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The Bias Trifecta: The Effect on Leadership Decision Making | Michael Brainard | TEDxUCIrvine


my name is Michael Brainard I work for a

my name is Michael Brainard I work for a company called Brainard strategy and I

company called Brainard strategy and I

company called Brainard strategy and I am an industrial and organizational

am an industrial and organizational

am an industrial and organizational psychologist many of you don’t know what

psychologist many of you don’t know what

psychologist many of you don’t know what an industrial psychologist might do I

an industrial psychologist might do I

an industrial psychologist might do I study group dynamics leadership behavior

study group dynamics leadership behavior

study group dynamics leadership behavior organizational behavior and decision

organizational behavior and decision

organizational behavior and decision making tonight I’m going to talk to you

making tonight I’m going to talk to you

making tonight I’m going to talk to you about a topic that has to do with bias

about a topic that has to do with bias

about a topic that has to do with bias and bias in decision-making both

and bias in decision-making both

and bias in decision-making both individually and collectively wasn’t

individually and collectively wasn’t

individually and collectively wasn’t very interested in the topic but one of

very interested in the topic but one of

very interested in the topic but one of my clients called a couple of years ago

my clients called a couple of years ago

my clients called a couple of years ago and said hey Brainard I’d like to use

and said hey Brainard I’d like to use

and said hey Brainard I’d like to use you for your body I said I’m in even

you for your body I said I’m in even

you for your body I said I’m in even though you’re a guy I’m in talk more he

though you’re a guy I’m in talk more he

though you’re a guy I’m in talk more he said he this this person the friend of

said he this this person the friend of

said he this this person the friend of mine headed up the diversity and

mine headed up the diversity and

mine headed up the diversity and inclusion practice internally at a large

inclusion practice internally at a large

inclusion practice internally at a large corporation and his goal was to educate

corporation and his goal was to educate

corporation and his goal was to educate his executive team on the impact of

his executive team on the impact of

his executive team on the impact of unconscious bias as he would enter the

unconscious bias as he would enter the

unconscious bias as he would enter the room or one of his colleagues from the

room or one of his colleagues from the

room or one of his colleagues from the DNI practice the executives would

DNI practice the executives would

DNI practice the executives would invariably fold their arms and stare at

invariably fold their arms and stare at

invariably fold their arms and stare at their shoes and hope to get through this

their shoes and hope to get through this

their shoes and hope to get through this meeting without being shamed too badly

meeting without being shamed too badly

meeting without being shamed too badly so he figured a tall white male sort of

so he figured a tall white male sort of

so he figured a tall white male sort of the archetype of a leader who’s an

the archetype of a leader who’s an

the archetype of a leader who’s an industrial psychologist and studies

industrial psychologist and studies

industrial psychologist and studies leadership could maybe work some things

leadership could maybe work some things

leadership could maybe work some things loose for him so again he used me for my

loose for him so again he used me for my

loose for him so again he used me for my body

body

body the interesting part of studying

the interesting part of studying

the interesting part of studying unconscious bias was I discovered that

unconscious bias was I discovered that

unconscious bias was I discovered that really a lot of very smart well intended

really a lot of very smart well intended

really a lot of very smart well intended people make a great deal of mistakes one

people make a great deal of mistakes one

people make a great deal of mistakes one of the things I discovered and that I

of the things I discovered and that I

of the things I discovered and that I became interested in is the negative

became interested in is the negative

became interested in is the negative impact it has in business in society and

impact it has in business in society and

impact it has in business in society and many of us aren’t aware of it as an

many of us aren’t aware of it as an

many of us aren’t aware of it as an example 14.5 percent of American men are

example 14.5 percent of American men are

example 14.5 percent of American men are over 6 feet tall what percentage of the

over 6 feet tall what percentage of the

over 6 feet tall what percentage of the Fortune 500 CEOs over 6 feet tall 58

Fortune 500 CEOs over 6 feet tall 58

Fortune 500 CEOs over 6 feet tall 58 percent women occupy 5 percent of the

percent women occupy 5 percent of the

percent women occupy 5 percent of the fortune 500 CEO positions yet they’re

fortune 500 CEO positions yet they’re

fortune 500 CEO positions yet they’re the majority in the workforce women also

the majority in the workforce women also

the majority in the workforce women also outstrip men for undergraduate and

outstrip men for undergraduate and

outstrip men for undergraduate and graduate degrees in our

graduate degrees in our

graduate degrees in our country yet 5% make it to the highest

country yet 5% make it to the highest

country yet 5% make it to the highest level in Fortune 500 if you’re a

level in Fortune 500 if you’re a

level in Fortune 500 if you’re a minority it gets worse

minority it gets worse

minority it gets worse less than 1% of Fortune 500 CEOs are

less than 1% of Fortune 500 CEOs are

less than 1% of Fortune 500 CEOs are african-american and if you happen to

african-american and if you happen to

african-american and if you happen to have the combo of being african-american

have the combo of being african-american

have the combo of being african-american and female you don’t show up there’s

and female you don’t show up there’s

and female you don’t show up there’s very limited ways we can describe how

very limited ways we can describe how

very limited ways we can describe how these imbalances happen without talking

these imbalances happen without talking

these imbalances happen without talking about our human biases depending on who

about our human biases depending on who

about our human biases depending on who you read and who you study there are

you read and who you study there are

you read and who you study there are many dozens or even hundreds of biases

many dozens or even hundreds of biases

many dozens or even hundreds of biases for the sake of our talk today I’m going

for the sake of our talk today I’m going

for the sake of our talk today I’m going to talk about cognitive biases our

to talk about cognitive biases our

to talk about cognitive biases our cognitive biases exist in all of us

cognitive biases exist in all of us

cognitive biases exist in all of us they’re not an affliction of the

they’re not an affliction of the

they’re not an affliction of the majority class they’re part of our brain

majority class they’re part of our brain

majority class they’re part of our brain and our part of our personhood and these

and our part of our personhood and these

and our part of our personhood and these biases act to allow us to see the world

biases act to allow us to see the world

biases act to allow us to see the world in a systemic ly distorted way in fact

in a systemic ly distorted way in fact

in a systemic ly distorted way in fact we as humans don’t see the world as it

we as humans don’t see the world as it

we as humans don’t see the world as it is we see the world as we want to see it

is we see the world as we want to see it

is we see the world as we want to see it when you start compounding and adding

when you start compounding and adding

when you start compounding and adding these biases to one another you get some

these biases to one another you get some

these biases to one another you get some really odd effects again both

really odd effects again both

really odd effects again both individually and collectively I’m a

individually and collectively I’m a

individually and collectively I’m a practicing management consultant and I

practicing management consultant and I

practicing management consultant and I exist because they continue to build

exist because they continue to build

exist because they continue to build buildings stuff lots of humans into them

buildings stuff lots of humans into them

buildings stuff lots of humans into them and hold resources it’s actually quite

and hold resources it’s actually quite

and hold resources it’s actually quite interesting these biases that people

interesting these biases that people

interesting these biases that people bring to the workplace and decision

bring to the workplace and decision

bring to the workplace and decision making are no different than they exist

making are no different than they exist

making are no different than they exist in society these biases that we have

in society these biases that we have

in society these biases that we have often lead very smart well intended

often lead very smart well intended

often lead very smart well intended people to make really dumb mistakes and

people to make really dumb mistakes and

people to make really dumb mistakes and obviously dumb mistakes my favorite

obviously dumb mistakes my favorite

obviously dumb mistakes my favorite cliche in business is none of us are as

cliche in business is none of us are as

cliche in business is none of us are as dumb as all of us we get together and

dumb as all of us we get together and

dumb as all of us we get together and start convincing each other of our great

start convincing each other of our great

start convincing each other of our great ideas things go badly quickly the three

ideas things go badly quickly the three

ideas things go badly quickly the three biases that I want to focus on today for

biases that I want to focus on today for

biases that I want to focus on today for our conversation are three that I’ve

our conversation are three that I’ve

our conversation are three that I’ve discovered that work in conjunction even

discovered that work in conjunction even

discovered that work in conjunction even linearly as we process information the

linearly as we process information the

linearly as we process information the first is called unconscious bias

first is called unconscious bias

first is called unconscious bias unconscious bias is an out of awareness

unconscious bias is an out of awareness

unconscious bias is an out of awareness process that allows our brains to

process that allows our brains to

process that allows our brains to process billions of stimuli every day of

process billions of stimuli every day of

process billions of stimuli every day of course you don’t pay attention to

course you don’t pay attention to

course you don’t pay attention to billions of stimuli every day much of

billions of stimuli every day much of

billions of stimuli every day much of that processing happens out of our

that processing happens out of our

that processing happens out of our awareness down in our amygdala

awareness down in our amygdala

awareness down in our amygdala right now a door was to slam shut or a

right now a door was to slam shut or a

right now a door was to slam shut or a bell were to ring my body would turn to

bell were to ring my body would turn to

bell were to ring my body would turn to make sure that I wasn’t in danger before

make sure that I wasn’t in danger before

make sure that I wasn’t in danger before my body turns something’s happening in

my body turns something’s happening in

my body turns something’s happening in the brain to tell my body to turn that

the brain to tell my body to turn that

the brain to tell my body to turn that all happens out of our awareness we’re

all happens out of our awareness we’re

all happens out of our awareness we’re processing billions of stimuli every day

processing billions of stimuli every day

processing billions of stimuli every day unfortunately the amygdala is

unfortunately the amygdala is

unfortunately the amygdala is politically incorrect what we don’t

politically incorrect what we don’t

politically incorrect what we don’t often talk about is that our unconscious

often talk about is that our unconscious

often talk about is that our unconscious biases draw us toward things we’re

biases draw us toward things we’re

biases draw us toward things we’re comfortable with or familiar to us and

comfortable with or familiar to us and

comfortable with or familiar to us and they actually draw us away from things

they actually draw us away from things

they actually draw us away from things that are less familiar to us and less

that are less familiar to us and less

that are less familiar to us and less comfortable classic research and

comfortable classic research and

comfortable classic research and recruiting around people in different in

recruiting around people in different in

recruiting around people in different in groups versus out groups interviewing

groups versus out groups interviewing

groups versus out groups interviewing one another they would spend less time

one another they would spend less time

one another they would spend less time with each other ask each other less

with each other ask each other less

with each other ask each other less questions and they wouldn’t be aware of

questions and they wouldn’t be aware of

questions and they wouldn’t be aware of it at the end when interviewed the

it at the end when interviewed the

it at the end when interviewed the second form of bias that I’ve labeled is

second form of bias that I’ve labeled is

second form of bias that I’ve labeled is called retroactive inference if you

called retroactive inference if you

called retroactive inference if you think unconscious bias is politically

think unconscious bias is politically

think unconscious bias is politically incorrect and sort of leans us in a

incorrect and sort of leans us in a

incorrect and sort of leans us in a position or away from position it gets

position or away from position it gets

position or away from position it gets way worse retroactive inference happens

way worse retroactive inference happens

way worse retroactive inference happens when the stimulus travels from the

when the stimulus travels from the

when the stimulus travels from the amygdala up into the side of our brains

amygdala up into the side of our brains

amygdala up into the side of our brains what happens is when we’re presented

what happens is when we’re presented

what happens is when we’re presented with a new stimulus or decision and this

with a new stimulus or decision and this

with a new stimulus or decision and this happens for all of us

happens for all of us

happens for all of us we don’t go forward into a white space

we don’t go forward into a white space

we don’t go forward into a white space to try to figure it out

to try to figure it out

to try to figure it out we actually go backward the stimulus our

we actually go backward the stimulus our

we actually go backward the stimulus our brain takes us backward into our memory

brain takes us backward into our memory

brain takes us backward into our memory and our experience set and it associates

and our experience set and it associates

and our experience set and it associates the new stimulus with some past

the new stimulus with some past

the new stimulus with some past experience we’ve had here’s the problem

experience we’ve had here’s the problem

experience we’ve had here’s the problem retroactive inference Elizabeth Loftus

retroactive inference Elizabeth Loftus

retroactive inference Elizabeth Loftus here at UCI has studied the malleability

here at UCI has studied the malleability

here at UCI has studied the malleability of memory for the last 20 years and she

of memory for the last 20 years and she

of memory for the last 20 years and she will tell you the same thing when we go

will tell you the same thing when we go

will tell you the same thing when we go backwards we’re not going backwards to

backwards we’re not going backwards to

backwards we’re not going backwards to all of our memories and experiences

all of our memories and experiences

all of our memories and experiences we’re going backwards to a very select

we’re going backwards to a very select

we’re going backwards to a very select few of our past experiences and memories

few of our past experiences and memories

few of our past experiences and memories usually the ones that stick with us have

usually the ones that stick with us have

usually the ones that stick with us have served our steam or the opposite being

served our steam or the opposite being

served our steam or the opposite being critical incidents in our life second

critical incidents in our life second

critical incidents in our life second problem is when we go back to those

problem is when we go back to those

problem is when we go back to those select few memories they’re invariably

select few memories they’re invariably

select few memories they’re invariably stored incorrectly the example would be

stored incorrectly the example would be

stored incorrectly the example would be a police officer shows up and interviews

a police officer shows up and interviews

a police officer shows up and interviews five people about a car accident just

five people about a car accident just

five people about a car accident just happened how many versions of the story

happened how many versions of the story

happened how many versions of the story would the police officer hear three or

would the police officer hear three or

would the police officer hear three or four possibly five we don’t store if

four possibly five we don’t store if

four possibly five we don’t store if they

they

they as they occur we store things as we

as they occur we store things as we

as they occur we store things as we interpret them this retroactive

interpret them this retroactive

interpret them this retroactive inference is where we begin to process

inference is where we begin to process

inference is where we begin to process data and it’s inherently flawed it goes

data and it’s inherently flawed it goes

data and it’s inherently flawed it goes backwards and it’s flawed it gets worse

backwards and it’s flawed it gets worse

backwards and it’s flawed it gets worse then what happens as we sense seek to

then what happens as we sense seek to

then what happens as we sense seek to make sense of a stimuli we look for

make sense of a stimuli we look for

make sense of a stimuli we look for evidence in our environment we typically

evidence in our environment we typically

evidence in our environment we typically look for evidence that were right not

look for evidence that were right not

look for evidence that were right not wrong our initial impulse our first

wrong our initial impulse our first

wrong our initial impulse our first impression our perception is right this

impression our perception is right this

impression our perception is right this is called confirmation bias and is

is called confirmation bias and is

is called confirmation bias and is pretty easily understood by most people

pretty easily understood by most people

pretty easily understood by most people best exemplified by Fox and MSNBC not

best exemplified by Fox and MSNBC not

best exemplified by Fox and MSNBC not only does Fox and MSNBC say your

only does Fox and MSNBC say your

only does Fox and MSNBC say your worldview is right they also say the

worldview is right they also say the

worldview is right they also say the other guy’s worldview is wrong so it

other guy’s worldview is wrong so it

other guy’s worldview is wrong so it makes you feel really good about your

makes you feel really good about your

makes you feel really good about your opinion on whatever position you take

opinion on whatever position you take

opinion on whatever position you take but it’s effectively the same business

but it’s effectively the same business

but it’s effectively the same business model working to manipulate us think

model working to manipulate us think

model working to manipulate us think about these three particular cognitive

about these three particular cognitive

about these three particular cognitive biases and how they work in the brain

biases and how they work in the brain

biases and how they work in the brain they specifically work as we take in

they specifically work as we take in

they specifically work as we take in information we’re drawn toward or away

information we’re drawn toward or away

information we’re drawn toward or away we then process using a backward set of

we then process using a backward set of

we then process using a backward set of mechanisms that are inherently flawed

mechanisms that are inherently flawed

mechanisms that are inherently flawed and then when we form an opinion we go

and then when we form an opinion we go

and then when we form an opinion we go forward and we look for evidence that

forward and we look for evidence that

forward and we look for evidence that were right it’s very few of us will go

were right it’s very few of us will go

were right it’s very few of us will go and look for evidence organically or

and look for evidence organically or

and look for evidence organically or naturally that we’re wrong I’ve labeled

naturally that we’re wrong I’ve labeled

naturally that we’re wrong I’ve labeled these three biases something called the

these three biases something called the

these three biases something called the bias trifecta the bias trifecta impacts

bias trifecta the bias trifecta impacts

bias trifecta the bias trifecta impacts individual decision-making in horrible

individual decision-making in horrible

individual decision-making in horrible ways each one of these biases standing

ways each one of these biases standing

ways each one of these biases standing alone are damaging enough but I’ve

alone are damaging enough but I’ve

alone are damaging enough but I’ve discovered when working with

discovered when working with

discovered when working with well-intended

well-intended

well-intended otherwise bright leaders and how they

otherwise bright leaders and how they

otherwise bright leaders and how they make really dumb decisions it’s largely

make really dumb decisions it’s largely

make really dumb decisions it’s largely because as they protect information

because as they protect information

because as they protect information process that information and seek

process that information and seek

process that information and seek evidence they’re using a set of tricks

evidence they’re using a set of tricks

evidence they’re using a set of tricks or biases that enable them to see the

or biases that enable them to see the

or biases that enable them to see the world in a systemically distorted way

world in a systemically distorted way

world in a systemically distorted way not in a way that it actually is I’ll

not in a way that it actually is I’ll

not in a way that it actually is I’ll share two stories one that highlights

share two stories one that highlights

share two stories one that highlights individual bias it’s more of a

individual bias it’s more of a

individual bias it’s more of a organizational reference the second

organizational reference the second

organizational reference the second story more of a collective set of bias

story more of a collective set of bias

story more of a collective set of bias trifecta meaning our group agreements

trifecta meaning our group agreements

trifecta meaning our group agreements about how the world should work for

about how the world should work for

about how the world should work for example we all agree

example we all agree

example we all agree I’m the archetype of a leader we all

I’m the archetype of a leader we all

I’m the archetype of a leader we all agree that women should make less money

agree that women should make less money

agree that women should make less money than men for the same job now

than men for the same job now

than men for the same job now individually you’re sitting in the

individually you’re sitting in the

individually you’re sitting in the audience saying now I don’t believe that

audience saying now I don’t believe that

audience saying now I don’t believe that yes we do these collective biases that

yes we do these collective biases that

yes we do these collective biases that we have are as insidious and negative as

we have are as insidious and negative as

we have are as insidious and negative as the individual biases we have let me

the individual biases we have let me

the individual biases we have let me share the stories in the year 2000

share the stories in the year 2000

share the stories in the year 2000 Robert Nardelli was passed over for the

Robert Nardelli was passed over for the

Robert Nardelli was passed over for the job of CEO at GE he landed the CEO

job of CEO at GE he landed the CEO

job of CEO at GE he landed the CEO position at the Home Depot when nardelie

position at the Home Depot when nardelie

position at the Home Depot when nardelie went to the retail giant that was the

went to the retail giant that was the

went to the retail giant that was the home depot we saw a lazy inefficient

home depot we saw a lazy inefficient

home depot we saw a lazy inefficient retail business he believed that if we

retail business he believed that if we

retail business he believed that if we could GE eyes home depot he could drive

could GE eyes home depot he could drive

could GE eyes home depot he could drive up their performance nardelie rallied

up their performance nardelie rallied

up their performance nardelie rallied his people and took in information from

his people and took in information from

his people and took in information from a very small subset of people and a very

a very small subset of people and a very

a very small subset of people and a very small subset of data mattered to him he

small subset of data mattered to him he

small subset of data mattered to him he processed using the GE way GE methods he

processed using the GE way GE methods he

processed using the GE way GE methods he then made decisions based on trusted

then made decisions based on trusted

then made decisions based on trusted small circles instead of integrating new

small circles instead of integrating new

small circles instead of integrating new information about his environment in a

information about his environment in a

information about his environment in a relatively new industry to him he went

relatively new industry to him he went

relatively new industry to him he went back to an old set of tapes unbeknownst

back to an old set of tapes unbeknownst

back to an old set of tapes unbeknownst to him out of his awareness he was

to him out of his awareness he was

to him out of his awareness he was leveraging biases to make a series of

leveraging biases to make a series of

leveraging biases to make a series of really poor business decisions his

really poor business decisions his

really poor business decisions his tenure lasted seven years their stock

tenure lasted seven years their stock

tenure lasted seven years their stock value in total went down 6% may not

value in total went down 6% may not

value in total went down 6% may not sound like a lot but they’re in a Coke

sound like a lot but they’re in a Coke

sound like a lot but they’re in a Coke Pepsi business model Lowe’s rose 180

Pepsi business model Lowe’s rose 180

Pepsi business model Lowe’s rose 180 percent and most of you had identity

percent and most of you had identity

percent and most of you had identity Home Depot Expo in your neighborhood at

Home Depot Expo in your neighborhood at

Home Depot Expo in your neighborhood at some time in the late 90s the good news

some time in the late 90s the good news

some time in the late 90s the good news for nardelie is he collected two hundred

for nardelie is he collected two hundred

for nardelie is he collected two hundred and ten million dollars in severance so

and ten million dollars in severance so

and ten million dollars in severance so let’s all be biased these individual

let’s all be biased these individual

let’s all be biased these individual biases affect leaders every day we watch

biases affect leaders every day we watch

biases affect leaders every day we watch leaders make really poor decisions every

leaders make really poor decisions every

leaders make really poor decisions every day not because they’re not smart not

day not because they’re not smart not

day not because they’re not smart not cuz they’re well intended because these

cuz they’re well intended because these

cuz they’re well intended because these out of awareness biases that impact them

out of awareness biases that impact them

out of awareness biases that impact them how about a societal reference societal

how about a societal reference societal

how about a societal reference societal reference that highlights the collective

reference that highlights the collective

reference that highlights the collective agreements or the way that bias trifecta

agreements or the way that bias trifecta

agreements or the way that bias trifecta impacts groups let’s go back to Ferguson

impacts groups let’s go back to Ferguson

impacts groups let’s go back to Ferguson in 2014 pretty obvious to talk about the

in 2014 pretty obvious to talk about the

in 2014 pretty obvious to talk about the murder of Mike Brown and the bias that

murder of Mike Brown and the bias that

murder of Mike Brown and the bias that might have happened at the individual

might have happened at the individual

might have happened at the individual level let’s put that aside let’s think

level let’s put that aside let’s think

level let’s put that aside let’s think about the configuration for a moment of

about the configuration for a moment of

about the configuration for a moment of the society of Ferguson and the

the society of Ferguson and the

the society of Ferguson and the Ferguson Police Department the Ferguson

Ferguson Police Department the Ferguson

Ferguson Police Department the Ferguson Police Department was made up of 94%

Police Department was made up of 94%

Police Department was made up of 94% white not male but white people the

white not male but white people the

white not male but white people the community of Ferguson was made up of 67%

community of Ferguson was made up of 67%

community of Ferguson was made up of 67% black people the leadership of the

black people the leadership of the

black people the leadership of the Ferguson Police Department when they

Ferguson Police Department when they

Ferguson Police Department when they were selecting recruiting and hiring

were selecting recruiting and hiring

were selecting recruiting and hiring police officers were clearly out of

police officers were clearly out of

police officers were clearly out of their awareness filling the archetype of

their awareness filling the archetype of

their awareness filling the archetype of what a police officer ought to look like

what a police officer ought to look like

what a police officer ought to look like even more negatively likely hiring

even more negatively likely hiring

even more negatively likely hiring police officers who looked and acted and

police officers who looked and acted and

police officers who looked and acted and believed like they looked acted and

believed like they looked acted and

believed like they looked acted and believed I doubt very much if after even

believed I doubt very much if after even

believed I doubt very much if after even the incidents of 2014 in the summer he

the incidents of 2014 in the summer he

the incidents of 2014 in the summer he went to the leadership and said hey are

went to the leadership and said hey are

went to the leadership and said hey are you aware that you have a bias toward

you aware that you have a bias toward

you aware that you have a bias toward people that look like you or the

people that look like you or the

people that look like you or the archetype of a police officer I doubt

archetype of a police officer I doubt

archetype of a police officer I doubt very much they would have said yeah I’m

very much they would have said yeah I’m

very much they would have said yeah I’m aware of that bias but yet it happened

aware of that bias but yet it happened

aware of that bias but yet it happened what if they were biased to select

what if they were biased to select

what if they were biased to select people who reflected the community they

people who reflected the community they

people who reflected the community they served what if police departments across

served what if police departments across

served what if police departments across this country were biased toward

this country were biased toward

this country were biased toward selecting people that were reflective of

selecting people that were reflective of

selecting people that were reflective of the communities that they serve which

the communities that they serve which

the communities that they serve which thank goodness we’re moving in that

thank goodness we’re moving in that

thank goodness we’re moving in that direction but these biases take time to

direction but these biases take time to

direction but these biases take time to break these collective agreements are

break these collective agreements are

break these collective agreements are far more powerful even than the

far more powerful even than the

far more powerful even than the individual problems with unconscious

individual problems with unconscious

individual problems with unconscious retroactive inference and confirmation

retroactive inference and confirmation

retroactive inference and confirmation bias these collective agreements they’re

bias these collective agreements they’re

bias these collective agreements they’re invisible to us but they’re like gravity

invisible to us but they’re like gravity

invisible to us but they’re like gravity gravity is one of the most powerful

gravity is one of the most powerful

gravity is one of the most powerful forces it’s the most powerful force in

forces it’s the most powerful force in

forces it’s the most powerful force in the universe

the universe

the universe our collective agreements about our

our collective agreements about our

our collective agreements about our biases and the decisions the things we

biases and the decisions the things we

biases and the decisions the things we will believe the things the ways we will

will believe the things the ways we will

will believe the things the ways we will behave think about from an

behave think about from an

behave think about from an organizational culture perspective these

organizational culture perspective these

organizational culture perspective these agreements are very very powerful and

agreements are very very powerful and

agreements are very very powerful and they’re often invisible when you think

they’re often invisible when you think

they’re often invisible when you think about the brain and how it works both

about the brain and how it works both

about the brain and how it works both individually and collectively you have

individually and collectively you have

individually and collectively you have to understand that the brain is a speed

to understand that the brain is a speed

to understand that the brain is a speed freak the brain operates toward three

freak the brain operates toward three

freak the brain operates toward three primary masters the brain wants speed

primary masters the brain wants speed

primary masters the brain wants speed efficiency and comfort the brain does

efficiency and comfort the brain does

efficiency and comfort the brain does not want holistic objective or accurate

not want holistic objective or accurate

not want holistic objective or accurate thinking I’ll say it again your brain is

thinking I’ll say it again your brain is

thinking I’ll say it again your brain is a speed freak think about how you think

a speed freak think about how you think

a speed freak think about how you think and how the brain has a

and how the brain has a

and how the brain has a volved our brain wants the fastest most

volved our brain wants the fastest most

volved our brain wants the fastest most efficient efficient Bernie glucose is

efficient efficient Bernie glucose is

efficient efficient Bernie glucose is the food of the brain we act to conserve

the food of the brain we act to conserve

the food of the brain we act to conserve calories and conserve glucose and

calories and conserve glucose and

calories and conserve glucose and comfort what is comfort our self comfort

comfort what is comfort our self comfort

comfort what is comfort our self comfort we don’t want to believe that we’re

we don’t want to believe that we’re

we don’t want to believe that we’re inadequate we don’t want to believe that

inadequate we don’t want to believe that

inadequate we don’t want to believe that we have no answers we don’t want to

we have no answers we don’t want to

we have no answers we don’t want to believe that that our beliefs are wrong

believe that that our beliefs are wrong

believe that that our beliefs are wrong right we don’t want to believe these

right we don’t want to believe these

right we don’t want to believe these things we work towards speed efficiency

things we work towards speed efficiency

things we work towards speed efficiency and comfort we do not work toward

and comfort we do not work toward

and comfort we do not work toward holistic objective or accurate thinking

holistic objective or accurate thinking

holistic objective or accurate thinking and the coolest part of this you can try

and the coolest part of this you can try

and the coolest part of this you can try this in the future you can actually

this in the future you can actually

this in the future you can actually watch how people physically behave and

watch how people physically behave and

watch how people physically behave and how it maps to how the brain works many

how it maps to how the brain works many

how it maps to how the brain works many of you in this room have people whom

of you in this room have people whom

of you in this room have people whom work for you so you might ask one of

work for you so you might ask one of

work for you so you might ask one of your direct reports for a PowerPoint

your direct reports for a PowerPoint

your direct reports for a PowerPoint presentation on some new topic by next

presentation on some new topic by next

presentation on some new topic by next Thursday who cares

Thursday who cares

Thursday who cares physically watch what happens to your

physically watch what happens to your

physically watch what happens to your direct report physically they turn and

direct report physically they turn and

direct report physically they turn and they walk in which direction backwards

they walk in which direction backwards

they walk in which direction backwards to their laptop they open their laptop

to their laptop they open their laptop

to their laptop they open their laptop and they click on a thing called my

and they click on a thing called my

and they click on a thing called my documents don’t act like you don’t

documents don’t act like you don’t

documents don’t act like you don’t either you look for they look for I’m

either you look for they look for I’m

either you look for they look for I’m sorry a PowerPoint that looks like the

sorry a PowerPoint that looks like the

sorry a PowerPoint that looks like the thing that I’ve just asked for or you’ve

thing that I’ve just asked for or you’ve

thing that I’ve just asked for or you’ve just asked for they remove the title

just asked for they remove the title

just asked for they remove the title slide freshen it up a bit if you’re

slide freshen it up a bit if you’re

slide freshen it up a bit if you’re really lucky they’ll go to Google and

really lucky they’ll go to Google and

really lucky they’ll go to Google and see if they missed anything that’s if

see if they missed anything that’s if

see if they missed anything that’s if you’re really lucky and they’ll show up

you’re really lucky and they’ll show up

you’re really lucky and they’ll show up and say hey like this and usually you’re

and say hey like this and usually you’re

and say hey like this and usually you’re running pretty fast too you go yeah it’s

running pretty fast too you go yeah it’s

running pretty fast too you go yeah it’s close enough the idea that we behave in

close enough the idea that we behave in

close enough the idea that we behave in the same way that we think tells us a

the same way that we think tells us a

the same way that we think tells us a couple things it tells us that we

couple things it tells us that we

couple things it tells us that we inherently move toward in a way we work

inherently move toward in a way we work

inherently move toward in a way we work toward processing using a backward set

toward processing using a backward set

toward processing using a backward set of tapes and we usually look for

of tapes and we usually look for

of tapes and we usually look for evidence then once we have an impulse or

evidence then once we have an impulse or

evidence then once we have an impulse or belief that were right not wrong

belief that were right not wrong

belief that were right not wrong evidence of this are these very TED

evidence of this are these very TED

evidence of this are these very TED stages think about the big market that

stages think about the big market that

stages think about the big market that exists around thinkers and leaders

exists around thinkers and leaders

exists around thinkers and leaders publishers management and leadership

publishers management and leadership

publishers management and leadership training firms how do you think more

training firms how do you think more

training firms how do you think more innovatively how can we think more

innovatively how can we think more

innovatively how can we think more strategically here’s a workshop on

strategically here’s a workshop on

strategically here’s a workshop on decision-making

decision-making

decision-making this market exists because we know the

this market exists because we know the

this market exists because we know the brain is not naturally organically wired

brain is not naturally organically wired

brain is not naturally organically wired to slow down to think holistically to

to slow down to think holistically to

to slow down to think holistically to think divergently are backwards the

think divergently are backwards the

think divergently are backwards the brain works as a speed freak as a speed

brain works as a speed freak as a speed

brain works as a speed freak as a speed junkie I would like us to think about as

junkie I would like us to think about as

junkie I would like us to think about as we leave here both the individual ways

we leave here both the individual ways

we leave here both the individual ways that the biased trifecta impacts our

that the biased trifecta impacts our

that the biased trifecta impacts our ability to see the world as it is to

ability to see the world as it is to

ability to see the world as it is to process information accurately and to

process information accurately and to

process information accurately and to make decisions in a much more

make decisions in a much more

make decisions in a much more disciplined way the larger challenge for

disciplined way the larger challenge for

disciplined way the larger challenge for us as a society is as we go back to our

us as a society is as we go back to our

us as a society is as we go back to our organizations our communities and we

organizations our communities and we

organizations our communities and we think about the collective agreements

think about the collective agreements

think about the collective agreements that we’ve all made as an example why is

that we’ve all made as an example why is

that we’ve all made as an example why is a five-foot-three african-american woman

a five-foot-three african-american woman

a five-foot-three african-american woman with the same degrees and same

with the same degrees and same

with the same degrees and same experience that invariably passed over

experience that invariably passed over

experience that invariably passed over in favor of someone who looks like me

in favor of someone who looks like me

in favor of someone who looks like me the archetypes that we have created

the archetypes that we have created

the archetypes that we have created around what certain things should and

around what certain things should and

around what certain things should and shouldn’t be are largely a product of

shouldn’t be are largely a product of

shouldn’t be are largely a product of our biases think about hiring many of

our biases think about hiring many of

our biases think about hiring many of you hire people you don’t hire the best

you hire people you don’t hire the best

you hire people you don’t hire the best candidate you think you do that’s the

candidate you think you do that’s the

candidate you think you do that’s the bias that’s the distortion you actually

bias that’s the distortion you actually

bias that’s the distortion you actually think the person who will fit you hire

think the person who will fit you hire

think the person who will fit you hire the person who will fit the best when

the person who will fit the best when

the person who will fit the best when you think about hiring for fit and you

you think about hiring for fit and you

you think about hiring for fit and you hear people pride ly proud fully talking

hear people pride ly proud fully talking

hear people pride ly proud fully talking about that ask two questions fit with

about that ask two questions fit with

about that ask two questions fit with whom and who decides and that’s all you

whom and who decides and that’s all you

whom and who decides and that’s all you need to ask when you think about

need to ask when you think about

need to ask when you think about promotion yes women pull themselves out

promotion yes women pull themselves out

promotion yes women pull themselves out of the workforce and many times in the

of the workforce and many times in the

of the workforce and many times in the middle sort of middle management years

middle sort of middle management years

middle sort of middle management years but that does not account for the

but that does not account for the

but that does not account for the variance that we find in the disparity

variance that we find in the disparity

variance that we find in the disparity of women in leadership positions

of women in leadership positions

of women in leadership positions relative to women in the workforce these

relative to women in the workforce these

relative to women in the workforce these out of agreement awarenesses are nothing

out of agreement awarenesses are nothing

out of agreement awarenesses are nothing more than the bias trifecta playing with

more than the bias trifecta playing with

more than the bias trifecta playing with us I would leave you with two things I

us I would leave you with two things I

us I would leave you with two things I would like you to think about one

would like you to think about one

would like you to think about one humility as we gain age and as we gain

humility as we gain age and as we gain

humility as we gain age and as we gain success we get more righteous I’ve seen

success we get more righteous I’ve seen

success we get more righteous I’ve seen this before

this before

this before I know how to do this I know what this

I know how to do this I know what this

I know how to do this I know what this looks like just listen to how we speak

looks like just listen to how we speak

looks like just listen to how we speak it’s inherently flawed and short and

it’s inherently flawed and short and

it’s inherently flawed and short and fast it works to be speedy efficient and

fast it works to be speedy efficient and

fast it works to be speedy efficient and make us comfortable humility let’s

make us comfortable humility let’s

make us comfortable humility let’s understand that we’re all biased our

understand that we’re all biased our

understand that we’re all biased our biases

biases

biases are not an affliction of the majority

are not an affliction of the majority

are not an affliction of the majority class we are human your brain works a

class we are human your brain works a

class we are human your brain works a certain way it’s a wonderful gift and

certain way it’s a wonderful gift and

certain way it’s a wonderful gift and many of us think it’s too wonderful of a

many of us think it’s too wonderful of a

many of us think it’s too wonderful of a gift our brain has limitations it has

gift our brain has limitations it has

gift our brain has limitations it has flaws and it leads us into places that

flaws and it leads us into places that

flaws and it leads us into places that oftentimes aren’t the best places for us

oftentimes aren’t the best places for us

oftentimes aren’t the best places for us to go and we all know that’s true think

to go and we all know that’s true think

to go and we all know that’s true think about humility understand educate have

about humility understand educate have

about humility understand educate have awareness around how these biases work

awareness around how these biases work

awareness around how these biases work individually how they work collectively

individually how they work collectively

individually how they work collectively as a trifecta and how they affect us

as a trifecta and how they affect us

as a trifecta and how they affect us both individually and collectively

both individually and collectively

both individually and collectively second discipline this idea that you can

second discipline this idea that you can

second discipline this idea that you can make decisions based on your gut or your

make decisions based on your gut or your

make decisions based on your gut or your experience it’s lazy

experience it’s lazy

experience it’s lazy let’s have discipline ways that we take

let’s have discipline ways that we take

let’s have discipline ways that we take in data let’s look for contrary data

in data let’s look for contrary data

in data let’s look for contrary data let’s process data using discipline

let’s process data using discipline

let’s process data using discipline rigorous thought Jim Collins talked

rigorous thought Jim Collins talked

rigorous thought Jim Collins talked about the great leaders have discipline

about the great leaders have discipline

about the great leaders have discipline of thinking and finally when it comes to

of thinking and finally when it comes to

of thinking and finally when it comes to decision making let’s not get down to

decision making let’s not get down to

decision making let’s not get down to the same two people who look like me for

the same two people who look like me for

the same two people who look like me for leadership positions let’s challenge our

leadership positions let’s challenge our

leadership positions let’s challenge our thinking around decision-making humility

thinking around decision-making humility

thinking around decision-making humility and discipline thank you very much

”

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