mine right now

called woman and told her she

we do not even celebrate on the weekend

fiftieth birthday but mine

fortieth I feel so supposedly

so young and so I ‘m so

completely different needs than that

earlier was the case

and then he went a step further

and go in the time between 55

and 80 and there we find that it

a completely new life phase to us

presented by demographic convertible

but we do not know that

right how we should handle it

between 55 and 80 starts, so to speak

again led a new life and

we do not know at all

or we did not learn as we did

want to deal with it as we do with it

to handle

and we need help again

orientation and who today as products

Manufacturer as manufacturer of

services is sent

that these people are between 55 and 80

highly interesting because they are

part bridge so beautiful says so

h relatively large amount of time and involving

if you are not with the problems

have to deal of altersarmut

Ten to 15 in Germany need that

they really have that part

rizvanovic and can actually her

enjoy life

These are actually the new premium

Consumers and so we go in too

a new world in the next few years

where we live different jobs

have the job phase the wishes

which I as a post adolescent or

Emerging he was considered a boomerang kit

the wishes that I have there are

completely not according to the

But then ten years later I have

In fact, it is important that we completely

strong in different phases of life

to live in the next few years and

we will not only be in

different phases of work

but we will be ours too

Family life accordingly in the

organize differently next years

Actually it’s the same as it is here

We also see more and more notice

that actual age and felt

older people are always falling apart

the old the very old consume her

old in the reason even more so the say

I turned 70 but for myself

like 58 has nothing to do with dementia

it’s simply because they actually do that

Feeling they are also healthier

and still have some healthy years in

the next years

themselves

from this we have from the committee for the

lifestyle matrix can be developed

they are still looking at us

many different lifestyles

identify types from this one

Logical but important is that one

think again

between 20 and 30 and they can

Demographic change not easy

It will break between 20 and 30 too

in the next ten to 20 years

in fact, be that these people

just just later from the parent house

go out we do not just have that

for us or usa looked at us

but also for other countries malta

is the beautiful island i would too

do not like to go down

if I did not have 94 percent

the people between 18 and 24 go

in fact, they still actually stay

or are still at home in Italy 87

percent are still alive at the

Parents mum cooks well and there

Italian one thinks very much

Long married and when he goes out

in Germany it is exactly the same 77

percent austria 76 switzerland 75 that is

that too means demographic change

not only walls when it comes to

demographic change as a mega trend

goes after the old look but

actually look ahead there as well

because very much in the

next year happens and we notice

they too always come back then

not only boys then crawl like that

but it is also on women

return

2007 18 5 million demel r nils in the

usa were still in the parent house 2012 21.6

partly with the economic crisis of 2007

But 2008 is not

The real reason is the reason

demographic change and we can

that does not change we have in

modern states our children we

have made it so clear that

we’re grown up between 20 and 30

may postpone

and if so, what can we do

here too

You can tell my lectures if I am

tell that to my older one

People sitting together then often fall like that

Stones from the heart because of the people

But then not only my skin

back home but it is too

others like that as well

case is near and that is that

develop mega trend you can

not so easy break unmarried

stay much more common among the

Parents , of course, we are also alive

in a world of multiple threats

that too leads to that one rather then

it is actually a bit defensive

there are also eastern Germany

even more 54 percent of the parents

Life

with a shower but the decline is

clearly very important here as well

In the next few years we will too

see that more and more people are in

multigenerational house will last as well

These merching will be considered at the beginning

they look more and more in the

multigenerational house keep foot again

and organize themselves there

First, we will do more

generations have families because the

old or the older sure younger

actually feel as they are and

they just ask themselves what they are in the old age

my sense of expectation in the next

years and they will be there too

insist that I care about my children

Take care of them in the rush hour of life

are and have little time for me

but also to take care of my grandchildren

who have very strong needs and

the parents but often not the time and

That’s why there are always offers

more often from tourism operators oper

child grandchild grandchildren holiday and we will

See also this artwork is not only

but related to europe

North America We will see that we are in

the next years more and more

Families experience themselves in the

organize multigenerational house organize

want to be the real reason for this

Of course we all know

we do not know what we are at the pension

we do not know if our

health system in the next 20

years and even that holds

is a reason to say then pull

I’m referring to my family on mine

back home and try so

Have a good time in the next few years

so the merchinger did and the

really old then will actually be in

Families are forging a stronger life together

and there we have to go

focus

we have also the

family ministry in germany

presented

they always have the new one years ago

Man the new man with diaper

volontariat and so on and so forth

proclaimed that’s all pretty

but we actually said that

rather care about this

new family forms in the next

actually become important

For many people, family means today

So today family wants where i am

Unquestioned to the fridge, so to speak

can go and that’s a relative too

pragmatic it understanding of for

but it leads us to be and we

become these new family forms

This is a trend that needs updating

we are actually in the

we’ll adjust what we do next year

have attempted to declare a new man

It was a bit like that, too

pathetic so the family minister

said the new man is there I have

seen him and you can recognize and

So the sociologist has the men

then always so the question

replied you want more time with

his children spend years so

if they interview me and I know

exactly what interview answered politically

correct and yes I want to spend more time with

has to spend my children ulrich

Beck the sociologist said to the

German men are verbal

open-minded at the same time

behavioral stingers like to talk

like to talk about change

But you really want this one

demographic change I give them

just introduced

that’s very, very typical

example of how to border

exceeds the limits in the

the next years will blur the

people today beyond the 55 are the

they can not if we are the same

Products reach as they did before

have made twenty years because the

have experienced demographic change and

have completely different needs and

these families we talk about

also have completely different needs

that’s what family life will be like

Twenty-first century colorful

irritating boundaries are postponed

we will see that also the soccer

moms who work half-time for their children

then your children go to the sport there

someday have car manufacturers

aha said they do not buy at all

more so ours because yes because of this

life model not really

more interested in how to experience something like that

turmeric banana more and more people say

Mobility has mobility for us

do not characterize this status like that

Once upon a time that was not just saying

meanwhile, young people are also saying that

older ones, too, we become very strong

new lifestyles in the next few years

experience and also these women between

55 and 80 for the first time at least in

the western world in fact

own income own education

stands with both legs on the ground

and we found that statistical

Federal Office explains us

divorce rates among women

people beyond 55 are in the last

years have increased significantly

Why is that because that is because the

Women, so to speak, go their own way

these women in demographic change

think very carefully whether they are the

next 25 healthy years with the

types back in the jogging suit on the

spend a couch or if you want to

want to do something different so this

more flexible and they actually want it

the next years until the 80’s

but these women actively designed that

you see, too, are very interesting

become bigger and bigger as a target group

but they are from advertising me

understood so in the next few years

Please also after these women beyond

The 55 are looking at the number of late

divorced now I habs to mention

is increasing and these are ours

big joy

We started with those too

Research therefore have looked

correspondents in the usa place the order

given who looks the most

Money in the USA for surfboards

also outdated classic youth sports

Cult marketing makes you there and immediately

one always thinks as a marketing human and

we have found the most money

for surfboards in the usa do not give

which give the cray victims but it

the men are over 40 because they are

But they feel like 30 too

you see a lot of fun here with the hammer

there are people beyond that

I do not care when I’m sixty days old

officially retire

i still feel so young i feel

I still want to get fit. I want something

do something completely different

look at the numbers of the berlin

marathons on finisher men beyond

the sixty the numbers are always going

further up this is demographic

change and demographic change r

attacks because a megatrend is the whole

world takes on all ages and

That’s why we have to come along too

democratic change in the next

years of intensive employment for us

that’s easy and that’s it

I also give them my message

I do not want to give stage is not

on the classic age groups about it

there are no clues where more

people are currently staying in

which phases of your life you spend

Life-time marketing will be the future

if i have divorced berger i have

from one day to the next, completely different

needs of human life stages

understand and not so directly and and

just look at the age

That’s the trend in the next one

years in the field

Marketing becomes important and will be in

the next years but also completely

strong our world and not just ours

actually change the consumer world

Many Thanks

[Applause]

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