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Erick Schonfeld on Twitter’s Future


now Twitter people were sort of raising

now Twitter people were sort of raising eyebrows on going is this a joke when

eyebrows on going is this a joke when

eyebrows on going is this a joke when they did their big deal at a hundred

they did their big deal at a hundred

they did their big deal at a hundred million I don’t even know if those post

million I don’t even know if those post

million I don’t even know if those post money or pre-money 100 million valuation

money or pre-money 100 million valuation

money or pre-money 100 million valuation they now did a valuation a hundred

they now did a valuation a hundred

they now did a valuation a hundred million raised at a valuation of the

million raised at a valuation of the

million raised at a valuation of the billion what do you think about Twitter

billion what do you think about Twitter

billion what do you think about Twitter do you think that those kind of

do you think that those kind of

do you think that those kind of valuations make sense there’s something

valuations make sense there’s something

valuations make sense there’s something about valuations that it’s almost easier

about valuations that it’s almost easier

about valuations that it’s almost easier to get a higher evaluation before you

to get a higher evaluation before you

to get a higher evaluation before you you have any money before you’re making

you have any money before you’re making

you have any money before you’re making any money so if you’re pre-revenue it’s

any money so if you’re pre-revenue it’s

any money so if you’re pre-revenue it’s anyone’s guess as to how much money you

anyone’s guess as to how much money you

anyone’s guess as to how much money you might make somewhere down the road and

might make somewhere down the road and

might make somewhere down the road and twitter has been holding off on turning

twitter has been holding off on turning

twitter has been holding off on turning on their revenue stream there’s lots of

on their revenue stream there’s lots of

on their revenue stream there’s lots of ways they can make money they can just

ways they can make money they can just

ways they can make money they can just plaster the site with ads and they’ll be

plaster the site with ads and they’ll be

plaster the site with ads and they’ll be start making money overnight I think

start making money overnight I think

start making money overnight I think they don’t want to do that they want to

they don’t want to do that they want to

they don’t want to do that they want to find some new way to make money that is

find some new way to make money that is

find some new way to make money that is in keeping with the user experiences

in keeping with the user experiences

in keeping with the user experiences they’ve raised so much money they don’t

they’ve raised so much money they don’t

they’ve raised so much money they don’t have to figure that out yet but time is

have to figure that out yet but time is

have to figure that out yet but time is ticking and now with this new fun you

ticking and now with this new fun you

ticking and now with this new fun you know investors going to want to see see

know investors going to want to see see

know investors going to want to see see what they have not just in terms of user

what they have not just in terms of user

what they have not just in terms of user growth which also is flatlining taking

growth which also is flatlining taking

growth which also is flatlining taking this engaged audience and then turning

this engaged audience and then turning

this engaged audience and then turning it into either a marketing vehicle to

it into either a marketing vehicle to

it into either a marketing vehicle to that audience or or to provide premium

that audience or or to provide premium

that audience or or to provide premium services for corporations that want to

services for corporations that want to

services for corporations that want to use it you know as a way to reach out to

use it you know as a way to reach out to

use it you know as a way to reach out to engage on it I can see a lot of

engage on it I can see a lot of

engage on it I can see a lot of different ways that Twitter can make

different ways that Twitter can make

different ways that Twitter can make money but I also think that if they had

money but I also think that if they had

money but I also think that if they had a revenue stream if they were making you

a revenue stream if they were making you

a revenue stream if they were making you know even they’re making 20 million

know even they’re making 20 million

know even they’re making 20 million dollars a year for 15 million dollars a

dollars a year for 15 million dollars a

dollars a year for 15 million dollars a year then that would have given the

year then that would have given the

year then that would have given the investors something to value the company

investors something to value the company

investors something to value the company on it would be some multiple of whatever

on it would be some multiple of whatever

on it would be some multiple of whatever they were making and there’s no way that

they were making and there’s no way that

they were making and there’s no way that you would have gotten two billion dollar

you would have gotten two billion dollar

you would have gotten two billion dollar valuation so in a way they were smart to

valuation so in a way they were smart to

valuation so in a way they were smart to hold off because they knew you know they

hold off because they knew you know they

hold off because they knew you know they have this they’ve been in discussions

have this they’ve been in discussions

have this they’ve been in discussions with potential acquirers right so either

with potential acquirers right so either

with potential acquirers right so either they they get acquired or they try and

they they get acquired or they try and

they they get acquired or they try and go it alone in order to go it alone they

go it alone in order to go it alone they

go it alone in order to go it alone they needed a big chunk of cash so that they

needed a big chunk of cash so that they

needed a big chunk of cash so that they can go up against facebook and go up

can go up against facebook and go up

can go up against facebook and go up against google to sort of build out

against google to sort of build out

against google to sort of build out their their their system I mean even now

their their their system I mean even now

their their their system I mean even now there’s you know it seems like daily or

there’s you know it seems like daily or

there’s you know it seems like daily or weekly issues with the with the service

weekly issues with the with the service

weekly issues with the with the service if

if

if needs to scale and be reliable for

needs to scale and be reliable for

needs to scale and be reliable for whatever reason for this very simple

whatever reason for this very simple

whatever reason for this very simple messaging service that’s a public posi

messaging service that’s a public posi

messaging service that’s a public posi private messaging service it’s a new

private messaging service it’s a new

private messaging service it’s a new form of communication really I think of

form of communication really I think of

form of communication really I think of it as this kind of somewhere between

it as this kind of somewhere between

it as this kind of somewhere between private im’s and and public blogging

private im’s and and public blogging

private im’s and and public blogging it’s like a public IM system everything

it’s like a public IM system everything

it’s like a public IM system everything on the internet that’s grown really fast

on the internet that’s grown really fast

on the internet that’s grown really fast has been some form of communication you

has been some form of communication you

has been some form of communication you take on media and content to that

take on media and content to that

take on media and content to that communication and that’s what becomes

communication and that’s what becomes

communication and that’s what becomes really powerful you know for me twitter

really powerful you know for me twitter

really powerful you know for me twitter is a its kind of the backbone of a new

is a its kind of the backbone of a new

is a its kind of the backbone of a new computing infrastructure in a way it’s

computing infrastructure in a way it’s

computing infrastructure in a way it’s not just Twitter it’s this whole idea of

not just Twitter it’s this whole idea of

not just Twitter it’s this whole idea of these streams so the information and

these streams so the information and

these streams so the information and that’s why I think you’re seeing

that’s why I think you’re seeing

that’s why I think you’re seeing Facebook totally is that what recast

Facebook totally is that what recast

Facebook totally is that what recast itself is Facebook and Mark Zuckerberg

itself is Facebook and Mark Zuckerberg

itself is Facebook and Mark Zuckerberg Twitter Envy is that a smart gut or

Twitter Envy is that a smart gut or

Twitter Envy is that a smart gut or strategic decision or direction I’ve

strategic decision or direction I’ve

strategic decision or direction I’ve been very impressed with how quickly

been very impressed with how quickly

been very impressed with how quickly that company which is already a pretty

that company which is already a pretty

that company which is already a pretty large company has been able to almost

large company has been able to almost

large company has been able to almost turn on a dime focus on this area either

turn on a dime focus on this area either

turn on a dime focus on this area either that’s the right bet or it’s the wrong

that’s the right bet or it’s the wrong

that’s the right bet or it’s the wrong bit but obviously the folks at Facebook

bit but obviously the folks at Facebook

bit but obviously the folks at Facebook believe strongly in the stream as a sort

believe strongly in the stream as a sort

believe strongly in the stream as a sort of metaphor for how you consume

of metaphor for how you consume

of metaphor for how you consume information and they’re emphasizing it

information and they’re emphasizing it

information and they’re emphasizing it and you know growing faster than Twitter

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