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How we know | Andreas Wahl | TEDxOslo


two years ago in the middle of the night

two years ago in the middle of the night I stood like I’m standing out but in a

I stood like I’m standing out but in a

I stood like I’m standing out but in a swimming pool with a submerged rifle in

swimming pool with a submerged rifle in

swimming pool with a submerged rifle in front of me

front of me

front of me aimed at my chest in my hand I held the

aimed at my chest in my hand I held the

aimed at my chest in my hand I held the cord leading to the trigger this is not

cord leading to the trigger this is not

cord leading to the trigger this is not how I normally spend my Thursday nights

how I normally spend my Thursday nights

how I normally spend my Thursday nights I was shooting a TV series for the

I was shooting a TV series for the

I was shooting a TV series for the national broadcaster here in Norway

national broadcaster here in Norway

national broadcaster here in Norway called life on the line in which I test

called life on the line in which I test

called life on the line in which I test the laws of physics with my life on the

the laws of physics with my life on the

the laws of physics with my life on the line in this episode I would entrust my

line in this episode I would entrust my

line in this episode I would entrust my life to the concept of drag or fluid

life to the concept of drag or fluid

life to the concept of drag or fluid resistance the retarding force acting

resistance the retarding force acting

resistance the retarding force acting upon a body moving in the fluid in the

upon a body moving in the fluid in the

upon a body moving in the fluid in the pool I was not supposed to be the body

pool I was not supposed to be the body

pool I was not supposed to be the body moving the bullet was the theory is

moving the bullet was the theory is

moving the bullet was the theory is straightforward a bullet fired in or

straightforward a bullet fired in or

straightforward a bullet fired in or into water will not travel very far

into water will not travel very far

into water will not travel very far because of all the water molecules it

because of all the water molecules it

because of all the water molecules it has to push out of its way and we have

has to push out of its way and we have

has to push out of its way and we have done numerous tests in the water without

done numerous tests in the water without

done numerous tests in the water without me in the water tracking every bullets

me in the water tracking every bullets

me in the water tracking every bullets position with a high-speed camera

position with a high-speed camera

position with a high-speed camera we had weighed all the cartridges with

we had weighed all the cartridges with

we had weighed all the cartridges with the most exact paper weight that we

the most exact paper weight that we

the most exact paper weight that we could find to make sure one of them did

could find to make sure one of them did

could find to make sure one of them did not surprisingly contain more gunpowder

not surprisingly contain more gunpowder

not surprisingly contain more gunpowder than the others now it was 6:00 in the

than the others now it was 6:00 in the

than the others now it was 6:00 in the morning we had worked all night trying

morning we had worked all night trying

morning we had worked all night trying to get control of all the variables

to get control of all the variables

to get control of all the variables discussing all possible outcomes there

discussing all possible outcomes there

discussing all possible outcomes there was nothing more we could do

should I stand in front of the gun and

should I stand in front of the gun and pull the trigger should I fire a bullet

pull the trigger should I fire a bullet

pull the trigger should I fire a bullet at myself my rational part told me it

at myself my rational part told me it

at myself my rational part told me it will turn out exactly as in in theory

will turn out exactly as in in theory

will turn out exactly as in in theory and tests the other part of me law the

and tests the other part of me law the

and tests the other part of me law the irrational part was scared shitless

irrational part was scared shitless

irrational part was scared shitless it only has to fail once and I’m dead

it only has to fail once and I’m dead

it only has to fail once and I’m dead and to me just the idea of standing in

and to me just the idea of standing in

and to me just the idea of standing in front of a gun loaded made to kill it

front of a gun loaded made to kill it

front of a gun loaded made to kill it yeah you can have a look for yourself it

yeah you can have a look for yourself it

yeah you can have a look for yourself it still makes my hair stand talking about

still makes my hair stand talking about

still makes my hair stand talking about it too to help you understand how I

it too to help you understand how I

it too to help you understand how I ended up in the pool that night I should

ended up in the pool that night I should

ended up in the pool that night I should tell you my background is in physics I’m

tell you my background is in physics I’m

tell you my background is in physics I’m a physicist and I’ve spent the last

a physicist and I’ve spent the last

a physicist and I’ve spent the last eight years communicating science for a

eight years communicating science for a

eight years communicating science for a living writing giving talks hosting TV

living writing giving talks hosting TV

living writing giving talks hosting TV shows and this morning as the Sun was

shows and this morning as the Sun was

shows and this morning as the Sun was about thrice sitting there on the edge

about thrice sitting there on the edge

about thrice sitting there on the edge of the pool my rational reasoning was

of the pool my rational reasoning was

of the pool my rational reasoning was pulling my irrational fear to the edge I

pulling my irrational fear to the edge I

pulling my irrational fear to the edge I remember asking myself how do I take the

remember asking myself how do I take the

remember asking myself how do I take the decision whether to to pull the trigger

decision whether to to pull the trigger

decision whether to to pull the trigger and fire a bullet at myself or go home

and fire a bullet at myself or go home

and fire a bullet at myself or go home on what basis do I take that decision

on what basis do I take that decision

on what basis do I take that decision like how can I know for sure how do you

like how can I know for sure how do you

like how can I know for sure how do you know stuff to be true I can tell you

know stuff to be true I can tell you

know stuff to be true I can tell you that when your life is on the line these

that when your life is on the line these

that when your life is on the line these questions become really really important

and this is how I think we know stuff it

and this is how I think we know stuff it all starts with an idea a leap of

all starts with an idea a leap of

all starts with an idea a leap of imagination scientists they have this

imagination scientists they have this

imagination scientists they have this immense privilege of standing on the

immense privilege of standing on the

immense privilege of standing on the edge of what we know and scoping

edge of what we know and scoping

edge of what we know and scoping outwards so you have an idea of how

outwards so you have an idea of how

outwards so you have an idea of how something might be you kind of make it

something might be you kind of make it

something might be you kind of make it guess really and then you form this into

guess really and then you form this into

guess really and then you form this into our hypothesis a prediction and a

our hypothesis a prediction and a

our hypothesis a prediction and a testable one and after may after making

testable one and after may after making

testable one and after may after making sure no one has done exactly what you’re

sure no one has done exactly what you’re

sure no one has done exactly what you’re planning to do you start the trial and

planning to do you start the trial and

planning to do you start the trial and error you you design a procedure that

error you you design a procedure that

error you you design a procedure that will hopefully answer your hypothesis in

will hopefully answer your hypothesis in

will hopefully answer your hypothesis in the end and then you start testing and

the end and then you start testing and

the end and then you start testing and in the Natural Sciences we have

in the Natural Sciences we have

in the Natural Sciences we have something truly unique we have something

something truly unique we have something

something truly unique we have something you won’t find in in politics or

you won’t find in in politics or

you won’t find in in politics or economics or art we have this

economics or art we have this

economics or art we have this universally agreed-upon blueprint to

universally agreed-upon blueprint to

universally agreed-upon blueprint to test against will not one that everyone

test against will not one that everyone

test against will not one that everyone accepts its nature if your hypothesis

accepts its nature if your hypothesis

accepts its nature if your hypothesis does not agree with nature you need to

does not agree with nature you need to

does not agree with nature you need to toss it out if your hypothesis cannot

toss it out if your hypothesis cannot

toss it out if your hypothesis cannot successfully predict how nature works

successfully predict how nature works

successfully predict how nature works it’s not worth much and then there is

it’s not worth much and then there is

it’s not worth much and then there is publication telling people about your

publication telling people about your

publication telling people about your work you might remember this a few years

work you might remember this a few years

work you might remember this a few years ago headlines all over the world being

ago headlines all over the world being

ago headlines all over the world being neutrinos traveling faster than light

neutrinos traveling faster than light

neutrinos traveling faster than light okay you might have to be a physicist to

okay you might have to be a physicist to

okay you might have to be a physicist to remember

remember

remember [Music]

[Music]

[Music] this children anyway a few weeks later

this children anyway a few weeks later

this children anyway a few weeks later the same news channels reported

the same news channels reported

the same news channels reported something like haha scientists were

something like haha scientists were

something like haha scientists were wrong neutrinos do not travel faster

wrong neutrinos do not travel faster

wrong neutrinos do not travel faster than light this was how it was seen

than light this was how it was seen

than light this was how it was seen through the media lens this is what

through the media lens this is what

through the media lens this is what actually happened a few scientists in

actually happened a few scientists in

actually happened a few scientists in Switzerland found something odd their

Switzerland found something odd their

Switzerland found something odd their data seemed to implicate these

data seemed to implicate these

data seemed to implicate these fundamental particles neutrinos travel

fundamental particles neutrinos travel

fundamental particles neutrinos travel faster than light which is not possible

faster than light which is not possible

faster than light which is not possible according to the current laws of physics

according to the current laws of physics

according to the current laws of physics nothing travels faster the night so they

nothing travels faster the night so they

nothing travels faster the night so they naturally assume they must have made a

naturally assume they must have made a

naturally assume they must have made a mistake somewhere

mistake somewhere

mistake somewhere so they went looking for the mistakes

so they went looking for the mistakes

so they went looking for the mistakes for years they couldn’t find any so they

for years they couldn’t find any so they

for years they couldn’t find any so they published their findings in an academic

published their findings in an academic

published their findings in an academic journal saying hey this is strange we

journal saying hey this is strange we

journal saying hey this is strange we think we must have made a mistake but we

think we must have made a mistake but we

think we must have made a mistake but we can find it can you guys help us and the

can find it can you guys help us and the

can find it can you guys help us and the scientific world did help them it turned

scientific world did help them it turned

scientific world did help them it turned out there was an fiber optic cable

out there was an fiber optic cable

out there was an fiber optic cable improperly installed and an oscillating

improperly installed and an oscillating

improperly installed and an oscillating clock ticking too fast but I love this

clock ticking too fast but I love this

clock ticking too fast but I love this this story because it shows a crucial

this story because it shows a crucial

this story because it shows a crucial element of the scientific method to seek

element of the scientific method to seek

element of the scientific method to seek criticism in what other part of society

criticism in what other part of society

criticism in what other part of society do people go hey please come pull my

do people go hey please come pull my

do people go hey please come pull my work apart tell me what I’ve done wrong

work apart tell me what I’ve done wrong

work apart tell me what I’ve done wrong I don’t think that’s intuitive it

I don’t think that’s intuitive it

I don’t think that’s intuitive it certainly isn’t to me I’ve had to learn

certainly isn’t to me I’ve had to learn

certainly isn’t to me I’ve had to learn it but it’s part of what makes

it but it’s part of what makes

it but it’s part of what makes publishing so important in the

publishing so important in the

publishing so important in the scientific method and then there’s my

scientific method and then there’s my

scientific method and then there’s my favorite trait

willingness to change your mind in

willingness to change your mind in science if presented with better

science if presented with better

science if presented with better knowledge you should change your mind it

knowledge you should change your mind it

knowledge you should change your mind it doesn’t always happen

doesn’t always happen

doesn’t always happen scientists are humans too but it happens

scientists are humans too but it happens

scientists are humans too but it happens let me give you an example a life saving

let me give you an example a life saving

let me give you an example a life saving 110 years ago in hospitals all over the

110 years ago in hospitals all over the

110 years ago in hospitals all over the world

world

world premature children were given pure

premature children were given pure

premature children were given pure oxygen to help them cope with life

oxygen to help them cope with life

oxygen to help them cope with life outside the womb

outside the womb

outside the womb now imagine in one of these hospitals

now imagine in one of these hospitals

now imagine in one of these hospitals and an experienced and highly regarded

and an experienced and highly regarded

and an experienced and highly regarded pediatrician who has given 100% oxygen –

pediatrician who has given 100% oxygen –

pediatrician who has given 100% oxygen – tiny premature babies her whole career

tiny premature babies her whole career

tiny premature babies her whole career and taught her students to do the same

and taught her students to do the same

and taught her students to do the same one day reading a scientific paper or

one day reading a scientific paper or

one day reading a scientific paper or attending a scientific conference and

attending a scientific conference and

attending a scientific conference and learning all these new studies showing

learning all these new studies showing

learning all these new studies showing it’s not to the child’s best in fact

it’s not to the child’s best in fact

it’s not to the child’s best in fact giving them a gas makes closer to what

giving them a gas makes closer to what

giving them a gas makes closer to what we breathe here today like starting out

we breathe here today like starting out

we breathe here today like starting out with 30-40 percent oxygen it decreases

with 30-40 percent oxygen it decreases

with 30-40 percent oxygen it decreases the chance of brain damage and increases

the chance of brain damage and increases

the chance of brain damage and increases survival rate now please

survival rate now please

survival rate now please imagine her with all of these tiny

imagine her with all of these tiny

imagine her with all of these tiny babies that she has tried to help in

babies that she has tried to help in

babies that she has tried to help in their mind both the ones that survived

their mind both the ones that survived

their mind both the ones that survived and the ones that did not and with all

and the ones that did not and with all

and the ones that did not and with all her students looking up to her imagine

her students looking up to her imagine

her students looking up to her imagine her saying to herself and to her

her saying to herself and to her

her saying to herself and to her colleagues

colleagues

colleagues okay then that’s what we’re going to do

okay then that’s what we’re going to do

okay then that’s what we’re going to do from now on

it happens and this discovery alone and

it happens and this discovery alone and doctors willingness to change their mind

has since then saved an estimated

has since then saved an estimated 200,000 lives and I think this is

200,000 lives and I think this is

200,000 lives and I think this is something we can all learn from the

something we can all learn from the

something we can all learn from the scientific method to be willing to

scientific method to be willing to

scientific method to be willing to change your mind if presented with with

change your mind if presented with with

change your mind if presented with with new and solid information it’s a

new and solid information it’s a

new and solid information it’s a fundamental thing I mean I trust you

fundamental thing I mean I trust you

fundamental thing I mean I trust you more if you are open to changing your

more if you are open to changing your

more if you are open to changing your mind I think we will have a more

mind I think we will have a more

mind I think we will have a more fruitful discussion if we are all open

fruitful discussion if we are all open

fruitful discussion if we are all open to this idea it’s hard I know because we

to this idea it’s hard I know because we

to this idea it’s hard I know because we intuitively do the opposite but I think

intuitively do the opposite but I think

intuitively do the opposite but I think it’s worth trying science might be this

it’s worth trying science might be this

it’s worth trying science might be this cold logical process but it’s always

cold logical process but it’s always

cold logical process but it’s always performed by humans and we like to think

performed by humans and we like to think

performed by humans and we like to think of ourselves as as rational beings we

of ourselves as as rational beings we

of ourselves as as rational beings we certainly are not

certainly are not

certainly are not and sometimes our irrationality stands

and sometimes our irrationality stands

and sometimes our irrationality stands in the way of scientific progress but at

in the way of scientific progress but at

in the way of scientific progress but at the same time the human capacity of

the same time the human capacity of

the same time the human capacity of wonder and curiosity is crucial to the

wonder and curiosity is crucial to the

wonder and curiosity is crucial to the process as for me I felt that duality of

process as for me I felt that duality of

process as for me I felt that duality of the human mind that night in the pool we

the human mind that night in the pool we

the human mind that night in the pool we had done lots of tests we had weighed

had done lots of tests we had weighed

had done lots of tests we had weighed all the bullets

all the bullets

all the bullets the only variable changed would be me

the only variable changed would be me

the only variable changed would be me standing in front of the gun it should

standing in front of the gun it should

standing in front of the gun it should perform exactly as in tests there should

perform exactly as in tests there should

perform exactly as in tests there should be no fear my rational personality told

be no fear my rational personality told

be no fear my rational personality told me but then science cannot state facts

me but then science cannot state facts

me but then science cannot state facts with a hundred percent certainty it can

with a hundred percent certainty it can

with a hundred percent certainty it can only say something is very

only say something is very

only say something is very very likely what if just this one time

very likely what if just this one time

very likely what if just this one time my irrationality spoke and this is what

my irrationality spoke and this is what

my irrationality spoke and this is what I decided to do

it’s gone today

it’s gone today [Music]

[Applause]

[Applause] thank you

”

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