September 17th 1955 a little boy walks out of his grandmother’s front door
out of his grandmother’s front door
out of his grandmother’s front door jumps off of his grandmother’s front
jumps off of his grandmother’s front
jumps off of his grandmother’s front porch he’s holding in his left hand a
porch he’s holding in his left hand a
porch he’s holding in his left hand a golf ball and in his right hand he’s
golf ball and in his right hand he’s
golf ball and in his right hand he’s holding a golf club
holding a golf club
holding a golf club his grandmother lives at the end of weed
his grandmother lives at the end of weed
his grandmother lives at the end of weed Street in Augusta Georgia which is next
Street in Augusta Georgia which is next
Street in Augusta Georgia which is next door to the Augusta Country Club not
door to the Augusta Country Club not
door to the Augusta Country Club not some national where they play the
some national where they play the
some national where they play the Masters will Augusta Country Club so all
Masters will Augusta Country Club so all
Masters will Augusta Country Club so all summer long this little four-year-old
summer long this little four-year-old
summer long this little four-year-old boy had been seeing golf balls in his
boy had been seeing golf balls in his
boy had been seeing golf balls in his grandmother’s yard so on this particular
grandmother’s yard so on this particular
grandmother’s yard so on this particular day he decides that he is going to hit a
day he decides that he is going to hit a
day he decides that he is going to hit a golf ball into the future
golf ball into the future
golf ball into the future so he’d been playing with his cousin
so he’d been playing with his cousin
so he’d been playing with his cousin Elaine who’s just two months older been
Elaine who’s just two months older been
Elaine who’s just two months older been playing with his brother who’s two years
playing with his brother who’s two years
playing with his brother who’s two years younger his mother had just given birth
younger his mother had just given birth
younger his mother had just given birth to his sister and his father was away in
to his sister and his father was away in
to his sister and his father was away in college at South Carolina State this
college at South Carolina State this
college at South Carolina State this little boy on this day steps off of his
little boy on this day steps off of his
little boy on this day steps off of his grandmother’s front porch and the only
grandmother’s front porch and the only
grandmother’s front porch and the only thing he’s thinking about is to hit this
thing he’s thinking about is to hit this
thing he’s thinking about is to hit this golf ball as far as he can he swings at
golf ball as far as he can he swings at
golf ball as far as he can he swings at the golf ball and he misses and instead
the golf ball and he misses and instead
the golf ball and he misses and instead he hits a piece of glass that goes up
he hits a piece of glass that goes up
he hits a piece of glass that goes up into the air and it falls on his left
into the air and it falls on his left
into the air and it falls on his left shoulder yeah actually it doesn’t it
shoulder yeah actually it doesn’t it
shoulder yeah actually it doesn’t it falls on his right shoulder actually it
falls on his right shoulder actually it
falls on his right shoulder actually it doesn’t it falls on top of his head no
doesn’t it falls on top of his head no
doesn’t it falls on top of his head no it doesn’t it actually falls into his
it doesn’t it actually falls into his
it doesn’t it actually falls into his left eye so ever since that day then
left eye so ever since that day then
left eye so ever since that day then little boy cute as he can be it’s been
little boy cute as he can be it’s been
little boy cute as he can be it’s been blind on his left side suppose I have to
blind on his left side suppose I have to
blind on his left side suppose I have to do with the future one of the things
do with the future one of the things
do with the future one of the things that I have learned over the many years
that I have learned over the many years
that I have learned over the many years of studying the future and being acutely
of studying the future and being acutely
of studying the future and being acutely aware of the importance of sight is that
aware of the importance of sight is that
aware of the importance of sight is that just because you have eyesight doesn’t
just because you have eyesight doesn’t
just because you have eyesight doesn’t mean that you aren’t blind
mean that you aren’t blind
mean that you aren’t blind in fact what I would recognize is that
in fact what I would recognize is that
in fact what I would recognize is that people would be looking right at
people would be looking right at
people would be looking right at something and they would never see it
something and they would never see it
something and they would never see it think about that for just a minute
think about that for just a minute
think about that for just a minute looking right at something people with
looking right at something people with
looking right at something people with perfectly good sight eyesight but they
perfectly good sight eyesight but they
perfectly good sight eyesight but they would not see what they were seeing the
would not see what they were seeing the
would not see what they were seeing the other thing I’ve taken from this
other thing I’ve taken from this
other thing I’ve taken from this experience is being blind does it mean
experience is being blind does it mean
experience is being blind does it mean that you won’t have vision it’s one of
that you won’t have vision it’s one of
that you won’t have vision it’s one of the most interesting things if you look
the most interesting things if you look
the most interesting things if you look back at human history you think about
back at human history you think about
back at human history you think about people like Thomas Edison who couldn’t
people like Thomas Edison who couldn’t
people like Thomas Edison who couldn’t here would give us the photograph or
here would give us the photograph or
here would give us the photograph or would be Beethoven who could do would be
would be Beethoven who could do would be
would be Beethoven who could do would be able to hear but we’d get the 9th
able to hear but we’d get the 9th
able to hear but we’d get the 9th century you could just go back through
century you could just go back through
century you could just go back through history you find all these wonderful
history you find all these wonderful
history you find all these wonderful examples of where a person wouldn’t have
examples of where a person wouldn’t have
examples of where a person wouldn’t have a particular gift or a particular sense
a particular gift or a particular sense
a particular gift or a particular sense or a particular skill and that would be
or a particular skill and that would be
or a particular skill and that would be the very person who will provide insight
the very person who will provide insight
the very person who will provide insight into another way of doing something
into another way of doing something
into another way of doing something everybody else thought maybe somebody
everybody else thought maybe somebody
everybody else thought maybe somebody else should do but it turns out that
else should do but it turns out that
else should do but it turns out that being blind on my left side didn’t
being blind on my left side didn’t
being blind on my left side didn’t really give me a disadvantage when it
really give me a disadvantage when it
really give me a disadvantage when it came to the future because we all share
came to the future because we all share
came to the future because we all share the same thing when it comes to the
the same thing when it comes to the
the same thing when it comes to the future we’re all blind why is that
future we’re all blind why is that
future we’re all blind why is that because we don’t really look at the
because we don’t really look at the
because we don’t really look at the future with our eyes we see it with our
future with our eyes we see it with our
future with our eyes we see it with our mind that’s it we see it with our mind
mind that’s it we see it with our mind
mind that’s it we see it with our mind let me give an example in fact these
let me give an example in fact these
let me give an example in fact these days you’ll notice that there’s a lot of
days you’ll notice that there’s a lot of
days you’ll notice that there’s a lot of research being done on something called
research being done on something called
research being done on something called inattentive blindness or change
inattentive blindness or change
inattentive blindness or change blindness I remember recently looking at
blindness I remember recently looking at
blindness I remember recently looking at a video done by the Harvard faculty in
a video done by the Harvard faculty in
a video done by the Harvard faculty in which they examine the idea of a person
which they examine the idea of a person
which they examine the idea of a person just get this for a minute okay a person
just get this for a minute okay a person
just get this for a minute okay a person checks in at a conference one person
checks in at a conference one person
checks in at a conference one person checks in the person who’s doing their
checks in the person who’s doing their
checks in the person who’s doing their checking in jumps down below the desk
checking in jumps down below the desk
checking in jumps down below the desk and another person comes out the person
and another person comes out the person
and another person comes out the person who is doing the check again doesn’t
who is doing the check again doesn’t
who is doing the check again doesn’t actually know that the person has
actually know that the person has
actually know that the person has changed hasn’t paid really attention you
changed hasn’t paid really attention you
changed hasn’t paid really attention you can think of another example of where
can think of another example of where
can think of another example of where you may have seen the video where people
you may have seen the video where people
you may have seen the video where people were asking for directions in a foreign
were asking for directions in a foreign
were asking for directions in a foreign country
country
country and so the person would ask for
and so the person would ask for
and so the person would ask for directions the person who somehow
directions the person who somehow
directions the person who somehow another would switch off the people
another would switch off the people
another would switch off the people between asking for the directions and
between asking for the directions and
between asking for the directions and given the directions the person who has
given the directions the person who has
given the directions the person who has been asking for the directions doesn’t
been asking for the directions doesn’t
been asking for the directions doesn’t know that the person has changed
know that the person has changed
know that the person has changed we don’t pay very much attention so
we don’t pay very much attention so
we don’t pay very much attention so there are lots of examples of where
there are lots of examples of where
there are lots of examples of where we’re future blind I’ll give you another
we’re future blind I’ll give you another
we’re future blind I’ll give you another example first of all when we think about
example first of all when we think about
example first of all when we think about change and as I said we don’t see change
change and as I said we don’t see change
change and as I said we don’t see change through our eyes it’s through our mind
through our eyes it’s through our mind
through our eyes it’s through our mind we have these assumptions about how
we have these assumptions about how
we have these assumptions about how change unfolds we think it’s linear
change unfolds we think it’s linear
change unfolds we think it’s linear turns out that it’s not that way at all
turns out that it’s not that way at all
turns out that it’s not that way at all it’s logarithmic so we have some
it’s logarithmic so we have some
it’s logarithmic so we have some assumptions about change that helps us
assumptions about change that helps us
assumptions about change that helps us to sometimes be future blind now all the
to sometimes be future blind now all the
to sometimes be future blind now all the things that happen what’s the future
things that happen what’s the future
things that happen what’s the future noticing in around us we don’t listen
noticing in around us we don’t listen
noticing in around us we don’t listen very well I remember when I was living
very well I remember when I was living
very well I remember when I was living in North Carolina this would have been
in North Carolina this would have been
in North Carolina this would have been in the early 90s and I’d gone into a
in the early 90s and I’d gone into a
in the early 90s and I’d gone into a McDonald’s in Pinehurst North Carolina
McDonald’s in Pinehurst North Carolina
McDonald’s in Pinehurst North Carolina and I noticed that in the background
and I noticed that in the background
and I noticed that in the background there was not one single person speaking
there was not one single person speaking
there was not one single person speaking English that was the clue that something
English that was the clue that something
English that was the clue that something was happening with the demographics I
was happening with the demographics I
was happening with the demographics I remember going into a KFC in Clements
remember going into a KFC in Clements
remember going into a KFC in Clements North Carolina at about 1995 and I
North Carolina at about 1995 and I
North Carolina at about 1995 and I noticed then that the burglar the the
noticed then that the burglar the the
noticed then that the burglar the the notice on the window for checking out
notice on the window for checking out
notice on the window for checking out when you would check out your food they
when you would check out your food they
when you would check out your food they had changed the sign from English to
had changed the sign from English to
had changed the sign from English to Spanish which was suggesting that there
Spanish which was suggesting that there
Spanish which was suggesting that there was no money in the safe and indication
was no money in the safe and indication
was no money in the safe and indication something had changed another way of
something had changed another way of
something had changed another way of thinking about the future that we missed
thinking about the future that we missed
thinking about the future that we missed sometimes there was a clue in terms of
sometimes there was a clue in terms of
sometimes there was a clue in terms of language demographics I’d gone to a Taco
language demographics I’d gone to a Taco
language demographics I’d gone to a Taco Bell and you know this is what I’m
Bell and you know this is what I’m
Bell and you know this is what I’m really suggesting here is that there’s
really suggesting here is that there’s
really suggesting here is that there’s so many different ways that the future
so many different ways that the future
so many different ways that the future will reveal itself to us and I was
will reveal itself to us and I was
will reveal itself to us and I was noticing in 1996 that there was some
noticing in 1996 that there was some
noticing in 1996 that there was some middle-aged woman serving Taco Bell’s in
middle-aged woman serving Taco Bell’s in
middle-aged woman serving Taco Bell’s in the middle of the day something was
the middle of the day something was
the middle of the day something was happening with aging and a chick-fil-a
happening with aging and a chick-fil-a
happening with aging and a chick-fil-a and
and
and about 1998 I’m noticing that after 10
about 1998 I’m noticing that after 10
about 1998 I’m noticing that after 10 o’clock the only young person in there
o’clock the only young person in there
o’clock the only young person in there is one young person everybody else is
is one young person everybody else is
is one young person everybody else is over 865 aging there are all kinds of
over 865 aging there are all kinds of
over 865 aging there are all kinds of clues that the future will give to us
clues that the future will give to us
clues that the future will give to us but we’re not looking at them for
but we’re not looking at them for
but we’re not looking at them for example if you were to go to if you pay
example if you were to go to if you pay
example if you were to go to if you pay attention to the next time when you’re
attention to the next time when you’re
attention to the next time when you’re in the airport notice how many people
in the airport notice how many people
in the airport notice how many people are using wheelchairs or notice the next
are using wheelchairs or notice the next
are using wheelchairs or notice the next time you go to the grocery store and you
time you go to the grocery store and you
time you go to the grocery store and you see how many parking lots how many times
see how many parking lots how many times
see how many parking lots how many times those parking spaces are now for the
those parking spaces are now for the
those parking spaces are now for the disabled over time you can see that the
disabled over time you can see that the
disabled over time you can see that the future reveals itself to us so we see
future reveals itself to us so we see
future reveals itself to us so we see the future we can look right at it but
the future we can look right at it but
the future we can look right at it but we won’t really see it because we’re
we won’t really see it because we’re
we won’t really see it because we’re seeing it in our minds we have these we
seeing it in our minds we have these we
seeing it in our minds we have these we have these preconceived ideas about what
have these preconceived ideas about what
have these preconceived ideas about what things should be and how they should be
things should be and how they should be
things should be and how they should be so I’ll tell you example of how that
so I’ll tell you example of how that
so I’ll tell you example of how that urban got the future wrong plus you
urban got the future wrong plus you
urban got the future wrong plus you would expect as the futures that I would
would expect as the futures that I would
would expect as the futures that I would get the future right exactly
get the future right exactly
get the future right exactly 1997 now I have been interviewing
1997 now I have been interviewing
1997 now I have been interviewing randomly young black people about the
randomly young black people about the
randomly young black people about the future randomly for 40 over 40 years and
future randomly for 40 over 40 years and
future randomly for 40 over 40 years and I started noticing there was something
I started noticing there was something
I started noticing there was something changing within the black community
changing within the black community
changing within the black community around the mid 90s and I am one
around the mid 90s and I am one
around the mid 90s and I am one afternoon at a football game I noticed
afternoon at a football game I noticed
afternoon at a football game I noticed this one young kid who had a book bag
this one young kid who had a book bag
this one young kid who had a book bag and he was keeping it a secret every
and he was keeping it a secret every
and he was keeping it a secret every once in a while he’d take the book out
once in a while he’d take the book out
once in a while he’d take the book out and he’d read it at a football game
and he’d read it at a football game
and he’d read it at a football game turns out he was reading Harry Potter
turns out he was reading Harry Potter
turns out he was reading Harry Potter but he didn’t want anybody to know about
but he didn’t want anybody to know about
but he didn’t want anybody to know about it later on I would find the same group
it later on I would find the same group
it later on I would find the same group of people who were hiding something
of people who were hiding something
of people who were hiding something about their identity and it was an
about their identity and it was an
about their identity and it was an indication that something might be
indication that something might be
indication that something might be happening within America that would
happening within America that would
happening within America that would change what we would think about
change what we would think about
change what we would think about political leadership so over the next
political leadership so over the next
political leadership so over the next few years I tracked this group who would
few years I tracked this group who would
few years I tracked this group who would be reading Harry Potter among other
be reading Harry Potter among other
be reading Harry Potter among other things they spoke other languages and I
things they spoke other languages and I
things they spoke other languages and I eventually wrote a piece called the
eventually wrote a piece called the
eventually wrote a piece called the arrival of the throttles of which I
arrival of the throttles of which I
arrival of the throttles of which I described who the first black president
described who the first black president
described who the first black president of the United States would be you have
of the United States would be you have
of the United States would be you have to imagine in the 90s somebody writing
to imagine in the 90s somebody writing
to imagine in the 90s somebody writing about the first black president
about the first black president
about the first black president the united states and i said that her
the united states and i said that her
the united states and i said that her name would be Shaniqua Naqada herrera
name would be Shaniqua Naqada herrera
name would be Shaniqua Naqada herrera Iowa Hiawatha Washington Jones okay so I
Iowa Hiawatha Washington Jones okay so I
Iowa Hiawatha Washington Jones okay so I got the name wrong but I got the face
got the name wrong but I got the face
got the name wrong but I got the face right and you get the idea so that’s an
right and you get the idea so that’s an
right and you get the idea so that’s an example of how I was wrong I’ve got
example of how I was wrong I’ve got
example of how I was wrong I’ve got other examples too but what about you so
other examples too but what about you so
other examples too but what about you so here we are we just had this major event
here we are we just had this major event
here we are we just had this major event to happen and I can say safely that most
to happen and I can say safely that most
to happen and I can say safely that most of us did not expected this what
of us did not expected this what
of us did not expected this what happened why because we believed in so
happened why because we believed in so
happened why because we believed in so much data is that it probably not what I
much data is that it probably not what I
much data is that it probably not what I suspect has happened is that we were not
suspect has happened is that we were not
suspect has happened is that we were not listening to each other we would look
listening to each other we would look
listening to each other we would look but we wouldn’t see we would listen but
but we wouldn’t see we would listen but
but we wouldn’t see we would listen but we wouldn’t hear this is why this is a
we wouldn’t hear this is why this is a
we wouldn’t hear this is why this is a it’s such a surprise to us but it’s not
it’s such a surprise to us but it’s not
it’s such a surprise to us but it’s not a surprise to everybody somebody knew
a surprise to everybody somebody knew
a surprise to everybody somebody knew this transformation was underway and
this transformation was underway and
this transformation was underway and that is exactly how the future will come
that is exactly how the future will come
that is exactly how the future will come to us I don’t think it is a surprise and
to us I don’t think it is a surprise and
to us I don’t think it is a surprise and that’s one of the assumptions we have
that’s one of the assumptions we have
that’s one of the assumptions we have about the future that it is hidden what
about the future that it is hidden what
about the future that it is hidden what I have found is that if you just pay
I have found is that if you just pay
I have found is that if you just pay attention to your environment the future
attention to your environment the future
attention to your environment the future would give you clues all the time all
would give you clues all the time all
would give you clues all the time all the time we in other words we got future
the time we in other words we got future
the time we in other words we got future pranked by the election some people did
pranked by the election some people did
pranked by the election some people did but so what’s a useful way of looking
but so what’s a useful way of looking
but so what’s a useful way of looking forward to the future as we go out to
forward to the future as we go out to
forward to the future as we go out to 2040 – obviously I teach in the
2040 – obviously I teach in the
2040 – obviously I teach in the management program and so I think the
management program and so I think the
management program and so I think the management lense is a useful one and I
management lense is a useful one and I
management lense is a useful one and I think this state been here by Peter
think this state been here by Peter
think this state been here by Peter Drucker looking at the relationship
Drucker looking at the relationship
Drucker looking at the relationship between technology and humans is a great
between technology and humans is a great
between technology and humans is a great way of thinking about these next 22 to
way of thinking about these next 22 to
way of thinking about these next 22 to 30 years let me walk you through a
30 years let me walk you through a
30 years let me walk you through a scenario of how I think we can best be
scenario of how I think we can best be
scenario of how I think we can best be able to understand what possibly could
able to understand what possibly could
able to understand what possibly could happen I’m gonna use the term
happen I’m gonna use the term
happen I’m gonna use the term singularity and I suspected in the
singularity and I suspected in the
singularity and I suspected in the audience like this most of us already
audience like this most of us already
audience like this most of us already are aware of what singularities be but
are aware of what singularities be but
are aware of what singularities be but for the basis of today I’m going to be
for the basis of today I’m going to be
for the basis of today I’m going to be talking about the clash of the
talking about the clash of the
talking about the clash of the singularities and I’m going to be
singularities and I’m going to be
singularities and I’m going to be using the technical singularity and by
using the technical singularity and by
using the technical singularity and by that what I mean is artificial
that what I mean is artificial
that what I mean is artificial intelligence reaching a point at some
intelligence reaching a point at some
intelligence reaching a point at some point in the future right now the
point in the future right now the
point in the future right now the projections or I could be 20 to 29
projections or I could be 20 to 29
projections or I could be 20 to 29 it could be 2040 – it could be 2050 but
it could be 2040 – it could be 2050 but
it could be 2040 – it could be 2050 but something irreversible happens to us in
something irreversible happens to us in
something irreversible happens to us in our machines where they begin to become
our machines where they begin to become
our machines where they begin to become smarter than we are
smarter than we are
smarter than we are irreversible something the relationship
irreversible something the relationship
irreversible something the relationship between ourselves
between ourselves
between ourselves it wouldn’t be for example you wouldn’t
it wouldn’t be for example you wouldn’t
it wouldn’t be for example you wouldn’t say the film her is an example but it’s
say the film her is an example but it’s
say the film her is an example but it’s not bad wouldn’t you wouldn’t say that
not bad wouldn’t you wouldn’t say that
not bad wouldn’t you wouldn’t say that West world is an example of the
West world is an example of the
West world is an example of the singularity but it’s not bad but it’s
singularity but it’s not bad but it’s
singularity but it’s not bad but it’s something like that where we are not
something like that where we are not
something like that where we are not able to come back from this space and
able to come back from this space and
able to come back from this space and the relationship between ourselves and
the relationship between ourselves and
the relationship between ourselves and our machines recognizes us that we are
our machines recognizes us that we are
our machines recognizes us that we are second so that’s the way to think about
second so that’s the way to think about
second so that’s the way to think about the technological singularity when AI
the technological singularity when AI
the technological singularity when AI becomes really smart the position
becomes really smart the position
becomes really smart the position between ourselves and it changes another
between ourselves and it changes another
between ourselves and it changes another way of thinking about it is this graph
way of thinking about it is this graph
way of thinking about it is this graph here you probably have already seen it
here you probably have already seen it
here you probably have already seen it where it just describes how quickly this
where it just describes how quickly this
where it just describes how quickly this happens this is sort of a description of
happens this is sort of a description of
happens this is sort of a description of Moore’s law which everybody by now is
Moore’s law which everybody by now is
Moore’s law which everybody by now is familiar with of how computers doubling
familiar with of how computers doubling
familiar with of how computers doubling every 18 months reducing in size cost
every 18 months reducing in size cost
every 18 months reducing in size cost etc and then at some point you’ve seen
etc and then at some point you’ve seen
etc and then at some point you’ve seen this from the singularity the folks who
this from the singularity the folks who
this from the singularity the folks who talked about the singularity it takes
talked about the singularity it takes
talked about the singularity it takes off and we don’t know where that goes so
off and we don’t know where that goes so
off and we don’t know where that goes so that’s one way and the other thing is I
that’s one way and the other thing is I
that’s one way and the other thing is I would say think about the singularity is
would say think about the singularity is
would say think about the singularity is just a metaphor but that’s not the only
just a metaphor but that’s not the only
just a metaphor but that’s not the only singularity there’s another singularity
singularity there’s another singularity
singularity there’s another singularity which I suggest to you it’s just as
which I suggest to you it’s just as
which I suggest to you it’s just as powerful and that is the American
powerful and that is the American
powerful and that is the American demographic singularity and the way to
demographic singularity and the way to
demographic singularity and the way to think about that is when America itself
think about that is when America itself
think about that is when America itself changes faster than any one had expected
changes faster than any one had expected
changes faster than any one had expected which is what we are experiencing now
which is what we are experiencing now
which is what we are experiencing now and what we will experience over the
and what we will experience over the
and what we will experience over the next twenty to twenty-five years this is
next twenty to twenty-five years this is
next twenty to twenty-five years this is as powerful as a technological
as powerful as a technological
as powerful as a technological singularity so we have on the one hand
singularity so we have on the one hand
singularity so we have on the one hand the emergence of this very powerful
the emergence of this very powerful
the emergence of this very powerful technology which disappears we don’t we
technology which disappears we don’t we
technology which disappears we don’t we no longer see it and then we have the
no longer see it and then we have the
no longer see it and then we have the emergence of these amazing demographic
emergence of these amazing demographic
emergence of these amazing demographic shifts within our country
shifts within our country
shifts within our country to give you an example of what that
to give you an example of what that
to give you an example of what that number is it’s roughly the size of the
number is it’s roughly the size of the
number is it’s roughly the size of the country of Indonesia if we were to think
country of Indonesia if we were to think
country of Indonesia if we were to think about minorities who we have today
about minorities who we have today
about minorities who we have today people that we consider to be minorities
people that we consider to be minorities
people that we consider to be minorities today when we think about race we think
today when we think about race we think
today when we think about race we think about ethnicity about 235 million people
about ethnicity about 235 million people
about ethnicity about 235 million people this is the transition we’re in and so
this is the transition we’re in and so
this is the transition we’re in and so this is going to impact our elections we
this is going to impact our elections we
this is going to impact our elections we just had one in 2016 we’ll have another
just had one in 2016 we’ll have another
just had one in 2016 we’ll have another in 2020 2020 for 2028 these are profound
in 2020 2020 for 2028 these are profound
in 2020 2020 for 2028 these are profound changes and it’s not only going to
changes and it’s not only going to
changes and it’s not only going to affect us in terms of politics but it
affect us in terms of politics but it
affect us in terms of politics but it will also impact us in terms of the
will also impact us in terms of the
will also impact us in terms of the workforce this is not guessing this is
workforce this is not guessing this is
workforce this is not guessing this is mathematics so now we have the clash of
mathematics so now we have the clash of
mathematics so now we have the clash of the way and is the way I’m thinking
the way and is the way I’m thinking
the way and is the way I’m thinking about this in context of these two very
about this in context of these two very
about this in context of these two very powerful singularities what will be the
powerful singularities what will be the
powerful singularities what will be the implications well for one we’re start to
implications well for one we’re start to
implications well for one we’re start to notice this Oxford press has just put
notice this Oxford press has just put
notice this Oxford press has just put out a study that says about 47% of the
out a study that says about 47% of the
out a study that says about 47% of the jobs that we now have that we humans do
jobs that we now have that we humans do
jobs that we now have that we humans do to possibly disappear automated or
to possibly disappear automated or
to possibly disappear automated or completely eliminated that could mean a
completely eliminated that could mean a
completely eliminated that could mean a lawyer that could mean journalists that
lawyer that could mean journalists that
lawyer that could mean journalists that could mean traitors that could mean call
could mean traitors that could mean call
could mean traitors that could mean call centre folks there’s a great wide range
centre folks there’s a great wide range
centre folks there’s a great wide range of possibilities of things that we
of possibilities of things that we
of possibilities of things that we humans do that we will no longer do 47%
humans do that we will no longer do 47%
humans do that we will no longer do 47% then you have the issue of should we
then you have the issue of should we
then you have the issue of should we augment or should we replace people
augment or should we replace people
augment or should we replace people because we have these very powerful
because we have these very powerful
because we have these very powerful technology who decides who gets
technology who decides who gets
technology who decides who gets augmented who decides on who gets
augmented who decides on who gets
augmented who decides on who gets replaced for example should we use this
replaced for example should we use this
replaced for example should we use this artificial intelligence to decide for
artificial intelligence to decide for
artificial intelligence to decide for judges on who should get the longer
judges on who should get the longer
judges on who should get the longer sentencing in our court systems this is
sentencing in our court systems this is
sentencing in our court systems this is not in the future this is now we we have
not in the future this is now we we have
not in the future this is now we we have in the past talked about affirmative
in the past talked about affirmative
in the past talked about affirmative action
action
action in the future we’ll talk about genetic
in the future we’ll talk about genetic
in the future we’ll talk about genetic affirmative action we will introduce new
affirmative action we will introduce new
affirmative action we will introduce new terms like algorithmic justice because
terms like algorithmic justice because
terms like algorithmic justice because algorithms these very powerful formulas
algorithms these very powerful formulas
algorithms these very powerful formulas are determining who gets hired it is
are determining who gets hired it is
are determining who gets hired it is going to impact all of us should we use
going to impact all of us should we use
going to impact all of us should we use algorithms to determine public policy
algorithms to determine public policy
algorithms to determine public policy can we use algorithms to determine who
can we use algorithms to determine who
can we use algorithms to determine who is the ideal presidential candidate and
is the ideal presidential candidate and
is the ideal presidential candidate and then will we use our technology to
then will we use our technology to
then will we use our technology to create a candidate to fit exactly that
create a candidate to fit exactly that
create a candidate to fit exactly that profile these are very powerful tools
profile these are very powerful tools
profile these are very powerful tools but we already know that you can’t
but we already know that you can’t
but we already know that you can’t really trust our powerful tools and so
really trust our powerful tools and so
really trust our powerful tools and so therefore I wanted to leave you with an
therefore I wanted to leave you with an
therefore I wanted to leave you with an assignment one of the most powerful
assignment one of the most powerful
assignment one of the most powerful assignments I’ve given my MBA students
assignments I’ve given my MBA students
assignments I’ve given my MBA students over the years and that’s this I’m going
over the years and that’s this I’m going
over the years and that’s this I’m going to invite you to interview somebody who
to invite you to interview somebody who
to invite you to interview somebody who is 75 years of age or older who is of a
is 75 years of age or older who is of a
is 75 years of age or older who is of a different race or ethnicity than you are
different race or ethnicity than you are
different race or ethnicity than you are find them for my students it’s a shock
find them for my students it’s a shock
find them for my students it’s a shock first of all they don’t know anybody
first of all they don’t know anybody
first of all they don’t know anybody over the age of 75 that’s not their
over the age of 75 that’s not their
over the age of 75 that’s not their parents and then they have to go find
parents and then they have to go find
parents and then they have to go find them which means they necessarily get
them which means they necessarily get
them which means they necessarily get out of their comfort zone they they sort
out of their comfort zone they they sort
out of their comfort zone they they sort of recognize their blindness the second
of recognize their blindness the second
of recognize their blindness the second thing I’d like to invite you to do is to
thing I’d like to invite you to do is to
thing I’d like to invite you to do is to find a child and get on their level and
find a child and get on their level and
find a child and get on their level and see how they are looking at the world it
see how they are looking at the world it
see how they are looking at the world it will remind you of the importance of
will remind you of the importance of
will remind you of the importance of imagination and creativity and seeing
imagination and creativity and seeing
imagination and creativity and seeing through their lens in other words I’m
through their lens in other words I’m
through their lens in other words I’m encouraging you to adopt the lens of
encouraging you to adopt the lens of
encouraging you to adopt the lens of someone else to see through someone
someone else to see through someone
someone else to see through someone else’s eyes and then finally I want to
else’s eyes and then finally I want to
else’s eyes and then finally I want to tell you about this guy we call him the
tell you about this guy we call him the
tell you about this guy we call him the little guy
little guy
little guy this is a picture of a little child
this is a picture of a little child
this is a picture of a little child taken in 2007 in Kenya in an area called
taken in 2007 in Kenya in an area called
taken in 2007 in Kenya in an area called on Nakuru my youngest son Roman took
on Nakuru my youngest son Roman took
on Nakuru my youngest son Roman took this picture he had been volunteering
this picture he had been volunteering
this picture he had been volunteering for one of the orphanages there now this
for one of the orphanages there now this
for one of the orphanages there now this child we don’t really know what his name
child we don’t really know what his name
child we don’t really know what his name is but I do know this that at some point
is but I do know this that at some point
is but I do know this that at some point he is going to jump off of his
he is going to jump off of his
he is going to jump off of his grandmother’s front porch he’s gonna
grandmother’s front porch he’s gonna
grandmother’s front porch he’s gonna have maybe it won’t be a golf ball in
have maybe it won’t be a golf ball in
have maybe it won’t be a golf ball in his hand it won’t be a golf club in his
his hand it won’t be a golf club in his
his hand it won’t be a golf club in his hand he may not have a baseball it may
hand he may not have a baseball it may
hand he may not have a baseball it may not be a baseball bat maybe it’ll be a
not be a baseball bat maybe it’ll be a
not be a baseball bat maybe it’ll be a soccer ball but he’s gonna put that ball
soccer ball but he’s gonna put that ball
soccer ball but he’s gonna put that ball down on the ground but before he kicks
down on the ground but before he kicks
down on the ground but before he kicks it I’d invite you see if you can get the
it I’d invite you see if you can get the
it I’d invite you see if you can get the glass move the glass before he swings in
glass move the glass before he swings in
glass move the glass before he swings in to the next time I will see you in the
to the next time I will see you in the
to the next time I will see you in the future thank you
future thank you
future thank you [Applause]
”
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