so are you an optimist do you expect that good things will happen are you at
that good things will happen are you at
that good things will happen are you at the last half-full kind of person the
the last half-full kind of person the
the last half-full kind of person the pressure to be positive has never been
pressure to be positive has never been
pressure to be positive has never been greater positive psychology has become a
greater positive psychology has become a
greater positive psychology has become a happy smiling juggernaut spawning
happy smiling juggernaut spawning
happy smiling juggernaut spawning billion dollar group sales and a
billion dollar group sales and a
billion dollar group sales and a lucrative coaching industry aimed at
lucrative coaching industry aimed at
lucrative coaching industry aimed at making the world more optimistic and
making the world more optimistic and
making the world more optimistic and it’s working major corporations no
it’s working major corporations no
it’s working major corporations no higher happiness experts the US Army
higher happiness experts the US Army
higher happiness experts the US Army currently trains its soldiers in
currently trains its soldiers in
currently trains its soldiers in positive thinking in the UK they teach
positive thinking in the UK they teach
positive thinking in the UK they teach optimism in schools and talk across the
optimism in schools and talk across the
optimism in schools and talk across the world government policy advisors however
world government policy advisors however
world government policy advisors however done talking about the happiness index
done talking about the happiness index
done talking about the happiness index as a rival to GDP the unquestioned view
as a rival to GDP the unquestioned view
as a rival to GDP the unquestioned view is that optimism is good pessimism is
is that optimism is good pessimism is
is that optimism is good pessimism is bad if you search amazon for roots or
bad if you search amazon for roots or
bad if you search amazon for roots or negative thinking almost all of them are
negative thinking almost all of them are
negative thinking almost all of them are negative assuming the pessimism is
negative assuming the pessimism is
negative assuming the pessimism is something to be cured of like a disease
something to be cured of like a disease
something to be cured of like a disease but whatever our assumptions of our
but whatever our assumptions of our
but whatever our assumptions of our optimism are wrong last week my daughter
optimism are wrong last week my daughter
optimism are wrong last week my daughter took this photograph in the forest near
took this photograph in the forest near
took this photograph in the forest near our home as you can see it’s beautiful
our home as you can see it’s beautiful
our home as you can see it’s beautiful at this time of the year the snow is
at this time of the year the snow is
at this time of the year the snow is crisp air is pure but should I be afraid
crisp air is pure but should I be afraid
crisp air is pure but should I be afraid that hiding somewhere in these woods
that hiding somewhere in these woods
that hiding somewhere in these woods is a dangerous bear woken early from
is a dangerous bear woken early from
is a dangerous bear woken early from hibernation or is this just a negative
hibernation or is this just a negative
hibernation or is this just a negative thought spoiling another one’s pleasant
thought spoiling another one’s pleasant
thought spoiling another one’s pleasant walk in the woods faced with this exact
walk in the woods faced with this exact
walk in the woods faced with this exact scenario our ancestors could meet one of
scenario our ancestors could meet one of
scenario our ancestors could meet one of two mistakes
two mistakes
two mistakes mistake number one they could think that
mistake number one they could think that
mistake number one they could think that there was a beer in the woods when
there was a beer in the woods when
there was a beer in the woods when actually the
actually the
actually the or mystique number two they could think
or mystique number two they could think
or mystique number two they could think of it there wasn’t a bearded once when
of it there wasn’t a bearded once when
of it there wasn’t a bearded once when actually there was one the cost of
actually there was one the cost of
actually there was one the cost of making the first mistake was needless
making the first mistake was needless
making the first mistake was needless anxiety endless hours of unnecessary
anxiety endless hours of unnecessary
anxiety endless hours of unnecessary stress the cost of making the second
stress the cost of making the second
stress the cost of making the second mistake was death this is why when you
mistake was death this is why when you
mistake was death this is why when you study history you never ever read of the
study history you never ever read of the
study history you never ever read of the tribal optimists they died being
tribal optimists they died being
tribal optimists they died being pessimistic expecting the worst was what
pessimistic expecting the worst was what
pessimistic expecting the worst was what gave our ancestors an edge they kept
gave our ancestors an edge they kept
gave our ancestors an edge they kept them alive and give them a 1% over their
them alive and give them a 1% over their
them alive and give them a 1% over their happy soon to be extinct friends we know
happy soon to be extinct friends we know
happy soon to be extinct friends we know that when we feel happy we get a kick of
that when we feel happy we get a kick of
that when we feel happy we get a kick of the brains happy drug oxytocin this is
the brains happy drug oxytocin this is
the brains happy drug oxytocin this is why feeling happy feels happy however
why feeling happy feels happy however
why feeling happy feels happy however studies have shown that the downside of
studies have shown that the downside of
studies have shown that the downside of oxytocin is that it reduces our ability
oxytocin is that it reduces our ability
oxytocin is that it reduces our ability to identify threads in 2011 the social
to identify threads in 2011 the social
to identify threads in 2011 the social psychologist Joseph poorgrass conducted
psychologist Joseph poorgrass conducted
psychologist Joseph poorgrass conducted an experiment at the University of New
an experiment at the University of New
an experiment at the University of New South Wales in which people were divided
South Wales in which people were divided
South Wales in which people were divided into two groups according to whether
into two groups according to whether
into two groups according to whether they were in a good mood or a bad mood
they were in a good mood or a bad mood
they were in a good mood or a bad mood whether their glass was half full or
whether their glass was half full or
whether their glass was half full or half empty they were then asked to judge
half empty they were then asked to judge
half empty they were then asked to judge the truth of certain elements such as
the truth of certain elements such as
the truth of certain elements such as two parallels cause cancer did the CIA
two parallels cause cancer did the CIA
two parallels cause cancer did the CIA murder Kennedy and they discovered that
murder Kennedy and they discovered that
murder Kennedy and they discovered that the happy people were far more gullible
the happy people were far more gullible
the happy people were far more gullible than their gloomy counterparts and that
than their gloomy counterparts and that
than their gloomy counterparts and that in contrast those unencumbered by
in contrast those unencumbered by
in contrast those unencumbered by happiness and optimism were far less
happiness and optimism were far less
happiness and optimism were far less likely to meet errors of judgment it
likely to meet errors of judgment it
likely to meet errors of judgment it seems that the happier and more
seems that the happier and more
seems that the happier and more optimistic are the less evil humor to
optimistic are the less evil humor to
optimistic are the less evil humor to identify threats to spot dangers and to
identify threats to spot dangers and to
identify threats to spot dangers and to pick up more falsehoods this is why when
pick up more falsehoods this is why when
pick up more falsehoods this is why when you Netflix and
you Netflix and
you Netflix and an innocent cuddle that makes you feel
an innocent cuddle that makes you feel
an innocent cuddle that makes you feel happy sometimes these to begin here that
happy sometimes these to begin here that
happy sometimes these to begin here that you major regret and a totally wasn’t
you major regret and a totally wasn’t
you major regret and a totally wasn’t your fault it was just the oxytocin if
your fault it was just the oxytocin if
your fault it was just the oxytocin if you were in a bad mood it would never
you were in a bad mood it would never
you were in a bad mood it would never have happened in 2006 two professors of
have happened in 2006 two professors of
have happened in 2006 two professors of Finance from Duke University Matthew
Finance from Duke University Matthew
Finance from Duke University Matthew Premium David Robertson studied to the
Premium David Robertson studied to the
Premium David Robertson studied to the financial choices of extreme optimists
they discovered that optimists are more
they discovered that optimists are more prone to reckless behavior than there
prone to reckless behavior than there
prone to reckless behavior than there has been more slightly more pessimistic
has been more slightly more pessimistic
has been more slightly more pessimistic friends they concluded that optimists
friends they concluded that optimists
friends they concluded that optimists work fewer hours save less money and are
work fewer hours save less money and are
work fewer hours save less money and are less likely to pay their credit cards
less likely to pay their credit cards
less likely to pay their credit cards and then they said check this out a
and then they said check this out a
and then they said check this out a little optimist of me beneficial but too
little optimist of me beneficial but too
little optimist of me beneficial but too much can lead to some really bad
much can lead to some really bad
much can lead to some really bad economic choices so here you have two I
economic choices so here you have two I
economic choices so here you have two I would imagine normally circumspect
would imagine normally circumspect
would imagine normally circumspect professors over let’s face it boring a
professors over let’s face it boring a
professors over let’s face it boring a subject like finance using some rather
subject like finance using some rather
subject like finance using some rather flowery vocabulary we’re noticing that
flowery vocabulary we’re noticing that
flowery vocabulary we’re noticing that optimism can lead to not just bad but
optimism can lead to not just bad but
optimism can lead to not just bad but really bad economic choices so should it
really bad economic choices so should it
really bad economic choices so should it concern us then that the happiness
concern us then that the happiness
concern us then that the happiness industry’s number one customer is
industry’s number one customer is
industry’s number one customer is corporate North America given that an
corporate North America given that an
corporate North America given that an often underreported cause of the
often underreported cause of the
often underreported cause of the financial meltdown and youth
financial meltdown and youth
financial meltdown and youth was the business culture was overly
was the business culture was overly
was the business culture was overly optimistic and key decision-makers were
optimistic and key decision-makers were
optimistic and key decision-makers were far too positive in a culture where
far too positive in a culture where
far too positive in a culture where negativity and failure were taboo
negativity and failure were taboo
negativity and failure were taboo subjects no one stole or is allowed to
subjects no one stole or is allowed to
subjects no one stole or is allowed to see the beer eating in the woods think
see the beer eating in the woods think
see the beer eating in the woods think about it if the culture that you work is
about it if the culture that you work is
about it if the culture that you work is aggressively positive and if optimism
aggressively positive and if optimism
aggressively positive and if optimism and happiness are mandatory and
and happiness are mandatory and
and happiness are mandatory and negativity is forbidden and you’re not
negativity is forbidden and you’re not
negativity is forbidden and you’re not allowed to be the proverbial rain cloud
allowed to be the proverbial rain cloud
allowed to be the proverbial rain cloud you dare not in that environment put up
you dare not in that environment put up
you dare not in that environment put up your hand and see has got a really bad
your hand and see has got a really bad
your hand and see has got a really bad feeling about this
feeling about this
feeling about this I don’t think it’ll work and we probably
I don’t think it’ll work and we probably
I don’t think it’ll work and we probably shouldn’t do it well sometimes that’s
shouldn’t do it well sometimes that’s
shouldn’t do it well sometimes that’s exactly what you should do however many
exactly what you should do however many
exactly what you should do however many hundreds of billions of dollars has been
hundreds of billions of dollars has been
hundreds of billions of dollars has been wiped off the value of major
wiped off the value of major
wiped off the value of major corporations because these
corporations because these
corporations because these decision-makers insisted on positivity
decision-makers insisted on positivity
decision-makers insisted on positivity and forbid negativity
and forbid negativity
and forbid negativity how many major corporations have a
how many major corporations have a
how many major corporations have a ceased to exist because that was so how
ceased to exist because that was so how
ceased to exist because that was so how many new startups have been unsuccessful
many new startups have been unsuccessful
many new startups have been unsuccessful because the entrepreneurs were rearing
because the entrepreneurs were rearing
because the entrepreneurs were rearing rose-tinted spectacles and didn’t see
rose-tinted spectacles and didn’t see
rose-tinted spectacles and didn’t see the danger we know the only three out of
the danger we know the only three out of
the danger we know the only three out of every ten new businesses survived the
every ten new businesses survived the
every ten new businesses survived the first five years and yet curiously 81%
first five years and yet curiously 81%
first five years and yet curiously 81% of entrepreneurs give themselves a
of entrepreneurs give themselves a
of entrepreneurs give themselves a better than seven in ten chance of
better than seven in ten chance of
better than seven in ten chance of success it seems that too many people
success it seems that too many people
success it seems that too many people are feeling too happy but they’re too
are feeling too happy but they’re too
are feeling too happy but they’re too positive and the positive optimism is
positive and the positive optimism is
positive and the positive optimism is making them blind to danger and this is
making them blind to danger and this is
making them blind to danger and this is a problem
a problem
a problem take show me as an example this was the
take show me as an example this was the
take show me as an example this was the field attempts by the two Canadian media
field attempts by the two Canadian media
field attempts by the two Canadian media giants Rodgers and Shaw to compete with
giants Rodgers and Shaw to compete with
giants Rodgers and Shaw to compete with Netflix bald world movie when they
Netflix bald world movie when they
Netflix bald world movie when they finally admitted defeat in 2016 the
finally admitted defeat in 2016 the
finally admitted defeat in 2016 the general manager of Xiaomi said
general manager of Xiaomi said
general manager of Xiaomi said fascinating he said the business was
fascinating he said the business was
fascinating he said the business was more challenging to operate than we
more challenging to operate than we
more challenging to operate than we expected this makes me wonder what
expected this makes me wonder what
expected this makes me wonder what exactly was it they expected and the
exactly was it they expected and the
exactly was it they expected and the thing that fascinates me about this guy
thing that fascinates me about this guy
thing that fascinates me about this guy is his super-smart long track record of
is his super-smart long track record of
is his super-smart long track record of success degree in finance from Stanford
success degree in finance from Stanford
success degree in finance from Stanford and MBA from Harvard and yet in less
and MBA from Harvard and yet in less
and MBA from Harvard and yet in less than five minutes my 12 year old son saw
than five minutes my 12 year old son saw
than five minutes my 12 year old son saw a bear hiding in the woods that the
a bear hiding in the woods that the
a bear hiding in the woods that the teams of smart media savvy geniuses a
teams of smart media savvy geniuses a
teams of smart media savvy geniuses a two of Canada’s most successful
two of Canada’s most successful
two of Canada’s most successful corporations completely missed
when she launched in 2014 my son like
when she launched in 2014 my son like everyone else took a look to see if it
everyone else took a look to see if it
everyone else took a look to see if it was any good and after literally minutes
was any good and after literally minutes
was any good and after literally minutes of painstakingly detailed research
of painstakingly detailed research
of painstakingly detailed research emphatically declared dad this is
emphatically declared dad this is
emphatically declared dad this is rubbish no way this is gonna work I said
rubbish no way this is gonna work I said
rubbish no way this is gonna work I said why not he said look it’s got less
why not he said look it’s got less
why not he said look it’s got less content than Netflix it doesn’t have any
content than Netflix it doesn’t have any
content than Netflix it doesn’t have any of the good shows why would we pay for
of the good shows why would we pay for
of the good shows why would we pay for this when we’re already paying for
this when we’re already paying for
this when we’re already paying for Netflix big question but an even bigger
Netflix big question but an even bigger
Netflix big question but an even bigger question is why did any of the super
question is why did any of the super
question is why did any of the super smart
smart
smart Chintan people a two of Canada’s biggest
Chintan people a two of Canada’s biggest
Chintan people a two of Canada’s biggest was successful companies seriously think
was successful companies seriously think
was successful companies seriously think that a streaming service that hit the
that a streaming service that hit the
that a streaming service that hit the market seven years after the competitor
market seven years after the competitor
market seven years after the competitor with less content for the same price was
with less content for the same price was
with less content for the same price was going to work when obviously it wasn’t
going to work when obviously it wasn’t
going to work when obviously it wasn’t this was one beer that wasn’t even
this was one beer that wasn’t even
this was one beer that wasn’t even hiding in the woods it was there in all
hiding in the woods it was there in all
hiding in the woods it was there in all it’s scary detail for the world to see
it’s scary detail for the world to see
it’s scary detail for the world to see and yet they didn’t see it why not one
and yet they didn’t see it why not one
and yet they didn’t see it why not one possible explanation is that optimism
possible explanation is that optimism
possible explanation is that optimism made them over estimates their chances
made them over estimates their chances
made them over estimates their chances of success and underestimate at best the
of success and underestimate at best the
of success and underestimate at best the possibilities of the dangers of failure
possibilities of the dangers of failure
possibilities of the dangers of failure and here’s the thing the more success
and here’s the thing the more success
and here’s the thing the more success you’ve had in the past the more proven
you’ve had in the past the more proven
you’ve had in the past the more proven your track record is the more wins
your track record is the more wins
your track record is the more wins you’ve got under your belt
you’ve got under your belt
you’ve got under your belt the world likely you are to fall into
the world likely you are to fall into
the world likely you are to fall into this trap this is why the hugely
this trap this is why the hugely
this trap this is why the hugely successful North American auto industry
successful North American auto industry
successful North American auto industry didn’t take the threat of small cheap
didn’t take the threat of small cheap
didn’t take the threat of small cheap import
import
import from Japan seriously until it was too
from Japan seriously until it was too
from Japan seriously until it was too late this is why when the hugely
late this is why when the hugely
late this is why when the hugely successful blockbuster video were
successful blockbuster video were
successful blockbuster video were offered the chance to buy Netflix they
offered the chance to buy Netflix they
offered the chance to buy Netflix they laughed it out of the room
laughed it out of the room
laughed it out of the room they actually laughed and in this much
they actually laughed and in this much
they actually laughed and in this much time they went from being a global
time they went from being a global
time they went from being a global player in the movie rental business
player in the movie rental business
player in the movie rental business where thousands of stores worldwide with
where thousands of stores worldwide with
where thousands of stores worldwide with a market share that was so big that
a market share that was so big that
a market share that was so big that going to Blockbuster was a key part of
going to Blockbuster was a key part of
going to Blockbuster was a key part of every family’s Friday and Saturday night
every family’s Friday and Saturday night
every family’s Friday and Saturday night they went from that in this much time to
they went from that in this much time to
they went from that in this much time to extinction optimists draw way too much
extinction optimists draw way too much
extinction optimists draw way too much confidence and lead too much security
confidence and lead too much security
confidence and lead too much security from yesterday’s successes the
from yesterday’s successes the
from yesterday’s successes the pessimists are wired differently they
pessimists are wired differently they
pessimists are wired differently they were always worrying about what went
were always worrying about what went
were always worrying about what went wrong next about the dangers of the next
wrong next about the dangers of the next
wrong next about the dangers of the next challenge and they never led the vision
challenge and they never led the vision
challenge and they never led the vision of standing on the mountaintop make them
of standing on the mountaintop make them
of standing on the mountaintop make them lose sight of the dangers involved in
lose sight of the dangers involved in
lose sight of the dangers involved in getting there so let’s see that you’re
getting there so let’s see that you’re
getting there so let’s see that you’re invited to give an important
invited to give an important
invited to give an important presentation at your work and it matters
presentation at your work and it matters
presentation at your work and it matters to you your boss will be there the
to you your boss will be there the
to you your boss will be there the directors will be there you needed to go
directors will be there you needed to go
directors will be there you needed to go well now let’s see you approach that
well now let’s see you approach that
well now let’s see you approach that presentation with optimism applying a
presentation with optimism applying a
presentation with optimism applying a few of the tricks you learned from
few of the tricks you learned from
few of the tricks you learned from positive psychology so you visualize
positive psychology so you visualize
positive psychology so you visualize yourself doing an amazing job in your
yourself doing an amazing job in your
yourself doing an amazing job in your imagination you can picture your
imagination you can picture your
imagination you can picture your audience hanging up on your every word
audience hanging up on your every word
audience hanging up on your every word in your mind’s eye you can hear the
in your mind’s eye you can hear the
in your mind’s eye you can hear the thunderous applause when they finish and
thunderous applause when they finish and
thunderous applause when they finish and you can almost feel your boss’s hand pat
you can almost feel your boss’s hand pat
you can almost feel your boss’s hand pat you on the show
you on the show
you on the show as she says good job let’s have lunch
as she says good job let’s have lunch
as she says good job let’s have lunch and talk about their promotion if you
and talk about their promotion if you
and talk about their promotion if you approach your presentation with that
approach your presentation with that
approach your presentation with that level of optimism immediately confidence
level of optimism immediately confidence
level of optimism immediately confidence that is true but it is equally true that
that is true but it is equally true that
that is true but it is equally true that it may give you overconfidence and your
it may give you overconfidence and your
it may give you overconfidence and your overconfidence because you too under
overconfidence because you too under
overconfidence because you too under prepare and take success for granted and
prepare and take success for granted and
prepare and take success for granted and over loot many of the things that true
over loot many of the things that true
over loot many of the things that true to go wrong and as be pessimists will
to go wrong and as be pessimists will
to go wrong and as be pessimists will tell you there are not many things that
tell you there are not many things that
tell you there are not many things that could go wrong you can lose the USB
could go wrong you can lose the USB
could go wrong you can lose the USB that’s got their slaves five minutes
that’s got their slaves five minutes
that’s got their slaves five minutes before your presentation you could spill
before your presentation you could spill
before your presentation you could spill coffee on your nose your battery could
coffee on your nose your battery could
coffee on your nose your battery could run out of power of a laptop could crash
run out of power of a laptop could crash
run out of power of a laptop could crash it’s a nightmare but none of that
it’s a nightmare but none of that
it’s a nightmare but none of that matters to the pessimist because he saw
matters to the pessimist because he saw
matters to the pessimist because he saw those fears hiding in the woods a long
those fears hiding in the woods a long
those fears hiding in the woods a long time ago and he didn’t just prepared he
time ago and he didn’t just prepared he
time ago and he didn’t just prepared he over prepared when he was putting the
over prepared when he was putting the
over prepared when he was putting the slides on a USB he made two extra copies
slides on a USB he made two extra copies
slides on a USB he made two extra copies one for his briefcase one for Setar
one for his briefcase one for Setar
one for his briefcase one for Setar pocket when he printed out his notes he
pocket when he printed out his notes he
pocket when he printed out his notes he made a spare copy and he put the sphere
made a spare copy and he put the sphere
made a spare copy and he put the sphere copy then a plastic folder coffee no
copy then a plastic folder coffee no
copy then a plastic folder coffee no problem
problem
problem he makes sure that after he was charged
he makes sure that after he was charged
he makes sure that after he was charged and just to be extra sure he brought a
and just to be extra sure he brought a
and just to be extra sure he brought a backup laptop because you can never over
backup laptop because you can never over
backup laptop because you can never over prepare and that’s the edge that’s the
prepare and that’s the edge that’s the
prepare and that’s the edge that’s the advantage that pessimism gives you and
advantage that pessimism gives you and
advantage that pessimism gives you and that sly pessimists are often still
that sly pessimists are often still
that sly pessimists are often still standing still surviving and still
standing still surviving and still
standing still surviving and still thriving long after their happy
thriving long after their happy
thriving long after their happy counterparts have gone into extinction
counterparts have gone into extinction
counterparts have gone into extinction to speak in praise of pessimism is not
to speak in praise of pessimism is not
to speak in praise of pessimism is not to say that it’s going to read it’s just
to say that it’s going to read it’s just
to say that it’s going to read it’s just to say that this is love and it can read
to say that this is love and it can read
to say that this is love and it can read and it quite often does and umbrellas
and it quite often does and umbrellas
and it quite often does and umbrellas are a lot cheaper than ammonia and
are a lot cheaper than ammonia and
are a lot cheaper than ammonia and that’s why the world needs more
that’s why the world needs more
that’s why the world needs more pessimists I thank you
pessimists I thank you
pessimists I thank you [Applause]
”
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