[applause]
[music]
[music]
good morning good morning
day dear colleagues
thank you, thank you
thank you so much
organizers for
invitation thanks
to all those who are gloomy
in the Siberian morning came
before this palace
culture
I’m not going to
shut up today
train futurists it
this I do in Moscow
it’s very bad
the profession pokes behind
belt of futurists
today we will be
you talk about
other things though how
recent futurists
we will talk about
future
what is interesting and
the question of how
our
familiar to us
social life and
as
new
technology today
man and technology
it’s like two
parallel
evolving
species
interrelated
in
the symbiotic relationship
but nevertheless
independent of
friend and key
phenomenon that
is interested in
sociologists of this
process is called
phenomenon
delegation
remember another 15 years
back you understand
surely somewhere 10-15
phones by heart
today we remember
one of his
and here not always in
general opened again
15 years ago and
choosing both
get to the house by
the third
transport ring
or stand in a traffic jam on
I took Tver
decision is not for him
a responsibility
today this decision
for me accepts
navigator
responsibility
for some reason still
not judging by such
image and we
delegate all that
can u be delegated
begins cognitive
functions like memory
or imagination and
finishing
mechanisms for
decisions sometimes
everyday by
way to go and
sometimes meaningful
sell or not
sell shares and in
case with the military
very
important shoot or
and shoot the actual
What means
delegate to
sociologist
delegate means
trust the phone
bought yesterday I
trust more than
a neighbor on the staircase
a cell with which
lived half a lifetime
at the door and certainly
much more than
his deputy
here in this sense
delegation and
trust very closely
connected to each other
we recently
colleagues actually
a few months
back finished this
a study project
those on optimism
for the study of trust
because who to whom and how
trusts sociologists
traditionally
learn networks of trust
this example is
how they
branched
broad in
academic campus in
Novosibirsk
attention spoiler
inhabitants
network campus
trust is much more
broader
dense did not want
offend a resident
Novosibirsk
yet when
we turned on this time
in the study
techno issue
optimism that we
number wanted to understand
how many people trust
techniques
how ready we are
delegate and
trust others
us gadget sometimes
fundamentally important
for us things
one of the results
research
was in principle
quite expected
russia country techno
optimists have faith in us
in the scientific and technical
progress has replaced
faith religious and
we have about 15 20
percent of those on
optimism is higher than
countries in Europe a
second result
which seemed to me
unexpected in
the fact that Russian
techno optimists
are so severe they
like those vegetarians
who do not eat meat
not because they love
animals but because
hate plants
in fact for
introduction of a judge robot
advocates such
the number of people not
because they believe in
technique but because
look at our
courts for unmanned
transport pleases those
who does not trust people
in general, see how
they introduce the same
system history
health and
demand
immediately enter
robot surgeon in this
our
it turned out pretty
a strange situation with
which trust
machinery becomes
back
is proportional to
trust in people in general
trust in human
nature and especially
trust by the institute
such as courts
police
health
education systems
if so goes
then the future
graduate students of mine
current graduate students
will not explore the network
trust between
inhabitants
academic campus and
Novosibirsk a network
trust between residents
in the academy of his town
unmanned
his smart cars
microwave and
apparently no less clever
refrigerator what is it
means what it is
everything actually leads
we are not used to
a strange combination
which
was formed in the 21st century
combination of those on
optimism and
political
pessimism
remember the Utopians
The 17th century they
believed that development
of technologies
beneficent power
couple as the doctor writes
your which jeers
Karl Mars in chapter 13
of capital
free people from
labor service and
people will be able to devote
yourself why
nature prepared
politics and particular
create more
fair
society there was everything
purely there those on
optimism combined with
political
optimism
respectively
dystopia
of the twentieth century
same story about
technologies are created
ever newer
coercive means
which before
humanity did not know
all
purely
technological
pessimism
political
pessimism today
we have a combination
sustainable
technological
optimism and
political
pessimism, we believe
that if rescuers
will come to this earth then
computer
algorithm but
Antichrist will clearly be
human robots
save this world if
its deputies do not
they will destroy this
strange combination
which earlier
sociologists do not
did not see
Today in Russia
is very
actively
return to
second to
delegation
I think many know
sad story there
this is on the right
that’s starting which
lost in the card no
neither in cards in g read
world title
on game in a year up to
recent times
the computer could not it
could not imitate
I successfully play but
that’s all now and
The Last Frontier
game in the year computer
make it the best of us
the girl on the left then I
kyle is her destiny yet
more curious about her
husband died in
he was
sergeant
armed forces united states
sniper and she
decided to help
his colleagues
developing both
developer
software
ensuring the
project to know
about smart trike smart-trike is
cleaning beer for
sniper
that is, you mark
he reads the target
Direction of the wind
remoteness he gives
tips to you
remains only
pull the trigger
actually two years
back to
competitions
organized
the national
rifle
association
then I’m a kyle and a girl with
but poor eyesight
armed smart raifle
won the best
the United States sniper
was armed with his own
loved by a rifle all
in this sense, we
delegated
billing function
key
question and what we are
delegate will take
two axes 1 you this
definition of a situation
alpha goal reading
situation on the board
navigator reads
smart road situation
raifl read
shooting situation
again speed
wind remoteness so
further so on so
then the second
implementation of the solution yes
that’s what
principled
the difference between that
kyle and alpha goal in the
that case with an alpha goal
he counts
situation on the board he
chooses the optimal
move and he does this
he takes the course
solution and implements
its a and in the case of smart
raifl you have to
pull the trigger
himself
we delegated
function of calculation is
what is called
comment on
we are
gave completely
algorithm but function
acceptance and implementation
solutions and we
delegate
always easy
delegate this to
game and when you need to
shoot or not
shoot here
still required
pull the trigger
another different story
then we, too, many
this story is known
ethical dilemmas
unmanned
transport in principle
here is this cognitive
Framing is
determination of the situation
unmanned
car is much
better than you
accordingly there
there is so one
problem if the grandmother
runs out onto the road he
will not have time to notice
even if you did not
managed to notice and he
have time to change
direction of travel
but then he will create
a life threat to the driver
and passengers if
drivers will know
that their unmanned
transport
programmed
In the way that
to save grandmother
which rushes under
they simply do not
will buy this
car
so that in
this situation
developers
brilliant solution
they stultify the algorithm
to the level of a person in
the moment when
my grandmother ran out to
his way abruptly
sit down function
determine the situation
Fleming and
and if you had time to do it
notice change
direction of travel
he will change but if
you did not have time to notice
and they did not change
respectively
direction of travel
he will crush it
sense of
google corr but only
partially
delegated
implementation of the solution
the same way
as an electronic
trader electronic
broker on some
market segments where
more recently, the average
expected life of the stock
on his hands was 4
years today
through the introduction
electronic
trading makes
4 seconds we
delegated
electronic broker
right to buy and
sell shares from
our name for these
four seconds he
can do
status or
lose your
state well, and such
the most painful
the theme is on these two
axes of delegation
of course two drones
people sit in
Nevada is a pilot and
gunner
understand the machine in
Afghanistan in
this combat mission and in
case if the machine
loses touch with
management center in
she should not
hang some
time to circle over
place of communication loss
then return to
base but also found out
recent
I investigate all
I recommend starting at
book of landmine
2015, which
called drones
of course they do not
programmed them
so that they
returned to the base
drones continued
the operation in
offline then
there are several
hundreds of people killed
machines
operating in
offline mode
who determines who
is a terrorist
but the decision-maker
and realizing it
solution therefore
although
theoretically we have
drones
should be here in
in general, they
already little
differ in degree
delegation from
algorithm
game of the goal but this
only two axes and
because there are 3 more
as you know
because the notion of
delegation to
sociology of technology
falls from
political theory
delegate this
means to represent
means transferring
someone has the right
act on your
name of the deputy is
delegate but today
smartphone much better
deputy than deputy
you are much more
believe much
tell more about
he knows about you
the more he acts
on your behalf is better
but there are 3 axes that axis
analogue of the judicial
power if it is
legislation and this
executive then here
with moral decisions
that is, the right to judge
This is what we yet
reverence
delegated
an exception is known
time machine which
issues fines for
then what is the shadow of your
car crossed
double continuous
know this story
here we are
only one thing
axis of the judiciary
given to the machines apparently
until she is very
copes but in
at some point if
those for optimism do not
fall and robot judge in
Novosibirsk by the way
one of Novosibirsk
the three most techno
optimistic
cities of russia he
loses the Tomsk
sorry but moscow
is not included in the
five as well as
Petersburg
so if this
trust level
technology will continue
trust level
Institute
about the nature of
must fall robot
the judge will be introduced
actually what is it
means for
legal theory
first of all the fact that we
in a second
most likely in the year 2050
I hate
futurists on the
Unfortunately
today I play on their
we will find ourselves in
situation from
delegation we
let’s move on to
authorization
authorization is
the next stage you know
why the pirates were tried
always stricter
than land
robbers because
that the pirates had
own constitution
PIN they had
taxes
deductions and in fact
they encroached on
sovereignty
ruler they
created
alternative
state with
an alternative
loyalty systems and
alternative
political body
because they were
worse for the sovereign
for example for the king
england
than land
robbers have
overland
robbers have
only delegation
they delegate
ataman for example
right of sharing
pirates have
authorization they
create a new
political body in
that second when
delegation will go
along the moral axis
excuses we seem
situation from
specific
agreements with
with your iPhone, then what?
he acts from my
name downloading
update we
we will pass situations
authorization
the creation of a new
political body
what will become of this
the moment with the concept
nationality
sovereignty and what
will be taxed
how will
a model
armed forces
which drones
the blow is not about without
warning their
pilots and we are still
We do not know this, but so
or started
explore this
the process will be insanely
I’m not sure
what will be the same
interesting to live in it
the world
Thank you
[applause]
”
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