[Music]
in April
for the first time father of a daughter and
that is very nice but it is mainly
also very exciting and the last
months and I think like a lot
I think very much about future parents
about my own upbringing and my own
parents and how my own parents do it
have completed parenthood
what they find important and what they do me
wanted to give
emotional intellectual financial
with those thoughts in my mind
I want to have it with you today
about the future of work and on a whole
intimately interwoven therewith
the changing role of family inheritance
and legacy in our society
I wanted to give my daughter later
or omission
that is the question I am here tonight with
you want to discuss and short it
the answer is as little as possible
but before I go on, I want
basically what hands look as straight as
some of you have parents
who had a dream and actually
who would like you to have a certain profession
would exercise
which of you has had parents who
had a dream for you who wanted it
you wanted that in you
footsteps would occur or them would
surpass
oh yes yes I see here and there started the
my father wanted an engineer
went like he was a whole
another question which of the parents
you think his kids are practical
to be able to give skills to that
can be useful later on
job market
oh a lot more hands
in the end I am not an engineer
become like my father liked
wanted but I am going history
studying something I like as a child
was already very interested in and the
last years
I fill my fascination with the past
with a fascination for the future
how can we be on a sensible and
productive way to think about that what
coming
that is or in our futurology practice
to answer that question we look
and our photos mortgage both
back in time as forward in time
actually did not have any crazy at all
combination because like the famous one
science fiction writer william phlips
once again a beautiful remarked both
history as physiological
actually speculative
disciplines both after, of course, is
philology what less speculative than
history but so to say
actually something about the here and there
now
and we define philology as
the art of positioning yourself in it
present
so by looking at tomorrow we learn
about today by thinking about
tomorrow we also inspire our actions
today
photo of course can be done
Unlike history
base on written sources or
found artifacts and that’s why I want to
bring you in one today
speculative scenario
I take you in a sequence
possible future anecdotes that us
hopefully something about the
future of working and how we think
about family I said to you
gladly introduce it to
rania of rania earring is of ear shot
already the fifth female
the mayor of Amsterdam
and at the moment that this story begins
are just on point
this keeps the old-fashioned looking cat you
to climb
because it is the year 2028 and the day is
July 17 it is nice and pleasant weather and
tech with blue from the sky flying here
and some care drones along
on the background of rania is ruigoord
to see the old village in the hair and their
old harbor area of amsterdam
so rania her notes
looks back because she needs a speech
to give
talking to other people present a whole
just very animated with one
on a human being and the robot one
so-called
autonomous decentralized entity
the robot has four arms in one of them
his hands he holds a pair of scissors and
in his other
with his other three hands he shakes
elegantly the hands of the note present
parts
rania looks a bit confused
to and think let me start
ladies and gentlemen
decentralized autonomous entity
I’ll be right at home with the door
fall the age of constantly
growing world trade
is behind us the seaport has her
longest time had not only been in
Amsterdam
but even in rotterdam worldwide
nowadays robots produce cheaper
than the cheapest worker in one
low wage countries used to pay the wages
to move production to
low-wage countries with few places
environmental legislation
nowadays it pays for the
production of goods again close to the
place the consumer
because not only are the goods so
faster with the consumer
this way can also be faster
the city has become recycled
to an inexhaustible mine of
raw materials and we of the municipality
Amsterdam
puts a 100% on a completely sustainable
economy and cybernetic transport
production revolution is as far as we are concerned and
also a first step towards a complete
automated
cradle to cradle ‘economy an economy
without exploitation and without waste
and now I want to give the floor
hendrik jan the robot with the
cutting the ribbon first
autonomous economic zone of Europe ga
to open the autonomous economic ears
dashboard
what we from the story of rania
maybe take it when we turn it on
her word must then believe in
the year 2048
man the least productive factor
become in the production landscape or
in the production process
des port the old port area of
Amsterdam has become an autonomous one
cybernetic production landscape one
place without human
work and if you think about it sometimes
often it will not run than I want
you like to introduce to the
tree to
this cool look the machine
about the size of a form of one
good room was between 83 and 85 the
fastest supercomputer in the world
he was really fast and he was consuming
therefore a whopping 15 million dollars
per Unit
he was far ahead of his time, but he was
was not as powerful as this machine
this computer is twice as powerful
if the cry increases and only costs a few
a hundred dollars and you can
maybe imagine what another two
decades of development and innovation
in ICT can mean for how we
think about
work because the faster a computer becomes
the better
a computer can perceive and how
faster a computer board the better one
robot can move and the better a robot
can move and observe the more jobs
who can take over from us
it is not for nothing yet
of the 10 richest people on earth
five of those 10 have become rich with
computers
We are going back to the future again
it is now five years later it is 2043 and
once again we are face to face with rania
of ear shot
after eight years of mayor purchase
amsterdam is now the minister
employment in the second cabinet
thieme
the newspaper dissection of a Dutch
politics
I am immediately wired outside of you
[Music]
again she is about to
press conference and in her
head is the most important
press conference of their lives because they
is going to be the most important
announce the law of the century
dear Dutch pride I can give you
from announce that this morning on May 2nd
2000 43 our parliament the law universal
basic income and inheritance tax
has assumed as you know
has the development of self-learning
algorithms and advanced robotics
the job market is completely turned upside down
the middle class has shrunk considerably and
work in permanent employment is rare
and this is as you know
a direct threat to our
democracy
that without a big middle class
actually can not continue our existence
factories produce more than ever but
fewer and fewer people can feel this
products afford the immediate
introduction of 100% inheritance tax
ensures all wealth
all added value flows back to
society is universal
basic income then took care of the
this wealth this added value
again is distributed among all
adult members of society
In short, the legislation passed by this morning
the parliament has been introduced
that our robots our drones in our
computers work on abundance and not
to scarcity again like this would
anecdote have been able to learn is in 2043
replace the middle class with
robots and smart algorithms and this
does not conclude our perspective at all
such a crazy development or and one
unbelievable development
once middle class jobs are extra
sensitive
hear before the digital revolution for the
effects
digital jobs are namely or him
middle class job is reasonable
wrap it actively and work with fixed data
sets
but this is not just it
few of them and middle class no longer
a problem from politics it is
especially if he has the sight lines problem
from an employment perspective
it is mainly a problem from the
politics because it is the middle class
foundation of the democratic order of
the democratic constitutional state without
middle class
the rule of law can not really
otys the middle class that exist
gives shape to society and it is the
middle class that all
interest groups shape our country
it is the middle class that actually it
Civil society
Keeping it up is also the
middle class does not benefit most from
an independent case law
We are going back to the future again
rania that evening as her best
speech just
sits at the table with the world
still runs through nasa is matthijs
from new church the ancient but still
always vital presenter
look what ice it was so easy
today in parliament because the law
universal basic income inheritance tax
both by left and right
supported
And that is logical as well
one and sites to freedom and
emancipation of the individual and that is
a liberal theme and at the same time
is about social security and that is
again the very left theme
No , you have to listen to matthijs
I look at matthijs what is beautiful is that
from now everyone starts on an equal footing
to life with a clean slate
exempt from economic or parental
anchors
you can still become a millionaire by
new we are even smarter robots
like to find it as just expire this one
robots after your life
to society as a whole and
nothing bad about your children
so the richer you become, the richer the
society as a whole becomes in 1970
alvin wrote toffler and famous
american futurologist
of the corn you the term future shock and
with that referred to the kill in the
confusion and disorientation
his eyes
accompanied by a society such as
ours took society very seriously
is led by continuously we
technological innovation and though that
this wrote in 1970
are his words actually still
very accurate because the latest trend
For example, in the labor is that
the employee must live for a lifetime
to learn
the employee is now an eternal one
become a student
he will never become a teacher again
professor
in fact, the older the employee becomes
and the more work experience he has how
harder he would have to go block the
teachers of today are the children
because they are in their twenties and
people in their thirties who are new
invent technology and new ones
bring disruptive startups to the market
there are according to the forties and
people in their fifties and sixties
society that is a hat of this
start scaring and back to the
school desks need what you have yesterday
so it is already something that is learned tomorrow
become meaningless and now it does
we are not fast right now we are we
proceed to the abolition of the
material inheritance or in rani correct
be the introduction of a 100%
inheritance tax
but as the nature of work changes
also changes the way we will
think about family life in the past
we support the facets in many more ways
family than now used to care for family
had for health care for education
in front of
years out for protection
all facets that now by the
society wants outside by institutions
the family atmosphere
be completed and the individual is
thereby actually free to free
to fill in their own life course
separate from the luggage of the family and the
family on the other hand is also free
free to actually focus on
what the family can do best and that is
namely the development and maintenance
of healthy emotional ties and if
might actually not so crazy
for perhaps all that material was
tasks that the family also had
Maybe they were in the way of that
one task, namely learning to love
back to my upcoming paternity I
sincerely hope that my daughter does not mine
money needs to find its way
can jobs in an unfair and
unequal world
I hope they do whatever I thereto
can give himself a life to shape
thank you
[Applause]
”
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